2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont: Difference between revisions
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===Candidates=== |
===Candidates=== |
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====Declared==== |
====Declared==== |
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*Liam Madden, Marine Corps veteran |
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*Liam Madden, Marine Corps veteran and former Chairman of Iraq Veterans Against the War. Madden won M.I.T.'s "Solve" Award for sustainability innovations. He is currently director of Solar Energy at HB Energy Solutions, a Vermont home energy solutions company. Madden in an independent running in the Republican primary. He will decline the nomination if he wins the primary election and maintain his independent status in the general election. |
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*Marcia Horne, marketing consultant and Independent candidate for [[Vermont's at-large congressional district|this district]] in [[2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont#Other candidates|2020]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=Lindsey-Almadani|first=Farah|date=January 7, 2022|title=Vermont expected to send state's first woman to Congress|url=https://www.thedartmouth.com/article/2022/01/vermont-expected-to-send-states-first-woman-to-congress|access-date=January 7, 2022|website=www.thedartmouth.com|language=en-US}}</ref> |
*Marcia Horne, marketing consultant and Independent candidate for [[Vermont's at-large congressional district|this district]] in [[2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont#Other candidates|2020]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=Lindsey-Almadani|first=Farah|date=January 7, 2022|title=Vermont expected to send state's first woman to Congress|url=https://www.thedartmouth.com/article/2022/01/vermont-expected-to-send-states-first-woman-to-congress|access-date=January 7, 2022|website=www.thedartmouth.com|language=en-US}}</ref> |
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*Ericka Redic, businesswoman and community activist<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.truenorthreports.com/ericka-redic-launches-candidacy-for-congress|title=Ericka Redic launches candidacy for Congress|date=February 17, 2022|work=True North Reports}}</ref> |
*Ericka Redic, businesswoman and community activist<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.truenorthreports.com/ericka-redic-launches-candidacy-for-congress|title=Ericka Redic launches candidacy for Congress|date=February 17, 2022|work=True North Reports}}</ref> |
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Revision as of 05:07, 24 May 2022
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| Elections in Vermont |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections.
Incumbent Democrat Peter Welch was re-elected with 67.3% of the vote in 2020. After eight-term U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy announced he would retire on November 15, some speculated that Welch may decline to seek re-election, and instead seek election to the Senate.[1] On November 22, 2021, Welch announced his candidacy for Leahy's seat, creating the first open U.S. House seat in Vermont since Bernie Sanders ran for U.S. Senate in 2006.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Becca Balint, state senator (2015–present) and President pro tempore (2021–present)[3]
- Sianay Chase Clifford, former aide to U.S. Representative Ayanna Pressley[4]
- Molly Gray, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2021–present)[5]
- Louis Meyers, physician at Rutland Regional Medical Center[6]
- Kesha Ram Hinsdale, state senator (2021–present), former state representative (2009–2016), and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2016[7][8][9]
Democratic candidates[a]
Potential
- T.J. Donovan, Vermont Attorney General (2017–present)[10]
- Deborah Markowitz, former Vermont Secretary of State (1999-2011)[10]
Declined
- Jill Krowinski, Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives (2021–present)[11]
- Tanya Vyhovsky, state representative (2021–present)[b][12][13] (running for state senate)[14]
- Peter Welch, incumbent U.S. Representative (2007–present) (running for U.S. Senate)[2]
Endorsements
Becca Balint
- U.S. Representatives
- David Cicilline, U.S. Representative for Rhode Island's 1st congressional district
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative for California's 41st congressional district
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. Representative for New York's 15th congressional district
- Statewide officials
- Deborah Markowitz, former Vermont Secretary of State and Vermont Secretary of the Agency of Natural Resources[15]
- State legislators
- Philip Baruth, State Senator D/P-Chittenden[16]
- Alison Clarkson, State Senator D-Windsor[16]
- Dick Mazza, State Senator D-Grand Isle and Dean of the Senate[16]
- Ann Cummings, State Senator D-Washington[16]
- Jane Kitchel, State Senator D-Caledonia[16]
- Ginny Lyons, State Senator D-Chittenden[16]
- Andrew Perchlik, State Senator D/P-Washington[16]
- Jeanette White, State Senator D-Windham[16]
- Bobby Starr, State Senator D-Essex/Orleans[16]
- John Campbell, former State Senator D-Windsor and former President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate[16]
