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April 2021 Bulgarian parliamentary election

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Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
Bulgaria
← 2017 28 March 2021

All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
GERB Boyko Borisov
BSP Korneliya Ninova
DPS Mustafa Karadaya
United Patriots Valeri Simeonov and Krasimir Karakachanov
Volya Veselin Mareshki
Independents -

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on 28 March 2021.[1]

Electoral system

The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by closed list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4%.[2]

Opinion polls

Pollster Date Sample GERB BSP ITN DB DPS UP Stand Up.BG IMRO Volya ABV Others / None
Center for Analyses and Marketing 01-05 August 2020 1021 30.1% 19.7% 13.9% 10.1% 10.8% 4.3% 5% - 2.1% - 3.9%
Market Links (voters only) 28 July - 03 August 2020 1093[a] 26.25% 24.73% 13.67% 12.8% 10.63% 4.99% 2.39% - - - 4.34%
Market Links (overall support) 28 July - 03 August 2020 1093[b] 23.25% 20.73% 22.97% 10.08% 9.66% 4.62% 3.92% - - - 4.76%
Alpha Research 23-30 July 2020 1017 26.7% 19.2% 18.8% 12.3% 8.3% 4.1% 5.9% - 0.9% - 3.8%
Market Links (voters only) 27 May-03 June 2020 995[c] 34.1% 25.6% 9.8% 8.5% 9.8% - - 3.7% - - 8.5%
Alpha Research 28 April-05 May 2020 1000 33% 20% 15% 6% 10% 6% - - 2% - -
Trend 03-10 February 2020 1007 33% 29% 11% 6% 11% - - 4% 2% - 2%
Alpha Research 05-12 December 2019 1017 30% 25% 12% 7% 11% - - 7% 2% - 2%
Market Links 21-28 November 2019 980 30% 27% 13% 8% 13% 7% - - 2% - 4%
Trend 07-15 November 2019 1008 36% 28% 8% 5% 12% - - 5% 2% - -
Alpha Research 10-16 September 2019 1023 30% 26% 11% 6% 12% 5% - - 3% - 4%
Trend 05-12 July 2019 1008 38% 30% - 5% 11% 2%[d] - 6% 2% - 4%
2019 European election 26 May 2019 31.1%[e] 24.3% - 6.0% 16.6% 2.2%[d] - 7.4% 3.6% 1.0% 8%
Exacta 10–17 December 2018 36% 32% - 4% 8% 6% - - 2% 2% 11%
Trend 6–12 November 2018 1,004 34% 32% - 3% 10% 7% - - 2% 10%
Exacta 25 September–5 October 2018 1,000 39% 33% - 3% 10% 10% - - 2% 2% -
2017 election 27 March 2017 32.6% 27.2% - 5.4%[f] 9.0% 9.1% - - 4.1% 1.5% 11,1%
  1. ^ Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 461.
  2. ^ Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided' or 'will not vote', is 714.
  3. ^ Actual sample, after removing pollees that chose 'undecided', is 396.
  4. ^ a b Without IMRO.
  5. ^ With SDS.
  6. ^ Combined result of Yes, Bulgaria! and DSB.

References

  1. ^ "Parliamentary elections are going to be held on March 28, 2021". Iskra.bg. 13 June 2020. Retrieved 9 August 2020. (in Bulgarian)
  2. ^ Bulgaria IFES