Post-election pendulum for the 2011 New South Wales state election

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This article provides the Mackerras pendulum following the 2011 New South Wales state election:[1]

For the pendulum immediately before the 2015 election, see Pre-election pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2015.

Legislative Assembly[edit]

Pendulum[edit]

For current members, see Members of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, 2011–2015.

The current New South Wales pendulum:[2]

Liberal/National seats
Marginal
Oatley Mark Coure LIB 0.5%
East Hills Glenn Brookes LIB 0.6%
Swansea Garry Edwards LIB 1.1%
Monaro John Barilaro NAT 2.1%
Newcastle Tim Owen LIB 2.6%
Wyong Darren Webber LIB 2.6%
Granville Tony Issa LIB 2.7%
Campbelltown Bryan Doyle LIB 3.4%
Rockdale John Flowers LIB 3.6%
Strathfield Charles Casuscelli LIB 4.4%
Blue Mountains Roza Sage LIB 4.7%
Smithfield Andrew Rohan LIB 4.8%
Fairly safe
Maitland Robyn Parker LIB 6.3%
Port Macquarie Leslie Williams NAT v IND 6.5%
Kiama Gareth Ward LIB 7.5%
Tamworth Kevin Anderson NAT v IND 7.8%
Coogee Bruce Notley-Smith LIB 8.3%
Charlestown Andrew Cornwell LIB 9.9%
Safe
Wagga Wagga Daryl Maguire LIB v IND 10.3%
Gosford Chris Holstein LIB 11.9%
Mulgoa Tanya Davies LIB 12.0%
Hornsby Matt Kean LIB v IND 12.1%
Parramatta Geoff Lee LIB 12.1%
Londonderry Bart Bassett LIB 12.3%
Port Stephens Craig Baumann LIB 12.5%
The Entrance Chris Spence LIB 12.5%
Heathcote Lee Evans LIB 12.9%
Dubbo Troy Grant NAT v IND 13.7%
Wollondilly Jai Rowell LIB 14.7%
Penrith Stuart Ayres LIB 16.3%
Drummoyne John Sidoti LIB 16.7%
Ballina Don Page NAT v GRN 17.8%
Upper Hunter George Souris NAT v IND 18.3%
Bega Andrew Constance LIB 18.6%
Camden Chris Patterson LIB 18.9%
Very safe
Riverstone Kevin Conolly LIB 20.2%
Lismore Thomas George NAT v GRN 20.2%
South Coast Shelley Hancock LIB 20.4%
Miranda Graham Annesley LIB 21.0%
Tweed Geoff Provest NAT 21.7%
Orange Andrew Gee NAT v IND 21.9%
Clarence Steve Cansdell NAT v IND 23.3%
Bathurst Paul Toole NAT 23.7%
Terrigal Chris Hartcher LIB 24.2%
Menai Melanie Gibbons LIB 24.4%
Myall Lakes Stephen Bromhead NAT v IND 24.9%
Epping Greg Smith LIB 25.2%
Cronulla Mark Speakman LIB 25.6%
Lane Cove Anthony Roberts LIB v GRN 25.7%
Ryde Victor Dominello LIB 25.7%
Vaucluse Gabrielle Upton LIB v GRN 26.1%
Baulkham Hills David Elliott LIB 26.4%
Goulburn Pru Goward LIB 26.6%
Albury Greg Aplin LIB 26.9%
Manly Mike Baird LIB v GRN 27.0%
Coffs Harbour Andrew Fraser NAT 27.2%
Murray-Darling John Williams NAT 27.2%
Murrumbidgee Adrian Piccoli NAT 27.9%
Pittwater Rob Stokes LIB v GRN 28.0%
Willoughby Gladys Berejiklian LIB v GRN 28.1%
Wakehurst Brad Hazzard LIB v GRN 28.5%
Oxley Andrew Stoner NAT v GRN 28.8%
North Shore Jillian Skinner LIB v GRN 30.3%
Castle Hill Dominic Perrottet LIB 30.8%
Burrinjuck Katrina Hodgkinson NAT 31.1%
Ku-ring-gai Barry O'Farrell LIB v GRN 31.3%
Barwon Kevin Humphries NAT 32.0%
Davidson Jonathan O'Dea LIB v GRN 33.4%
Hawkesbury Ray Williams LIB 34.7%
Labor seats
Marginal
Toongabbie Nathan Rees ALP 0.3%
Marrickville Carmel Tebbutt ALP v GRN 0.9%
Wollongong Noreen Hay ALP v IND 1.0%
Macquarie Fields Andrew McDonald ALP 1.5%
Maroubra Michael Daley ALP 1.6%
Fairfield Guy Zangari ALP 1.7%
Kogarah Cherie Burton ALP 1.9%
Cabramatta Nick Lalich ALP 2.1%
Blacktown John Robertson ALP 3.7%
Keira Ryan Park ALP 3.9%
Cessnock Clayton Barr ALP 4.4%
Fairly safe
Wallsend Sonia Hornery ALP 6.6%
Mount Druitt Richard Amery ALP 6.7%
Lakemba Robert Furolo ALP 7.0%
Heffron Kristina Keneally ALP 7.1%
Canterbury Linda Burney ALP 8.3%
Auburn Barbara Perry ALP 8.5%
Shellharbour Anna Watson ALP 8.6%
Safe
Bankstown Tania Mihailuk ALP 10.3%
Liverpool Paul Lynch ALP 14.7%
Independent & other seats
Sydney Clover Moore IND v LIB 3.1%
Balmain Jamie Parker GRN v LIB 3.5%
Lake Macquarie Greg Piper IND v LIB 14.9%
Northern Tablelands Richard Torbay IND v NAT 19.4%

Legislative Council[edit]

For current members, see Members of the New South Wales Legislative Council, 2011–2015.

Current balance[edit]

Party Seats held Current 42-seat Council
2011 Now
Labor Party 14 14                                          
Liberal Party 12 12                                          
National Party 7 7                                          
The Greens 5 5                                          
Shooters and Fishers Party 2 2                                          
Christian Democratic Party 2 2                                          

References[edit]

  1. ^ "NSW 2011 seat results". Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
  2. ^ NSW 2011 seat results: ABC
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