2009 Portuguese legislative election

Portuguese legislative election, 2009

September 27, 2009
230 seats to the Portuguese Assembly
First party Second party   Leader José Sócrates Manuela Ferreira Leite Party PS PSD Last election 121 seats 75 seats Seats won 96 78 Seat change -25 +3 Popular vote 2.068.665 1.646.097 Percentage 36.6% 29.1%
PM before election José Sócrates PS Elected PM José Sócrates PS

Legislative elections in Portugal were held on 27 September 2009 to renew all 230 members of the Assembly of the Republic. The Socialist Party, led by incumbent Prime Minister José Sócrates, won the largest number of seats, but failed to repeat the overall majority they gained in 2005.

With 226 seats declared (four seats are reserved to represent Portuguese living abroad), the results are:

• Socialist Party (PS): 96
• Social Democratic Party (PSD): 78
• Democratic and Social Centre - People's Party (CDS-PP): 21
• Left Bloc (BE): 16
• Democratic Unity Coalition (PCP-PEV): 15

Opinion polling

Date of poll	Institute	PS	PSD	CDU	BE	CDS-PP
2005 election	—	45.0%	28.8%	7.6%	6.4%	7.3%
March 2005	Marktest	52%	26%	7%	7%	5%
June 2005	Marktest	46%	28%	11%	7%	4%
June 2005	Universidade Catolica	42%	31%	11%	8%	3%
September 2006	Marktest	46%	30%	11%	8%	2%
October 2006	Marktest	42%	30%	11%	10%	4%
January 2007	Marktest	43%	28%	9%	8%	8%
June 2007	Marktest	40%	29%	10%	9%	7%
July 2007	Marktest	44%	29%	8%	9%	6%
October 2007	Marktest	37%	36%	12%	8%	3%
November 2007	Marktest	44%	32%	9%	7%	5%
January 2008	Marktest	38%	34%	10%	7%	6%
February 2008	Marktest	36.1%	33.4%	12.8%	8.0%	5.6%
March 2008	Marktest	37.8%	31.9%	12.1%	10.4%	4.0%
April 2008	Marktest	38.0%	31.5%	10.8%	11.5%	4.3%
May 2008	Marktest	33.0%	32.0%	12.8%	11.3%	6.7%
June 2008	Marktest	35.2%	30.8%	11.1%	12.3%	6.7%
July 2008	Marktest	36.7%	32.7%	10.0%	11.4%	5.1%
September 2008	Marktest	36.1%	29.3%	12.6%	10.9%	7.1%
October 2008	Marktest	39.8%	28.7%	10.0%	11.4%	6.4%
November 2008	Marktest	40.1%	26.4%	10.0%	13.1%	6.2%
December 2008	Marktest	39.9%	25.7%	11.0%	11.6%	8.0%
January 2009	Marktest	39.6%	24.9%	11.9%	10.1%	9.7%
February 2009	Marktest	38.2%	28.8%	10.6%	14.0%	4.1%
March 2009	Marktest	36.7%	28.4%	8.9%	12.6%	9.4%
April 2009	Marktest	36.2%	26.4%	11.2%	13.6%	8.3%
May 2009	Marktest	36.3%	28.3%	9.4%	14.7%	7.1%
June 2009	Marktest	34.5%	35.8%	7.7%	11.4%	4.4%
June 2009	Eurosondagem	35.1%	33.0%	9.7%	9.6%	7.4%
July 2009	Marktest	35.5%	34.2%	7.4%	14.3%	4.4%
July 2009	Aximage	30.5%	30.3%	9.5%	13.3%	6.1%
July 2009	Eurosondagem	33.0%	31.1%	9.4%	10.0%	8.5%
September 1-4, 2009	Aximage	34.5%	28.9%	7.8%	10.4%	8.1%
September 4-7, 2009	Marktest	35.3%	32.4%	6.9%	16.2%	5.2%
September 4-8, 2009	Universidade Católica	37%	35%	8%	11%	6%
September 6-9, 2009	Eurosondagem	33.6%	32.5%	9.4%	9.6%	8.0%
September 11-14, 2009	Universidade Católica	38%	32%	7%	12%	7%
September 12-15, 2009	INTERCAMPUS	32.9%	29.7%	9.2%	12%	7%
September 13-16, 2009	Eurosondagem	34.9%	31.6%	8.4%	9.6%	8.4%
September 14-17, 2009	Aximage	36.1%	29.7%	7.5%	10%	7.6%
September 17-22, 2009	Universidade Católica	38%	30%	7%	11%	8%
September 18-21, 2009	Marktest	40%	31.6%	7.2%	9.2%	8.2%
September 21-23, 2009	INTERCAMPUS	38%	29.9%	8.4%	9.4%	7.7%
September 21-24, 2009	Aximage	38.8%	29.1%	8.4%	10.0%	8.6%

National summary of votes and seats

Distribution by constituency

Note: Results from the "Europe" and "Rest of the World" constituencies will be known on October 7th, 2009. The current distribution is 3 PSD and 1 PS.

Party/coalition	Aço.	Ave.	Bej.	Brg.	Bgç.	CBr.	Coi.	Évo.	Far.	Gua.	Lei.	Lis.	Mad.	Ptl.	Prt.	Str.	Set.	VCa.	VlR.	Vis.	Eur.	FEu.	Total
PS	3	6	2	9	1	2	4	1	3	2	4	19	1	1	18	4	7	3	2	4	?	?	96
PPD/PSD	2	7	-	6	2	2	4	1	3	2	4	13	4	1	12	3	3	2	3	4	?	?	78
CDS-PP	-	2	-	2	-	-	1	-	1	-	1	5	1	-	4	1	1	1	-	1	-	-	21
BE	-	1	-	1	-	-	1	-	1	-	1	5	-	-	3	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	16
CDU	-	-	1	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	5	-	-	2	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	15
	5	16	3	19	3	4	10	3	8	4	10	48	6	2	39	10	17	6	5	9	2	2	230