2016 Manitoba general election

41st Manitoba general election

On or before October 6, 2015 (2015-10-06) or April 19, 2016 (See "Date")
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats needed for a majority
PC Leader Greg Selinger Brian Pallister Party New Democratic Progressive Conservative Leader since October 17, 2009 July 30, 2012 Leader's seat St. Boniface Fort Whyte Last election 37 seats, 46.16% 19 seats, 43.71% Current seats 37 19   Leader Rana Bokhari Alain Landry Party Liberal Green Leader since October 26, 2013 interim Last election 1 seats, 7.52% 0 seats, 2.52% Current seats 1 0
Manitoba's 57 electoral districts
Incumbent Premier Greg Selinger New Democratic

The 41st general election of Manitoba, tentatively scheduled for October 6, 2015, or April 19, 2016, will be held to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Premier Greg Selinger, will attempt to win its fifth consecutive term in office. The Official Opposition Progressive Conservatives, who acclaimed Brian Pallister as leader on July 30, 2012, will seek to form a government for the first time since 1999. The Liberals, who elected a new leader in October 2013, will attempt to win their first election since 1953.

Date

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, the general election is to be held on the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year, following the previous election. As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be October 6, 2015. However, the act also provides that if, as of January 1 of the election year, the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the third Tuesday of the following April. Under the federal fixed-term act, the next federal election is tentatively scheduled for October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately three weeks. Thus, if nothing occurs to change either date by January 1, 2015, the Manitoba election will then be scheduled for April 19, 2016. The Lieutenant Governor retains the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early.

Party standings

Summary of the current standings of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba

Party		Leader	Seats
			2011	Current
	New Democratic	Greg Selinger	37	37
	Progressive Conservative	Brian Pallister	19	19
	Liberal	Rana Bokhari	1	1
	Vacant			0
Total			57	57

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP width=10% align="center"| NDP	Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives width=10% align="center"| PC	Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal width=10% align="center"| Liberal	Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Independent width=10% align="center"| Other
Probe Research Inc	December 2013	PDF	26	48	20	6
Probe Research Inc	September 2013	HTML	29	43	20	8
Probe Research Inc	June 2013	PDF	28	46	17	10
Probe Research Inc	April 2–April 14, 2013	PDF	35	42	15	8
Probe Research Inc	December 2012	PDF	39	43	11	7
Probe Research Inc	September 19–October 14, 2012	PDF	45	38	11	6
Probe Research Inc	June 6–29, 2012	PDF	44	40	13	3
Probe Research Inc	March 9–April 4, 2012	PDF	40	45	10	5
2011 election	October 4, 2011		46.2	43.7	7.5	2.6

By-elections since 2011

Manitoba provincial by-election, January 28, 2014: Arthur-Virden
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures	Progressive Conservative	Doyle Piwniuk	3,137	68.20	+2.23
	Liberal	Floyd Buhler	738	16.04	+12.23		New Democrat	Bob Senff	480	10.43	-19.78
	Green	Kate Storey	245	5.33
Total valid votes			4,600	100.00
Rejected and declined votes			10
Turnout			4,610	33.55
Electors on the lists			13,739
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		-5.00

Manitoba provincial by-election, January 28, 2014: Morris
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures	Progressive Conservative	Shannon Martin	2642	69.99	-4.01		New Democrat	Dean Harder	488	12.93	-6.44
	Liberal	Jeremy Barber	422	11.18	+4.55		Independent	Ray Shaw	138	3.66	-
	Green	Alain Landry	85	2.25	-
Total valid votes			3775
Rejected and declined votes			17
Turnout			3792	27.51
Electors on the lists			13782
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		+1.21

Manitoba provincial by-election, September 4, 2012 Resignation of Hugh McFadyen: Fort Whyte
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Brian Pallister	3,626	55.14	-6.99
	Liberal	Bob Axworthy	2,069	31.47	+23.59
	New Democratic	Bonny Schmidt	739	11.24	-18.25
	Green	Donnie H.J Benham	113	1.73	+1.73
	Independent	Darrell Ackman	19	0.03	+0.03
Spoiled/rejected votes			10	*	*
turnout			41.64	*	*
Total valid votes			6,576	100.00

External links

• Elections Manitoba