Jump to content

2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Browse history interactively
← Previous editNext edit →
Content deleted Content added
VisualWikitext
No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 1: Line 1:
{{current election|date=August 2022}}
{{short description|Election following death of Don Young}}
{{short description|Election following death of Don Young}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2022}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2022}}

Revision as of 09:46, 17 August 2022

2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election
← 2020 August 16, 2022 November 2022 →
Alaska's at-large congressional district
Reporting
58%
as of August 17, 12:24am ADT[1]
 
Candidate Mary Sattler Peltola Sarah Palin Nick Begich III
Party Democratic Republican Republican
First round 52,795
37.99% 		45,542
32.77% 		40,639
29.24%
Maximum round TBD TBD TBD
U.S. Representative before election

Don Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

TBD

Elections in Alaska
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries and caucuses
Democratic
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
State government
Statewide elections
Gubernatorial elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
Anchorage
Mayoral elections
Propositions

The 2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election was held on August 16, 2022. The seat became vacant when incumbent Republican representative Don Young died on March 18, 2022, on a flight home.[2] A special primary election was held on June 11, while the general election was held alongside the regular primary election on August 16. The filing deadline was on April 1.[3] This was the first election to use the state's new voting system, in which all candidates compete in a single blanket primary, with the top four candidates advancing to a general election that uses ranked-choice voting.[4]

Nonpartisan blanket primary

Candidates

Advanced to general election

Withdrew after initially advancing to the general election

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Candidates eliminated in primary[a]

Endorsements

Nick Begich (R)
State legislators
Organizations
Individuals
  • Jim and Faye Palin, Sarah Palin's former father-in-law and mother-in-law[33]
Santa Claus (I)
State legislators
  • Ray Metcalfe, former state representative (1979–1983) and perennial candidate[34]
Christopher Constant (D)
U.S. senators
State legislators
Local officials
Al Gross (I)
State officials
State legislators
Sarah Palin (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. federal legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Mary Sattler Peltola (D)
Individuals
  • Alyse Galvin, Independent candidate for Alaska's At-Large congressional seat in 2018 and 2020[43]
Josh Revak (R)
Individuals
  • Anne Garland Young, Don Young's widow[44]
Tara Sweeney (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
  • Thomas J. Barrett, former U.S. Deputy Secretary of Transportation (2007–2009) and former United States Coast Guard admiral[45]
State officials
Organizations
  • ANCSA Regional Association[47]

Debates and forums

2022 Alaska at-large special primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Begich Coghill Constant Gross Lowenfels Palin Revak Sattler Peltola Sweeney
1[48] May 12, 2022 Alaska Chamber
Alaska Miners Association
Alaska Oil and Gas Association
Alaska Support Industry Alliance
Associated General Contractors of Alaska
Resource Development Council 		N/A Youtube P P P P P P P P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Nick
Begich
(R) 		Santa
Claus
(I) 		John
Coghill
(R) 		Christopher
Constant
(D) 		Al
Gross
(I) 		Andrew
Halcro
(I) 		Jeff
Lowenfels
(I) 		Sarah
Palin
(R) 		Mary Sattler
Peltola
(D) 		Josh
Revak
(R) 		Tara
Sweeney
(R) 		Adam
Wool
(D) 		Other Undecided
Alaska Survey Research May 6–9, 2022 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 16% 6% 2% 5% 13% 2% 3% 19% 5% 4% 4% 2% 4% 16%
Remington Research Group (R) April 7–9, 2022 955 (LV) ± 3.1% 21% – – 7% 26% – – 31% – 3% 2% – 4% 6%

Results

Primary election results by state house district

Template:Election box double begin no change Template:Election box double winning candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double winning candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double winning candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double winning candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double candidate with party link no change Template:Election box double total no change

|}

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[49] Likely R August 10, 2022
Inside Elections[50] Likely R June 15, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] Safe R June 22, 2022

