2011 Madrilenian regional election
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All 129 seats in the Assembly of Madrid 65 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 4,622,750  3.7% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 2,993,235 (65.9%) 1.4 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2011 Madrilenian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 9th Assembly of Madrid, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Madrid. At stake were all seats in the Assembly, determining the President of the Community of Madrid. The number of members increased from 120 to 129 compared to the previous election.
The election was won by the People's Party (PP) which had formed the regional government since the 1995 election. In total, the PP under incumbent President Esperanza Aguirre won 72 seats, although the party's overall vote share decreased. In contrast, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) under former Mayor of Parla Tomás Goméz had their worst result in terms of votes and seats up until that date. The third largest party, United Left (IU), polled their highest vote share since 1995. Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD), a party formed after the 2007 election, surpassed the 5% threshold and entered the Assembly for the first time.
Electoral system
The number of seats in the regional Assembly was determined by the population count, with 1 seat per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000, according to the most updated census data.[1] As the updated population census for the 2011 election was the corresponding to year 2010 (6,458,684), the Assembly size was set to 129 seats.[2]
All Assembly members were elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Community's territory (the province of Madrid), using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.[3]
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | PP | PSOE | IU | UPyD | Oth. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Socialist Party of Madrid/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Union, Progress and Democracy/meta/color;"| | ||||
| 22 May 2011 | Regional Election | 51.7 | 26.3 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 25.4 |
| 22 May | Ipsos-Eco | 52.6 | 25.0 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 27.6 |
| Exit polls | |||||||
| 28 Apr | GAD | 54.0 | 28.3 | 10.6 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 25.7 |
| 28–29 Apr | Metroscopia | 53.4 | 29.1 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 24.3 |
| 25–28 Apr | Obradoiro | 52.3 | 33.3 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 19.0 |
| 25–26 Apr | TNS-Demoscopia | 54.5 | 29.3 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 25.2 |
| 25 Apr | NC-Report[a] | 54.3 | 27.9 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 26.4 |
| 15–20 Apr | Ikerfel | 54.6 | 30.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 24.2 |
| 13–20 Apr | Celeste-Tel[a] | 53.2 | 27.8 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 25.4 |
| 17 Mar–17 Apr | CIS | 52.1 | 28.4 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 23.7 |
| 6–15 Apr | Metroscopia | 53.9 | 27.1 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 26.8 |
| 11–14 Apr | Sigma-2 | 55.1 | 28.8 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 26.3 |
| 23–25 Feb | NC-Report[a] | 54.0 | 28.0 | 9.6 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 26.0 |
| 24–27 Jan | NC-Report[a] | 53.6 | 28.3 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 25.3 |
| 2011 | |||||||
| 20–30 Dec | DYM | 54.5 | 29.8 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 24.7 |
| 27–29 Dec | Sigma-2 | 54.6 | 29.7 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 24.9 |
| 8–18 Nov | Metroscopia | 52.9 | 32.8 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 20.1 |
| 6–7 Oct | Sigma-2 | 55.4 | 29.8 | 7.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 25.6 |
| 12 Sep | Metroscopia[b] | 51.6 | 32.2 | 16.2 | 19.4 | ||
| 12 Sep | Metroscopia[c] | 48.3 | 38.7 | 13.0 | 9.6 | ||
| 24–26 May | Sigma-2 | 56.2 | 25.5 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 30.7 |
| 2 May | Metroscopia | 50.6 | 32.9 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 17.7 |
| 22 Mar–13 Apr | Obradoiro | 48.9 | 34.0 | 9.3 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 14.9 |
| 2010 | |||||||
| 7 Jun 2009 | EP Election | 48.6 | 35.6 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 13.0 |
| 29 Apr | Metroscopia | 50.6 | 32.8 | 10.6 | 6.0 | 17.8 | |
| 2009 | |||||||
| 9 Mar 2008 | General Election | 49.2 | 39.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 9.5 |
| 2008 | |||||||
| 27 May 2007 | Regional Election | 53.3 | 33.6 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 19.7 | |
Seat projections
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 65 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Madrid Assembly.
