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2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections

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2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol
provincial elections
← 2018 22 October 2023 Next →
Provincial election in Trentino
  First party Second party
 
Candidate Maurizio Fugatti Francesco Valduga
Party League Independent
Alliance Centre-right Centre-left
Seats won 21 13
Seat change Steady Increase 5
Popular vote 129,758 93,888
Percentage 51.82% 37.50%
Swing Increase 5.08% Increase 12.10%
President before election

Maurizio Fugatti
League

Elected President

Maurizio Fugatti
League

Provincial election in South Tyrol
All 35 seats to the Landtag of South Tyrol
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
SVP Arno Kompatscher 34.5 13 −2
Team Köllensperger Paul Köllensperger 11.1 4 −2
Südtiroler Freiheit Sven Knoll 10.9 4 +2
Greens Brigitte Foppa 9.0 3 0
Brothers of Italy Marco Galateo 6.0 2 +1
JWA List Jürgen Wirth Anderlan 5.9 2 New
Die Freiheitlichen Sabine Zoderer 4.9 2 0
Democratic Party Sandro Repetto 3.5 1 0
Für Südtirol mit Widmann Thomas Widmann 3.4 1 0
League Christian Bianchi 3.0 1 −3
La Civica Emanuela Albieri 2.6 1 New
Vita Renate Holzeisen 2.6 1 New
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Governor before Elected Governor
Arno Kompatscher
SVP		 TBD

The 2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections took place on 22 October 2023.[1] It is scheduled to be the final regional election in the country of 2023.

Background

Main articles: 2018 Italian general election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, 2018 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections, and 2022 Italian general election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol

Since the 2018 Italian general election, many changes started to occur in the Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol political landscape. For the first time since the 1996 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition managed to defeat the centre-left coalition in Trentino in a general election. Shortly thereafter, the Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party (PATT) decided to run separately (German: Blockfrei), leading to the first victory of the Maurizio Fugatti-led centre-right coalition in a provincial election in Trentino since the start of the Second Italian Republic with the 1994 Italian general election.

In South Tyrol, the traditionally dominant-party system led by the South Tyrolean People's Party (SVP) lost its majority in the 2013 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections. In the 2018 general election, the SVP and the Democratic Party of the centre-left coalition lost their majority, forcing SVP to form a coalition with Lega due to the ethnischer Proporz [it; de] system (Italian: proporzionale etnica). In the 2019 European Parliament election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, the SVP broke their traditional alliance with the PD and joined forces with the centre-right Forza Italia. Similarly in the 2022 general election SVP and PATT decided to run separated from the centre-left and joined forced with some centre-right autonomist parties like Trentino Project.[2]

After Brothers of Italy became largest party in Trentino in the 2022 general election, FdI proposed Francesca Gerosa as the new centre-right candidate.[3] This led to a conflict with PATT, which joined the centre-right coalition in an election for the first time since 2001, which strongly spoke against her.[4]

Trentino

In Trentino, the president is elected directly by the people; the candidate who gains the most votes is elected president.

Politics of Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol

Parties and candidates

Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-right coalition[5][6] League Trentino (LT) 27.1 13
Maurizio Fugatti
Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party–Popular Autonomists (PATT–AP) (incl. PT) 17.8 6
La Civica (LC) 4.6 2
Forza Italia (FI) 2.8 1
Union of the Centre (UDC) 2.1 0
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 1.4 0
Fassa Association (Fassa) 1.0 1
Fugatti for President — —
Democratic Alliance for Trentino[7] Democratic Party (PD) (incl. Futura) 13.9 4
Francesco Valduga
Campobase (CB) 4.0 1
Greens and Left Alliance (AVS) 1.4 0
Action (Az) — —
Italia Viva (IV) — —
FASCEGN — —
Autonomy House (CA) — —
Five Star Movement (M5S) 7.2 1
Alex Marini
People's Wave People's Union 0.8 0
Filippo Degasperi
Wave — —
My Valley — —
Alliance for Trentino Us with Divina for President (NcD) — —
Sergio Divina
Popular Alternative (AP) — —
Youth for Divina — —
Sovereign Popular Democracy (DSP) — —
Marco Rizzo
Alternative — —
Elena Dardo

