Wikipedia talk:Five-million pool

This page was nominated for deletion on 13 July 2012. The result of the discussion was keep.

When should this pool be closed??

Any opinions on when this pool should be closed?? I say it should be whenever Wikipedia reaches 2,000,000 articles. Anyone disagree?? Georgia guy 00:26, 1 Apr 2005 (UTC)

Either that, or on reaching 2,500,000 articles. — JIP | Talk 05:09, 7 Apr 2005 (UTC)
Well, I added a while ago that this should close after article 2,500,000 (in line with other pools), so that is a good idea. (Yes, I know this discussion has been very dormant since April 2005, which was still long before I announced the closing time...) --WCQuidditch ☎ ✎ 17:17, 26 February 2006 (UTC)[reply]

How about 3,000,000 articles? --Joe Schme^(ssages)dley 21:42, 3 December 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Why so large?? The 1MP closed after Wikipedia reached 500K articles. Georgia guy 22:28, 3 December 2006 (UTC)[reply]

This pool will be closing very soon. Probably before the end of June. JIP | Talk 03:38, 25 June 2008 (UTC)[reply]

Clarification of the rules

Is it server time, UTC or something else we're betting on? Also, I think people should write what time of day they're voting on. :) /skagedal^... 17:20, 5 December 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It is based on server time and if no time specified, noon is assumed.SYSS Mouse 01:48, 10 September 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Position of Never

The categories are in chronological order.. so shouldn't Never go last? After Eternity? :P Also its contents are pretty negative and probably discourage participation. --Zojj (t,c) 04:37, 10 January 2008 (UTC)[reply]

mathematically based solution

Based on Wikipedia's growth rate, I found several points comparing the year and month to the article count. I then used quadratic regression (on my TI-84, of course) to find the equation of the curve of best fit. Plugging 5 million in gives the date of May 25th, 2011. Any thoughts? Whaatt^uSpeak_{what iDone} 22:29, 30 April 2009 (UTC)[reply]

Exponential curve gives June 4, 2013. Whaatt^uSpeak_{what iDone} 22:29, 30 April 2009 (UTC)[reply]

2011-09-14, on the assumption that the number of articles doubles every 18 months, a la Moore's Law (exponential curve, starting from 1.72m articles on 2007-04-02). But it looks like I am (will be) wrong. — Loadmaster (talk) 17:33, 14 January 2011 (UTC)[reply]

Bets on Wikipedia:Five-million pool (2) are still open. Make sure you place your bets there before reaching 4M. HenkvD (talk) 13:29, 16 January 2011 (UTC)[reply]

Future pools

I propose a new schedule for future pools. It also effects this pool (5M), so see Wikipedia talk:Pools#Future pools (2). HenkvD (talk) 18:04, 5 September 2009 (UTC)[reply]

Now that we hit five million, I propose reopening the pool for when we go back down to that number. All votes for dates after 1 Nov 2015 will still stand! ^{The deletionists are coming, the deletionists are coming!} Etamni | ✉ | ✓ 23:31, 5 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Prediction

Wikipedia is now at halfway between four million and five million. It has taken it a year and nine months to gain half a million articles, therefore I predict it will take it another year and nine months to gain another half a million articles. It will reach five million in January 2016, and either User:Mark E or User:Mac Davis will win. JIP | Talk 05:25, 25 April 2014 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at halfway between four and a half million and five million. It has taken it eleven months to gain a quarter of a million articles, therefore I predict it will take it another eleven months to gain another quarter of a million articles. It will reach five million in February 2016, and User:Mac Davis will win. JIP | Talk 10:51, 25 March 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at halfway between four and three quarters of a million and five million. It has taken it two months to gain an eighth of a million articles, therefore I predict it will take it another two months to gain another eighth of a million articles. It will reach five million in July 2015, and User:Sverdrup will win. JIP | Talk 18:45, 25 May 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at one hundred thousand away from five million. It has taken it one month to gain a quarter of a hundred thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take it another four months to gain another hundred thousand articles. It will reach five million in October 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 11:09, 24 June 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at three quarters of a hundred thousand away from five million. It has taken it one month to gain a quarter of a hundred thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another three months to gain another three quarters of a hundred thousand articles. It will reach five million in October 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 16:15, 23 July 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at half a hundred thousand away from five million. It has taken it one month to gain a quarter of a hundred thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another two months to gain another half a hundred thousand articles. It will reach five million in October 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 13:59, 22 August 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at one quarter of a hundred thousand away from five million. It has taken it about a month and a week to gain a quarter of a hundred thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another month and a week to gain another quarter of a hundred thousand articles. It will reach five million in November 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 16:11, 27 September 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at twenty thousand away from five million. It has taken it eight days to gain five thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another thirty-two days to gain another twenty thousand articles. It will reach five million in November 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 19:37, 5 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at fifteen thousand away from five million. It has taken it one week to gain five thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another three weeks to gain another fifteen thousand articles. It will reach five million in November 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 06:52, 12 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at ten thousand away from five million. It has taken it six days to gain five thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another twelve days to gain another ten thousand articles. It will reach five million in late October 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 20:07, 18 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at five thousand away from five million. It has taken it one week to gain five thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another week to gain another five thousand articles. It will reach five million in early November 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 17:22, 25 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at four thousand away from five million. It has taken it one day to gain one thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another four days to gain another four thousand articles. It will reach five million in late October 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 20:56, 26 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at three thousand away from five million. It has taken it two days to gain one thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another six days to gain another three thousand articles. It will reach five million in early November 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 10:59, 28 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at two thousand away from five million. It has taken it two days to gain one thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another four days to gain another two thousand articles. It will reach five million in early November 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 22:47, 29 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Wikipedia is now at one thousand away from five million. It has taken it two days to gain one thousand articles, therefore I predict it will take another two days to gain another thousand articles. It will reach five million in early November 2015, and User:Mark E will win. JIP | Talk 15:52, 31 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

I have been following your predictions. Very interesting! Thanks! --User101010 (talk) 19:05, 25 October 2015 (UTC)[reply]

It was interesting to see the predictions bounce around, then go back and forth between Oct and Nov then finally land on Nov 1. Thanks again. --User101010 (talk) 13:49, 1 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]