2016 Idaho Democratic caucuses

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
  (Redirected from Idaho Democratic caucuses, 2016)
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Idaho Democratic caucuses, 2016

← 2008 March 22, 2016 (2016-03-22) 2020 →
  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 18 5
Popular vote 18,640 5,065
Percentage 78.04% 21.21%

Idaho Democratic Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton

The 2016 Idaho Democratic caucuses took place on March 22 in the U.S. state of Idaho as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Voters convened in each of Idaho's 44 counties at 7 p.m. Mountain Standard Time/6 p.m Pacific Standard Time to proportionally allocate the state's 27 delegates to the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia in July.[1][2][3]

Campaigning[edit]

Both major candidates made efforts to either send surrogates or campaign themselves in Idaho before the caucuses took place. On March 17, Olympian Michelle Kwan campaigned for Hillary Clinton at Boise State University, where she spoke to about 150 supporters.[4] On March 18, Bernie Sanders spoke at a local high school in Idaho Falls, Idaho drawing approximately 3,200 supporters.[5][6] On March 21, the day before the Democratic caucuses, Senator Bernie Sanders spoke to approximately 7,000 supporters at the Taco Bell Arena[7][8] on the campus of Boise State University.[9]

Aftermath[edit]

The caucus was later regarded as having prepared the ground for the Paulette Jordan gubernatorial campaign two years later, inasmuch as it demonstrated the popularity of progressive policy proposals amongst the Idahoan left. [10]

Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Caucus results March 24, 2016 Bernie Sanders
78.04%
Hillary Clinton
21.21%
Other
0.75%
Dan Jones & Associates [11]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 601

February 17–26, 2016 Bernie Sanders
47%
Hillary Clinton
45%
Dan Jones & Associates [12]

Margin of error: ± 4.02%
Sample size: 595

October 28 – November 4, 2015 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
35%
Other candidates 4%
Don't know 6%
Dan Jones & Associates[13]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 586

September 22–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton
38%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Joe Biden 16%
Other/DK/NR 10%
Dan Jones & Associates[14]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

Published August 9, 2015 Hillary Clinton
44%
Bernie Sanders
22%
Joe Biden 15%
Other/DK/NR 19%
Idaho Politics Weekly[15]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

June 17 – July 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton
19%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Joe Biden 10%
Someone else 18%
Don't know 32%

Results[edit]


e • d Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Idaho, 2016
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular Vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 18,640 78.04% 18 2 20
Hillary Clinton 5,065 21.21% 5 1 6
Rocky De La Fuente 4 0.02%
Uncommitted 175 0.73% 1 1
Total 23,884 100% 23 4 27
Source: The Green Papers
Idaho Democratic Party - Official Delegation for Pledged Delegates
Idaho Democratic Party 2016 Caucus State Delegate Election results April 1, 2016
Candidate CD Popular vote State convention delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton CD1 2,319 21.39% 45 45
CD2 2,746 21.05% 41 41
Total 5,065 21.21% 86 86
Bernie Sanders CD1 8,454 78.00% 154 154
CD2 10,186 78.08% 144 144
Total 18,640 78.04% 298 298
Rocky De La Fuente CD1 2 0.02% 0 0
CD2 2 0.02% 0 0
Total 4 0.02% 0 0
Uncommitted CD1 64 0.59% 0 0
CD2 111 0.85% 0 0
Total 175 0.73% 0 0
Grand Total CD1 10,839 100% 199 199
CD2 13,045 100% 185 185
Total 23,884 100% 384 384
Source: Idaho Democratic Party 2016 Caucus State Delegate Election results April 1, 2016

Gallery[edit]

Analysis[edit]

Sanders won Idaho by a four-to-one margin over Hillary Clinton, a similarly large landslide win that Barack Obama had enjoyed over Clinton in the Idaho caucuses eight years prior. In a majority white, rural, and ideologically libertarian electorate, Sanders had the upper hand. He won all counties but one on election day, carrying the major cities of Boise in Ada County, Pocatello in Bannock County, and Idaho Falls in Bonneville County. He was also bolstered by rural support from Southern Idaho to the Northern Panhandle, and in Central Idaho including Treasure Valley. Such regions are among the most remote and radically conservative areas of the country.

The Ada County caucus, held at CenturyLink Arena, which was the largest caucus in U.S. history, easily broke the 2008 record, with many voters waiting in line for three or four hours in brisk wind chill.[16] The mile-long line[17] stretched for several city blocks; more than 9,100 voters participated[18] in what was called a "massive" turnout,[7] especially given Idaho's status as a Republican stronghold.

Sanders won 78.0% of the vote statewide; only his home state of Vermont, Alaska, and Utah have given him a wider margin of victory.[19][20][21]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Politics Columns & Blogs - IdahoStatesman.com & Idaho Statesman".
  2. ^ "Idaho parties trying to increase state's impact in selecting president".
  3. ^ "Caucus 2016 - Idaho Democratic Party".
  4. ^ "Olympic figure skater campaigns for Clinton in Boise". KTVB. 2016-03-17. Retrieved 2016-03-24.
  5. ^ https://go.berniesanders.com/page/event/detail/rally/447jp
  6. ^ "Bernie Sanders draws thousands to Idaho Falls rally". idahostatesman. Retrieved 2017-06-27.
  7. ^ a b "Massive Turnout Reported at Idaho Caucus Sites". The Rachel Maddow Show. 2016-03-22.
  8. ^ KRUESI, KIMBERLEE (2016-03-21). "Senator Bernie Sanders speaks at Taco Bell Arena". KIVI-TV. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
  9. ^ Ehlert, Robert (2016-03-21). "Bernie Sanders leaves Boise's Taco Bell Arena after rally". The Idaho Statesman. Retrieved 2016-03-21.
  10. ^ Sewell, Cynthia (2018-08-19). "Why Paulette Jordan says she can bust Idaho's Republican stronghold". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved 2018-08-19.
  11. ^ Bernick. "Poll: Trump Leads in Idaho Ahead of Tuesday's Primary". idahopoliticsweekly.com.
  12. ^ Bryan. "Idaho Democrats Pick Clinton; Republicans Still Undecided". idahopoliticsweekly.com.
  13. ^ "ID Politics Weekly". Idaho Politics Weekly. Retrieved 2015-10-15.
  14. ^ "Donald Trump, Jeb Bush Lead GOP Field in Idaho". Idaho Politics Weekly. Retrieved 2015-08-10.
  15. ^ Bryan. "Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton Lead 2016 Presidential Contenders in the Gem State". idahopoliticsweekly.com.
  16. ^ Dentzer, Bill; Moeller, Katy; Webb, Anna; Barker, Rocky (2016-03-23). "Idaho Democrats pick Sanders by wide margin". The Idaho Statesman. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
  17. ^ O'Brien, Cortny (2016-03-22). "Mile-Long Line At Idaho Democratic Caucus Site". Townhall.com. Retrieved 2016-03-22.
  18. ^ "Bernie Sanders wins Idaho Democratic caucuses". KTVB. 2016-03-23. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
  19. ^ Deshais, Nicholas (2016-03-23). "Sanders trounces Clinton in Idaho caucus". The Spokesman Review. Retrieved 2016-03-23.
  20. ^ "Vermont Democratic Delegation 2016".
  21. ^ "Utah Election Results 2016".