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2015 Prince Edward Island general election

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Prince Edward Island general election, 2015

← 2011 May 4, 2015 (2015-05-04) 66th →

All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party
 
LIB
PC
Leader Wade MacLauchlan Rob Lantz
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since February 21, 2015 February 28, 2015
Leader's seat York-Oyster Bed Ran in Charlottetown-Brighton (lost)
Last election 22 seats, 51.39% 5 seats, 40.18%
Seats before 20 3
Seats won 18 8
Seat change Decrease2 Increase5
Percentage 40.83% 37.39%
Swing Decrease10.56pp Decrease2.79pp

  Third party Fourth party
 
NDP
Leader Peter Bevan-Baker Michael Redmond
Party Green New Democratic
Leader since November 3, 2012 October 13, 2012
Leader's seat Kellys Cross-Cumberland Ran in Montague-Kilmuir (lost)
Last election 0 seats, 4.36% 0 seats, 3.16%
Seats before 0 0
Seats won 1 0
Seat change Increase1 ±0
Percentage 10.81% 10.97%
Swing Increase6.45pp Increase7.81pp

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.

Premier before election

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

Premier-designate

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

The 65th Prince Edward Island general election was held May 4, 2015 to elect members of the 65th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island.[1] Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in 2008, Prince Edward Island elections are usually held on the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless it is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no confidence. The current government had hinted that an election would be held "before Mother's Day" 2015, and such a dissolution would avoid any conflicts with the next federal election, expected to be held in October 2015.

The governing Liberals were elected to a third consecutive majority government under new leader Wade MacLauchlan, while the Progressive Conservatives made slight gains despite party leader Rob Lantz failing to win election in Charlottetown-Brighton. The Green Party, meanwhile, won its first seat in the legislature, with leader Peter Bevan-Baker elected in Kellys Cross-Cumberland.[2] The New Democratic Party was shut out.

Standings

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2011 Dissol. 2015 Change # % Change
Liberal Wade MacLauchlan 27 22 20 18 -4 33,481 40.83% -10.55%
Progressive Conservative Rob Lantz 27 5 3 8 +3 30,663 37.39% -2.77%
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 24 0 0 1 +1 8,857 10.81% +6.45%
New Democratic Michael Redmond 27 0 0 0 8,997 10.97% +7.81%
  Independent 0 1 0
  Vacant 3 - -
Total 105 27 27 27 81,998

Results by region

Party Name Cardigan Malpeque Charlottetown Egmont Total
  Liberal Seats: 2 2 7 7 18
  Popular Vote: 38.16% 36.33% 40.69% 49.00% 40.83%
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 5 3 0 0 8
  Popular Vote: 44.95% 38.21% 31.08% 34.97% 37.39%
  Green Seats: 0 1 0 0 1
  Popular Vote: 5.45% 18.76% 12.41% 6.01% 10.81%
Total seats: 7 6 7 7 27
Parties that won no seats:
  NDP Vote: 2,404 1,430 3,261 1,902 8,997
  Popular Vote: 11.44% 6.69% 15.82% 10.01% 10.98%

Timeline

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Opinion polls

Voting intentions since the 2011 election.
Polling Firm Last date of polling Link Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Corporate Research Associates April 23, 2015 HTML 44 35 6 15
Abingdon Research April 20, 2015 PDF 43 27 12 18
Corporate Research Associates February 28, 2015 PDF 58 26 4 12 0
Corporate Research Associates November 25, 2014 PDF 50 23 11 15 0 0
Corporate Research Associates September 1, 2014 PDF 48 28 7 16 0 0
Corporate Research Associates May 22, 2014 PDF 53 23 3 21 0 0
Corporate Research Associates February 27, 2014 PDF 53 17 7 22 0 1
Corporate Research Associates November 27, 2013 PDF 49 17 7 26 0 1
Corporate Research Associates August 28, 2013 PDF 42 23 3 32 0 0
Corporate Research Associates May 28, 2013 PDF 52 22 5 21 0 1
Corporate Research Associates March 2, 2013 PDF 51 16 7 26 0 0
Corporate Research Associates December 1, 2012 PDF 45 28 5 22 0 0
Corporate Research Associates August 31, 2012 PDF 42 32 8 18 0 0
Corporate Research Associates June 4, 2012 PDF 47 26 8 18 1 1
Corporate Research Associates February 26, 2012 PDF 50 33 5 11 0 0
Corporate Research Associates November 29, 2011 PDF 53 34 4 9 0 0
2011 election October 3, 2011 51.38 40.16 4.36 3.16 0.91 0.02

