2024 Atlantic hurricane season: Difference between revisions
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In [[Galveston, Texas]], heavy rainfall and gusty winds were recorded.<ref>{{Cite news |title=Galveston, Surfside Beach among coastal communities hit with high winds, rain, and flooding |url=https://abc13.com/post/coastal-storm-impacts-galveston-surfside-beach-among-texas/14975414/ |last=Hamilton |first=Brandon |date=2024-06-19 |work=[[ABC 13]] |last2=Natario |first2=Nick}}</ref> |
In [[Galveston, Texas]], heavy rainfall and gusty winds were recorded.<ref>{{Cite news |title=Galveston, Surfside Beach among coastal communities hit with high winds, rain, and flooding |url=https://abc13.com/post/coastal-storm-impacts-galveston-surfside-beach-among-texas/14975414/ |last=Hamilton |first=Brandon |date=2024-06-19 |work=[[ABC 13]] |last2=Natario |first2=Nick}}</ref> |
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====Current storm information==== |
====Current storm information==== |
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As of 10:00 a.m. [[Central Time Zone|CDT]] June 19 (15:00 [[Coordinated Universal Time|UTC]] June 19), Tropical Storm Alberto is located within 30 [[nautical mile]]s of {{coord|22.2|N|95.0|W|dim:5000km|name=Alberto|display=}}, about 185 miles (300 km) east of [[Tampico, Mexico]] and about 295 miles (480 km) south-southeast of [[Brownsville, Texas]]. Maximum sustained winds are {{convert|35|kn|mph km/h|abbr=on|order=out|round=5}}, with gusts up to {{convert|45|kn|mph km/h|abbr=on|order=out|round=5}}. The minimum barometric pressure is {{convert|995|mbar|inHg|abbr=on|sigfig=4|comma=off}}, and the system is moving west at {{convert|8|kn|mph km/h|abbr=on|order=out|0}}. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km) from the center.<ref name=" |
As of 10:00 a.m. [[Central Time Zone|CDT]] June 19 (15:00 [[Coordinated Universal Time|UTC]] June 19), Tropical Storm Alberto is located within 30 [[nautical mile]]s of {{coord|22.2|N|95.0|W|dim:5000km|name=Alberto|display=}}, about 185 miles (300 km) east of [[Tampico, Mexico]] and about 295 miles (480 km) south-southeast of [[Brownsville, Texas]]. Maximum sustained winds are {{convert|35|kn|mph km/h|abbr=on|order=out|round=5}}, with gusts up to {{convert|45|kn|mph km/h|abbr=on|order=out|round=5}}. The minimum barometric pressure is {{convert|995|mbar|inHg|abbr=on|sigfig=4|comma=off}}, and the system is moving west at {{convert|8|kn|mph km/h|abbr=on|order=out|0}}. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km) from the center.<ref name="AlbertoPublic">{{cite report|last=Berg|first=Robbie|url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al01/al012024.public.008.shtml?|title=Potential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 8|date=June 19, 2024|publisher=National Hurricane Center|location=Miami, Florida|language=en-US|access-date=June 19, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite report|last=Berg|first=Robbie|url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/al01/al012024.fstadv.008.shtml?|title=Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast/Advisory Number 8|date=June 19, 2024|publisher=National Hurricane Center|location=Miami, Florida|language=en-US|access-date=June 19, 2024}}</ref><ref name="Alberto-Discussion-8"/> |
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====Watches and warnings==== |
====Watches and warnings==== |
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**[[Tamaulipas]]–[[Veracruz]] |
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***Mouth of the [[Rio Grande]] southwards to [[Tecolutla]] |
***Mouth of the [[Rio Grande]] southwards to [[Tecolutla]] |
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Revision as of 16:31, 19 June 2024
![]() | This article is about a current hurricane season where information can change quickly or be unreliable. The latest page updates may not reflect the most up-to-date information. Please refer to the U.S. National Hurricane Center for the most up-to-date general information, and to your local weather service or media outlets for the latest weather information pertaining to a specific location. |
2024 Atlantic hurricane season | |
---|---|
Seasonal boundaries | |
First system formed | June 19, 2024 |
Last system dissipated | Season ongoing |
Strongest storm | |
Name | Alberto |
• Maximum winds | 40 mph (65 km/h) |
• Lowest pressure | 995 mbar (hPa; 29.38 inHg) |
Seasonal statistics | |
Total depressions | 1 |
Total storms | 1 |
Hurricanes | 0 |
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+) | 0 |
Total fatalities | None |
Total damage | Unknown |
Related articles | |
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing Atlantic hurricane season in the Northern Hemisphere. The season officially began on June 1, and ends on November 30. These dates, adopted by convention, historically describe the period in each year when most subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis occurs in the Atlantic Ocean. Though many major forecasting agencies have predicted well above-average activity, the season had the slowest start since 2014, as the first named storm, Tropical Storm Alberto, did not develop until June 19.
Seasonal forecasts
Source | Date | Named storms |
Hurricanes | Major hurricanes |
Ref | ||||||
Average (1991–2020) | 14.4 | 7.2 | 3.2 | [1] | |||||||
Record high activity | 30 | 15 | 7† | [2] | |||||||
Record low activity | 1 | 0† | 0† | [2] | |||||||
TSR | December 11, 2023 | 20 | 9 | 4 | [3] | ||||||
CSU | April 4, 2024 | 23 | 11 | 5 | [4] | ||||||
MFM | April 5, 2024 | 21 | 11 | N/A | [5] | ||||||
TSR | April 8, 2024 | 23 | 11 | 5 | [6] | ||||||
UA | April 8, 2024 | 21 | 11 | 5 | [7] | ||||||
MU | April 12, 2024 | 26 | 11 | 5 | [8] | ||||||
NCSU | April 16, 2024 | 15–20 | 10–12 | 3–4 | [9] | ||||||
UPenn | April 24, 2024 | 33 | N/A | N/A | [10] | ||||||
SMN | May 6, 2024 | 20–23 | 9–11 | 4–5 | [11] | ||||||
UKMO* | May 22, 2024 | 22 | 12 | 4 | [12] | ||||||
NOAA | May 23, 2024 | 17–25 | 8–13 | 4–7 | [13] | ||||||
TSR | May 30, 2024 | 24 | 12 | 6 | [14] | ||||||
CSU | June 11, 2024 | 23 | 11 | 5 | [15] | ||||||
Actual activity | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
* June–November only † Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all) |
In advance of, and during, each hurricane season, several forecasts of hurricane activity are issued by national meteorological services, scientific agencies, and noted hurricane experts. These include forecasters from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Climate Prediction Center, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the United Kingdom's Met Office (UKMO), and Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year.[16]
According to NOAA and CSU, the average Atlantic hurricane season between 1991 and 2020 contained roughly 14 tropical storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 major hurricanes, and an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 72–111 units.[1][17] Broadly speaking, ACE is a measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical storm multiplied by the length of time it existed. It is only calculated for full advisories on specific tropical and subtropical systems reaching or exceeding wind speeds of 39 mph (63 km/h). NOAA typically categorizes a season as above-average, average, or below-average based on the cumulative ACE index, but the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a hurricane season is sometimes also considered.[1]
Pre-season forecasts
On December 11, 2023, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) released its extended range forecast for the 2024 season, predicting an above-average season with 20 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.[nb 1][3] They took into account ongoing warm sea-surface temperatures (SST) throughout most of the basin, specifically in the Main Development Region and in the Caribbean Sea on top of the 2023–2024 El Niño event which was predicted to weaken to a neutral phase by August 2024.[3] TSR updated their forecast on May 30, predicting 24 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes with an ACE of 226 units.[14] On April 4, 2024, Colorado State University (CSU) released its forecast, calling for an extremely active hurricane season, with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes, with an ACE index of 210 units, citing the extremely warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the development of a La Niña by the summer.[4] On April 5, Météo-France (MFM) issued a prediction of 21 named storms and 11 hurricanes. They cited warm sea surface temperatures, wind patterns, and humidity.[5] On April 8, TSR updated their prediction, predicting 23 tropical storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes, with an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 217 units. They predicted that moderate La Niña conditions would occur in the summer and persist into fall and above average sea surface temperatures would also persist into summer.[6] On the same day, the University of Arizona (UA) posted their forecast calling for a very active season featuring 21 named storms, 11 hurricanes, 5 major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 156 units.[7] On April 12, University of Missouri (MU) issued their prediction of 26 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes.[8] On April 16, NCSU issued their prediction of 15–20 named storms, 10–12 hurricanes, and 3–4 major hurricanes.[9] On April 24, the University of Pennsylvania (UPenn) issued their prediction of a record-breaking season, predicting an unprecedented 33 (±6) named storms. They cited expected moderate La Niña conditions and record-warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic tied to large-scale warming.[10] On May 6, Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) issued their forecast of 20–23 tropical storms, 9–11 hurricanes, and 4–5 major hurricanes.[11] On May 22, UKMO published their forecast for the 2024 season, calling for 22 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, and a ACE index of 212 units.[19] One day later, NOAA published their hurricane season prediction, forecasting an above-average season of 17–25 named storms, 8–13 hurricanes, and 4–7 major hurricanes with an 85% chance of being an above-average season.[13]
Seasonal summary
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/timeline/6ubdrzoweq1s121zq6epom8hi2f6y4j.png)
Early activity
Though the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1, it got off to the slowest start since 2014. This was due to a large stationary heat dome over Central America and Mexico, as tropical cyclogenesis in June often occurs over the Gulf of Mexico and northern Caribbean Sea.[20] The season's first named storm, Tropical Storm Alberto, formed off the coast of Mexico on June 19.[21]
Systems
Tropical Storm Alberto
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On June 12, the NHC began monitoring an area of disturbed weather over the western Gulf of Mexico for possible tropical development.[22] Then on June 17, a low-pressure area formed from this system, over the Bay of Campeche.[23] It became better organized later that day, and was designated Potential Tropical Cyclone One.[24] The system slowly organized over the following two days as it approached the Mexico coast,[25] developing into Tropical Storm Alberto on June 19.[21]
In Galveston, Texas, heavy rainfall and gusty winds were recorded.[26]
Current storm information
As of 10:00 a.m. CDT June 19 (15:00 UTC June 19), Tropical Storm Alberto is located within 30 nautical miles of 22°12′N 95°00′W / 22.2°N 95.0°W, about 185 miles (300 km) east of Tampico, Mexico and about 295 miles (480 km) south-southeast of Brownsville, Texas. Maximum sustained winds are 40 mph (65 km/h), with gusts up to 50 mph (85 km/h). The minimum barometric pressure is 995 mbar (29.38 inHg), and the system is moving west at 9 mph (15 km/h). Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km) from the center.[27][28][21]
Watches and warnings
Template:HurricaneWarningsTable
Storm names
The following list of names is being used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2024.[29] This is the same list used in the 2018 season, with the exceptions of Francine and Milton, which replaced Florence and Michael, respectively.[30]
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Season effects
This is a table of all of the storms that have formed in the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their name, duration, peak classification and intensities, areas affected, damage, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2024 USD.
Saffir–Simpson scale | ||||||
TD | TS | C1 | C2 | C3 | C4 | C5 |
Storm name |
Dates active | Storm category at peak intensity |
Max 1-min wind mph (km/h) |
Min. press. (mbar) |
Areas affected | Damage (USD) |
Deaths | Ref(s) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alberto | June 19–Present | Tropical storm | 40 (65) | 995 | Northeastern Mexico, South Texas | Unknown | None | |||
Season aggregates | ||||||||||
1 systems | June 19–Season ongoing | 40 (65) | 995 | 0 | 0 |
See also
- Weather of 2024
- Tropical cyclones in 2024
- Atlantic hurricane season
- 2024 Pacific hurricane season
- 2024 Pacific typhoon season
- 2024 North Indian Ocean cyclone season
- South-West Indian Ocean cyclone seasons: 2023–24, 2024–25
- Australian region cyclone seasons: 2023–24, 2024–25
- South Pacific cyclone seasons: 2023–24, 2024–25
Notes
- ^ Hurricanes reaching Category 3 and higher—1-minute sustained winds higher than 110 miles per hour (178 km/h)—on the Saffir–Simpson scale are described as major hurricanes.[18]
References
- ^ a b c "Background Information: North Atlantic Hurricane Season". College Park, Maryland: Climate Prediction Center. April 9, 2021. Archived from the original on July 24, 2020. Retrieved December 6, 2022.
