April 2021 Bulgarian parliamentary election
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on 28 March 2021.[1]
Electoral system
The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by closed list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4%.[2]
Opinion polls
Pollster | Date | Sample | GERB | BSP | ITN | DB | DPS | UP | Stand Up.BG | IMRO | Volya | ABV | Others / None |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Center for Analyses and Marketing | 01-05 August 2020 | 1021 | 30.1% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 5% | - | 2.1% | - | 3.9% |
Market Links (voters only) | 28 July - 03 August 2020 | 1093[a] | 26.25% | 24.73% | 13.67% | 12.8% | 10.63% | 4.99% | 2.39% | - | - | - | 4.34% |
Market Links (overall support) | 28 July - 03 August 2020 | 1093[b] | 23.25% | 20.73% | 22.97% | 10.08% | 9.66% | 4.62% | 3.92% | - | - | - | 4.76% |
Alpha Research | 23-30 July 2020 | 1017 | 26.7% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | - | 0.9% | - | 3.8% |
Market Links (voters only) | 27 May-03 June 2020 | 995[c] | 34.1% | 25.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | - | - | 3.7% | - | - | 8.5% |
Alpha Research | 28 April-05 May 2020 | 1000 | 33% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 6% | - | - | 2% | - | - |
Trend | 03-10 February 2020 | 1007 | 33% | 29% | 11% | 6% | 11% | - | - | 4% | 2% | - | 2% |
Alpha Research | 05-12 December 2019 | 1017 | 30% | 25% | 12% | 7% | 11% | - | - | 7% | 2% | - | 2% |
Market Links | 21-28 November 2019 | 980 | 30% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 7% | - | - | 2% | - | 4% |
Trend | 07-15 November 2019 | 1008 | 36% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 12% | - | - | 5% | 2% | - | - |
Alpha Research | 10-16 September 2019 | 1023 | 30% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 5% | - | - | 3% | - | 4% |
Trend | 05-12 July 2019 | 1008 | 38% | 30% | - | 5% | 11% | 2%[d] | - | 6% | 2% | - | 4% |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 31.1%[e] | 24.3% | - | 6.0% | 16.6% | 2.2%[d] | - | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 8% |
Exacta | 10–17 December 2018 | – | 36% | 32% | - | 4% | 8% | 6% | - | - | 2% | 2% | 11% |
Trend | 6–12 November 2018 | 1,004 | 34% | 32% | - | 3% | 10% | 7% | - | - | 2% | – | 10% |
Exacta | 25 September–5 October 2018 | 1,000 | 39% | 33% | - | 3% | 10% | 10% | - | - | 2% | 2% | - |
2017 election | 27 March 2017 | – | 32.6% | 27.2% | - | 5.4%[f] | 9.0% | 9.1% | - | - | 4.1% | 1.5% | 11,1% |
- ^ Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 461.
- ^ Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 714.
- ^ Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 396.
- ^ a b Without IMRO.
- ^ With SDS.
- ^ Combined result of Yes, Bulgaria! and DSB.
References
- ^ "Parliamentary elections are going to be held on March 28, 2021". Iskra.bg. 13 June 2020. Retrieved 9 August 2020. (in Bulgarian)
- ^ Bulgaria IFES