United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2010

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United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2010
Wisconsin
2004 ←
November 2, 2010
→ 2016

  Ron Johnson, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg Russ Feingold Official Portrait 3.jpg
Nominee Ron Johnson Russ Feingold
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,125,932 1,020,841
Percentage 51.9% 47.0%

Wisconsin US Senate Election 2010.svg

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Russ Feingold
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Johnson
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Russ Feingold ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was defeated by political newcomer[1] Republican Ron Johnson.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

On the ballot
Declined

Campaign[edit]

Former Republican Governor of Wisconsin Tommy Thompson had expressed an interest in challenging Feingold,[6] but ruled himself out of the race in April 2010.[7]

Johnson, a millionaire manufacturer and Tea Party movement favorite who was running for his first political office, was the front runner. In response to controversy over his ownership of stock in British Petroleum (BP), Johnson said he would sell it when market conditions were favorable and possibly use the proceeds to help finance his Senate campaign.[8] Johnson was endorsed by the national GOP establishment as well as the fiscally conservative 501(c)4 organization Club for Growth. Former Wisconsin Republican Lt. Governor Margaret Farrow and Republican U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina endorsed Johnson,[9][10] as did Wisconsin Republican U.S. Representatives Jim Sensenbrenner, Tom Petri and Paul Ryan.[11] Westlake was endorsed by the Republican Liberty Caucus.[12] According to the Center for Responsive Politics, as of August 25, 2010, Johnson had invested $4.3 million of his own money into his campaign, which represented 71 percent of his campaign funds, while 27 percent of his campaign funds ($1.6 million) came from individual contributions.[13]

Polling[edit]

Poll Source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
Error
Ron Johnson Dave Westlake Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) June 26-27, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 49% 11% –– 40%

Results[edit]

Republican Primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Johnson 500,821 84.7%
Republican David Westlake 61,287 10.4%
Republican Stephen M. Finn 29,002 4.9%
Totals 591,107 100%

General election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Feingold's first television ad was a positive ad released in March. In July 2010, Feingold's second 2010 television election ad attacked Johnson for alleged support for offshore drilling in the Great Lakes. Johnson quickly countered Feingold with a television ad of his own.[17] Feingold's logo was Moving Forward. In one ad he emphasized independence and called himself a "Penny Pincher." [18] Johnson argued that his professions, manufacturer and accountant were underrepresented in the U.S. Senate, and there were too many lawyers (57 out of 100 members), including Feingold.[19] Feingold received the endorsements of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and the Green Bay Press-Gazette.[20] The Beloit Daily News endorsed Johnson.[21]

Debates[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Leans R[24] October 31, 2010
Rothenberg Leans R[25] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Leans R[26] October 31, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Leans R[27] October 30, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans R[28] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans R[29] October 31, 2010

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Russ
Feingold (D)
Ron
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports May 25, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 46% 44% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 21, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 46% 45% 3% 6%
Public Policy Polling[dead link] June 26-27, 2010 638 ± 3.9% 45% 43% –– 12%
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 2% 6%
University of Wisconsin, Madison July 15, 2010 500 ± 3.9% 33% 28% –– 44%
Magellan Strategies July 20, 2010 1,145 ± 2.9% 45% 43% 3.7% 8%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 500 ± 4.0% 46% 48% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 24, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 44% 51% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling September 18-19, 2010 –– ± 3.8% 41% 52% –– 7%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research September 17-21, 2010 963 ± 3.0% 45% 51% 2% 2%
McClatchy/Marist September 26-28, 2010 806 ± 3.5% 45% 52% 1% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 42% 54% 2% 2%
We the People September 29-Oct. 4, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 41% 49% –– ––
We the People/Ispos October 8, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 44% 51% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 45% 52% –– 2%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 8-12, 2010 1,506 ± 2.5% 44% 52% 1% ––
St. Norbert College/WPR[dead link] October 12-15, 2010 402 ± 5.0% 47% 49% –– 4%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 53% 0% 1%
We the People October 24-27, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 44% 48% –– 6%
Public Policy Polling[dead link] October 26-28, 2010 1,372 ± 2.6% 44% 53% –– 3%
Marist College October 26-28, 2010 811 ± 4.5% 45% 52% 1% 2%

