Jump to content

2016 Portuguese presidential election: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Browse history interactively
← Previous editNext edit →
Content deleted Content added
VisualWikitext
Added picture of Edgar Silva
Line 30: Line 30:
| popular_vote4 = 196,582
| popular_vote4 = 196,582
| percentage4 = 4.2%
| percentage4 = 4.2%
| image5 = [[File:Edgar-silva-2016-01-11.jpg|125x125px]]
| image5 =
| candidate5 = [[:pt:Edgar Silva|Edgar Silva]]
| candidate5 = [[:pt:Edgar Silva|Edgar Silva]]
| party5 = Portuguese Communist Party
| party5 = Portuguese Communist Party

Revision as of 19:23, 25 January 2016

Portuguese presidential election, 2016
← 2011 24 January 2016 2021 →
Turnout48.84%
 
Candidate Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa António Sampaio da Nóvoa Marisa Matias
Party PSD Independent Left Bloc
Popular vote 2,410,130 1,060,769 469,307
Percentage 52.0% 22.9% 10.1%
 
Candidate Maria de Belém Edgar Silva Vitorino Silva
Party Independent PCP Independent
Popular vote 196,582 182,905 152,045
Percentage 4.2% 4.0% 3.3%
  File:Paulo-de-Morais.png File:Henrique Neto.jpeg File:Jorge sequeira.png
Candidate Paulo de Morais Henrique Neto Jorge Sequeira
Party Independent Independent Independent
Popular vote 99,879 38,910 13,756
Percentage 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
President before election

Cavaco Silva
PSD

President-elect

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
PSD

Politics of Portugal
Coat of arms of Portugal
Constitution
Executive
Legislature
Judiciary
Elections
Administrative divisions
Foreign relations

A Portuguese presidential election was held on 24 January 2016. This election chose the successor to the President Aníbal Cavaco Silva, who was constitutionally not allowed to run for a third consecutive term.

On election day Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, the candidate supported by the PSD, CDS-PP and PPM, won the election on the first round with 52% of the vote and in addition to that he won in every single district in the country and only lost a few municipalities in the south of the country. Turnout was higher than in the 2011 election, but it reached a record low on an election with no incumbents, as only 48.84% of the electorate cast their ballots.

Procedure

Any citizen who is Portuguese by origin and over 35 years old is eligible to run for president. In order to do so it is necessary to gather between 7,500 and 15,000 signatures and submit them to the Portuguese Constitutional Court.[citation needed]

According to the Portuguese Constitution, to be elected, a candidate needs a majority (50% + 1). If no candidate gets this majority there will take place a second round between the two most voted candidates.[citation needed]

Candidates

Official candidates

Unsuccessful candidacies

Decided not to run

Opinion Polling

First round

Date(s)
administered 		Poll source Sample size File:Henrique Neto.jpeg File:Paulo-de-Morais.png File:Jorge sequeira.png Others/
Undecided
Marcelo
PSD, CDS-PP 		Belém
Ind. 		Nóvoa
Ind. 		Neto
Ind. 		E. Silva
PCP 		Matias
BE 		Morais
Ind. 		Ferreira
Ind. 		V. Silva
Ind. 		Sequeira
Ind.
24 January 2016 Election Results 48.8% 52.0 4.2 22.9 0.8 4.0 10.1 2.2 0.2 3.2 0.3 —
24 Jan UCP–CESOP[a] 51.5 4.0 23.5 1.0 4.0 10.0 2.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 —
24 Jan Eurosondagem[a] 43,678 52.5 4.1 23.0 1.1 3.6 10.1 2.0 0.5 3.2 0.5 —
24 Jan Intercampus[a] 15,481 53.3 4.4 21.3 3.4 10.6 —
Exit Polls
16–20 Jan Aximage 1,301 51.5 9.0 22.6 0.8 5.2 6.6 2.3 0.1 1.8 0.1
14–20 Jan Intercampus 1,043 51.8 10.1 16.9 2.3 4.6 7.9 2.9 0.5 2.5 0.6
14–19 Jan Eurosondagem 2,025 55.0 13.3 19.0 1.1 3.7 5.3 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 16.1[43]
16–17 Jan UCP–CESOP 3,340 52.0 8.0 22.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 3.0 0.5 2.0 0.5
7–13 Jan Eurosondagem 1,516 54.8 16.3 16.8 1.1 4.0 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 17.7[44]
2–5 Jan Aximage 602 52.9 11.8 16.9 1.0 2.9 2.8 2.9 8.8
2016
16–21 Dec Eurosondagem 1,515 52.5 18.1 16.9 1.3 4.7 4.8 1.7
5–6 Dec UCP–CESOP 1,183 62.0 14.0 15.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0
28 Nov–2 Dec Aximage 605 54.6 13.4 13.2 0.4 1.9 2.4 1.1 13.0
13–18 Nov Eurosondagem 1,510 48.0 18.9 16.7 2.2 5.2 6.9 1.1 1.0
31 Oct–4 Nov Aximage 603 56.9 13.1 15.3 2.1 12.9
26 Sep–1 Oct Aximage 1,387 29.7 14.7 13.0 1.1 JS (10.3) 31.2[45]
23–30 Sep Intercampus 1,013 49.3 17.0 10.1 1.4 22.2[46]
2015