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | PP | PSOE | IU | UPyD | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Socialist Party of Madrid/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Union, Progress and Democracy/meta/color;"| | ||||
| 22 May 2011 | Regional Election | 72 | 36 | 13 | 8 | 0 | |
| 22 May | Ipsos-Eco | 72−74 | 33−36 | 12−14 | 8−9 | 0 | |
| Exit polls | |||||||
| 16 May | NC-Report | 73−76 | 37−39 | 12−13 | 0−6 | 0 | |
| 28 Apr | GAD | 75−76 | 39−40 | 13−14 | 0 | 0 | |
| 28–29 Apr | Metroscopia | 75 | 41 | 13 | 0 | 0 | |
| 25–28 Apr | Obradoiro | 73−74 | 46−47 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 25–26 Apr | TNS-Demoscopia | 75−77 | 41−42 | 11−12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 25 Apr | NC-Report | 73−76 | 37−39 | 12−13 | 0−6 | 0 | |
| 15–20 Apr | Ikerfel | 77 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13–20 Apr | Celeste-Tel | 72 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 0 | |
| 17 Mar–17 Apr | CIS | 75 | 41 | 13 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6–15 Apr | Metroscopia | 77 | 38 | 14 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–14 Apr | Sigma-2 | 76−77 | 40−41 | 11 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23–25 Feb | NC-Report | 73−76 | 37−39 | 12−13 | 0−6 | 0 | |
| 24–27 Jan | NC-Report | 72−75 | 38−40 | 12−13 | 0−6 | 0 | |
| 2011 | |||||||
| 20–30 Dec | DYM | 72−74 | 39−40 | 14 | 0−3 | 0 | |
| 27–29 Dec | Sigma-2 | 74−75 | 40−41 | 13 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–18 Nov | Metroscopia | 73 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6–7 Oct | Sigma-2 | 77 | 41−42 | 9−10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 Aug | UPyD | 62 | 43 | 12 | 11 | 0 | |
| 24–26 May | Sigma-2 | 75−79 | 33−36 | 13−14 | 0−6 | 0 | |
| 2 May | Metroscopia | 66 | 43 | 11 | 8 | 0 | |
| 22 Mar–13 Apr | Obradoiro | 65−68 | 45−47 | 12−13 | 0−6 | 0 | |
| 2010 | |||||||
| 7 Jun 2009 | EP Election | (64) | (47) | (0) | (9) | (0) | |
| 29 Apr | Metroscopia | 65 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2009 | |||||||
| 9 Mar 2008 | General Election | (66) | (54) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
| 2008 | |||||||
| 27 May 2007 | Regional Election | 67 | 42 | 11 | 0 | ||
Results
 | ||||||
| Party | Vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Won | +/− | ||
| width="1" bgcolor="Template:People's Party (Spain)/meta/color" | | People's Party (PP) | 1,548,306 | 51.73 | 1.56
|
72 | 5
|
| bgcolor="Template:Socialist Party of Madrid/meta/color" | | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 786,297 | 26.27 | 7.30
|
36 | 6
|
| bgcolor="Template:United Left (Spain)/meta/color" | | United Left of the Madrid Community-The Greens (IUCM-LV) | 287,707 | 9.61 | 0.75
|
13 | 2
|
| bgcolor="Template:Union, Progress and Democracy/meta/color" | | Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 189,055 | 6.32 | New | 8 | 8
|
| Ecolo-Greens (ECOLO) | 29,116 | 0.97 | 0.14
|
0 | ±0 | |
| Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB) | 19,220 | 0.64 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| bgcolor="Template:Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals/meta/color" | | Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 15,897 | 0.53 | 0.30
|
0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Template:For a Fairer World/meta/color" | | For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 10,330 | 0.35 | 0.18
|
0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Template:The Falange/meta/color" | | The Falange (FE) | 6,424 | 0.21 | 0.12
|
0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Template:Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain/meta/color" | | Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 5,656 | 0.19 | 0.05
|
0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color" | | Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 4,879 | 0.16 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Template:Humanist Party (Spain)/meta/color" | | Humanist Party (PH) | 3,936 | 0.13 | 0.07
|
0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Template:Spanish Alternative/meta/color" | | Spanish Alternative (AES) | 3,690 | 0.12 | 0.05
|
0 | ±0 |
| Union for Leganés (ULEG) | 3,435 | 0.11 | 0.06
|
0 | ±0 | |
| bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democratic Centre/meta/color" | | Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) | 3,169 | 0.11 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Castilian Party (PCAS) | 1,722 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Centre and Democracy Forum (CyD) | 1,639 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) | 1,300 | 0.04 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 71,458 | 2.39 | 0.66
|
|||
| Total | 2,993,236 | 100.00 | 129 | 9
| ||
| Valid votes | 2,993,236 | 98.32 | 1.23
|
|||
| Invalid votes | 51,113 | 1.68 | 1.23
| |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 3,044,349 | 65.86 | 1.45
| |||
| Abstentions | 1,578,401 | 34.14 | 1.45
| |||
| Registered voters | 4,622,750 | |||||
| Source(s): | ||||||
Notes
- ^ a b c d This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.
- ^ Hypothesized scenario with Tomás Gómez as PSOE candidate.
- ^ Hypothesized scenario with Trinidad Jiménez as PSOE candidate.
References
- ^ "Statute of Autonomy of Madrid; Title I. Chapter I. Of the Assembly of Madrid.)".
- ^ "Seat count will increase from 120 to 129 in the next legislature" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2011-03-12.
{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ "Law 11/1986, of 16 December, electoral of the Community of Madrid; Chapter VII. The electoral system".