Candidates

  • Bold designates member of cabinet or Leader of the Party
  • Italics in the Candidate section designates a person seeking the party nomination

Cardigan

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 4plus |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|4. Belfast-Murray River | |Charlie McGeoghegan
1,095 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/PC| |Darlene Compton
1,203 | |Jordan MacPhee
152 | |Alan Hicken
216 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Charlie McGeoghegan |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|2. Georgetown-St. Peters | |Russell Stewart
1,170 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| |Steven Myers
1,448 | |Heather Gallant
145 | |Nathan Bushey
256 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives|  |Steven Myers |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|3. Montague-Kilmuir |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Allen Roach
1,060 | |Andy Daggett
785 | |Jason Furness
106 | |Michael Redmond
585 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Allen Roach |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|7. Morell-Mermaid | |Dan MacDonald
1,114 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/PC| |Sidney MacEwen
1,501 | |Meaghan Lister
177 | |Edith Perry
211 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Independents|  |Olive Crane† |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|1. Souris-Elmira | |Tommy Kickham
951 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/PC| |Colin LaVie
1,179 | |  | |Susan Birt
528 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| |Colin LaVie |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|6. Stratford-Kinlock | |David Dunphy
1,453 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/PC| |James Aylward
2,155 | |Sam Saunders
330 | |Chris van Ouwerkerk
350 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| |James Aylward |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|5. Vernon River-Stratford* |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Alan McIsaac*
1,173 | |Mary Ellen McInnis*
1,173 | |Nick Graveline
234 | |Kathleen Romans
258 | | |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Alan McIsaac |}

  • This riding vote count resulted in a tie between McIsaac and McInnis. As a result, a coin toss was held, which determined McIsaac, the Liberal candidate, as the winner.[20]

Malpeque

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 4plus |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|19. Borden-Kinkora | |Ramona Roberts
1,154 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/PC| |Jamie Fox
1,597 | |Ranald MacFarlane
511 | |Aleida Tweten
129 | | |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |George Webster† |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|16. Cornwall-Meadowbank |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Heath MacDonald
1,444 | |Michael Drake
1,056 | |Rosalyn Ridlington Abbott
377 | |Jennifer Coughlin
243 | | |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Ron MacKinley† |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|17. Kellys Cross-Cumberland | |Valerie Docherty
1,046 | |Randy Robar
609 |bgcolor="#99C955"| |Peter Bevan-Baker
2,077 | |Jesse Cousins
58 | | |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Valerie Docherty |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|20. Kensington-Malpeque | |Paul Montgomery
1,033 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/PC| |Matthew MacKay
1,984 | |Lynne Lund
374 | |Joseph Larkin
264 | |  |bgcolor="#FFFFFF"| |Vacant |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|18. Rustico-Emerald | |Bertha Campbell
1,152 |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/PC| |Brad Trivers
1,585 | |Marianne Janowicz
325 | |Leah Jane Hayward
294 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Carolyn Bertram† |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|9. York-Oyster Bed |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Wade MacLauchlan
1,938 | |Jim Carragher
1,338 | |Thane Bernard
347 | |Gordon Gay
442 | |  |bgcolor="#FFFFFF"| |Vacant |}