Runoff polls

Hypothetical runoffs by different candidates.
Date(s)
administered 		Poll source Sample size
Marcelo
PSD 		Rio
PSD 		Santana
PSD 		Barroso
PSD 		Guterres
PS 		Vitorino
PS 		Silva
Ind. 		Nóvoa
Ind. 		Belém
PS 		Gama
PS
14–20 Jan Intercampus 1,043 68.4 - - - - - - - 31.6 -
67.0 - - - - - - 33.0 - -
14–19 Jan Eurosondagem 2,025 65.2 - - - - - - - 34.8 -
64.8 - - - - - - 35.2 - -
7–13 Jan Eurosondagem 1,516 63.7 - - - - - - - 36.3 -
63.0 - - - - - - 37.0 - -
2016
16–21 Dec Eurosondagem 1,515 62.5 - - - - - - - 37.5 -
62.1 - - - - - - 37.9 - -
5–6 Dec UCP–CESOP 1,183 57.0 - - - - - - - 17.0 -
57.0 - - - - - - 17.0 - -
4–8 Feb Aximage 608 65.9 - - - - - - - 34.1 -
65.7 - - - - - - - - 34.3
62.8 - - - - 37.2 - - - -
- 59.6 - - - - - - 40.4 -
- 67.7 - - - - - - - 32.3
- 54.8 - - - 45.2 - - - -
- - 24.9 - - 75.1 - - - -
- - 35.2 - - - - - 64.8 -
- - 34.9 - - - - - - 65.1
8–14 Jan Eurosondagem 1,010 47.5 - - - 52.5 - - - - -
- 45.9 - - 54.1 - - - - -
- - 44.8 - 55.2 - - - - -
48.0 - - - - 52.0 - - - -
- 46.1 - - - 53.9 - - - -
- - 43.4 - - 56.6 - - - -
61.1 - - - - - - 38.9 - -
- 56.5 - - - - - 43.5 - -
- - 58.3 - - - - 41.7 - -
2015
17–21 Nov Eurosondagem 1,033 - - - 39.7 60.3 - - - - -
47.4 - - - 52.6 - - - - -
- - 41.3 - 58.7 - - - - -
- 44.2 - - 55.8 - - - - -
- - - 40.7 - 59.3 - - - -
48.2 - - - - 51.8 - - - -
- - 44.5 - - 55.5 - - - -
- 47.5 - - - 52.5 - - - -
- - - 55.2 - - 44.8 - - -
64.9 - - - - - 35.1 - - -
- - 58.0 - - - 42.0 - - -
- 64.8 - - - - 35.2 - - -
- - - 69.5 - - - 30.5 - -
70.2 - - - - - - 29.8 - -
- - 65.1 - - - - 34.9 - -
- 70.6 - - - - - 29.4 - -
2014

Centre-Right/Right

Polling of the most popular candidate on the right.
Date(s)
administered 		Poll source Sample size File:Paulo-de-Morais.png Others/
Undecided
Marcelo
PSD 		Rio
PSD 		Santana
PSD 		Barroso
PSD 		Portas
CDS–PP 		Mendes
PSD 		Esteves
PSD 		Beleza
PSD 		Leite
PSD 		Morais
Ind.
12–16 Jul Aximage 607 46.2 36.7 - 6.5 - - - - - - 10.6
2–7 Jul Eurosondagem 1,025 29.6 24.8 16.9 - - - - - - 2.0 26.7
3–6 Mar Aximage[47] 600 49.8 35.7 5.6 - - - - - 7.0 - 1.9
3–6 Mar Aximage[48] 600 39.7 40.2 4.8 - - - - - 8.6 - 6.7
2015
6–9 Dez Aximage 609 44.2 32.3 4.2 8.2 - - - 4.3 - - 6.8
30 Oct–5 Nov Eurosondagem 1,005 29.3 26.4 13.3 6.9 4.8 2.5 2.1 - - - 14.7
2013
5–7 Mar Aximage 600 40.0 - 9.3 22.9 - - - 8.3 - - 19.5
2012

Centre-Left/Left

Polling of the most popular candidate on the left.
Date(s)
administered 		Poll source Sample size Others/
Undecided
Costa
PS 		Guterres
PS 		Sócrates
PS 		Vitorino
PS 		Silva
Ind. 		Rodrigues
PS 		Nóvoa
Ind. 		Belém
PS 		Seguro
PS 		Oliveira Martins
Ind. 		Neto
PS
12–16 Jul Aximage 607 - - - - - - 25.9 32.4 - 18.1 - 23.7
2–7 Jul Eurosondagem 1,025 - - - - - - 33.3 25.0 - - 4.8 36.9
3–6 Mar Aximage[49] 600 - - - 39.5 20.0 - - 25.7 8.8 - - 6.0
3–6 Mar Aximage[48] 600 - - - 42.4 10.7 - - 21.1 13.4 - - 12.4
2015
6–9 Dez Aximage 609 43.8 27.3 - - 6.3 - 3.1 10.4 - - - 9.1
30 Oct–5 Nov Eurosondagem 1,005 26.6 20.9 13.7 10.0 6.5 3.3 2.2 - - - - 16.8
2013
5–7 Mar Aximage 600 33.1 25.4 - - 10.3 - - 15.0 - - - 16.2
2012

Presidential debates

There will be several number of debates between all the candidates in the three TV networks RTP, SIC, TVI. In the end there will be a final debate between all of candidates.[50]

Completed televised debates:

Organizer Participants Date Moderator Notes
RTP1 Sampaio da Nóvoa ; Marisa Matias (BE) 1 January José Rodrigues dos Santos
SIC Notícias Maria de Belém ; Paulo de Morais Anselmo Crespo
TVI24 Henrique Neto ; Edgar Silva (PCP) Paulo Magalhães
TVI24 Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP) ; Vitorino Silva;
Jorge Sequeira; Cândido Ferreira		 Paulo Magalhães
RTP1 Sampaio da Nóvoa ; Henrique Neto 2 January José Rodrigues dos Santos
SIC Notícias Marisa Matias (BE) ; Paulo de Morais Anselmo Crespo
TVI24 Maria de Belém ; Edgar Silva (PCP) Paulo Magalhães
RTP1 Edgar Silva (PCP) ; Paulo de Morais 3 January José Rodrigues dos Santos
SIC Notícias Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP) ; Henrique Neto Anselmo Crespo
TVI24 Maria de Belém ; Marisa Matias (BE) Paulo Magalhães
Antena 1 Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP); Sampaio da Nóvoa ;
Maria de Belém; Henrique Neto; Paulo de Morais; Marisa Matias (BE);
Edgar Silva (PCP); Vitorino Silva; Jorge Sequeira; Cândido Ferreira		 4 January Maria Flor Pedroso Radio Debate
RTP1 Maria de Belém ; Henrique Neto João Adelino Faria
SIC Notícias Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP) ; Marisa Matias (BE) Anselmo Crespo
TVI24 Sampaio da Nóvoa ; Edgar Silva (PCP) Paulo Magalhães
RTP1 Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP) ; Edgar Silva (PCP) 5 January João Adelino Faria
SIC Notícias Henrique Neto ; Marisa Matias (BE) Anselmo Crespo
TVI24 Sampaio da Nóvoa ; Paulo de Morais Paulo Magalhães
SIC Notícias Sampaio da Nóvoa ; Vitorino Silva; Jorge Sequeira Anselmo Crespo
RTP1 Marisa Matias (BE) ; Edgar Silva (PCP) 6 January João Adelino Faria
SIC Notícias Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP) ; Paulo de Morais Anselmo Crespo
TVI24 Henrique Neto ; Paulo de Morais Paulo Magalhães
RTP1 Maria de Belém; Vitorino Silva; Jorge Sequeira 7 January João Adelino Faria
SIC Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP) ; Sampaio da Nóvoa Clara de Sousa
RTP1 Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP) ; Maria de Belém 8 January João Adelino Faria
TVI Sampaio da Nóvoa ; Maria de Belém 9 January Judite de Sousa
RTP1 Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (PSD/CDS-PP); Sampaio da Nóvoa ;
Henrique Neto; Paulo de Morais; Marisa Matias (BE);
Edgar Silva (PCP); Vitorino Silva; Jorge Sequeira; Cândido Ferreira		 19 January Carlos Daniel
Vítor Gonçalves		 Debate between all the candidates except
Maria de Belém.[51][b]

Campaign Budgets

Candidate (party) Election
Result 		State Subsidy Political Parties
Contributions 		Fundraising Total Revenue Expenses Debt
Calculated Budgeted Calculated Budgeted
Marcelo R. Sousa (PSD, CDS-PP, PPM) 52.0% €0 €90,000 €0 €67,000 €0 €157,000 €157,000 €0
Sampaio da Nóvoa (I) 22.9% €0 €798,000 €0 €170,000 €0 €968,000 €742,000 €0
Marisa Matias (BE) 10.1% €0 €308,660 €0 €146,000 €0 €454,660 €454,660 €0
Maria de Belém (I) 4.2% €0 €790,656 €0 €105,970 €0 €896,626 €650,000 €0
Edgar Silva (PCP) 4.0% €0 €377,750 €342,250 €30,000 €0 €750,000 €750,000 €0
Vitorino Silva (I) 3.3% €0 €0 €0 €50,000 €0 €50,000 €50,000 €0
Paulo de Morais (I) 2.2% €0 €61,000 €0 €32,000 €0 €93,000 €93,000 €0
Henrique Neto (I) 0.8% €0 €199,000 €0 €76,000 €0 €275,000 €275,000 €0
Jorge Sequeira (I) 0.3% €0 €0 €0 €123,500 €0 €123,500 €123,500 €0
Cândido Ferreira (I) 0.2% €0 €0 €0 €60,000 €0 €60,000 €60,000 €0
Source: Portuguese Constitutional Court (TC)[52]

Results

Candidate receiving most votes, per municipalty: Marcelo - orange; Nóvoa - yellow; Edgar Silva - red
e • d Summary of the 24 January 2016 Portuguese presidential election results
Candidates Supporting parties First round
Votes %
Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa Social Democratic Party, People's Party, People's Monarchist Party 2,410,130 52.00
António Sampaio da Nóvoa Independent supported by the Workers' Communist Party, FREE/Time to move Foward 1,060,769 22.89
Marisa Matias Left Bloc, Socialist Alternative 469,307 10.13
Maria de Belém Independent 196,582 4.24
Edgar Silva Portuguese Communist Party 182,905 3.95
Vitorino Silva Independent 152,045 3.28
Paulo de Morais Independent 99,879 2.15
Henrique Neto Independent 38,910 0.84
Jorge Sequeira Independent 13,756 0.30
Cândido Ferreira Independent 10,570 0.23
Total valid 4,634,853 100.00
Blank ballots 58,663 1.24
Invalid ballots 43,757 0.92
Total (turnout 48.84%) 4,737,273
Source: Resultados Oficiais
Vote share 1st Round
Marcelo R. de Sousa
 
 52.00%
Sampaio da Nóvoa
 
 22.89%
Marisa Matias
 
 10.13%
Maria de Belém
 
 4.24%
Edgar Silva
 
 3.95%
Vitorino Silva
 
 3.28%
Paulo de Morais
 
 2.15%
Henrique Neto
 
 0.84%
Jorge Sequeira
 
 0.30%
Cândido Ferreira
 
 0.23%
Blank/Invalid
 
 2.16%
Abstention
 
 51.16%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c This poll provides data ranges and/or approximations. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.
  2. ^ Maria de Belém Roseira was invited to the debate, but did not participate because of the death, the day before, of António de Almeida Santos, her supporter in the campaign.

References

  1. ^ Henrique Neto recolhe mais de 7900 assinaturas TSF, 11 December 2015. Retrieved 11 December 2015
  2. ^ Henrique Neto candidata-se a Belém com soluções à esquerda e à direita, Jornal i, 25 March 2015. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  3. ^ Sampaio da Nóvoa. O novo ídolo da esquerda, Jornal i, 15 September 2013. Retrieved 22 June 2014.
  4. ^ http://visao.sapo.pt/sampaio-da-novoa-avanca-oficialmente-a-29-de-abril=f816976
  5. ^ Candidato presidencial Sampaio da Nóvoa “praticamente seguro” de segunda volta, Observador, 22 December 2015. Retrieved 22 December 2015.
  6. ^ Médico Cândido Ferreira apresenta candidatura a 25 de abril em Cantanhede
  7. ^ Edgar Silva formaliza candidatura à Presidência e garante não ter “amarras”, Público, 7 December 2015. Retrieved 14 December 2015.
  8. ^ PCP já tem candidato às presidenciais. Saiba quem é o padre Edgar Silva, Diário Económico, 8 October 2015. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  9. ^ Jorge Sequeira apresenta assinaturas e quer Portugal sem "partidocracia", Porto Canal, 22 December 2015. Retrieved 22 December 2015.
  10. ^ Tino de Rans é candidato e tem 8.118 apoiantes, Diário de Notícias, 23 December 2015. Retrieved 29 December 2015.
  11. ^ Marisa Matias formaliza candidatura a Presidente da República, Esquerda.net, 17 December 2015. Retrieved 22 December 2015.
  12. ^ Marisa Matias é candidata à Presidência da República, Esquerda.net, 18 de Outubro de 2015.
  13. ^ Contra a austeridade, votar Marisa Matias nas Presidenciais e exigir que o Governo devolva o que a direita roubou
  14. ^ Maria de Belém entrega assinaturas no Tribunal Constitucional e diz confiar na vitória , RTP Notícias, 22 December 2015. Retrieved 22 December 2015.
  15. ^ Oficial: Maria de Belém comunicou a Costa que será candidata à Presidência, Observador, 17 August 2015. Retrieved 17 August 2015.
  16. ^ Passos e Portas formalizam apoio a Marcelo, Observador, 10 de Novembro de 2015. Vista em10 de Novembro de 2015.
  17. ^ Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa admite candidatura às presidenciais de 2016, SIC Notícias, 27 de Outubro de 2013. Vista em 24 de Agosto de 2014.
  18. ^ PSD começa a acreditar que Marcelo é candidato, SOL, 5 de Abril de 2015. Vista em 5 de Abril de 2015.
  19. ^ Marcelo já decidiu avançar, SOL, 21 de Agosto de 2015. Vista em 21 de Agosto de 2015.
  20. ^ Belém: Caminho mais aberto para Marcelo, Observador, 29 de Agosto de 2015. Vista em 29 de Agosto de 2015.
  21. ^ Passos Coelho não afasta apoio nas presidenciais. Marcelo sorri, Observador, 5 de Setembro de 2015. Vista em 5 de Setembro de 2015.