Fundraising[edit]

Through 12/31/2010

Candidate (Party) Net Receipts Disbursements Beginning Cash Latest Cash On Hand Debt
Russ Feingold (D) $13,947,563 $15,544,093 $2,516,119 $919,585 $0
Ron Johnson (R) $15,509,297 $15,316,651 $0 $192,646 $8,708,465
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Results[edit]

General election results[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Johnson 1,125,932 51.9%
Democratic Russ Feingold (incumbent) 1,020,841 47.0%
Constitution Rob Taylor 23,469 1.1%
Totals ' %
Voter turnout  %
Republican gain from Democratic

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b Umhoefer, Dave and Don Walker. "Johnson leads race for GOP Senate bid: 2 lesser-known foes fight for recognition, funds" Milwaukee Journal Sentinel September 4, 2010
  2. ^ a b "GOP’s Ron Johnson announces Senate run while in La Crosse". WKOW. April 15, 2010. Retrieved May 19, 2010. 
  3. ^ Drake, Bruce (January 28, 2010). "Feingold May Be Vulnerable If Thompson Seeks His Wisconsin Senate Seat". Politics Daily. Retrieved January 28, 2010. 
  4. ^ "Leinenkugel abruptly exits - David Catanese". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  5. ^ Giroux, Greg (2010-05-27). "Wisconsin: Wall Confirms Decision To End Senate Bid - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. [dead link]
  6. ^ "Ex-Gov Thompson Being Pushed To Run For Senate". WTAQ. January 26, 2010. Retrieved January 28, 2010. 
  7. ^ "Thompson tells tea party rally he won't run for U.S. Senate". JS Online. April 15, 2010. Retrieved April 16, 2010. 
  8. ^ "Attack Ad Puts Feingold Foe On Defensive Over Great Lakes Drilling - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. 2010-07-14. Retrieved 2010-08-21. [dead link]
  9. ^ "Ron Johnson". Ronjohnsonforsenate.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  10. ^ "Club For Growth Puts Muscle Into More Races - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. 2010-07-14. Retrieved 2010-08-21. [dead link]
  11. ^ "Ron Johnson". Ronjohnsonforsenate.com. 2010-07-12. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  12. ^ "Endorsed Candidates – 2010 | Republican Liberty Caucus". Rlc.org. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  13. ^ Center for Responsive Politics, Aug 25 2010, accessed Oct 1 2010, http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=WIS2&cycle=2010
  14. ^ The 2010 Results Maps - POLITICO.com
  15. ^ Rob Taylor for Senate website
  16. ^ "Real estate developer launches Senate campaign". WQOW. January 20, 2010. Retrieved January 28, 2010. 
  17. ^ [1][dead link]
  18. ^ Washington-based group airs ad attacking Feingold - JSOnline
  19. ^ PolitiFact Wisconsin | Ron Johnson says there are 57 lawyers, including Russ Feingold, in the U.S. Senate
  20. ^ Wis. Newspapers Unveil Election Endorsements - Milwaukee News Story - WISN Milwaukee
  21. ^ [2][dead link]
  22. ^ http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/wire/chi-ap-wi-wisconsin-ussenat,0,7967199.story.  Missing or empty |title= (help)[dead link][dead link]
  23. ^ Feingold holds roundtable discussion in Eau Claire - WQOW TV: Eau Claire, WI NEWS18 News, Weather, and Sports
  24. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  25. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  26. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  27. ^ "Election 2010: Senate Balance Of Power". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  28. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  29. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  30. ^ "Summary Reports Search Results - 2009-2010 Cycle". fec.gov. Retrieved July 9, 2011. 
  31. ^ [3][dead link]

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites