Climate change in Ghana

Climate change in Ghana is impacting the people in Ghana in several ways as the country sits at the intersection of three hydro-climatic zones. Changes in rainfall, weather conditions and sea-level rise will affect the salinity of coastal waters. This is expected to negatively affect both farming and fisheries. The national economy stands to suffer from the impacts of climate change because of its dependence on climate sensitive-sectors such as agriculture, energy, forestry. Moreover, access to freshwater is expected to become more challenging and reduced water supply will have a negative impact on hydropower which provides 54% of the country's electricity capacity. Additionally, Ghana will likely see more cases of malaria and cholera since both are impacted by changes in water conditions.

In 2015, the government produced a document titled "Ghana's Intended Nationally Determined Contribution." Following that, Ghana signed the Paris Climate Agreement in 2016.

Greenhouse gas emissions

Fossil fuel production

The Jubilee offshore oil field came into production in 2010, raising expectations for wealth creation in Ghana. However, the infrastructure needed to support Ghana's oil industry (storage, shipping, processing) has necessitated the practice of flaring. "Long-term gas flaring at the Jubilee Field may be inevitable" without accelerated development of infrastructure and would produce about 1.5 million tons of CO2 annually (7 percent of Ghana’s total national emissions).

Impacts on the Natural Environment

Temperature and weather changes

The drier northern areas have warmed at a more rapid rate than southern Ghana. Overall, Ghana has experienced a 1.0°C. increase in temperature since 1960. Northern Ghana has only one rainy season, while southern Ghana has two and annual rainfall is highly variable. Long-term trends for rainfall are difficult to predict. However, USDA's Forest Service concluded in 2011 that there was "no evidence that extreme rain events have either increased or decreased since 1960."

However, when one compares the Köppen-Geiger climate classification map for 1980-2016 and the projected map for 2071-2100 predicted change in classification from "tropical, savannah" to "arid, steppe, hot" in some coastal areas."

Main article: Köppen climate classification

Current / past Köppen climate classification map for Ghana (1980-2016)

Predicted future Köppen climate classification map for Ghana 2071–2100

Sea level rise

Available data also shows a sea level rise of 2.1 mm per year over the last 30 years, indicating a rise of 5.8 cm, 16.5 cm and 34.5 cm by 2020, 2050 and 2080. (needs a citation)

Water resources

Expected decreases to water in the primary rivers basins providing fresh water for the country, Volta River, Bia River and Tano River, could increase challenges in getting access to clean drinking water. The volume of water in Volta Basin was predicted to have 24% and 45% reduction in 2050 and 2100 respectively. The continuous reduction in precipitation and increasing evaporation rate has potential to cause political tension in the region as Burkina Faso plans to draw water from Volta Basin.

Impacts on People

Further information: Agriculture in Ghana

Economic Impacts

Agriculture

Forty-five percent of the workforce in Ghana depends on small-holder rain-fed agriculture. Disruption due to erratic rainfall and other extreme weather will have a negative impact on people's economic well-being. Moreover, staple crops such as Cassava, Maize and Cocoa (the major cash crop of Ghana) are expected to see decreased production. Based on a 20-year baseline climate observation, it is forecasted that maize and other cereal crop yields will reduce by 7% by 2050.

Fisheries

Further information: Fishing_in_Ghana

Seafood makes up 40-60 percent of protein intake in Ghana. Key species for the economy are expected to have worse reproduction cycles .

Hydropower

Further information: Electricity sector in Ghana

Because 54% of national generation capacity is hydropower, unpredictable rainfall is likely to add uncertainty to a power grid already experiencing frequent outages (known as dumsor). Some estimates suggest that capacity could fall by as much as 50% for the Volta Basin.

Health impacts

Further information: Effects of global warming on human health and Health in Ghana

An increase in waterborne diseases such as cholera and mosquito-borne diseases like malaria are projected.

Mitigation and Adaptation

Ghana signed the Paris Agreement on 22 April 2016 and ratified on 21 September 2016. The first national climate change adaptation strategy in Ghana was developed to be implemented between 2010 and 2020. Adaptation seeks to lower the risks posed by the consequences of climate change. Adaptation measures may be planned in advance or put in place spontaneously in response to a local pressure such as afforestation, land rotation, building climate-resilient structures, solar powered infrastructure, etc. The Ministry of Environment Science, Technology and Innovation published a policy framework in 2013. In 2015, Ghana developed a framework entitled 'Ghana's Intended Nationally Determined Contribution' to outline a plan to reduce carbon emissions and to improve eternity of land use, transportation, and other economic and societal sectors.