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Meteorological history of Typhoon Durian

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Typhoon Durian (Reming)
Violent typhoon (JMA scale)
Category 4 super typhoon (SSHWS)
Track of Typhoon Durian
FormedNovember 25, 2006
DissipatedDecember 9, 2006
(Remnant low after December 7)
Highest winds10-minute sustained: 195 km/h (120 mph)
1-minute sustained: 250 km/h (155 mph)
Gusts: 320 km/h (200 mph)
Lowest pressure915 hPa (mbar); 27.02 inHg
Areas affectedMicronesia, Philippines, Indochina, Andaman Islands
Part of the 2006 Pacific typhoon and North Indian Ocean cyclone seasons

Typhoon Durian's meteorological history began with its origins as a tropical disturbance near Chuuk State on November 23, 2006, and lasted until its dissipation off the coast of Andhra Pradesh, India, on December 9. Durian formed as a tropical depression on November 25 near Chuuk State. Situated south of a ridge, the system tracked west-northwest over a region characterized by low wind shear and good upper-level divergence. Late on November 26, the depression intensified into a tropical storm and was named Durian. Steady strengthening took place over the following two days as the system approached the Philippines. After attaining typhoon status on November 29, Durian underwent a period of rapid intensification, culminating with it attaining peak winds of 195 km/h (120 mph) and a barometric pressure of 915 mbar (hPa; 27.02 inHg). Durian brushed the southern coast of the Catanduanes at this intensity, where a record gust of 320 km/h (200 mph) was observed.

Slight weakening took place before the storm made landfall in the Bicol Region. Land interaction precipitated further degradation of storm, though it retained typhoon status upon emerging over the South China Sea on December 1. Some re-intensification occurred, with Durian reaching a secondary peak on December 3. Subsequently, increasingly hostile conditions caused the system to weaken to a tropical storm as it turned southwest. Durian struck southern Vietnam early on December 5 as a tropical storm before diminishing to a tropical depression. The system turned westward once again and crossed Malay Peninsula. Failing to reorganize, Durian degenerated into a remnant low on December 7 before ultimately dissipating two days later off the coast of Andhra Pradesh, India.

Background and origins

Tracks of the five typhoons that struck the Philippines between September and December 2006

The 2006 Pacific typhoon season was characterized by a large number of intense typhoons despite a near-normal number of named storms. According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), the year featured seven super typhoons, the third-highest since reliable records began in 1970.[nb 1][nb 2] This was partially attributed to the presence of an El Niño, especially toward the latter half of the season. Though not a strong ENSO event, it peaked during November and coincided with a series of powerful typhoons impacting the Philippines.[3] Meteorologist Gary Padgett regarded the event as, "a veritable parade of intense [and] destructive typhoons."[4] The first of these storms was Typhoon Xangsane in late September which explosively intensified shortly after its formation near Samar Island.[3] The storm killed more than 200 people in the country and inflicted 5.9 billion PHP (US$150 million) in damage.[4] In late October, Typhoon Cimaron became one of the most intense storms to strike Luzon; however, it impacted a sparsely populated region and relatively few casualties took place.[5] Less than three weeks later, a Typhoon Chebi followed a similar path to Cimaron, though its small size contributed to relatively limited damage. Typhoon Durian would become the fourth of these powerful storms to impact the country.[2] The final typhoon in the "parade" was Utor in December, which was the weakest of the five and followed a more southerly track.[6]

The origins of Typhoon Durian can be traced to a tropical disturbance that developed near Chuuk State in the Federated States of Micronesia on November 23. Initially, the system featured a broad low- to mid-level circulation and good outflow. Situated within an area of moderate wind shear, development was initially inhibited; however, following a decrease in shear on November 25, organization improved.[2] On November 25, a tropical wave – an elongated area of low air pressure moving from east to west – interacted with the system and triggered tropical cyclogenesis. Post-storm modeling determined that this wave was an essential factor in the storm's formation and had it not formed, Durian would not have become a tropical cyclone.[7] With convection wrapping into the storm's circulation,[2] the JTWC classified it as a tropical depression around 1200 UTC.[8] The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) followed suit three hours later.[9][nb 3] Situated south of a mid-level ridge, the system tracked generally west-northwest toward the Philippines.[2] The depression gradually organized and gained strength, reaching tropical storm status late on November 26. At that time, the JMA assigned it the name Durian.[9][nb 4]

Peak intensity

Typhoon Durian as it made landfall in Albay Province on November 30.