- Sarah Copeland-Hanzas, State Representative, D-Bradford[16]
- Laura Sibilia, State Representative I-Windham-Bennington (2015-present)[17]
- Mary Sullivan, former State Representative from Chittenden 7-1 (1991–2001) and Chittenden 6-5 (2015–2021)[18]
- Mitzi Johnson, former Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives
- Individuals
- Jane Lynch, actress[19]
- Organizations
- University of Vermont College Democrats[20]
- Vermont Building Trades Council[21]
- Equality PAC[22]
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[22]
- LPAC[22]
Molly Gray
- Statewide officials
- Howard Dean, 79th Governor of Vermont (1991–2009) and 77th Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (1987–1991)[23]
- Mandela Barnes, 45th Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin (2019–present) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in Wisconsin in 2022[24]
Kesha Ram Hinsdale
- U.S. House Representatives
- Pramila Jayapal,U.S. Representative for Washington's 7th congressional district (2017-present)[25]
- State legislators
- Hal Colston, State Representative from Chittenden 6-7 (2019–present)[26]
- Mari Cordes, State Representative from Addison 4 (2019–present)[26] (Progressive)
- Jim McCullough, State Representative from Chittenden-2 (2003–present)[26]
- Taylor Small, State Representative from Chittenden 6-7 (2021–present)[26] (Progressive)
- Individuals
- Bill McKibben, environmental activist and author[26]
- Nina Turner, former Ohio State Senator from the 25th district (2008–2014) and national co-chair of the 2020 Bernie Sanders presidential campaign[27]
- Organizations
- Brand New Congress[28]
- Vermont AFL-CIO[16]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Becca Balint |
Sianay Chase Clifford |
Molly Gray |
Kesha Ram Hinsdale |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 278 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 0% | 21% | 19% | 1% | 31% |
| VPR/Vermont PBS | January 3–9, 2022 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 11% | – | 31% | 0% | 12% | 47% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Liam Madden, Marine Corps veteran
- Marcia Horne, marketing consultant and Independent candidate for this district in 2020[29]
- Ericka Redic, businesswoman and community activist[30]
- Anya Tynio, sales representative, nominee for this district in 2018, and candidate in 2020[31][32]
Potential
- Felisha Leffler, state representative (2019–present)[10]
- Heidi Scheuermann, state representative (2007–present)[10]
- Justin Tuthill, healthcare executive and candidate for this district in 2020[33]
Declined
- Phil Scott, Governor of Vermont (2017–present) and former Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2011–2017)[34]
Photographs
Progressive primary
Candidates
Declined
- Tanya Vyhovsky, state representative (2021–present)[12][13] (running for state senate)[14]
Independents and other parties
Candidates
Declared
- Liam Madden (Independent),U.S. Marine Corps veteran (also running in the Republican primaries)[35]
Filed paperwork
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[37] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[38] | Solid D | October 11, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
| Politico[40] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
Polling
- Becca Balint vs. Marcia Horne
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Becca Balint (D) |
Marcia Horne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 583 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 25% | 0% | 26% |
- Sianay Chase Clifford vs. Marcia Horne
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Sianay Chase Clifford (D) |
Marcia Horne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 583 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 25% | 0% | 33% |
- Molly Gray vs. Marcia Horne
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Molly Gray (D) |
Marcia Horne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 583 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 27% | 1% | 23% |
- Kesha Ram Hinsdale vs. Marcia Horne
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kesha Ram Hinsdale (D) |
Marcia Horne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 583 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 26% | 0% | 27% |
Notes
- ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- ^ Candidate is a member of the Progressive Party, but runs with the Democratic Party's endorsement under Vermont's electoral fusion system
- ^ a b c d e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- ^ Allison, Natalie. "Leahy, most senior senator, will retire". POLITICO. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
- ^ a b Forgey, Quint. "Rep. Peter Welch launches Senate bid for Leahy's seat". POLITICO. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
- ^ Duffort, Lola (December 13, 2021). "Becca Balint, leader of the Vermont Senate, joins race for U.S. House". VT Digger. Montpelier, VT.
- ^ Duffort, Lola. "Former congressional aide Sianay Chase Clifford to run for US House". VTDigger. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
- ^ "Lt. Gov. Molly Gray announces run for Vermont's sole US House seat". myNBC5.com. December 6, 2021. Retrieved December 6, 2021.