Endorsements

Nick Begich (R)
State legislators
Local Officials
  • Amy Demboski, Anchorage assembly member[56]
Organizations
Individuals
  • Jim and Faye Palin, Sarah Palin's former father-in-law and mother-in-law[33]
Sarah Palin (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. federal legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Mary Sattler Peltola (D)
U.S. federal legislators
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Tribes
  • Organized Village of Kwethluk[73]
  • Orutsararmiut Native Council[74]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		RCV
count 		Nick
Begich
(R) 		Al
Gross
(I) 		Sarah
Palin
(R) 		Mary Sattler
Peltola
(D) 		Undecided
Alaska Survey Research July 20–25, 2022 1,219 (LV) ± 2.9% 1 30% – 29% 41% –
2 55% – 45%
2*[c] – 49% 51%
Alaska Survey Research July 2–5, 2022 1,201 (LV) ± 2.9% 1 31% – 29% 40% –
2 57% – 43%
2*[c] – 49% 51%
June 21, 2022 Gross withdraws from the race
Alaska Survey Research May 6–9, 2022 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 1 29% 27% 26% 19% –
2 33% 40% 28% –
3 54% 46% –
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		RCV
count 		Nick
Begich
(R) 		Santa
Claus
(I) 		Christopher
Constant
(D) 		Al
Gross
(I) 		Sarah
Palin
(R) 		Tara
Sweeney
(R) 		Undecided
Alaska Survey Research May 6–9, 2022 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 1 28% 21% – 26% 25% – –
2 32% – 40% 28%
3 53% 47% –
3*[d] – 53% – 47%
Alaska Survey Research May 6–9, 2022 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 1 29% – 17% 27% 28% – –
2 32% – 40% 28%
3 54% 46% –
Alaska Survey Research May 6–9, 2022 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 1 28% – 35% 26% 11% –
2 32% 39% 29% –
3 55% 45% –
Al Gross vs. Sarah Palin vs. Lora Reinbold vs. Josh Revak
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		RCV
count 		Al
Gross
(I) 		Sarah
Palin
(R) 		Lora
Reinbold
(R) 		Josh
Revak
(R) 		Undecided
Change Research (D)[A] March 25–29, 2022 728 (LV) ± 3.6% BA 33% 30% 8% 9% 16%
2 33% 30% – 11% 26%
3 35% 35% – – 30%
Al Gross vs. Sarah Palin
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Al
Gross (I) 		Sarah
Palin (R) 		Undecided
Change Research (D)[A] March 25–29, 2022 728 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 42% 19%
Al Gross vs. Josh Revak
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Al
Gross (I) 		Josh
Revak (R) 		Undecided
Change Research (D)[A] March 25–29, 2022 728 (LV) ± 3.6% 35% 34% 31%

Results

2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election[1]
Party Candidate Round 1
Votes % Transfer
Democratic Mary Sattler Peltola 43,535 37.05%
Republican Sarah Palin 38,416 32.70%
Republican Nick Begich 33,949 28.90%
Write-in 1,590 1.35%
Total votes 117,490 100.00%
Inactive ballots 0 0.00%
First round results by state house district
District Nick Begich
Republican 		Sarah Palin
Republican 		Mary Sattler
Democratic 		Write-in Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # % # %
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
District 39
District 40
Totals
Maximum round results by state house district
District TBD TBD Margin Total votes
# % # % # %
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
District 39
District 40
Totals

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ a b Hypothetical scenario with Palin and Peltola as the top two based on expressed ranked choice preferences
  4. ^ Hypothetical scenario with Claus and Palin as the top two based on expressed ranked choice preferences
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Gross

