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Ian Bremmer

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Ian Bremmer
Ian Bremmer, photo credit: Stephen Voss
Ian Bremmer, photo credit: Stephen Voss
Born (1969-11-12) November 12, 1969 (age 54)
United States
OccupationPolitical scientist, author, entrepreneur
Nationality United States
EducationB.A., Tulane University
M.A., Ph.D., Stanford University
Website
http://www.eurasiagroup.net/about-eurasia-group/who-is/ian-bremmer

Ian Bremmer (born November 12, 1969) is an American political scientist specializing in US foreign policy, states in transition, and global political risk. He is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, a leading global political risk research and consulting firm. Eurasia Group provides financial, corporate, and government clients with information and insight on how political developments move markets. Bremmer is of Armenian and German descent.[1]

Bremmer’s books include The J Curve: A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall (Simon & Schuster, 2006), named a Book of the Year by The Economist magazine,[2] and The Fat Tail: The Power of Political Knowledge for Strategic Investing (Oxford University Press, 2009, with Preston Keat). His most recent book, the national bestseller The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations (Portfolio, May 2010), details the new global phenomenon of state capitalism and its implications for economics and politics.

Bremmer is a frequent writer and commentator in the media. He is a contributor for the Financial Times A-List[3] and writes "The Call" blog on ForeignPolicy.com; he has also published articles in the Washington Post, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, Harvard Business Review, and Foreign Affairs. He is a panelist for CNN International's "Connect the World" and appears regularly on CNBC, Fox News Channel, National Public Radio, and other networks.

Bremmer is most widely known for advances in political risk; called the "rising guru" in the field by the Economist[4] and, more directly, bringing political science as a discipline to the financial markets.[5] In 2001, Bremmer created Wall Street’s first global political risk index, now the GPRI (Global Political Risk Index) —a joint venture with investment bank Citigroup. Bremmer's definition of an emerging market as "a country where politics matters at least as much as economics to the market"[6] is a standard reference in the political risk field.

Among his professional appointments, Bremmer serves on the Board of Trustees of the Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs and the Advisory Board of the Westport Public Library. In 2007, he was named as a 'Young Global Leader' of the World Economic Forum, and in 2010 was appointed Chair of the Forum's Global Agenda Council for Geopolitical Risk.

Bremmer received his B.A. at Tulane University, and his M.A. and Ph.D. in political science from Stanford University in 1994. He then served on the faculty of the Hoover Institution where, at 25, he became the Institution’s youngest ever National Fellow. He has held research and faculty positions at Columbia University (where he presently teaches), the EastWest Institute, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and the World Policy Institute, where he has served as Senior Fellow since 1997.

Key concepts

The J-Curve

Bremmer's J curve outlines the link between a country's openness and its stability. While many countries are stable because they are open (the United States, France, Japan), others are stable because they are closed (North Korea, Cuba, Iraq under Saddam Hussein). States can travel both forward (right) and backwards (left) along this J curve, so stability and openness are never secure. The J is steeper on the left hand side, as it is easier for a leader in a failed state to create stability by closing the country than to build a civil society and establish accountable institutions; the curve is higher on the far right than left because states that prevail in opening their societies (Eastern Europe, for example) ultimately become more stable than authoritarian regimes.



State Capitalism

Ian Bremmer describes state capitalism as a system in which the state dominates markets primarily for political gain. In his book, The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations (New York: Portfolio, 2010), Bremmer describes China as the primary driver for the rise of state capitalism as a challenge to the free market economies of the developed world, particularly in the aftermath of the financial crisis.[7]

G-Zero

The term G-Zero refers to a breakdown in global leadership brought about by a decline of Western influence and the inability of other nations to fill the void.[8][9] It is a reference to a perceived shift away from the pre-eminence of the Group of Seven industrialized countries and the expanded Group of Twenty, which includes major emerging powers like China, India, Brazil, Turkey, and others. According to Bremmer, in the G-Zero, no country or group of countries has the political and economic leverage to drive an international agenda or provide global public goods.[10][11]

Selected bibliography

Books

Essays

Blogs

Interviews

Testimony

Research

Ian Bremmer's research interests include:

Current appointments

References

  1. ^ Thompson, Damian (September 30, 2006). "Here's how the world works". The Daily Telegraph. London. Retrieved 2008-08-01.
  2. ^ "Fighting to be tops". The Economist. December 7, 2006.
  3. ^ "The A-List". The Financial Times. June 2011.
  4. ^ "Beyond Economics". The Economist. February 10, 2011.
  5. ^ Quinn, James (July 10, 2010). "The West Should Fear the Growth of State Capitalism". The Daily Telegraph. London. Retrieved 2010-07-10.
  6. ^ Managing Risk in an Unstable World
  7. ^ [http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/439ccee0-bec6-11df-a755-00144feab49a,dwp_uuid=9bee261a-bec7-11df-a755-00144feab49a.html#axzz17YEJxrzO
  8. ^ Eurasia Group Top 10 Risks of 2011
  9. ^ Gregory Scoblete. Will Free Markets Give Way to State Capitalism?, RealClearPolitics, May 28, 2010.
  10. ^ Ian Bremmer and David Gordon.G-Zero, Foreign Policy Magazine, January 7, 2011.
  11. ^ Ian Bremmer and Nouriel Roubini. A G-Zero World, Foreign Affairs, March/April 2011.
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