- ^ Mann, Rachel (April 26, 2022). "Congressional candidates meet for first forum". WCAX.
- ^ "Will Leahy Run? As He Ponders, Three Potential Congressional Candidates Gear up".
- ^ Duffort, Lola; Mearhoff, Sarah (January 12, 2022). "Kesha Ram Hinsdale to join Vermont congressional race". VTDigger.
- ^ Goldstein, Sasha (January 13, 2022). "Vermont Sen. Kesha Ram Hinsdale Joins Race for U.S. House". sevendaysvt.com. Seven Days. Retrieved January 13, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Dritschilo, Gordon (December 2, 2021). "Some names emerge in congressional race, some don't". The Barre Montpelier Times Argus.
- ^ Johnson, Mark (June 16, 2021). "Lt. Gov. Molly Gray Says She's Too Focused on Her Current Role to Think About Running for Congress". Seven Days.
- ^ a b Grim, Ryan (November 15, 2021). "Bernie Sanders Could Snuff Out a Potential Primary Contest to Replace Patrick Leahy". The Intercept. Retrieved November 22, 2021.
- ^ a b Cutler, Calvin (November 30, 2021). "Will Vermont send a woman to Washington?". WCAX.com.
- ^ a b https://www.essexreporter.com/news/government/rep-tanya-vyhovsky-announces-candidacy-for-new-chittenden-central-state-senate-district/article_92930706-cbf4-11ec-b227-133c1187e123.html
- ^ Markowitz, Deb (March 23, 2022). "Balint Endorsement Retweet". Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Mearhoff, Sarah; Robinson, Riley (March 29, 2022). "Final Reading: 'I can't be their babysitter': On the campaign trail". VTDigger.
- ^ Sibilia, Laura (March 23, 2022). "Letter: Endorsing Becca Balint for Congress". Brattleboro Reformer.
- ^ McCallum, Kevin (December 13, 2021). "Vermont Sen. Becca Balint Announces Run for U.S. House". Seven Days. Retrieved February 27, 2022.
- ^ Lynch, Jane (December 13, 2021). "Becca's a pal". Twitter.
- ^ "University of Vermont College Democrats Endorse Becca Balint". Facebook. May 16, 2022.
- ^ Field, Kathryn (May 17, 2022). "Vermont Building Trades Council endorses Becca Balint for US House". VTDigger.
- ^ a b c "LPAC & Other National LGBTQ Organizations Endorse Becca Balint". LPAC. January 25, 2022. Retrieved February 27, 2022.
- ^ "News roundup: Vt. hospital capacity improving, but blood supply at critical lows". Vermont Public Radio. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 11, 2022.
- ^ ".@mollyforvermont!! Running for Congress!". Twitter. December 15, 2021.
- ^ Schnell, Mychael (May 11, 2022). "Jayapal endorses six progressive House candidates". Politico. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e Mearhoff, Sarah (January 13, 2022). "Sen. Kesha Ram Hinsdale launches campaign for US House". VTDigger. Retrieved February 27, 2022.
- ^ Johnson, A. Bryan (February 11, 2022). "Nina Turner Is Still Mad As Hell, and Running for Congress (Again)". The Nation. Retrieved February 11, 2022.
- ^ "Meet The Candidates".
- ^ Lindsey-Almadani, Farah (January 7, 2022). "Vermont expected to send state's first woman to Congress". www.thedartmouth.com. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
- ^ "Ericka Redic launches candidacy for Congress". True North Reports. February 17, 2022.
- ^ "Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know". Vermont Public Radio. July 31, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
- ^ "2022 Legislature Winding Down it's Work, Candidates for the November Election Making Moves". NFIB. April 18, 2022.
- ^ Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Vermont Politics". politics1.com.
- ^ Duffort, Lola; Mearhoff, Sarah (November 16, 2021). "Who will take Leahy's place in the Senate and why does everyone think it's Welch?". VTDigger. Archived from the original on November 17, 2021.
No one has been explicit yet about their plans for the election in November 2022, save for those ruling out a run. ("No chance!" a spokesperson for Republican Gov. Phil Scott told a reporter on Monday.)
- ^ Mays, Chris (April 11, 2022). "Outspoken war critic, solar specialist runs for Congress". Bennington Banner.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1522463". docquery.fec.gov.
- ^ "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2021.
- ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 4, 2021.
- ^ "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
External links
- Campaign websites