Bay of Quinte (federal electoral district)

For the provincial district, see Bay of Quinte (provincial electoral district).

Bay of Quinte

Ontario electoral district
Bay of Quinte in relation to other electoral districts in Southern Ontario
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Ryan Williams Conservative
District created	2013
First contested	2015
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)	109,735
Electors (2021)	94,197
Area (km²)	1,621.34
Pop. density (per km²)	67.7
Census division(s)	Hastings, Prince Edward
Census subdivision(s)	Belleville, Prince Edward, Quinte West

Bay of Quinte (French: Baie de Quinte) is a federal electoral district in central Ontario, Canada, centred on the Bay of Quinte.

Bay of Quinte was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015. It was created out of parts of the electoral districts of Prince Edward—Hastings (62%) and Northumberland—Quinte West (38%).

Geography

The riding contains the municipalities of Prince Edward County, Quinte West and that part of Belleville south of Highway 401.

Demographics

According to the Canada 2016 Census; 2013 representation

Ethnic groups: 89.5% White, 6.6% Aboriginal
Languages: 92.4% English, 2.9% French
Religions (2011): 68.8% Christian (20.9% Catholic, 17.7% United Church, 10.9% Anglican, 2.8% Presbyterian, 2.5% Baptist, 1.7% Pentecostal, 12.2% Other), 29.6% No religion
Median income (2015): $31,144
Average income (2015): $40,294

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
Bay of Quinte Riding created from Northumberland—Quinte West and Prince Edward—Hastings
42nd	2015–2019		Neil Ellis	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–present		Ryan Williams	Conservative

Election results

Graph of election results in Bay of Quinte (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Ryan Williams	25,479	41.3	+4.5	$93,825.48
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	22,542	36.5	-2.6	$99,915.72
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell	9,284	15.0	-1.0	$10,138.56
	People's	Janine LeClerc	3,045	4.9	+2.9	$4,474.11
	Green	Erica Charlton	1,350	2.2	-3.9	$6,273.82
Total valid votes			61,700
Total rejected ballots			405
Turnout			62,105	64.95
Eligible voters			95,615
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+5.6
Source: Elections Canada

2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	24,099	39.16	-11.58	$96,721.36
	Conservative	Tim Durkin	22,650	36.80	+2.53	$55,922.84
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell	9,851	16.01	+3.87	none listed
	Green	Danny Celovsky	3,740	6.08	+3.86	$592.37
	People's	Paul Bordonaro	1,207	1.96		none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			61,547	99.25
Total rejected ballots			464	0.75	+0.38
Turnout			62,011	65.83	-2.30
Eligible voters			94,197
	Liberal hold		Swing		-7.05
Source: Elections Canada

2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	29,281	50.74	+29.86	$118,473.86
	Conservative	Jodie Jenkins	19,781	34.27	−17.53	$109,092.53
	New Democratic	Terry Cassidy	7,001	12.13	−10.88	$21,205.50
	Green	Rachel Nelems	1,278	2.21	−1.56	–
	Independent	Trueman Tuck	372	0.64	–	$4,425.20
Total valid votes/expense limit			57,713	99.64		$221,051.99
Total rejected ballots			211	0.36	–
Turnout			57,924	68.13	–
Eligible voters			85,021
	Liberal notional gain from Conservative		Swing		+23.69
Source: Elections Canada

2011 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	25,906	51.81
	New Democratic	11,508	23.01
	Liberal	10,441	20.88
	Green	1,886	3.77
	Others	265	0.53