References

  1. ^ a b "Alaska Primary Election Results". The New York Times. August 16, 2022. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  2. ^ Miller, Andrew Mark (March 18, 2022). "Alaska Republican Congressman Don Young dead at 88". Fox News. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  3. ^ a b Herz, Nathaniel; Brooks, James (March 22, 2022). "After Young's death, Alaska's political world braces for a sea change and an elections marathon". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on March 22, 2022. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  4. ^ Brooks, James (March 19, 2022). "Alaska's first ranked-choice election will be a special vote to replace Rep. Don Young". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay "2022 Special Primary Election for U.S. Representative". Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  6. ^ a b "Begich, Constant to Run in Special Alaska US House Election". Associated Press. March 21, 2022. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  7. ^ a b c d Becky Bohrer (June 17, 2022). "Ex-legislator advances to Alaska's special US House election". Associated Press. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
  8. ^ a b Ulloa, Jazmine; Peters, Jeremy W. (April 2, 2022). "Sarah Palin Announces She's Running for Congress in Alaska". The New York Times.
  9. ^ "Candidate list keeps growing with former lawmaker Mary Sattler Peltola". www.adn.com/. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
  10. ^ "Al Gross withdraws from Alaska's U.S. House campaign". Anchorage Daily News. June 21, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  11. ^ a b Ruskin, Liz (June 21, 2022). "Al Gross, a top four candidate for US House, calls it quits". Retrieved June 27, 2022.
  12. ^ a b c Samuels, Iris; Herz, Nathaniel; Brooks, James (April 2, 2022). "51 candidates: A wild U.S. House race takes shape in Alaska". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
  13. ^ a b c d Bohrer, Becky (April 2, 2022). "Palin joins 50 others in running for Alaska US House seat". Alton Telegraph.
  14. ^ a b "OUR campaign gives voters hope for a better future for all Alaskans, especially our children. Thank you so much for your unwavering support, kind words, and love (the greatest gift), and the powerful statement you have made with your vote. My 2-min video".
  15. ^ Bohrer, Becky (March 28, 2022). "Gross, Coghill say they plan to run for Alaska US House seat". San Francisco Chronicle. Associated Press. Archived from the original on March 29, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2022.
  16. ^ a b O'Hara, Ashlyn (April 2, 2022). "Soldotna resident joins bid for US House seat". Peninsula Clarion. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
  17. ^ a b c d Herz, Nathaniel (March 26, 2022). "An array of Alaska politicians ponder bids in the "absolute jungle" of elections to replace U.S. Rep. Don Young". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  18. ^ "Robert Lyons". Ballotpedia. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  19. ^ "Emil Notti, who ran against Don Young in 1973, jumps into the race". www.adn.com/. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
  20. ^ Pellegrini, Silvio (April 6, 2022). "LinkedIn Profile". LinkedIn.
  21. ^ Downing, Suzanne (March 23, 2022). "Revak to file for Congress to replace Don Young". Retrieved March 24, 2022.
  22. ^ Thiessen, Mark (June 26, 2022). "Alaska Supreme Court ruling keeps Sweeney off House ballot". Associated Press. Retrieved June 26, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  23. ^ "Stephen Wright (Alaska)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  24. ^ Hickman, Matt (March 21, 2022). "Rumors swirl, but Al Gross remains the only newcomer who's a virtual lock to enter race to replace Don Young". Anchorage Press. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  25. ^ "Alaska's U.S. House candidate field expands as Friday deadline nears". Anchorage Daily News.
  26. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al Downing, Suzanne (April 6, 2022). "Sarah Palin gets national endorsements, as Nick Begich keeps racking up local Alaskan endorsements". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 8, 2022.
  27. ^ "Notes from the trail: Valdez Gold Rush Days, Metlakatla Founders Day". August 7, 2022.
  28. ^ a b Downing, Suzanne (May 26, 2022). "Notes from the trail: Sen. Lora Reinbold not running for reelection; Sen. Mia Costello endorses Nick for Congress".
  29. ^ a b c d e f g h Downing, Suzanne (June 4, 2022). "Notes from the trail: Peltola ups her sign game as congressional race enters last week for primary". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  30. ^ a b Downing, Suzanne (April 21, 2022). "Nick Begich for Congress receives endorsement of Alaska Republican Party". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 8, 2022.
  31. ^ a b "Nick Begich III speaks to News of the North". KINY. April 15, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022.
  32. ^ a b c d Downing, Suzanne (May 12, 2022). "FreedomWorks endorses Nick Begich for Congress".
  33. ^ a b Downing, Suzanne (April 19, 2022). "Surprise endorsement for Nick Begich for Congress comes from the heart of Palin World". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 8, 2022.
  34. ^ Downing, Suzanne (May 11, 2022). "Notes from the campaign trail III: Abortion's love language in the media, Democrats queuing up someone to take on Murkowski".
