2008 United States Senate election in New Jersey
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 County results Lautenberg: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Zimmer: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in New Jersey |
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The 2008 United States Senate election in New Jersey was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Frank Lautenberg won re-election to a fifth, non-consecutive term, defeating former Republican congressman Dick Zimmer. Zimmer had also been the nominee for this seat in 1996.
Background
In November 2006, Senator Lautenberg had the lowest approval rating of any Democrat running for re-election in 2008 (with 39% approving and 45% disapproving),[1] with his approval improving only slightly to 42% as of September 2007. In the same September 2007 poll conducted by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, voters surveyed decided that Lautenberg does not deserve re-election (46% to 36%) and that he is too old to effectively serve another six years in the Senate (54% to 40%).[2]
Poll results suggested that given the right formula, this could have been a surprise upset race in November 2008. "The poll shows that Sen. Frank Lautenberg, who many voters say is too old to run for another term, would be vulnerable to a strong Republican candidate next year," according to Quinnipiac pollster Clay Richards.[2]
The first poll conducted after the primaries (Rasmussen Reports, June 4, 2008) showed a tighter than expected race between Lautenberg and Zimmer, with the two candidates in a virtual tie.[3]
However, the prevailing political climate at the time of the election was also a major factor. Voter anger was targeted against the GOP, and many Democrats once considered vulnerable managed to hold on.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Rob Andrews, U.S. Representative
- Donald Cresitello, Mayor of Morristown
- Frank Lautenberg, incumbent U.S. Senator
Polling
| Source | Date | Frank Lautenberg |
Rob Andrews |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Benenson | April 1–2, 2008 | 52% | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 15, 2008 | 49% | 19% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frank Lautenberg (incumbent) | 203,012 | 58.9% | |
| Democratic | Rob Andrews | 121,777 | 35.3% | |
| Democratic | Donald Cresitello | 19,743 | 5.7% | |
| Total votes | 344,532 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Joseph Pennacchio, State Senator
- Murray Sabrin, professor at Ramapo College and perennial candidate
- Dick Zimmer, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dick Zimmer | 84,663 | 45.8% | |
| Republican | Joseph Pennacchio | 74,546 | 40.3% | |
| Republican | Murray Sabrin | 25,576 | 13.8% | |
| Total votes | 184,785 | 100.0% | ||
Official results, New Jersey Division of Elections (PDF, July 11, 2008)
| County | J. Pennacchio | M. Sabrin | R. Zimmer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 74,546 (40.3%) | 25,576 (13.8%) | 84,663 (45.8%) |
| Atlantic | 1,322 (21.9%) | 810 (13.4%) | 3,909 (64.7%) |
| Bergen | 10,761 (62.2%) | 1,384 (8.0%) | 5,145 (29.8%) |
| Burlington | 2,869 (20.8%) | 2,276 (16.5%) | 8,629 (62.6%) |
| Camden | 2,166 (34.2%) | 1,036 (16.4%) | 3,123 (49.4%) |
| Cape May | 1,034 (20.1%) | 483 (9.4%) | 3,615 (70.4%) |
| Cumberland | 395 (18.1%) | 225 (10.3%) | 1,566 (71.6%) |
| Essex | 2,262 (35.6%) | 493 (7.8%) | 3,592 (56.6%) |
| Gloucester | 2,161 (46.8%) | 1,254 (27.1%) | 1,206 (26.1%) |
| Hudson | 955 (31.0%) | 641 (20.8%) | 1,487 (48.2%) |
| Hunterdon | 2,730 (29.6%) | 977 (10.6%) | 5,519 (59.8%) |
| Mercer | 1,538 (33.6%) | 488 (10.7%) | 2,555 (55.8%) |
| Middlesex | 4,195 (53.7%) | 1,021 (13.1%) | 2,603 (33.3%) |
| Monmouth | 4,630 (32.8%) | 1,510 (10.7%) | 7,981 (56.5%) |
| Morris | 12,700 (56.1%) | 1,855 (8.2%) | 8,094 (35.7%) |
| Ocean | 4,820 (21.4%) | 6,778 (30.2%) | 10,875 (48.4%) |
| Passaic | 4,570 (71.6%) | 545 (8.5%) | 1,271 (19.9%) |
| Salem | 657 (40.6%) | 193 (11.9%) | 769 (47.5%) |
| Somerset | 4,875 (43.2%) | 1,170 (10.4%) | 5,227 (46.4%) |
| Sussex | 3,621 (50.9%) | 647 (9.1%) | 2,850 (40.0%) |
| Union | 4,653 (52.1%) | 1,388 (15.5%) | 2,896 (32.4%) |
| Warren | 1,632 (43.1%) | 402 (10.6%) | 1,751 (46.3%) |
General election
Candidates
Major
- Frank Lautenberg, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Dick Zimmer, former U.S. Representative
Minor
- Jeff Boss (I)[5]
- Daryl Mikell Brooks (I)[5]
- J.M. Carter (I)[5]
- Carl Peter Klapper (Write In)[6]
- Sara Lobman (Socialist Workers)[5]
- Jason Scheurer (Libertarian)[5]