- ^ a b "North Atlantic Ocean Historical Tropical Cyclone Statistics". Fort Collins, Colorado: Colorado State University. Archived from the original on June 4, 2023. Retrieved July 18, 2023.
- ^ a b c Wood, Nick (December 11, 2023). "Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2024" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 11, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ a b Klotzbach, Phil (April 4, 2024). "Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2024" (PDF). Colorado State University. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ a b "Bulletin technique des prévisions d'activité cyclonique de la saison 2024". Météo-France (in French). April 4, 2024. Archived from the original on April 18, 2024. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
- ^ a b Lea, Adam (April 8, 2024). "Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2024" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
- ^ a b Davis, Kyle; Zeng, Xubin (April 8, 2024). "Forecast of the 2024 Hurricane Activities over the North Atlantic". Tucson, Arizona: University of Arizona. Archived from the original on April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
- ^ a b Weaver, Sarah; Schwent, Thomas; Sadeghi, Atabak; Renken, Joe; Lupo, Tony. "Atlantic Ocean Basin Tropical Forecast 2024" (PDF). University of Missouri. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 25, 2024. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
- ^ a b Xie, Lian; Peake, Tracey (April 16, 2024). "NC State Researchers Predict Active Hurricane Season". Raleigh, North Carolina: NC State News. Archived from the original on April 17, 2024. Retrieved April 16, 2024.
- ^ a b Magubane, Nathi (April 24, 2024). "2024 Tropical Cyclone Prediction". Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: University of Pennsylvania. Archived from the original on April 24, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
- ^ a b "Temporada de Ciclones Tropicales 2024". Mexico City, Mexico: Gobierno de Mexico. May 6, 2024. Archived from the original on May 7, 2024. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
- ^ "North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2024". The United Kingdom Met Office. May 22, 2024. Archived from the original on May 22, 2024. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ a b "NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. May 23, 2024. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
- ^ a b Lea, Adam (May 30, 2024). "Pre-Season Forecast Update for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2024" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 30, 2024. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
- ^ Klotzbach, Phil (June 11, 2024). "Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2024" (PDF). Colorado State University. Archived (PDF) from the original on June 11, 2024. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
- ^ Klotzbach, Philip; Blake, Eric; Camp, Joanne; Caron, Louis-Philippe; Chan, Johnny C.L.; Kang, Nam-Young; Kuleshov, Yuri; Lee, Sai-Ming; Murakami, Hiroyuki; Saunders, Mark; Takaya, Yuhei; Vitart, Frederic; Zhan, Ruifen (September 2019). "Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecasting". Tropical Cyclone Research and Review. 8 (3): 134–149. doi:10.1016/j.tcrr.2019.10.003.
- ^ Masters, Jeff (April 4, 2024). "Forecasters predict an extremely active 2024 Atlantic hurricane season". Yale Climate Connections. Archived from the original on June 1, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ "Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale". Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved November 29, 2023.
- ^ "North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2024". The United Kingdom Met Office. May 22, 2024. Archived from the original on May 22, 2024. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ Sistek, Scott (June 5, 2024). "Atlantic hurricane season off to slowest start in a decade: Will aggressive forecasts still hold?". FOX Weather. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
- ^ a b c Berg, Robbie (June 19, 2024). Tropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number 8 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ Kelly, Larry (June 12, 2024). Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
- ^ Beven, Jack (June 17, 2024). Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
- ^ Beven, Jack (June 17, 2024). Potential Tropical Cyclone One Discussion Number 1 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
- ^ Pasch, Richard (June 19, 2024). Tropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number 7 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ Hamilton, Brandon; Natario, Nick (June 19, 2024). "Galveston, Surfside Beach among coastal communities hit with high winds, rain, and flooding". ABC 13.
- ^ Berg, Robbie (June 19, 2024). Potential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 8 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ Berg, Robbie (June 19, 2024). Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast/Advisory Number 8 (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ Gay, Nancy (April 4, 2024). "Hurricane names 2024: Here's why the list may look familiar". Tampa, Florida: WTVT. Archived from the original on April 10, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
- ^ "Florence and Michael retired by the World Meteorological Organization". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. March 20, 2019. Archived from the original on March 20, 2019. Retrieved January 25, 2024.