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Electoral district of Carrum

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Carrum
VictoriaLegislative Assembly
Location of Carrum (dark green) in Greater Melbourne
StateVictoria
Created1976
MPSonya Kilkenny
PartyLabor
Electors44,578 (2014)
Area87 km2 (33.6 sq mi)
DemographicMetropolitan

The Electoral district of Carrum is an electoral district of the Victorian Legislative Assembly.[1] It lies in the south eastern suburbs of Melbourne, covering Bonbeach, Aspendale, Carrum, Chelsea, Edithvale and Patterson Lakes.

The seat was created in 1976 and traditionally has had a working class character and has been safe for the Australian Labor Party. However, since the 1990s the area has been gentrifying and the seat was won by the Liberal Party against the trend at the 1996 election. However, the seat was narrowly recovered by Labor due to the Anti-Kennett swing in 1999 and the 'Brackslide' of 2002 reverted the seat to its original safe Labor status. In 2010 Carrum was the safest Labor seat lost to the Liberal party, electing Donna Bauer to the Legislative Assembly.

The 2013 redistribution significantly reshaped the seat, with the seat losing Aspendale, Edithvale and parts of Chelsea to the seat of Mordialloc and gaining Carrum Downs and Sandhurst from the seat of Cranbourne. These changes are estimated to have reduced the Liberal margin to 0.3%.

Members for Carrum

Member Party Term
  Ian Cathie Labor 1976–1988
  Mal Sandon Labor 1988–1996
  David Lean Liberal 1996–1999
  Jenny Lindell Labor 1999–2010
  Donna Bauer Liberal 2010–2014
  Sonya Kilkenny Labor 2014–present

Election results

Victorian state election, 2014: Carrum
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Donna Bauer 17,802 45.2 +1.6
Labor Sonya Kilkenny 16,645 42.2 +2.0
Greens Henry Kelsall 2,989 7.6 −1.6
Family First Richard Vernay 1,281 3.2 +0.6
Rise Up Australia Margaret Quinn 708 1.8 +1.8
Total formal votes 39,425 94.9 +0.3
Informal votes 2,126 5.1 −0.3
Turnout 41,551 93.2 +2.9
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Sonya Kilkenny 19,998 50.7 +1.0
Liberal Donna Bauer 19,427 49.3 −1.0
Labor gain from Liberal Swing +1.0

References

  1. ^ "Re-Member (Former Members)". State Government of Victoria. Retrieved 29 May 2014.