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Ottawa South (provincial electoral district)

Coordinates: 45°21′N 75°38′W / 45.350°N 75.633°W / 45.350; -75.633
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45°21′N 75°38′W / 45.350°N 75.633°W / 45.350; -75.633

Ottawa South
Ontario electoral district
Ottawa South in relation to other Ottawa electoral districts
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP
 
 
 
John Fraser
Liberal
District created1925
First contested1926
Last contested2018
Demographics
Population (2011)121,921
Electors (2013)86,346
Area (km²)76
Pop. density (per km²)1,604.2
Census division(s)Ottawa
Census subdivision(s)Ottawa

Ottawa South (Template:Lang-fr) is a provincial electoral district (riding) in the Canadian province of Ontario, in the city of Ottawa.

History

The district was created in 1925 from part of Ottawa West. Prior to the 1999 election, the provincial district did not have the same borders as the federal district.

Prior to the 1967 redistribution, the riding shared no common area with the present riding. Present day Ottawa South could be found in the riding of Russell prior to 1967.

After having been firmly conservative for the first 60 years, it has been in the hands of the Liberals without interruption since 1987. From 1987 to 2013, it was held by two generations of the McGuinty family–father Dalton Sr. from 1987 to 1990 and son Dalton Jr. from 1990 to 2013.

Members of Provincial Parliament

Ottawa South
Assembly Years Member Party
Riding created from Ottawa West
17th  1926–1929     Thomas Birkett Progressive Conservative
18th  1929–1934 Arthur Ellis
19th  1934–1937
20th  1937–1943 George Dunbar
21st  1943–1945
22nd  1945–1948
23rd  1948–1951
24th  1951–1955
25th  1955–1959
26th  1959–1963 Irwin Haskett
27th  1963–1967
28th  1967–1971
29th  1971–1975 Claude Bennett
30th  1975–1977
31st  1977–1981
32nd  1981–1985
33rd  1985–1987
34th  1987–1990     Dalton McGuinty, Sr. Liberal
35th  1990–1995 Dalton McGuinty
36th  1995–1999
37th  1999–2003
38th  2003–2007
39th  2007–2011
40th  2011–2013
 2013–2014 John Fraser
41st  2014–2018
42nd  2018–present

Election results

2018 general election

2018 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal John Fraser 20,773 39.63 −10.40
Progressive Conservative Karin Howard 15,319 29.23 -2.63
New Democratic Eleanor Fast 14,250 27.19 +14.82
Green Les Schram 1,618 3.09 −1.26
Libertarian Robert Daigneault 342 0.65 +0.07
Communist Larry Wasslen 114 0.22 −0.08
Total valid votes 52,616 100.0  
Liberal hold Swing
Source: Elections Ontario[1]

2014 general election

2014 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal John Fraser 23,708 49.96 +7.70
Progressive Conservative Matt Young 15,235 32.11 −6.84
New Democratic Bronwyn Funiciello 5,817 12.26 −1.93
Green Matt Lakatos-Hayward 2,034 4.29 +1.23
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 273 0.58 −0.01
Special Needs John Redins 244 0.51 +0.22
Communist Espoir Manirambona 139 0.29
Total valid votes 47,450 100.0  
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 432 0.91
Turnout 47,882 53.71
Eligible voters 89,150  
Liberal hold Swing +7.27
Source(s)
"General Election Results by District, 064 Ottawa South". Elections Ontario. 2014. Retrieved 17 June 2014.

2013 by-election

Election signs for John Fraser (Liberal), Taylor Howarth (Green), Bronwyn Funiciello (NDP) and Matt Young (PC)

Dalton McGuinty resigned the Premiership of Ontario in February 2013, but decided to stay on as MPP of Ottawa South until the next election. McGuinty changed his mind however, and resigned on June 12 amid the "gas plant scandal".

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP Green Other Type of poll Margin of error
Forum Research July 31 PDF 36 52 9 3 0 IVR 4%
Campaign Research July 30 PDF[permanent dead link] 35 42 12 6 5 IVR 4.5%
Forum Research July 24 HTML 34 48 12 5 1 IVR 4%
Campaign Research July 15 PDF[permanent dead link] 37 38 17 5 2 IVR 5.1%
Forum Research July 3 HTML 42 38 17 4 3 IVR 5%
Forum Research June 13 HTML 34 37 22 4 2 IVR 4%

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, August 1, 2013
Resignation of Dalton McGuinty
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Fraser 14,921 42.33 −6.53 $ 95,351.00
Progressive Conservative Matt Young 13,642 38.70 +5.27 89,316.00
New Democratic Bronwyn Funiciello 5,042 14.30 +0.91 40,274.11
Green Taylor Howarth 1,099 3.12 −0.11 2,212.50
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 208 0.59 +0.03 0.00
Special Needs John Redins 102 0.29 −0.24 0.00
Independent Daniel Post 91 0.26   0.00
Freedom Dave McGruer 85 0.24   0.00
Pauper John Turmel 58 0.16   0.00
Total valid votes / expense limit 35,248 100.00 −21.16 $ 104,501.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 216 0.61 +0.12
Turnout 35,464 40.38 −10.81
Eligible voters 87,816   +0.06
Liberal hold Swing −5.90

