2012 United States Senate election in West Virginia
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| Turnout | 46.3% (voting eligible)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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 County results Manchin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Raese: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in West Virginia |
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The 2012 United States Senate election in West Virginia was held on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Joe Manchin won re-election to a first full term.
Background
Robert Byrd held this seat in the U.S. Senate since 1959, after having served in the House of Representatives since 1953, making him the longest-serving person in Congress. Byrd led his party in the Senate from 1977 to 1989, as Majority Leader or Minority Leader. Afterward, as the most senior Democrat in the Senate, he served as President pro tempore of the Senate whenever his party was in the majority, including at the time of his death.
After Byrd's death, West Virginia Secretary of State Natalie Tennant initially announced that a special election would be held on the same day as the regular election for the six-year term. However, that special election was rescheduled to 2010 for it to coincide with the 2010 mid-term elections.
Governor Joe Manchin made a temporary appointment of Carte Goodwin to the vacant seat. Goodwin was later replaced by Manchin who won the 2010 special election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Sheirl Fletcher, former Republican State Delegate and Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008 and 2010[2]
- Joe Manchin, incumbent U.S. senator[3]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Manchin (incumbent) | 163,891 | 79.9 | |
| Democratic | Sheirl Fletcher | 41,118 | 20.1 | |
| Total votes | 205,009 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Bob Henry Baber (Mountain), former mayor of Richwood and candidate for Governor in 2011[5]
- Joe Manchin (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
- John Raese (Republican), businessman and perennial candidate[6]
Campaign
Raese filed a rematch against Manchin, arguing that he now had more material to criticize Manchin for. One example is how Manchin lost his long-time endorsement from West Virginians for Life because of his vote against defunding Planned Parenthood, the nation's largest abortion provider.[7] Another example is how he is undecided about whether or not to support Obama's re-election campaign.[8] Senior Obama campaign advisor David Axelrod commented in response, "His concern is about his own political well-being."[9] In addition, he voted against U.S. Congressman Paul Ryan's Republican budget.[10]
Raese wrote an op-ed in the Charleston Gazette saying about Manchin, "Yes, he'll talk like a conservative and act like he's fiscally responsible to appeal to more moderate voters, but under that outward appearance of a lovable rube is the heart of a tax-and-spend liberal."[8]
Raese continued to make controversial statements. In April 2012, he equated smoking bans with Adolf Hitler's yellow badge. He said "in Monongalia County now, I have to put a huge sticker on my buildings to say this is a smoke-free environment. This is brought to you by the government of Monongalia County. Okay? Remember Hitler used to put Star of David on everybody’s lapel, remember that? Same thing." That same day, he referred to President Franklin D. Roosevelt as "Fidel Roosevelt."[11] Raese didn't apologize for his statements on Hitler saying "I am not going to be intimidated by a bunch of bullshit. I'm not apologizing to anybody or any organization. It's my perfect right to make a speech about meaningful subject matters in this country."[12] He also called rocker Ted Nugent a "patriot" for criticizing President Barack Obama.[13]
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Manchin (D) | $9,467,003 | $7,678,708 | $1,788,297 | $0 |
| John Raese (R) | $1,607,740 | $1,610,493 | $4,679 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[14] | ||||
Top contributors
| Joe Manchin | Contribution | John Raese | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $670,553 | Entertainment industry | $176,025 | |
| Mining industry | $647,548 | Leadership PACs | $143,190 | |
| Electric Utilities | $392,100 | Retired | $109,513 | |