On November 27, the JTWC noted that Durian could undergo explosive intensification as it moved over the Philippine Sea two days later, similar to what took place with Typhoons Cimaron and Chebi. However, there was less confidence in this scenario due to the presence of dry air west of the cyclone.[11] On November 28, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration assigned the storm the local name Reming as it entered their area of responsibility.[2] At 1200 UTC that day, the JTWC upgraded Durian to a typhoon, estimating one-minute sustained winds at 120 km/h (75 mph).[8] It was not until 0300 UTC on November 29 that the JMA also upgraded the storm.[9] During the course of November 29, a westward-moving convectively-coupled Kelvin wave interacted with Durian and provided additional convergence around the typhoon. This precipitated a period of rapid intensification as the cyclone's vorticity abruptly deepened an reached to more than 10 km (6.2 mi) in altitude.[7] At 0530 UTC, intensity estimates using the Dvorak technique – a method of determining a tropical cyclone's intensity based on satellite appearance – yielded a raw value of 7.0, indicating one-minute sustained winds of 260 km/h (160 mph). By this time, a clear 26 km (16 mi) wide eye had formed within a ring of deep convection.[12]

Durain attained its peak intensity late on November 29 just off the coast of the Philippines with winds of 195 km/h (120 mph) and a barometric pressure of 915 mbar (hPa; 27.02 inHg).[9] The JTWC estimated Durian to have been somewhat stronger with one-minute winds of 250 km/h (155 mph), making it a Category 4-equivalent super typhoon on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale.[8] By the end of the rapid intensification phase, Durian turned nearly due west as a subtropical ridge built to its north. Although expected to gradually turn northwest along the southwestern periphery of the ridge, topographical effects from the Philippines were expected to limited poleward progression.[13] Weakening somewhat, Durian brushed the southern coast of the Catanduanes early on November 30. At 0200 UTC, a weather station in Virac recorded sustained winds of 120 km/h (75 mph) and 941.4 mbar (hPa; 27.80 inHg) pressure.[2] Gusts at the station peaked at 320 km/h (200 mph) before the anemometer broke.[14] This was the highest value ever recorded in the Philippines, greatly exceeding previous record of 275 km/h (171 mph) during Typhoon Joan of 1970.[15] Shortly thereafter, Durian made landfall in northern Albay Province; winds at this time were estimated at 165 km/h (105 mph).[2]

South China Sea and dissipation

Typhoon Durian at its secondary peak intensity on December 3.

Interaction with land induced steady weakening of the typhoon as it moved westward over the Philippines. The storm made two additional landfalls in Quezon and Marinduque after moving over the Ragay Gulf and Sibuyan Sea, respectively. Passing over the Isla Verde Passage, Durian emerged into the South China Sea early on December 1 as a minimal typhoon.[9] During the storm's crossing of the Philippines, the area of deep convection surrounding the center expanded from 1.0–2.2 degrees to 2.2–3.0 degrees; however, unlike many other typhoons, the eye collapsed and failed to fully redevelop once clear of the islands.[16] Gradual re-intensification occurred over the subsequent days, with the storm attaining a secondary peak strength of 150 km/h (90 mph) early on December 3. Influenced by monsoonal flow, Durian soon turned southwestwards and began paralleling the Vietnamese coastline. Increasing wind shear and inflow of cooler air quickly weakened the system, with winds dropping below typhoon-force early on December 4. As Durian neared the coast of extreme southeastern Vietnam, a slight discrepancy in classification occurred between the JMA and the JTWC.[2] While the former noted a steady weakening trend,[9] the JTWC briefly re-classified Durian as a typhoon late on December 4.[8]

Ultimately, Durian made its fourth overall landfall early on December 5 over the Mekong Delta south of Ho Chi Minh City with winds of 85 km/h (50 mph).[9] Within hours of moving onshore, a combination of land interaction and poor upper-level outflow caused all deep convection to dissipate.[17] The system degraded to a tropical depression before emerging over the Gulf of Thailand.[9] The depression later made landfall over Surat Thani Province, Thailand early on December 6 before crossing into the Bay of Bengal.[8] Once over water, the circulation became increasingly well-defined and convective banding reformed along the south side of the low. Environmental conditions were marginally favorable for development;[18] however, Durian failed to reorganize further and degenerated into a remnant low late on December 7 as it moved just south of the Andaman Islands. The remnants continued generally westward across the Bay and later dissipated on December 9 off the coast of Andhra Pradesh, India.[8]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The Joint Typhoon Warning Center is a joint United States Navy – United States Air Force task force that issues tropical cyclone warnings for the western Pacific Ocean and other regions.[1]
  2. ^ A super typhoon is defined as a tropical cyclone with one-minute sustained winds of at least 240 km/h (150 mph).[2]
  3. ^ The Japan Meteorological Agency is the official Regional Specialized Meteorological Center for the western Pacific Ocean.[10]
  4. ^ The name Durian (Thai: ทุเรียน) was submitted to the World Meteorological Organization by Thailand and is the name of a local favorite fruit, Durio Zibethinus.[2]

References

  1. ^ "Joint Typhoon Warning Center Mission Statement". Joint Typhoon Warning Center. United States Navy. 2011. Archived from the original on July 26, 2007. Retrieved July 20, 2013.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Gary Padgett, Kevin Boyle, and Simon Clarke (March 7, 2007). "Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Summary – November 2006" (Report). Typhoon 2000. Retrieved July 20, 2013.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  3. ^ a b S. J. Camargo (June 2007). "Supplement to State of the Climate in 2006: Tropical Cyclones: Western North Pacific Basin" (PDF). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 88 (6). American Meteorological Society: S54–S56. doi:10.1175/BAMS-88-6-StateoftheClimate. Retrieved July 21, 2013.
  4. ^ a b Gary Padgett, Kevin Boyle, and Simon Clarke (January 28, 2007). "Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Summary – September 2006" (Report). Typhoon 2000. Retrieved July 21, 2013.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  5. ^ Gary Padgett, Kevin Boyle, and Simon Clarke (February 21, 2007). "Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Summary – October 2006" (Report). Typhoon 2000. Retrieved July 21, 2013.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  6. ^ Gary Padgett, Kevin Boyle, and Simon Clarke (March 7, 2007). "Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Summary – December 2006" (Report). Typhoon 2000. Retrieved July 21, 2013.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  7. ^ a b Wataru Yanase, Masaki Satoh, Hiroyuki Yamada, Kazuaki Yasunaga, and Qoosaku Moteki (April 2010). "Continual influences of tropical waves on the genesis and rapid intensification of Typhoon Durian (2006)". Geophysical Research Letters. 37 (8). doi:10.1029/2010GL042516. Retrieved July 20, 2013.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  8. ^ a b c d e f "Typhoon 24W 2006 (Durian) Best Track" (.TXT). Joint Typhoon Warning Center. United States Navy. 2007. Retrieved July 20, 2013.
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h "台風0621号 (0621 Durian)" (PDF) (in Japanese). Japan Meteorological Agency. 2007. Retrieved July 20, 2013.
  10. ^ "Annual Report on Activities of the RSMC Tokyo - Typhoon Center 2000" (PDF). Japan Meteorological Agency. February 2001. p. 3. Retrieved July 20, 2013.
  11. ^ "Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 24W (Durian) Warning Nr 008". Joint Typhoon Warning Center. United States Navy. November 27, 2006. {{cite web}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help); |format= requires |url= (help); Missing or empty |url= (help)
  12. ^ "Typhoon 24W (Durian) Satellite Fix – 0530Z November 29, 2006". Joint Typhoon Warning Center (Report). United States Navy. November 29, 2006. {{cite web}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help); Missing or empty |url= (help)
  13. ^ "Prognostic Reasoning for Super Typhoon 24W (Durian) Warning Nr 016". Joint Typhoon Warning Center (Report). United States Navy. November 30, 2006. {{cite web}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help); Missing or empty |url= (help)
  14. ^ Dominic Alojado and David Michael V. Padua (July 29, 2010). "The Twelve Worst Typhoons of the Philippines (1947–2009)". Typhoon 2000. Retrieved July 21, 2013.
  15. ^ Dominic Alojado and David Michael V. Padua (July 29, 2010). "Strongest Typhoons of the Philippines (1947–2009)". Typhoon 2000. Retrieved July 21, 2013.
  16. ^ Kun-Hsuan Chou, Chun-Chieh Wu, and Yuqing Wang (December 2011). "Eyewall Evolution of Typhoons Crossing the Philippines and Taiwan: An Observational Study" (PDF). Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences. 22 (6): 535–548. doi:10.3319/TAO.2011.05.10.01(TM). Retrieved July 21, 2013.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  17. ^ "Tropical Depression 24W (Durian) Warning Nr 041". Joint Typhoon Warning Center. United States Navy. December 5, 2006. {{cite web}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help); |format= requires |url= (help); Missing or empty |url= (help)
  18. ^ "Significant Tropical Weather Outlook for the Indian Ocean". Joint Typhoon Warning Center. United States Navy. December 6, 2006. {{cite web}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help); |format= requires |url= (help); Missing or empty |url= (help)
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