Results

2023 Trentino provincial election results
Candidates Votes % Seats Parties Votes % Seats +/−
Maurizio Fugatti 129,758 51.82 1
League 30,347 13.05 5 –8
Brothers of Italy 28,714 12.35 5 +5
Fugatti for President 24,953 10.73 4 New
Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party 19,011 8.18 3 –3
La Civica 11,285 4.85 2 ±0
Forza Italia 4,708 2.02 0 –1
Fassa Association 2,018 0.87 1 ±0
Union of the Centre 1,362 0.59 0 ±0
Total 122,398 52.64 20 —
Francesco Valduga 93,888 37.50 1
Democratic Party 38,689 16.64 7 +3
Campobase 19,553 8.41 3 +2
Autonomy House 9,968 4.29 1 New
Greens and Left Alliance 7,565 3.25 1 +1
FASCEGN 3,634 1.56 0 ±0
Italia Viva 3,399 1.46 0 New
Action 3,302 1.42 0 New
Total 86,110 37.03 12 —
Filippo Degasperi 9,533 3.81 1
Wave 5,864 2.52 0 New
My Valley 1,204 0.52 0 New
People's Union 1,088 0.47 0 ±0
Total 8,156 3.51 0 —
Marco Rizzo 5,651 2.26 0 Sovereign Popular Democracy 5,457 2.35 0 New
Sergio Divina 5,558 2.22 0
Popular Alternative 2,261 0.97 0 New
Us with Divina for President 1,845 0.79 0 New
Youth for Divina 642 0.28 0 New
Total 4,748 2.04 0 —
Alex Marini 4,796 1.92 0 Five Star Movement 4,523 1.95 0 –1
Elena Dardo 1,205 0.48 0 Alternative 1,121 0.48 0 New
Total candidates 250,389 100 3 Total parties 232,513 100 32 ±0
Source: Autonomous Province of Trento

Opinion polling

Candidates

Date Polling firm Sample size Fugatti Valduga Marini Degasperi Divina Rizzo Dardo Others Lead
2–3 October 2023 BiDiMedia 1,000 42.7 35.9 4.2 4.5 9.0 3.2 0.5 — 6.8
12–17 September 2023 TermometroPolitico 1,000 35 36 5 2 13 6 — 3 1

Hypothetical candidates

Date Polling firm Sample size Fugatti Generic CSX Valduga Gerosa M5S Autonomists Degasperi Divina Others I don't know/
No Response/
No-One 		Lead
2–3 October 2023 BiDiMedia 1,000 41.8 — 35.9 — 5.9 — — — — — 5.9
September 2023 Insa 1,000 29 — 12 — — — 5 2 1 49 17
March 2023 Winpoll – 35 39 — 17 7 — — — 2 — 3
29 45[a] — 18 6 — — — 2 — 16
23 36 — 16 6 17 — — 2 — 13
49[b] 43[a] — — 6 — — — 2 — 6

Political parties

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-right Centre-left M5S Onda Popolare Alliance for Trentino DSP Alt. Lead
Lega PATT–PT–AP La Civica FI UdC FdI Fassa NM[c] Fugatti PD Futura[c] CB AVS Az IV CA FASCEGN UP Onda LMV TAL[c] NcD AP GDP
2–3 October 2023 BiDiMedia 1,000 10.6 6.7 5.3 1.3 0.8 13.6 1.1 — 5.6 16.3 — 6.8 3.7 2.0 1.3 4.8 0.7 3.9 1.0 2.5 0.8 — 3.5 3.2 1.3 2.7 0.5 2.7
11–14 July 2023 Winpoll 850 10 11 4 3 1 20 — 2 — 18 1 3 6 3 2 2 — 7 4 — 2 — — — 1 — 2

South Tyrol

Parties

Name Ideology Leading
candidate(s) 		2018 result Current seats
Votes (%) Seats
SVP South Tyrolean People's Party Christian democracy
Regionalism 		Arno Kompatscher[1] 41.9%
15 / 35
14 / 35
TK Team K Liberalism
Regionalism 		Paul Köllensperger
Maria Elisabeth Rieder[8] 		15.2%
6 / 35
4 / 35
Lega League – United for South Tyrol Right-wing populism
Regionalism 		Christian Bianchi[9] 11.4%
4 / 35
3 / 35
V–G–V Greens (incl. SI) Eco-socialism
Regionalism 		Brigitte Foppa[10] 6.8%
3 / 35
3 / 35
dF Die Freiheitlichen National conservatism
Separatism 		Sabine Zoderer[11] 6.2%
2 / 35
2 / 35
STF South Tyrolean Freedom National conservatism
Separatism 		Sven Knoll[12] 6.2%
2 / 35
2 / 35
PD Democratic Party (incl. PSI) Social democracy Sandro Repetto[13] 3.8%
1 / 35
1 / 35
M5S Five Star Movement Populism Diego Nicolini 2.4%
1 / 35
1 / 35
FdI Brothers of Italy National conservatism Marco Galateo 1.7%
1 / 35
1 / 35
FI Forza Italia (incl. UdC) Liberal conservatism Carlo Vettori 1.0%
0 / 35
1 / 35
FSmW For South Tyrol with Widmann Christian democracy
Regionalism 		Thomas Widmann[14]
DNE
1 / 35
Enzian Enzian COVID-19 scepticism
Regionalism 		Josef Unterholzner[15]
DNE
1 / 35
Vita Vita COVID-19 scepticism
Anti-establishment 		Renate Holzeisen[16]
DNE
0 / 35
JWA JWA List Separatism
Right-wing populism 		Jürgen Wirth Anderlan[17]
DNE
0 / 35
CD Centre-Right Conservatism Filippo Maturi[18]
DNE
0 / 35
LC La Civica (incl. Az, IV) Liberalism Emanuela Albieri
DNE
0 / 35