  22. ^ Marcelo aproxima-se de Passos. “Tem de ser”, Expresso, 20 de Setembro de 2015. Vista em 20 de Setembro de 2015.
  23. ^ Marcelo: “Estou mais bem situado” que Rui Rio para as presidenciais, Observador, 2 de Outubro de 2015. Vista em 3 de Outubro de 2015.
  24. ^ Presidenciais: Marcelo já tomou a decisão e tudo indica que avança, Público, 5 de Outubro de 2015. Vista em 6 de Outubro de 2015.
  25. ^ Marcelo apresenta candidatura hoje às 18h00, Observador, 9 de Outubro de 2015. Vista em 9 de Outubro de 2015.
  26. ^ Mais um candidato a Belém. Agora é Paulo Morais, Observador, 9 April 2015. Retrieved 9 April.
  27. ^ Paulo Morais, o primeiro candidato oficial
  28. ^ Candidato Vieira - Página Oficial
  29. ^ (26 November 2015) "Paulo Freitas do Amaral desiste da candidatura presidencial" TVI 24. Retrieved 26 November 2015.
  30. ^ (14 December 2016) Orlando Cruz e António Araujo da Silva desistem da corrida a Belém Observador. Retrieved 14 December 2016.
  31. ^ [1]
  32. ^ (21 December 2015) Castanheira Barros desiste da cirrida a Belém Correio da Manhã. Retrieved 22 December 2015.
  33. ^ (23 December 2015) Manuela Gonzaga desiste de candidatura à Presidência. “Não vale a pena inventar desculpas” Expresso. Retrieved 25 December 2015.
  34. ^ Presidenciais Nobre a caminho de Belém? "Sou um putativo candidato", Notícias ao Minuto, 14 February 2014. Retrieved 22 June 2014.
  35. ^ (7 February 2015) "PS vira-se para Vitorino, mas não confirma desistência de Guterres", Publico. Retrieved 8 February 2015.
  36. ^ (9 January 2014) Pires de Lima: "Paulo Portas é um bom candidato a Presidente da República", Dinheiro Vivo. Retrieved 22 June 2014.
  37. ^ (19 February 2015) "Manuela Ferreira Leite não afasta candidatura a Belém" Público. Retrieved 22 February 2015.
  38. ^ António Guterres diz que não é candidato a ser candidato às presidenciais de 2016, Observador, 10 April 2015. Retrieved 08 August 2015.
  39. ^ Carvalho da Silva quebra silêncio e diz que não é candidato às presidenciais, Diário Económico, 08 May 2015. Retrieved 08 August 2015.
  40. ^ Santana Lopes anuncia que não é candidato a Belém, Expresso, 27 August 2015. Retrieved 27 August 2015.
  41. ^ Rio desiste da candidatura a Belém , Expresso, 15 October 2015. Retrieved 15 October 2015.
  42. ^ Jardim não se candidata a Belém e apoia Marcelo, SOL, 15 October 2015. Retrieved 15 October 2015.
  43. ^ Undecided voters: 16.1
  44. ^ Undecided voters: 17.7
  45. ^ Rui Rio: 21.5
  46. ^ Rui Rio: 15.1
  47. ^ Only PSD and CDS–PP voters asked.
  48. ^ a b All voters asked.
  49. ^ Only PS, BE and CDU voters asked.
  50. ^ Maria de Belém e Sampaio da Nóvoa enfrentam-se a 9 de janeiro. Todas as datas dos debates presidenciais, Observador, 21 December 2015. Retrieved 22 December 2015.
  51. ^ Maria de Belém suspende campanha e também não vai ao debate a 10 na RTP, Rádio Renascença, 19 January 2016. Retrieved 19 January 2016.
  52. ^ Campaign Budgets for the 2016 Presidential election, Portuguese Constitutional Court, retrieved 20 January 2016.
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2016_Portuguese_presidential_election&oldid=701648004"