| Leadership PACs | $366,000 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $62,069 | |
| Health Professionals | $287,498 | Special Trade Contractors | $59,450 | |
| Retired | $275,750 | Health Professionals | $54,300 | |
| Pharmaceuticals/Health Products | $272,900 | Financial Institutions | $52,695 | |
| Petroleum Industry | $256,150 | Real Estate | $45,875 | |
| Real Estate | $228,350 | Petroleum Industry | $35,900 | |
| Lobbyists | $200,689 | Republican/Conservative | $35,357 | |
| Source: Center for Responsive Politics[15] | ||||
Top industries
| Joe Manchin | Contribution | John Raese | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FirstEnergy Corporation | $136,950 | Greer Industries | $124,754 | |
| Mylan Laboratories Inc. | $127,500 | Mountaineer Contractors Inc. | $40,900 | |
| Mepco LLC | $64,400 | Senate Conservatives Fund | $37,690 | |
| Dominion Resources | $58,900 | Frankovitch, Anetakis, Colantonio & Simon | $25,650 | |
| Centene Corporation | $55,900 | Wv Radio | $22,550 | |
| American Electric Power | $55,750 | West Virginia Radio Corporation | $16,821 | |
| Jackson Kelly PLLC | $50,825 | Polino Contracting | $15,500 | |
| Drummond Company | $49,100 | Cleveland Brothers | $10,800 | |
| Patriot Coal Corporation | $48,400 | American Financial Group | $10,200 | |
| Boich Companies | $44,200 | Senate Majority Fund | $10,000 | |
| Source: Center for Responsive Politics[16] | ||||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[17] | Likely D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[19] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[20] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (D) |
John Raese (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | 1,105 | ±2.9% | 60% | 31% | — | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | 850 | ±3.4% | 61% | 29% | — | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | 708 | ±3.7% | 62% | 23% | — | 14% |
| R.L. Repass | April 25–28, 2012 | 410 | ±4.8% | 74% | 22% | — | 4% |
| R.L. Repass | August 22–25, 2012 | 401 | ±4.9% | 66% | 27% | — | 7% |
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Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Manchin (incumbent) | 399,908 | 60.57% | +7.10% | |
| Republican | John Raese | 240,787 | 36.47% | −6.93% | |
| Mountain | Bob Henry Baber | 19,517 | 2.96% | +1.04% | |
| Total votes | 660,212 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
See also
- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia
- 2012 United States presidential election in West Virginia
- 2012 West Virginia gubernatorial election
References
- ^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
- ^ https://www.wvgazettemail.com/news/politics/perennial-candidate-sheirl-fletcher-files-for-senate-run/article_24221bc4-6e47-58b2-bdfa-65534f4b54f9.html
- ^ King, Joselyn (January 19, 2012). "Manchin Wants To Stay In Senate". The Intelligencer & Wheeling News Register. Retrieved January 27, 2012.
- ^ "Statewide Results". Secretary of State of West Virginia. Retrieved May 27, 2012.
- ^ "Mountain Party nominates Johnson, Baber at Sutton convention". The Charleston Gazette. July 24, 2012. Retrieved August 1, 2012.
- ^ Catanese, David (January 12, 2012). "Raese is back for a rematch". Politico. Retrieved January 27, 2012.
- ^ Manchin, Raese face off for Senate again - WBOY.com: Clarksburg, Morgantown: News, Sports, Weather
- ^ a b John Raese: Gazette should endorse Manchin - Op-Ed Commentaries - The Charleston Gazette - West Virginia News and Sports
- ^ Axelrod: Sen. Manchin Out for ‘Own Political Well-Being’ - ABC News
- ^ GOP House budget bill | U.S. Congress Votes Database - The Washington PostThe Washington Post
- ^ John Raese Equates Smoking Ban To Hitler Policy
- ^ John Raese: Hitler Controversy Over Comparing Smoking Regulations To Nazi Policy Is 'Bull****'
- ^ John Raese Calls Ted Nugent A Patriot After Obama Threat (VIDEO)
- ^ "Candidate Details". Retrieved May 10, 2012.[dead link]
- ^ Center for Responsive Politics (March 25, 2013). "Top Industries 2012 Race: West Virginia Senate". opensecrets.org.
- ^ Center for Responsive Politics (March 25, 2013). "Top Contributors 2012 Race: West Virginia Senate". opensecrets.org.
- ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
- ^ https://services.sos.wv.gov/apps/elections/results/results.aspx?year=2012&eid=13&county=Statewide
External links
- Elections Division at the West Virginia secretary of state
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites