2020 New Brunswick general election: Difference between revisions

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| previous_election = New Brunswick general election, 2018
| previous_election = New Brunswick general election, 2018
| previous_year = 2018
| previous_year = 2018
| election_date = On or before September 26, 2022
| election_date = On or before October 17, 2022
| next_election = 40th New Brunswick general election
| next_election = 40th New Brunswick general election
| next_year = Next
| next_year = Next
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The '''40th New Brunswick general election''' is scheduled to take place on or before September 26, 2022. The September 26 date is the result of an amendment made to the ''Legislative Assembly Act'' in 2007, causing an election to be held every four years, on the fourth Monday in September.<ref>{{cite web|title=An Act to Amend the Legislative Assembly Act|url=http://www1.gnb.ca/legis/bill/editform-e.asp?ID=555&legi=56&num=1|accessdate=March 28, 2011|author=Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick}}</ref>
The '''40th New Brunswick general election''' is scheduled to take place on or before October 17, 2022. The October 17 date is the result of an amendment made to the ''Legislative Assembly Act'' in 2017, causing an election to be held every four years, on the third Monday in October, beginning after the planned September 22, 2018 election.<ref>{{cite web|title=An Act to Amend the Legislative Assembly Act|url=https://www1.gnb.ca/legis/bill/editform-e.asp?ID=1332&legi=58&num=3|accessdate=November 27, 2018|author=Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick}}</ref> However, due to the current [[hung parliament|minority situation]] in the legislature, an election could occur sooner.


==Background==
==Background==

Revision as of 19:24, 27 November 2018

40th New Brunswick general election
← 2018 On or before October 17, 2022 Next →
49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
25 seats needed for a majority
  File:Blaine-Higgs.jpg
PANB
Leader Blaine Higgs Brian Gallant Kris Austin
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal People's Alliance
Leader since October 22, 2016 October 27, 2012 June 5, 2010
Leader's seat Quispamsis Shediac Bay-Dieppe Fredericton-Grand Lake
Last election 22 seats, 31.89% 21 seats, 37.80% 3 seats, 12.58%
Current seats 22 21 3
 
Leader David Coon
Party Green
Leader since September 22, 2012
Leader's seat Fredericton South
Last election 3 seats, 11.88%
Current seats 3
Incumbent Premier

Blaine Higgs
Progressive Conservative



The 40th New Brunswick general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 17, 2022. The October 17 date is the result of an amendment made to the Legislative Assembly Act in 2017, causing an election to be held every four years, on the third Monday in October, beginning after the planned September 22, 2018 election.[1] However, due to the current minority situation in the legislature, an election could occur sooner.

Background

The 2018 provincial election resulted in the first minority government in New Brunswick since the 1920 provincial election. On election night, Blaine Higgs claimed victory for the Progressive Conservative Party, saying his team had received a mandate from New Brunswickers; however, Brian Gallant stated his intention to remain in office by securing support on a vote-by-vote basis.[2] The following day, Gallant met with the lieutenant governor, Jocelyne Roy-Vienneau, and recived permission to continue in office and attempt to seek the confidence of the legislative assembly.[3] On September 27, Higgs met with the lieuntenat governor and was told that if Gallant was unable to secure the confidence of the house, he would be called on to form government. Shortly afterwards, Higgs called on Gallant to either resign or immediately recall the legislature: “[Gallant] does not have a mandate to govern and he is prolonging the inevitable, and it’s unfortunate that that’s the case. If he refuses to resign, he should do what is right for New Brunswick and immediately call the legislature back, so the province has a stable and functioning government.”[4]

After the election, both Kris Austin of the People’s Alliance and David Coon of the Green Party were noncommittal in their support. Austin pledged to work with any party willing to work with him, but said his party would not sacrifice its “values and ideals” to do so.[5] Coon said his caucus would take time to figure out how they would align themselves, but would not be able to work with anyone uncommitted to rights for linguistic minorities or combatting climate change.[6] Gallant opted to pursue a partnership with the Green Party, ruling out any arrangement with the Progressive Conservative Party or People’s Alliance because they were perceived as not sharing the Liberal Party’s “values.”[7] Higgs initially ruled out any formal agreements with other parties, but later said that a four-year agreement like in British Columbia would be ideal for stability.[8]

On September 28, Austin agreed to provide stability for a Progressive Conservative minority government on a “bill-by-bill basis” for 18 months. Austin said, “We want to give New Brunswickers some confidence that, as we’ve said all along and we continue to say, we will work with Mr. Higgs and the PC party to go on a bill-by-bill basis to promote stability in government for 18 months.” Higgs said he spoke to Austin about stabilizing the government but made no formal agreement. On October 10, Coon announced that the Green Party would not formally side with either party. When the legislative assembly sat on October 23, the Liberal member from Restigouche-Chaleur, Daniel Guitard, was acclaimed Speaker of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick, thereby reducing the government caucus to 20 seats.[9][10] On November 1, Coon indicated that his party would vote for the throne speech.

On November 2, the legislative assembly voted 25-23 for a motion, introduced by the Progressive Conservatives, to amended the throne speech to declare no confidence in the government. Subsequently, Gallant indicated his intention to resign the premiership and recommend to the lieutenant governor that Higgs be given the mandate to form government: “I will go see the lieutenant governor at her earliest convenience to inform her that I will be resigning as premier, and I will humbly suggest to her honour to allow the leader of the Conservative Party to attempt to form a government and attempt to gain the confidence of the house.” People’s Alliance leader Kris Austin said he would work with the new government “in the areas we agree on,” and reiterated his promise to support the Progressive Conservatives on confidence votes for a period of 18 months. Green Party leader David Coon said he would start working with the Tories in an attempt to ensure his party’s issues were on the government’s agenda.[11]

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Last Day of Polling Link PC Liberal PA Green NDP
MQO Research November 5, 2018 PDF 36 29 11 21 3
Mainstreet Research November 2, 2018 HTML 33.7 33.7 12.7 15.7 3
Election 2018 September 24, 2018 HTML 31.89 37.80 12.58 11.88 5.01

References

  1. ^ Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick. "An Act to Amend the Legislative Assembly Act". Retrieved November 27, 2018.
  2. ^ MacDonald, Michael (September 24, 2018). "New Brunswick Tories win most seats, but Liberals will try to stay in power". CTV News. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  3. ^ Fraser, Elizabeth (September 25, 2018). "Liberals and PCs continue battle over who will govern N.B." CBC News. Retrieved September 27, 2018. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  4. ^ "New Brunswick Tory leader Blaine Higgs calls on Premier Brian Gallant to resign". The Canadian Press. September 27, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  5. ^ Donkin, Karissa (September 24, 2018). "People's Alliance wins 3 seats in 'significant breakthrough'". CBC News. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  6. ^ Fraser, Elizabeth (September 24, 2018). "David Coon will head back to house with 2 other Green MLAs". CBC News. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  7. ^ Fraser, Elizabeth (September 26, 2018). "Liberals court Greens for governing partnership". CBC News. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  8. ^ "Four-year deal between New Brunswick Tories, smaller party ideal for stability: Higgs". The Canadian Press. October 1, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  9. ^ https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-new-brunswicks-liberal-government-seeks-common-ground-in-throne/
  10. ^ https://globalnews.ca/news/4585187/new-brunswick-legislature-opens/
  11. ^ Brian Gallant's minority government defeated after losing confidence vote

External links

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