Opinion polling

Local regression trend line of poll results
Date Polling firm Sample size SVP TK Lega V-G-V dF STF PD M5S FdI FI Enzian FSmW JWA Vita Others Lead
Sep 2023 Insa 1,000 35 11 4 12 6 5 3 2 7 2 — 5 2 2 4 23
Aug–Sep 2023 Apollis 1,002 32 14 5 11 6 6 4 — 7 2 — 5 3 2 3 18
Jul 2023 Insa 1,000 37 8 7 12 9 7 3 1 7 4 1 — — — 4 25
Apr 2023 Demox – 36.5 12.5 5.5 10.5 6.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 1.5 — — — — 4 24
Feb–Mar 2023 Apollis – 40 13 3 14 7 6 4 2 6 — 1 — — — 4 26
Early 2023 Komma (leak, incomplete) – 36.5 TBA 5 TBA TBA TBA TBA 5 8 1.5 TBA — — — – N/A
Aug 2022 Apollis – 37 11 5 17 8 4 4 2 6 — 3 — — — 3 20
Jan 2022 Apollis – 42 8 8 14 6 7 4 1 4 — 1 — — — 5 28
Jul 2021 Apollis 1,001 43 9 10 13 4 7 6 2 2 — 0 — — — 4 30
21 Oct 2018 2018 provincial election 284,361 41.9 15.2 11.4 6.8 6.2 6.0 3.8 2.4 1.7 1.0 — — — — 4.0 26.7

Results

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
South Tyrolean People's Party97,09234.5313–2
Team K31,20111.094–2
South Tyrolean Freedom30,58310.884+2
Greens25,4459.053±0
Brothers of Italy16,7475.962+1
JWA List16,5965.902New
Die Freiheitlichen13,8364.922±0
Democratic Party9,7073.451±0
For South Tyrol with Widmann9,6463.431±0
League–United for South Tyrol8,5413.041–3
La Civica7,3012.601New
Vita7,2222.571New
Five Star Movement2,0860.740–1
ENZIAN1,9900.71–New
Forza Italia1,6250.580±0
Centre-Right1,6010.570New
Total281,219100.0035–
Valid votes281,21996.87
Invalid/blank votes9,0803.13
Total votes290,299100.00
Registered voters/turnout432,15667.17
Source: Official Results

References

  1. ^ a b "SVP-Leitung ernennt Arno Kompatscher zum Spitzenkandidaten". Südtirol News (in German). 28 February 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  2. ^ "Progetto Trentino e le elezioni, appoggio al Patt e alla Svp, Grisenti: «L'unica scelta per l'autonomia»". ladige.it (in Italian). 19 August 2022. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  3. ^ "Fratelli d'Italia sfida Fugatti e lancia Francesca Gerosa come candidata presidente della Provincia". ladige.it (in Italian). 12 January 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  4. ^ "Accordo Patt-Lega: c'è la fumata bianca. Marchiori: "Gerosa presidente con Fdi? Mai presa in considerazione, in quel caso non ci sarebbe stata alleanza"". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 1 March 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  5. ^ "Provinciali 2023, l'Udc per il Fugatti-bis. Dopo non aver piazzato consiglieri 5 anni fa chiede una modifica a legge elettorale per attenuare premio di maggioranza". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 8 February 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  6. ^ "In Trentino il centrodestra si compatta: anche Fratelli d'Italia sosterrà Fugatti presidente". Alto Adige (in Italian). 28 July 2023. Retrieved 30 July 2023.
  7. ^ "Dagli autonomisti alla sinistra, al tavolo di coalizione ci sono tutti (ma non si parla di nomi)". il Dolomiti (in Italian). 12 January 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  8. ^ "Das Spitzenduo". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 16 January 2023.
  9. ^ "Bianchi wird Lega-Spitzenkandidat". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). August 2023.
  10. ^ "Schluss mit einem Südtirol im Standby". V–G–V (in German). 4 April 2023.
  11. ^ "Freiheitliche: Pläne für die Landtagswahlen". RaiNews (in German). 5 February 2023.
  12. ^ "Sven Knoll Landeshauptmann-Kandidat der Süd-Tiroler Freiheit". STF (in German). 16 May 2023.
  13. ^ "„Lega wird nicht wahrgenommen"". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 11 April 2023.
  14. ^ "Jetzt spricht Thomas Widmann: Sein Plan für die Landtagswahl". Südtirol Online (in German). 26 July 2023.
  15. ^ "Die No-Vax-Fraktion". Neue Südtiroler Tageszeitung (in German). 21 January 2023.
  16. ^ "Sie will Südtirols Landeshauptfrau werden". Unsertirol.com (in German). 19 June 2023.
  17. ^ "Wirth Anderlan tritt mit eigener Liste zur Wahl an: "Enzian wollte mich nicht"". RaiNews (in German). 18 July 2023.
  18. ^ "Der ehemalige Lega-Mann Maturi präsentiert neue Partei". RaiNews (in German). 2 March 2023.
  1. ^ a b incl. PATT
  2. ^ incl. FdI
  3. ^ a b c withdrew
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