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2013 Bulgarian parliamentary election

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Bulgarian parliamentary election, 2013
← 2009 12 May 2013 (2013-05-12) 2017 →
All 240 seats to the Bulgarian Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
Turnout51.3%
  First party Second party
 
Leader Boyko Borisov Sergei Stanishev
Party Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria BSP
Leader since 2006 2001
Last election 117 seats, 39.7% 40 seats, 17.7%
Seats won 97[1] 84
Seat change Decrease 20 Increase 44
Percentage 30.5% 26.6%
Swing Decrease 9.2 Increase 8.9
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Lyutvi Mestan Volen Siderov
Party DPS Ataka
Leader since 2013 2005
Last election 37 seats, 14.0% 21 seats, 9.4%
Seats won 36 23
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 2
Percentage 11.3% 7.3%
Swing Decrease 2.7 Decrease 2.1
Prime Minister before election

Marin Raykov
Independent

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Politics of Bulgaria
Constitution
Presidency
  • Executive
  • Legislative
Major political parties
Recent elections
Administrative divisions
Foreign relations

Early parliamentary elections were held in Bulgaria on 12 May 2013.[2] Protests had forced the resignation of the Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) government in February.[3]

No party won an absolute majority. GERB won a plurality of seats, although as of 15 May 2013 a governing coalition has not been formed.[4]

Background

The elections were never originally scheduled to be held in July, but were brought forward following the resignation of Prime Minister Boyko Borisov's government following nationwide protests over high electricity prices, the low standard of living and corruption.[5] The government resigned the day after clashes between the police and protesters led to bloodshed and a number of civilians being badly injured. It was claimed that some protesters had vandalised public property and acted violently towards the police. А caretaker government was appointed on 13 March 2013 by President Rosen Plevneliev to serve until the elections. On 28 February, Plevneliev announced the earliest possible date for the election would be 12 May.[6]

Campaign

As a result of the protests over electricity prices, the distribution license for Czech utility company ČEZ was revoked. President Rosen Plevneliev told parliament: "I believe that the necessary key changes in the laws should be decided by a new parliament. The decision is to hold elections."[6]

Former European Commissioner Meglena Kuneva broke from the National Movement for Stability and Progress, formed around Simeon Saxe-Coburg-Gotha. She claimed her new party would have significant support even though opinion polls indicated otherwise. She also indicated that it was likely her civil society organisation, Movement "Bulgaria of the Citizens", would become a party as it was "the only way to participate in elections." Rumours suggested she could be a coalition partner to GERB, but she played down such suggestions. In the Socialist party there was infighting over whether Sergei Stanishev or Georgi Parvanov would lead the party.[7]

Controversy

Al Jazeera reported voter apathy due to scandals and disappointment with politicians. During the campaign there were also allegations of fraud and an illegal wiretapping scandal. The day before the election, a printing press in Kostinbrod was raided and 350,000 alleged illegally printed ballots were recovered. BSP leader Sergey Stanishev said that this was preparation for fraud with 10 percent of the electoral turnout being falsified for about 25 constituencies. He said: "This is a scandal unseen in Bulgaria so far." There was also allegations of illegal wiretapping of politicians. Prosecutors suggested former Interior Minister Tsvetan Tsvetanov was responsible with media revealing Borisov's alleged summons of Sofia's chief prosecutor to discuss details of the bribery probe. The OSCE's monitoring delegation member Eoghan Murphy said of the fraudulent ballot papers: "It's not for us to investigate these matters. It is for the Bulgarian authorities, but we will be interested in their assessment of the situation and how they deal with the matter as reported."[8]

