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2022 Bulgarian parliamentary election

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2022 Bulgarian parliamentary election
Bulgaria
← November 2021 By 14 November 2025

All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
PP K. Petkov & A. Vasilev 67
GERBSDS Boyko Borisov 59
DPS Mustafa Karadayi 34
BSPzB Korneliya Ninova 26
ITN Slavi Trifonov 25
DB Atanas Atanasov 16
Revival Kostadin Kostadinov 13
Incumbent Prime Minister
Kiril Petkov Kiril Petkov
PP

The next Bulgarian parliamentary election will be held on or before 14 November 2025 to elect members of the National Assembly.

Background

The previous parliamentary elections in November 2021 saw We Continue the Change (PP) achieve a surprise victory,[1] receiving 25% of the vote. Led by Kiril Petkov, the PP formed a coalition government with BSP for Bulgaria (BSPzB), There Is Such a People (ITN) and Democratic Bulgaria (DB). This broke the deadlock that had arisen as a result of the previous two parliamentary elections, after which no party was able to form a government.[2]

Electoral system

The 240 members of the National Assembly are elected by open list proportional representation from 31 multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 4 to 16 seats. The electoral threshold is 4% for parties, with seats allocated according to the largest remainder method.[3][4]

Political parties

The table below lists the parties currently represented in the National Assembly.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2021 result Current seats Petkov
Government
Votes (%) Seats
PP We Continue the Change
Продължаваме промяната
Pro-Europeanism
Anti-corruption
Kiril Petkov
Asen Vasilev
25.3%
67 / 240
67 / 240
Government
GERB–SDS GERB-Union of Democratic Forces
ГЕРБ-Съюз на демократичните сили
Conservatism Boyko Borisov 22.4%
59 / 240
59 / 240
Opposition
DPS Movement for Rights and Freedoms
Движение за права и свободи
Turkish minority interests Mustafa Karadayi 12.8%
34 / 240
34 / 240
Opposition
BSPzB BSP for Bulgaria
БСП за България
Democratic socialism Korneliya Ninova 10.1%
26 / 240
26 / 240
Government
ITN There Is Such a People
Има такъв народ
Populism Slavi Trifonov 9.4%
25 / 240
25 / 240
Government
DB Democratic Bulgaria
Демократична България
Anti-corruption Borislav Sandov 6.3%
16 / 240
16 / 240
Government
Revival Revival
Vazrazhdane
National Conservatism Kostadin Kostadinov 4.8%
13 / 240
13 / 240
Opposition

Opinion polls

Graphical representation of recalculated data

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample PP GERBSDS DPS BSP ITN DB Revival IBG-NI VMRO Others None of the above Lead
Alpha Research 8-14 Apr 2022 1,037 21.1% 24.8% 8.7% 11.7% 5.1% 7.7% 10.8% 10.2% 3.7%
Trend 6-13 Apr 2022 1,004 20.1% 23.6% 11.1% 10.5% 6.9% 7.1% 9.3% 1.9% 1.3% 5.5% 2.7% 3.5%
Gallup 31 Mar-8 Apr 2022 809 23.8% 25.9% 10.6% 10.3% 7.0% 4.5% 7.9% 1.2% 2.1% 5.6% 1.1% 2.1%
Market Links 22-29 Mar 2022 1,029 19.7% 22.1% 8.2% 11.6% 6.7% 7.6% 8.2% 1.4%
Trend 5-12 Mar 2022 1,007 22.9% 21.9% 11.4% 10.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.3% 2.1% 1.3% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0%
Alpha Research 6-14 Feb 2022 1,060 29.9% 22.2% 8.8% 12.0% 8.1% 7.8% 6.4% 4.9% 7.7%
Gallup 3–11 Feb 2022 803 30.2% 21.9% 12.2% 8.5% 9.4% 5.2% 3.9% 1.5%[a] 1.7% 5.4% 8.3%
Trend 12−19 Jan 2022 1,004 26.4% 22.3% 10.9% 11.5% 8.1% 6.8% 5.9% 1.9% 1.1% 2.7% 2.4% 4.1%
November 2021 election 14 November 2021 25.7% 22.7% 13.0% 10.2% 9.5% 6.4% 4.9% 2.3% 1.1% 4.2% 1.3% 2.8%

Notes

  1. ^ Only polled IS.B

References

  1. ^ Tsolova, Tsvetelia (2021-11-15). "New centrist party wins Bulgarian election, could end months of deadlock". Reuters. Retrieved 2022-02-25.
  2. ^ "Bulgarian Lawmakers Confirm New Government After Months Of Deadlock". RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. Retrieved 2022-02-25.
  3. ^ "IFES Election Guide | Elections: Bulgaria Parliament 2021". www.electionguide.org. Retrieved 2022-02-25.
  4. ^ "ans_130355_1645461599 | International IDEA". www.idea.int. Retrieved 2022-02-25.