Debates
On October 29, 2008, a debate between Lautenberg and Zimmer was held on the radio station NJ 101.5.[7]
On November 1, 2008, the two candidates debated for the second time on New Jersey Network, in the only televised debate agreed to by the Lautenberg campaign.[8]
Polling
| Source | Date | Frank Lautenberg (D) |
Dick Zimmer (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[9] | June 4, 2008 | 45% | 44% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 5–8, 2008 | 47% | 38% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | June 17–22, 2008 | 45% | 28% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 7, 2008 | 49% | 36% |
| Strategic Vision | July 11–13, 2008 | 48% | 32% |
| Monmouth University | July 17–21, 2008 | 45% | 37% |
| Club for Growth[10] | July 30–31, 2008 | 35% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[11] | August 4, 2008 | 51% | 33% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 4–10, 2008 | 48% | 41% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 4–7, 2008 | 46% | 35% |
| Marist College | September 5–8, 2008 | 51% | 40% |
| The Record / Research 2000 | September 9–11, 2008 | 49% | 41% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 10–14, 2008 | 48% | 39% |
| Monmouth University | September 11–14, 2008 | 46% | 36% |
| Strategic Vision | September 14–16, 2008 | 47% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2008 | 49% | 42% |
| Survey USA | September 27–28, 2008 | 51% | 38% |
| Strategic Vision | September 26–28, 2008 | 48% | 41% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 29 – October 5, 2008 | 50% | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7, 2008 | 51% | 37% |
| Survey USA | October 11–12, 2008 | 51% | 38% |
| Monmouth University | October 15–18, 2008 | 52% | 36% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 16–19, 2008 | 55% | 33% |
| Marist College | October 20–21, 2008 | 48% | 41% |
| Strategic Vision | October 24–26, 2008 | 49% | 41% |
| Survey USA | October 29–30, 2008 | 52% | 37% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frank Lautenberg (incumbent) | 1,951,218 | 56.0% | +2.1% | |
| Republican | Dick Zimmer | 1,461,025 | 42.0% | −2.0% | |
| Independent | Daryl Mikell Brooks | 20,920 | 1.0% | n/a | |
| Libertarian | Jason Scheurer | 18,810 | 0.5% | n/a | |
| Independent | J.M. Carter | 15,935 | 0.5% | n/a | |
| Independent | Jeff Boss | 10,345 | 0.3% | n/a | |
| Socialist Workers | Sara Lobman | 9,187 | 0.3% | n/a | |
| Total votes | 3,482,445 | 100.0% | n/a | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
See also
References
- ^ "Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #11152". SurveyUSA. November 2006. Retrieved February 5, 2007.
- ^ a b "Voters still say Lautenberg is too old". PolitickerNJ.com, September 25, 2007. Accessed April 8, 2008.
- ^ "Election 2008: New Jersey Senate - New Jersey Senate Race a Dead Heat" Archived June 22, 2008, at the Wayback Machine, Rasmussen Reports, June 9, 2008. Accessed June 9, 2008.
- ^ a b Official results for 2008 primary elections, New Jersey Division of Elections (PDF Archived August 6, 2008, at the Wayback Machine, July 11, 2008)
- ^ a b c d e 2008 General Election Candidate Certification Archived October 1, 2008, at the Wayback Machine, New Jersey Division of Elections. Accessed September 28, 2008
- ^ Populist Write-In Candidate for Senate, Carl Peter Klapper, Advocates Adjustable Equity Mortgages, Third Bank of the US to solve financial crisis
- ^ Burton, Cynthia. "Lautenberg and Zimmer spar over issues", The Philadelphia Inquirer, October 30, 2008.
- ^ Schwaneberg, Robert. Lautenberg, Zimmer agree to debate on Nov. 1, The Star-Ledger, October 1, 2008.
- ^ https://web.archive.org/web/20080622095354/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_senate
- ^ https://web.archive.org/web/20081023203700/http://www.clubforgrowth.org/2008/08/new_poll_in_njsen_race.php
- ^ https://web.archive.org/web/20080912045931/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_senate
External links
- Division of Elections from the New Jersey Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for New Jersey at Project Vote Smart
- New Jersey, U.S. Senate from CQ Politics
- New Jersey U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- New Jersey U.S. Senate race from 2008 Race Tracker
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
- Zimmer (R) vs Lautenberg (D-i) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Frank Lautenberg, Democratic nominee
- Dick Zimmer, Republican nominee
- Jason Scheurer, Libertarian candidate
- Daryl Mikell Brooks, Independent candidate