Opinion polls

Pollster Date GERB BSP DPS Ataka DSB UDF DBG Ref
NCIOM 10 May 34 25 13 9 [9]
Skala 10 May 26.8 26.4 11.5 9.2 4.0 3.1 5.4 [10]
Mediana 10 May 32.0 31.5 11.6 8.0 ~4 [11]
Gallup BBSS 10 May 29-35 28-32 10-12 7-9 3-5 [12]
Alfa Research 9 May 33 28 10 7.5 2.7 2 4 [13]
Afis 8 May 21.8 19.5 6.0 5.8 3.4 [14]
MBMD 29 April 28.3 18.7 5.2 5.2 ~2 4.1 [15]
NCIOM 28 April 23.6 17.7 6.0 4.9 3.0 [16]
Mediana 25 April 23.3 21.4 6.2 5.5 2.1 0.9 4.5 [17]
CAM 24 April 24.1 18.2 6.1 4.8 1.2 1.0 4.4 [18]
Afis 19 April 24.0 18.9 5.0 5.4 1.1 0.7 3.1 [19]
NCIOM 19 April 23.9 17.5 6.2 5.2 2.0 0.7 3.1 [20]
Alfa Research 18 April 22.5 16.9 4.8 4.9 1.8 0.6 2.9 [21]
Gallup BBSS 17 April 22.8 19.9 4.9 5.7 1.2 1.2 3.9 [22]
Mediana 12 April 26.4 23.7 5.8 6.2 2.4 1.8 4.5 [23]
NCIOM 4 April 24.4 17.5 6.5 5.0 2.0 0.7 3.5 [24]
MBMD 2 April 30.1 15.6 5.0 4.4 2.7 [25]
Skala 2 April 25.3 20.2 14.0 9.9 6.0 [26]
Modern Politics 2 April 24.8 20.6 5.6 4.9 3.6 0.7 4.3 [27]
Alfa Research 1 April 21.9 17.4 4.8 5.5 1.8 0.6 3.9 [28]
Sova Harris 23 March 19.0 18.7 5.2 5.0 0.7 0.7 1.6 [29]
Mediana 17 March 21.3 20.4 7.9 4.3 1.5 1.4 5.1 [30]
Gallup BBSS 15 March 19.7 18.6 5.2 5.0 0.7 0.7 3.0 [31]
Modern Politics 8 March 24.1 20.3 4.6 3.6 2.1 1.1 2.7 [32]
Mediana 15 February 19.3 22.5 6.8 3.6 1.4 1.6 5.9 [33][34][35]
Gallup BBSS 14 February 22.6 22.1 7.3 1.2 1.3 0.9 4.8 [36][37]
Last election 5 July 2009 39.7 17.7 14.0 9.4 6.8 —

Results

There were 6.9 million eligible voters. Voting ended at 21:00. There were also over 250 international electoral monitors.[8] Turnout was 51.3%.

Four parties passed the electoral threshold, winning seats in parliament. These four parties account for only 75.65% of all valid ballots cast.

Party Votes % Seats +/−
Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria 30.53 98 −19
Bulgarian Socialist Party 26.65 86 +46
Movement for Rights and Freedoms 11.22 33 −4
Attack 7.31 23 +2
National Front for the Salvation of Bulgaria 3.71 0 New
Bulgaria for Citizens Movement 3.25 0 New
Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria 2.92 0 −5
IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement 1.89 0 New
Lider 1.73 0 0
Order, Law and Justice 1.68 0 −10
Center–Freedom and Dignity 1.62 0 New
Union of Democratic Forces 1.38 0 −9
People's Voice 1.34 0 New
Green Party 0.75 0 0
New Alternative 0.52 0 New
Proud Bulgaria 0.46 0 New
Democratic Civil Initiative 0.44 0 New
Civil List–Modern Bulgaria 0.41 0 New
Liberal Alliance 0.25 0 New
Bulgarian Agrarian National Union 0.23 0 0
Party of Bulgarian Women 0.19 0 New
Bulgarian Left 0.17 0 0
Union of Communists in Bulgaria 0.17 0 New
United People's Party 0.17 0 New
Bulgarian Spring 0.12 0 New
Christian Party 0.11 0 New
Middle European 0.10 0 New
Democratic Alternative for National Unification 0.10 0 New
National Democratic Party 0.10 0 New
National Patriotic Unity 0.10 0 New
Democratic Party 0.09 0 New
Cause Bulgaria 0.07 0 New
The Other Bulgaria 0.07 0 0
Christian Social Union 0.05 0 New
National Unity Movement 0.05 0 New
Social Democrat Party 0.04 0 0
Invalid/blank votes – – –
Total 100 240 0
Registered voters/turnout 51.33 – –
Source: Central Electoral Commission

Reactions

The election was noted for its low voter turnout. After voting finished, protesters congregated outside the election centre at the Palace of Culture in Sofia demanding GERB not be given a chance to form a new government. The protesters chanted "mafia" and were involved in brief scuffles with the police.[38] Sergei Stanishev, leader of the second-place Bulgarian Socialist Party, dismissed GERB's chances of forming a government and expressed willingness to negotiate with the other two parties.[4]

Analysis

As the party winning a plurarity GERB have the first opportunity to form a government, however commentators speculated that it would be difficult for them to obtain sufficient support from other groups.[4]