Elections 1926-2011

Map showing the winning party in each polling division shaded by vote percentage in the 2011 election
2011 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 21,842 48.86 −1.28 $ 74,137.81
Progressive Conservative Jason MacDonald 14,945 33.43 +3.77 48,914.10
New Democratic Wali Farah 5,988 13.39 +4.07 15,509.77
Green James Mihaychuk 1,442 3.23 −4.92 3,566.26
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 252 0.56 −0.24 0.00
Special Needs John Redins 238 0.53   0.00
Total valid votes 44,707 100.00 −6.67 $ 104,477.24
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 222 0.49 −0.29
Turnout 44,929 51.19 −5.41
Eligible voters 87,766   +2.88
Liberal hold Swing −2.52


2007 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 24,015 50.13 −1.30ᴿ $ 68,501.89
Progressive Conservative Richard Raymond 14,206 29.66 −4.24ᴿ 80,475.86
New Democratic Edelweiss D'Andrea 4,467 9.33 +0.26ᴿ 19,220.39
Green John Ford 3,902 8.15 +4.49  2,069.63
Family Coalition David MacDonald 927 1.94 +0.76  2,294.17
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 384 0.80   118.38
Total valid votes/expense limit 47,901 100.0   +1.28  $ 92,129.40
Total rejected ballots 380 0.79 +0.17 
Turnout 48,281 56.60 −2.17 
Eligible voters 85,305   +4.52 
Liberal hold Swing 1.47ᴿ
ᴿ Change based in redistributed results.
2003 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 24,647 51.70 +2.11 $ 70,963.18
Progressive Conservative Richard Raymond 16,413 34.43 −7.80 75,453.48
New Democratic James McLaren 4,306 9.03 +3.23 12,014.97
Green David Chernushenko 1,741 3.65 +2.07 2,884.13
Family Coalition John Pacheco 562 1.18   9,388.75
Total valid votes/expense limit 47,669 100.0   +4.11 $ 78,349.44
Total rejected ballots 296 0.62 −0.16
Turnout 47,965 58.77 +1.03
Eligible voters 81,614   +2.12
Liberal hold Swing +4.96
1999 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 22,707 49.59 −3.76 $ 62,090.51
Progressive Conservative Mike Nicholson 19,337 42.23 +12.41 20,397.04
New Democratic James McLaren 2,655 5.80 −8.86 14,683.16
Green George Brown 724 1.58 +0.26 0.00
Independent Meg Carson 243 0.53   8.09
Natural Law James Hea 121 0.26 −0.58 0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 45,787 100.0   +58.44 $ 76,725.12
Total rejected ballots 360 0.78 −0.01
Turnout 46,147 57.74 −8.77
Eligible voters 79,922   +82.50
Liberal hold Swing −8.09
Note: Boundaries significantly adjusted.  Percentage change not adjusted to reflected redistribution.
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1987, 1990 and 1995 elections.
1995 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 15,418 53.35 +7.48 $ 38,581.00
Progressive Conservative Linda Thom 8,618 29.82 +5.31 28,456.94
New Democratic Margaret Armstrong 4,235 14.65 −11.27 16,082.17
Green Karen Fyson 383 1.33 −0.70 0.00
Natural Law Wayne Foster 245 0.85   0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 28,899 100.0   −4.26 $ 44,698.00
Total rejected ballots 229 0.79
Turnout 29,128 66.51
Eligible voters 43,793
1990 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 13,845 45.87 −5.01
New Democratic Margaret Armstrong 7,826 25.93 +6.67
Progressive Conservative Darrel Kent 7,399 24.51 −5.36
Green Stephen Johns 612 2.03  
Family Coalition David Fitzpatrick 503 1.67  
Total valid votes 30,185 100.0   −3.73
1987 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Dalton McGuinty, Sr. 15,952 50.88 +15.53
Progressive Conservative Michael McSweeney 9,365 29.87 −9.54
New Democratic Penina Coopersmith 6,038 19.26 −5.99
Total valid votes 31,355 100.0   −4.74


1985 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 12,971 39.41 −10.56
Liberal Andrew Caddell 11,634 35.34 +6.34
New Democratic John Smart 8,311 25.25 +5.07
Total valid votes 32,916 100.0   +8.08
1981 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 15,218 49.97 +0.60
Liberal Robert Dyck 8,832 29.00 +3.05
New Democratic Chris Chilton 6,146 20.18 −2.80
Independent Ray Turmel 259 0.85  
Total valid votes 30,455 100.0   −9.76
1977 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 16,662 49.37 +6.22
New Democratic Eileen Scotton 8,759 25.95 −6.48
Liberal Patricia Thorpe 7,754 22.98 −1.45
Independent Michael Holton 574 1.70  
Total valid votes 33,749 100.0   −1.39
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1967, 1971 and 1975 elections
1975 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 14,767 43.15 −8.52
New Democratic Eileen Scotton 11,099 32.43 +7.88
Liberal Patricia Thorpe 8,360 24.43 +0.64
Total valid votes 34,226 100.0   −21.02
1971 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 22,392 51.67 +4.16
New Democratic Don Francis 10,638 24.55 +15.62
Liberal Ian Kimmerly 10,307 23.78 −19.78
Total valid votes 43,337 100.0   +52.84
1967 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Irwin Haskett 13,472 47.51 −6.99
Liberal Joseph McDonald 12,351 43.56 +3.40
New Democratic William Hardy 2,531 8.93 +3.59
Total valid votes 28,354 100.0   +21.95