  35. ^ Downing, Suzanne (May 19, 2022). "Notes from the trail: Mark Begich endorses Chris Constant for Congress, Les Gara has a barbecue with Vic Fischer".
  36. ^ a b "Notes from the trail: Bernadette knocks for Nick, Palin graces Pierce banquet in Wasilla, Bill W. Is back in Cordova". June 5, 2022.
  37. ^ "Letter: Support Constant". Anchorage Daily News.
  38. ^ a b "Nikki Haley returns the favor: endorses Sarah Palin for Congress". The Post and Courier. Retrieved April 3, 2022.
  39. ^ a b Howie, Craig (April 3, 2022). "Trump endorses Palin in Alaska House special election". Politico. Retrieved April 3, 2022.
  40. ^ a b Koberg, Kelsey (May 9, 2022). "Elise Stefanik rolls out latest round of endorsements for 2022 midterm elections". Fox News. Retrieved May 9, 2022.
  41. ^ a b Downing, Suzanne (June 12, 2022). "Notes from the trail: Candidates on parade". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  42. ^ a b "National Right to Life Endorses Sarah Palin in Alaska Congressional Special Election". National Right to Life Committee. May 26, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  43. ^ a b Downing, Suzanne (May 7, 2022). "Notes from the campaign trail: 5,000 ballots are in already".
  44. ^ "Don Young's wife endorses Revak in Alaska House race". The Hill. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
  45. ^ "Tara Sweeney kicks off campaign for Congress, names campaign manager Karina Waller, others in key positions". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
  46. ^ "With 64 days to special primary to replace Don Young, congressional candidates are on the move around Alaska". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
  47. ^ "Revak, Sweeney get endorsements in bid for Alaska House seat". The Seattle Times. Associated Press. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
  48. ^ "VIDEO: U.S. House hopefuls pitch to resource development groups at candidate forum". Anchorage Daily News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 15, 2022.
  49. ^ Wasserman, Dave (August 10, 2022). "Trump's Grip on GOP Remains Strong, but "Red Wave" Looking Smaller". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 10, 2022.
  50. ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 17, 2022.
  51. ^ Kondik, Kyle (June 22, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: June 22, 2022". Retrieved June 22, 2022.
  52. ^ "Notes from the trail: Sweeney campaign hints there's a court challenge coming, and fundraisers on calendar". June 22, 2022.
  53. ^ a b "Notes from the trail: Money isn't everything, Peltola shows". June 18, 2022.
  54. ^ "Notes from the trail: 57 days to get name ID dialed in". June 20, 2022.
  55. ^ Downing, Suzanne (June 16, 2022). "Notes from the trail: Fundraisers, Fairbanks, endorsements".
  56. ^ "Notes from the trail: Amy Demboski picks Nick Begich and Gov. Dunleavy hits the campaign trail". August 3, 2022.
  57. ^ "Notes from the trail: Walker picks up new co-chairs". July 23, 2022.
  58. ^ Gingrich, Newt (April 4, 2022). "Newt Gingrich Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
  59. ^ "Notes from the trail: Candidate Paul Hueper breaks a leg - literally, and who got the NRA endorsement?". July 20, 2022.
  60. ^ "Notes from the trail: How can you watch the Trump event in Anchorage on your phone, Rumble and RSBN website?". July 8, 2022.
  61. ^ "Notes from the trail: How can you watch the Trump event in Anchorage on your phone, Rumble and RSBN website?". July 8, 2022.
  62. ^ "Notes from the trail: How can you watch the Trump event in Anchorage on your phone, Rumble and RSBN website?". July 8, 2022.
  63. ^ "Notes from the trail: How can you watch the Trump event in Anchorage on your phone, Rumble and RSBN website?". July 8, 2022.
  64. ^ "Notes from the trail: How can you watch the Trump event in Anchorage on your phone, Rumble and RSBN website?". July 8, 2022.
  65. ^ "Notes from the trail: How can you watch the Trump event in Anchorage on your phone, Rumble and RSBN website?". July 8, 2022.
  66. ^ "MARY PELTOLA FOR U.S. CONGRESS "As a Native woman, I understand that Alaskans are a diverse people who need leaders who can unite us. We also need a federal government that helps stabilize our economy. My top priority is to improve Alaskans quality of life." Mary Peltola". July 31, 2022.
  67. ^ ago, Iris Samuels Updated: 1 day ago Published: 1 day. "Constant ends bid for Alaska's U.S. House seat, endorses Peltola". Anchorage Daily News.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  68. ^ "Notes from the trail: How can you watch the Trump event in Anchorage on your phone, Rumble and RSBN website?". July 8, 2022.
  69. ^ "Notes from the trail: Fundraising season's midsummer". July 30, 2022.
  70. ^ "Democrats drop from U.S. House race, most backing Peltola". June 17, 2022.
  71. ^ Brooks, James (June 23, 2022). "Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Walker, Murkowski, Peltola". Retrieved June 27, 2022.
  72. ^ "Notes from the trail: Before-and-after pics, video of candidate Forrest Wolfe lopping his locks for kids with cancer". July 14, 2022.
  73. ^ "Notes from the trail: Fundraising season's midsummer". July 30, 2022.
  74. ^ "Notes from the trail: Fundraising season's midsummer". July 30, 2022.
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Alaska%27s_at-large_congressional_district_special_election&oldid=1104875520"