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2010 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

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The 2010 United States Senate election in New Hampshire will take place on November 2, 2010 along with other mid-term elections to the United States Senate and the United States House of Representatives. Republican Judd Gregg currently holds the seat and has announced that he will not run for re-election.

Background

Gregg was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2004, and had indicated that he would seek a fourth term in 2010.[1] New Hampshire trended Democratic in the 2006 and 2008 elections, with Republican incumbents losing both of the state's House seats and its other Senate seat to Democrats. However, polling conducted in late December 2008 showed Gregg defeating both of the state's U.S. Representatives in a hypothetical match-up.

In February 2009, President Barack Obama offered and Senator Gregg accepted nomination to the position of United States Secretary of Commerce.[2] New Hampshire's Democratic Governor John Lynch announced he would appoint Bonnie Newman, former Assistant Secretary of Commerce for economic development in the Reagan Administration, to serve as Senator for New Hampshire until the elections in 2010.[2] Newman announced that she would not run for election in 2010, nor would she endorse any candidate in the race.[3]

On February 12, 2009, Gregg withdrew his nomination for Commerce Secretary. He cited "irresolvable conflicts" over policy related to the Commerce Department as the main reasons for his withdrawal, but also indicated support for President Obama.[4] Gregg will continue to serve as a Senator from New Hampshire as he had not resigned from the Senate during the nomination process. At the time of the withdrawal, Gregg indicated that he would not run for re-election in 2010, but at a subsequent press conference, Gregg stated that he would "probably not" run for re-election, leading to speculation that he is leaving the door open to change his mind.[5][6] On April 1, Gregg reaffirmed that he would not run. [7]

While Gregg's drama was going on, Democratic U.S. Representative Paul Hodes began his Senate campaign. He was at the time the only major announced candidate, until Attorney Gerneral Kelly Ayotte announced her bid for the Republican nomination in early July 2009. On November 9, 2009, Ovide Lamontange joined the race as well.

Republican primary

Candidates

Announced

Potential

Declined

Finances

Candidate Money Raised Cash on Hand
Ayotte[21] $1,240,000 $996,000
Bender[22] $602,000 $545,000
Binnie[23] $250,000
Lamontagne[24] $181,093 $153,827

Endorsements

Ayotte

Lamontagne

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Kelly Ayotte Ovide Lamontagne Bill Binnie Jim Bender Undecided
Research 2000 February 1-3, 2010 36% 27% 4% -- 33%
Tarrance Group January 13-14, 2010 43% 11% 5% 3% 37%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Announced

Potential

Declined

General election polling

Hodes (D) vs. Ayotte (R)

Poll Source Dates Administered Paul Hodes Kelly Ayotte
Public Policy Polling April 17-18, 2010 40% 47%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 35% 50%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 37% 47%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 39% 46%
Research 2000 February 1-3, 2010 39% 46%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 33% 41%
Rasmussen Reports January 12, 2010 40% 49%
American Research Group December 29, 2009 36% 43%
Granite State Poll October 2, 2009 33% 40%
American Research Group September 30, 2009 34% 41%
Rasmussen Reports September 14,2009 38% 46%
Research 2000 July 13–July 15, 2009 38% 39%
Granite State Poll June 24–July 1, 2009 35% 39%

Hodes (D) vs. Bender (R)

Poll Source Dates Administered Paul Hodes Jim Bender
Public Policy Polling April 17-18, 2010 43% 39%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 36% 27%

Hodes (D) vs. Binnie (R)

Poll Source Dates Administered Paul Hodes Bill Binnie
Public Policy Polling April 17-18, 2010 42% 45%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 37% 49%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 36% 46%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 41% 42%
Research 2000 February 1-3, 2010 45% 35%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 34% 30%
Rasmussen Reports January 12, 2010 43% 37%

Hodes (D) vs. Lamontagne (R)

Poll Source Dates Administered Paul Hodes Ovide Lamontagne
Public Policy Polling April 17-18, 2010 44% 37%
Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 39% 44%
Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 42% 38%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 44% 38%
Research 2000 February 1-3, 2010 46% 36%
Granite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 38% 29%
Rasmussen Reports January 12, 2010 45% 38%
American Research Group December 29, 2009 31% 37%