Charlottetown

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 4plus |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|13. Charlottetown-Brighton |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Jordan Brown
1,054 | |Rob Lantz
1,032 | |Derrick Biso
352 | |Bob MacLean
265 | | |  |Vacant |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|14. Charlottetown-Lewis Point |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Kathleen Casey
1,040 | |Dianne Young
821 | |Doug Millington
244 | |Gord McNeilly
931 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Kathleen Casey |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|11. Charlottetown-Parkdale |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Doug Currie
1,166 | |Lynn MacLaren
699 | |Becka Viau
511 | |Andrew Watts
292 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Doug Currie |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|10. Charlottetown-Sherwood |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Robert Mitchell
1,425 | |Mike Gillis
1,031 | |Mitchell Gallant
295 | |Karalee McAskill
360 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Robert Mitchell |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Richard Brown
955 | |Joey Kitson
666 | |Darcie Lanthier
456 | |Chris Clay
348 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Richard Brown |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|8. Tracadie-Hillsborough Park |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Buck Watts
1,354 | |Darren Creamer
826 | |Isaac Williams
237 | |Jason Murray
549 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Buck Watts |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|15. West Royalty-Springvale |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Bush Dumville
1,389 | |Linda Clements
1,330 | |Charles Sanderson
462 | |Peter Meggs
516 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Bush Dumville |}

Egmont

Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 4plus |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|26. Alberton-Roseville |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Pat Murphy
1,569 | |John Griffin
1,166 | |  | |Orville Lewis
188 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Pat Murphy |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|24. Evangeline-Miscouche |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Sonny Gallant
1,419 | |Debbie Montgomery
586 | |Jordan Cameron
125 | |Grant Gallant
138 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Sonny Gallant |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|25. O'Leary-Inverness |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Robert Henderson
1,310 | |Daniel MacDonald
1,063 | |  | |Billy Mackendrick
311 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Robert Henderson |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|22. Summerside-St. Eleanors |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Tina Mundy
1,246 | |Major Stewart
1,098 | |Caleb Adams
321 | |Olivia Wood
358 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Gerard Greenan† |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|21. Summerside-Wilmot |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Janice Sherry
1,135 | |Brian Ramsay
1,105 | |Donald MacFadzen-Reid
285 | |Scott Gaudet
353 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Janice Sherry |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|27. Tignish-Palmer Road |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Hal Perry
1,486 | |Joseph Profit
818 | |Malcolm Pitre
167 | |John A'Hearn
81 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Hal Perry |- |bgcolor="whitesmoke"|23. Tyne Valley-Linkletter |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal| |Paula Biggar
1,147 | |Ryan Williams
810 | |Shelagh Young
240 | |Jacqueline Tuplin
473 | |  |Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal|  |Paula Biggar |}

References

  1. ^ PEI election called for May 4, 2015
  2. ^ "Liberals win majority in P.E.I. election". CBC News. May 4, 2015. Retrieved May 4, 2015.
  3. ^ "P.E.I. NDP elect Mike Redmond as party leader". CBC News, October 13, 2012.
  4. ^ "Bevan-Baker acclaimed as P.E.I. Green Party leader". Charlottetown: The Guardian. November 3, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  5. ^ "P.E.I. PC Leader Olive Crane resigns". CBC News. December 5, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  6. ^ "Olive Crane resigns as P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  7. ^ "Tories name new P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  8. ^ "MLA Steven Myers named interim PC leader". CBC News. January 31, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  9. ^ "Perry to step down as Opposition leader". CBC News. February 11, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  10. ^ Wright, Teresa (October 3, 2013). "Hal Perry crossing floor to join Liberals". The Guardian. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  11. ^ "Olive Crane kicked out of PC caucus". The Journal Pioneer. October 4, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  12. ^ "P.E.I.-Liberals-and-PCs-both-looking-for-leaders".
  13. ^ Wade MacLauchlan confirmed as P.E.I. Liberal leader
  14. ^ "Experienced faces make up Wade MacLauchlan cabinet". CBC News. February 23, 2015. Retrieved February 25, 2015.
  15. ^ Legislative Assembly of PEI: Members
  16. ^ Rob Lantz celebrates Progressive Conservative leadership victory
  17. ^ Island Party sitting out election
  18. ^ PEI Votes 2015: Leaders' Debate
  19. ^ Leaders met in 2nd TV debate
  20. ^ Liberal Alan McIsaac wins seat in coin toss after recount tie. CBC News, May 19, 2015.