2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election
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![]() County results Bryant: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% DuPree: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Mississippi |
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The 2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011. Incumbent Republican Governor of Mississippi Haley Barbour was unable to run for a third term due to term limits.
Republican nominee Lieutenant Governor Phil Bryant defeated the Democratic nominee, Hattiesburg Mayor Johnny DuPree. Sworn in on January 10, 2012, Bryant became only the third Republican Governor of Mississippi since Reconstruction. This is the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was also the first time that Issaquena County and Benton County voted Republican since Reconstruction.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Phil Bryant, Lieutenant Governor of Mississippi
- Dave Dennis, former New Orleans Federal Reserve Board Chairman
- Ron Williams, businessman
- Hudson Holliday, Pearl River County Supervisor
- James Broadwater, businessman
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Bryant |
Dave Dennis |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 63% | 14% | 3%[1] | 20% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Phil Bryant | 172,300 | 59.46 | |
Republican | Dave Dennis | 74,546 | 25.72 | |
Republican | Ron Williams | 25,555 | 8.82 | |
Republican | Hudson Holliday | 13,761 | 4.75 | |
Republican | James Broadwater | 3,626 | 1.25 | |
Total votes | 289,788 | 100.00 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Johnny DuPree, Hattiesburg Mayor
- Bill Luckett, businessman and attorney
- William Bond Compton, Jr., 2007 candidate for governor
- Guy Dale Shaw
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/94/Mississippi_Governor_D_Primary_2011.svg/230px-Mississippi_Governor_D_Primary_2011.svg.png)
DuPree
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
Luckett
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Shaw
- 40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Johnny DuPree | 179,748 | 43.57 | |
Democratic | Bill Luckett | 161,833 | 39.23 | |
Democratic | William Bond Compton, Jr. | 40,452 | 9.81 | |
Democratic | Guy Dale Shaw | 30,497 | 7.39 | |
Total votes | 412,530 | 100.00 |
Runoff results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/3f/Mississippi_Governor_D_Runoff_2011.svg/230px-Mississippi_Governor_D_Runoff_2011.svg.png)
DuPree
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
Luckett
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Tie
- 50–60%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Johnny DuPree | 177,767 | 54.99 | |
Democratic | Bill Luckett | 145,517 | 45.01 | |
Total votes | 323,284 | 100.00 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Rothenberg Political Report[5] | Safe R | November 4, 2011 |
Governing[6] | Safe R | November 4, 2011 |
Cook[7] | Safe R | November 4, 2011 |
Sabato[8] | Safe R | November 4, 2011 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Bryant (R) |
Johnny DuPree (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | 796 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 40% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 817 | ± 3.4% | 56% | 25% | — | 19% |
Hypothetical polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dave Dennis (R) |
Johnny DuPree (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 817 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 28% | — | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hudson Holliday (R) |
Johnny DuPree (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 817 | ± 3.4% | 37% | 28% | — | 35% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Bryant (R) |
Bill Luckett (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 817 | ± 3.4% | 53% | 27% | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dave Dennis (R) |
Bill Luckett (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 817 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 27% | — | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hudson Holliday (R) |
Bill Luckett (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 817 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 28% | — | 34% |
Results
[edit]Candidate | Party | Popular vote | Electoral vote | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
Phil Bryant | Republican Party | 544,851 | 60.98 | 82 | 67.21 | |
Johnny DuPree | Democratic Party | 348,617 | 39.02 | 40 | 32.79 | |
Total | 893,468 | 100.00 | 122 | 100.00 | ||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Benton (largest municipality: Ashland)
- Chickasaw (Largest city: Houston)
- Copiah (Largest city: Hazlehurst)
- Issaquena (Largest city: Mayersville)
- Jasper (Largest city: Bay Springs)
- Prentiss (Largest city: Booneville)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Waynesboro)
- Winston (Largest city: Louisville)
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ Hudson Holliday 2%, James Broadwater 1%, Ron Williams 0%
- ^ "Certified Republican Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
- ^ "Certified Democrat Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
- ^ "Certified Democrat Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". www.insideelections.com.
- ^ "An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests". Governing. July 25, 2011. Archived from the original on August 1, 2011.
- ^ "2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS". The Cook Political Report. September 15, 2011. Archived from the original on October 7, 2011.
- ^ "2012 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
External links
[edit]- Candidates (Archived)
- Information
- Elections at the Mississippi Secretary of State
- Mississippi gubernatorial election, 2011 at Ballotpedia
- 2011 Mississippi Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2011 Mississippi Governor from Follow the Money
- Mississippi Governor 2011 from OurCampaigns.com