1954-1966: Ward 5 (Old Ottawa South, the Glebe) and that part of Wards 4 (Centretown) and 6 (Dalhousie Ward) south of Sparks Street and Wellington Street (West).

1963 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Irwin Haskett 12,671 54.50 +2.84
Liberal Joseph McDonald 9,338 40.16 −4.06
New Democratic Peter Hopwood 1,241 5.34 +1.22
Total valid votes 23,250 100.0   −7.54
1959 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Irwin Haskett 12,989 51.66 −2.28
Liberal Archibald M. Laidlaw 11,119 44.22 +2.35
Co-operative Commonwealth John Fisher 1,037 4.12 +0.97
Total valid votes 25,145 100.0   −4.15
1955 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 14,151 53.94 −2.04
Liberal Kenneth Fogarty 10,984 41.87 +6.88
Co-operative Commonwealth Allen Schroeder 826 3.15 −5.88
Labor–Progressive Daniel Nerenberg 273 1.04  
Total valid votes 26,234 100.0   −26.23

1933-1954: Capital Ward, Dalhousie Ward, Central Ward, Wellington Ward, that part of Riverdale Ward west of Main Street and that part of Elmdale Ward east of Parkdale Avenue.

1951 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 19,908 55.98 +0.85
Liberal Kenneth Fogarty 12,444 34.99 +6.45
Co-operative Commonwealth Melville Fleming 3,212 9.03 −5.95
Total valid votes 35,564 100.0   +3.43
1948 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 18,955 55.13 −5.79
Liberal William R. Burnett 9,813 28.54 +3.23
Co-operative Commonwealth Milton C. Anderson 5,151 14.98 +1.69
Union of Electors Terrence O'Reilly 279 0.81  
Socialist Labour William Leckie 185 0.54 +0.06
Total valid votes 34,383 100.0   −11.30
1945 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 23,616 60.92 +16.87
Liberal George Pushman 9,813 25.31 −9.24
Co-operative Commonwealth Eugene Forsey 5,151 13.29 −7.42
Socialist Labour E. Irving 185 0.48 −0.21
Total valid votes 38,765 100.0   +43.87


1943 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 11,870 44.05 −6.15
Liberal Leonard L. Coulter 9,311 34.56 −13.08
Co-operative Commonwealth Walter B. Mann 5,579 20.71  
Socialist Labour Edward A. Irving 185 0.69 −0.11
Total valid votes 26,945 100.0   −22.45
1937 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative George H. Dunbar 17,443 50.20 +2.64
Liberal John H. Putnam 16,550 47.63 +0.76
Communist Harry Binder 408 1.17 +0.64
Socialist Labour Peter Leckie 276 0.79  
Independent James C. Sidey 69 0.20  
Total valid votes 34,746 100.0   −2.69
1934 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes %
Conservative Arthur Ellis 16,983 47.56
Liberal Percy O. Wilson 16,737 46.87
Co-operative Commonwealth William Henry Chapman 1,531 4.29
Communist John Lyons 192 0.54
Independent Joseph B. O'Reilly 165 0.46
Independent Duncan McNaughton 100 0.28
Total valid votes 35,708 100.0  

1925-1933: Dalhousie Ward and Capital Ward

1929 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes %
Conservative Arthur Ellis Acclaimed  
1926 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes %
Conservative Thomas Miles Birkett 9,171 62.27
Liberal Robert R. Sparks 5,556 37.73
Total valid votes 14,727 100.0  

2007 electoral reform referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum
Side Votes %
First Past the Post 30,718 65.84
Mixed Member Proportional 15,941 34.16
Total valid votes 46,659 100.0  
Source
"Referendum Statistical Results" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-06-08.

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the provincial political parties: [1]

Party Association Name CEO HQ Address Neighbourhood
Green Green Party of Ontario Ottawa South Unknown Unknown Unknown
  Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario Ottawa South Progressive Conservative Association Alan Wilde 10 The Masters Drive, Ottawa, ON. Uplands
  Liberal Party of Ontario Ottawa South Provincial Liberal Association John Fraser Unknown Unknown
  Ontario New Democratic Party Ontario New Democrat Party Ottawa South Unknown Unknown Unknown

Sources

References

  1. ^ "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 8. Retrieved 20 January 2019.