User:FlyingSquid1234/sandbox
District 27
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Due to redistricting, the incumbent changed from Democrat Judy Chu to Republican Mike Garcia. Garcia, who has represented the 25th district since 2020, was re-elected with 50.05% of the vote in 2020.[1]
Candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Mike Garcia (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
- Christy Smith (Democratic), former state assemblywoman and runner-up for this district in 2020[3]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Ruth Luevanos (Democratic), Simi Valley city councillor[4]
- Mark Pierce (Republican), small business owner
- Quaye Quartey (Democratic), retired U.S. Navy officer[5]
- David Rudnick (Republican), business owner, former U.S. Marine Corps Infantryman[6]
Candidates[a]
Declined
[edit]- Steve Hill (Democratic), appraiser, comedian, and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[7][8]
- Chris Bellingham (Democratic), former combat medic and researcher[9]
- Rhoda Nazanin (Democratic), project manager[9]
- Dara Stransky (Democratic), voter registration professional[10]
Endorsements
[edit]Mike Garcia (R)
- Organizations
Ruth Luevanos (D)
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States in 2020[13]
Quaye Quartey (D)
Christy Smith (D)
- Federal officials
- Mark DeSaulnier, U.S. Representative[18]
- Jerry McNerney, U.S. Representative[18]
- Harley Rouda, former U.S. Representative[18]
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, U.S. Representative[18]
- Brad Sherman, U.S. Representative[18]
- Statewide politicians
- Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California[18]
- Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California[18]
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner[18]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer[18]
- Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[18]
- Shirley Weber, California Secretary of State[18]
- Betty Yee, California State Controller[18]
- State legislators
- Local officials
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- California Democratic Party[18]
- California Environmental Voters[20]
- Equality California[21]
- Sierra Club[22]
- Stonewall Democrats[23]
- Labor unions
- SEIU California[24]
- United Auto Workers[25]
Primary election
[edit]Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Mike Garcia (R) |
Quaye Quartey (D) |
Christy Smith (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R) | April 19–20, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 10% | 34% | 12% |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Tossup | December 21, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Tossup | December 28, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Tossup | January 4, 2022 |
| Politico[29] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[30] | Tossup | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[31] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[32] | Lean R | July 20, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[33] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Mike Garcia (R) |
Christy Smith (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R) | April 19–20, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
- Mike Garcia vs. Quaye Quartey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Mike Garcia (R) |
Quaye Quartey (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R) | April 19–20, 2022 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Results
[edit]| Primary election | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Mike Garcia (incumbent) | 57,469 | 47.1 | |
| Democratic | Christy Smith | 45,675 | 37.4 | |
| Democratic | Quaye Quartey | 8,303 | 6.8 | |
| Democratic | Ruth Luevanos | 6,668 | 5.5 | |
| Republican | David Rudnick | 2,648 | 2.2 | |
| Republican | Mark Pierce | 1,352 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 122,115 | 100.0 | ||
| General election | ||||
| Republican | Mike Garcia (incumbent) | |||
| Democratic | Christy Smith | |||
| Total votes | 100.0 | |||
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
:0was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Rep. Mike Garcia's voting record: Will it be an obstacle to reelection?". Los Angeles Times. July 5, 2021.
- ^ Metha, Seema (March 31, 2021). "In congressional rematch, Democrat Christy Smith hopes GOP Rep. Mike Garcia's voting record gives her an edge". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 31, 2021.
- ^ Mehta, Seema (April 5, 2021). "Rep. Mike Garcia faces another Democratic challenger — Simi Valley Council Member Ruth Luevanos". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ Marinucci, Carla; White, Jeremy B.; Tzul, Richard (June 3, 2021). "'EUPHORIC' economic comeback — Veteran challenges MIKE GARCIA — FREE BEER for vaccinations? — SoCAL home prices jumping '$1 every two minutes'". Politico. Retrieved June 11, 2021.
- ^ "About David - David Rudnick for Congress". 2019-09-18. Retrieved 2022-05-18.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1523010". docquery.fec.gov.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
politics1was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Kurdoghlian, Kev (April 16, 2021). "25th Congressional District candidates report fundraising". The Santa Clarita Valley Signal.
- ^ Kurdoghlian, Kev (July 8, 2021). "Lancaster mom joins 25th District race". Retrieved 14 September 2021.
- ^ "New House Endorsees". Republican Jewish Coalition.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
auto5was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Marianne Williamson's Candidate Summit". Candidate Summit. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
- ^ "314 ACTION FUND ENDORSES ENGINEER AND INTELLIGENCE OFFICER QUAYE QUARTEY IN CA-25 RACE". www.314action.org. September 27, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
ndcwas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Endorsement: Quaye Quartey for Congress (CA-25)". www.newpolitics.org. September 20, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
- ^ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Quaye Quartey for Congress". www.votevets.org. June 29, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Endorsements". Christy Smith for Congress.
- ^ "Endorsement: Christy Smith for Congress". Los Angeles Times. May 16, 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
- ^ "Current Endorsements". California Environmental Voters.
- ^ "Equality California Endorses Christy Smith for Congress in CA-27". February 28, 2022.
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