References

  1. ^ "Gregg confirms 2010 bid for re-election: Calls Dem sweep 'repudiation' of Bush". FOS News. 2008-11-05. Retrieved 2008-11-06.
  2. ^ a b CNN.com "GOP's Gregg accepts commerce secretary post". CNN.com. February 3, 2009. {{cite news}}: Check |url= value (help)
  3. ^ Rhee, Foon (February 3, 2009). "Newman named to replace Gregg". Boston Globe.
  4. ^ "BREAKING: Gregg withdraws". CNN.com. February 12, 2009.
  5. ^ a b "Judd Gregg withdraws as nominee for Commerce secretary, says he won't run in 2010". New Hampshire Union Leader. February 13, 2009.
  6. ^ a b Martin Kady II & David Rogers (February 12, 2009). "'I couldn't be Judd Gregg'". Politico.
  7. ^ a b J. Taylor Rushing (April 1, 2009). "Gregg says he definitely won't run again". The Hill.
  8. ^ http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0709/Republicans_land_top_recruit_in_New_Hampshire.html?showall
  9. ^ a b Michael McCord (2009-11-04). "Rye's Binnie makes official his run for U.S. Senate". Sea Coast Online. Retrieved 2009-11-21.
  10. ^ http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/1109/Lamontagne_announces_Senate_campaign.html
  11. ^ a b c John DiStaso (February 5, 2009). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Hodes moves quickly". The Union Leader.
  12. ^ http://obama.wsj.com/article/0eeb5Cp8J9a7C?q=Judd+Gregg
  13. ^ "Bass Makes It Official". February 17, 2010. Retrieved February 17 2010. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |accessdate= (help)
  14. ^ http://www.jenniferhorn.org/press/item/jennifer-horn-to-run-for-congress
  15. ^ http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2009/11/mahoney_out_fie.php
  16. ^ http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/07/former-gov-merrill-also-declin.html
  17. ^ http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2009/07/former-sen-sununu-passes-on-ne.html
  18. ^ http://wbztv.com/wireapnewsnh/After.blanketing.NH.2.1096253.html
  19. ^ http://wbztv.com/wireapnewsnh/Rich.Ashooh.announces.2.1470239.html
  20. ^ http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?articleId=a78b458f-af05-4191-b2b9-7a2aa8863e39&headline=John+Stephen+to+run+for+governor
  21. ^ http://www.fosters.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100201/BLOGS10/100209957
  22. ^ http://www.fosters.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100125/BLOGS10/100129679/-1/blogs10
  23. ^ http://www.fosters.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100107/BLOGS10/100109684/0/blogs10
  24. ^ http://www.fosters.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100201/BLOGS10/100209957
  25. ^ http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/news/636913-196/mccain-to-campaign-for-ayotte-in-n.h..html
  26. ^ http://www.ourcampaigns.com/CandidateDetail.html?CandidateID=12362
  27. ^ http://www.facebook.com/note.php?note_id=144329886473
  28. ^ http://www.ourcampaigns.com/CandidateDetail.html?CandidateID=4856
  29. ^ http://ovide2010.com/?p=451
  30. ^ John DiStaso (February 3, 2009). "In 2010, Rep. Hodes will run for U.S. Senate; Katrina Swett wants his office". New Hampshire Union Leader.
  31. ^ Associated Press (February 12, 2009). "Hodes still a candidate for Gregg's seat". New Hampshire Union Leader.
  32. ^ Paul Briand (February 9, 2009). "2010 senate race welcomes Nadeau". Manchester Democrat Examiner.
  33. ^ Ben Smith (February 9, 2009). "Judge considers NH run". Politico.
  34. ^ Rachel Kapochunas (March 16, 2009). "Shea-Porter Opts Out of New Hampshire Senate Race". CQ Politics.
  35. ^ http://www.seacoastonline.com/articles/20090115-NEWS-901150414

External links

Official campaign websites