See also

References

  1. ^ http://www.vesti.bg/index.phtml?tid=40&oid=5773331
  2. ^ Bulgaria Elections 2013 ftp Headlines, 24 March 2013.
  3. ^ "Q&A: Bulgaria's parliamentary elections". BBC. 2013-05-08. Retrieved 2013-05-13.
  4. ^ a b c "Bulgaria faces post-election uncertainty". Al Jazeera. 2013-05-13. Retrieved 2013-05-13.
  5. ^ Cage, Sam. "Bulgarian government resigns amid growing protests". Reuters. Retrieved 2013-02-20.
  6. ^ a b "Bulgaria president calls May election after protests". Reuters. Retrieved 2013-05-11.
  7. ^ byClive Leviev-Sawyer (2012-03-13). "The long, long road to Bulgaria's 2013 parliamentary elections - Opinion". The Sofia Echo. Retrieved 2013-05-11.
  8. ^ a b Deadlock feared after Bulgaria elections
  9. ^ "НЦИОМ: ГЕРБ с 9% преднина пред БСП". Блиц. 2013-05-10. Retrieved 2013-05-10.
  10. ^ "Скала: ГЕРБ и БСП изравниха, шест партии в парламента". Отблизо. 2013-05-10. Retrieved 2013-05-10.
  11. ^ ""Галъп": Паритет между ГЕРБ и БСП, "Медиана": основните политически опоненти са наравно". Dnevnik. 2013-05-10. Retrieved 2013-05-10.
  12. ^ ""Галъп": Паритет между ГЕРБ и БСП, "Медиана": основните политически опоненти са наравно". Dnevnik. 2013-05-10. Retrieved 2013-05-10.
  13. ^ ""Алфа Рисърч": Четири партии влизат в парламента, една е почти сигурна". Dnevnik. 2013-05-09. Retrieved 2013-05-09.
  14. ^ ""Афис": Кампанията възкреси РЗС, поне пет партии влизат в парламента". Dnevnik. 2013-05-08. Retrieved 2013-05-08.
  15. ^ "Борисов вкарва 108 депутати в следващото НС, изчисли МБМД". dnes.bg. 2013-04-29. Retrieved 2013-04-29.
  16. ^ "НЦИОМ: ГЕРБ - 23,6%, БСП - 17,7%, 22% се колебаят". 24 часа. 2013-04-28. Retrieved 2013-04-28.
  17. ^ "Разликата между ГЕРБ и БСП се топи". Труд. 2013-04-25. Retrieved 2013-04-26.
  18. ^ "New Poll Gives GERB 6% Lead over Bulgaria's Socialists". 2013-04-24. Retrieved 2013-04-25.
  19. ^ ""Афис": ГЕРБ е изчерпала потенциала си, БСП има накъде да расте до изборите". в. Дневник. 2013-04-19. Retrieved 2013-04-19.
  20. ^ "НЦИОМ: ГЕРБ запазва преднината си пред БСП". в. Труд. 2013-04-19. Retrieved 2013-04-19.
  21. ^ ""Алфа Рисърч": ГЕРБ запазва преднината пред БСП, избирателната активност расте". dnevnik.bg. 2013-04-18. Retrieved 2013-04-18.
  22. ^ "Шансовете на ГЕРБ и БСП остават „на кантар"". Преса. 2013-04-17. Retrieved 2013-04-17.
  23. ^ "ГЕРБ срещу БСП с преднина 2,7%". Труд. 2013-04-11. Retrieved 2013-04-12.
  24. ^ "НЦИОМ: ГЕРБ - 24,4%, БСП - 17,5%". в. Труд. 2013-04-04. Retrieved 2013-04-04.
  25. ^ "МБМД огласи официално „онова" изследване". komentator.bg. 2013-04-02. Retrieved 2013-04-02.
  26. ^ "ГЕРБ 25,3%, БСП 20,2". ПИК. 2013-04-02. Retrieved 2013-04-02.
  27. ^ "Обществени нагласи през месец март". Институт за модерна политика. 2013-04-02. Retrieved 2013-04-02.
  28. ^ ""Алфа Рисърч": Ако изборите бяха днес - ГЕРБ, БСП, ДПС, "Атака" и "България на гражданите" влизат в парламента". dnevnik.bg. 2013-04-01. Retrieved 2013-04-01.
  29. ^ "СДС и ДСБ са под чертата на изборите - Меглена Кунева също е аут, "Атака" върви нагоре". blitz.bg. 2013-03-23. Retrieved 2013-03-27.
  30. ^ "Отново ли "ГЕРБ на власт"?". Труд. 2013-03-18. Retrieved 2013-03-18.
  31. ^ "Кунева губи, печели Волен". Преса. 2013-03-16. Retrieved 2013-03-18.
  32. ^ "Обществени нагласи по време на криза". Институт за модерна политика. 2013-03-08. Retrieved 2013-03-18.
  33. ^ "Bulgaria: Bulgarian Ruling Party Would Lose Elections". Novinite.com. 2013-02-15. Retrieved 2013-02-20.
  34. ^ ""Медиана": БСП изпреварва ГЕРБ". Труд. 2013-02-15. Retrieved 2013-02-22.
  35. ^ ""Медиана": БСП изпреварва ГЕРБ". 24 часа. 2013-02-15. Retrieved 2013-02-22.
  36. ^ a b "Според "Галъп" - по равно, "Медиана" даде предимство на БСП". frognews.com. 2013-02-15. Retrieved 2013-02-20.
  37. ^ "Кунева губи, печели Волен". Преса. 2013-03-16. Retrieved 2013-02-22.
  38. ^ Bulgaria election fails to end political stalemate
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