2023 Manitoba general election: Difference between revisions
No edit summary |
No edit summary |
||
Line 14: | Line 14: | ||
| next_year = 44th |
| next_year = 44th |
||
| seats_for_election = 57 seats of the [[Legislative Assembly of Manitoba]]<br />29 seats are needed for a majority |
| seats_for_election = 57 seats of the [[Legislative Assembly of Manitoba]]<br />29 seats are needed for a majority |
||
| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls |
|||
| reporting = 91.06 |
|||
| last_update = 13:07 |
|||
| time_zone = CDT |
|||
<!-- NDP -->| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Wab Kinew (crop 2).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}} |
<!-- NDP -->| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Wab Kinew (crop 2).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}} |
||
| colour1 = {{Canadian party colour|MB|NDP|nohash}} |
| colour1 = {{Canadian party colour|MB|NDP|nohash}} |
Revision as of 13:08, 5 October 2023
![]() | This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. |
![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
![]() Popular vote by riding. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The 2023 Manitoba general election was held on October 3, 2023, to elect 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba had attempted to win a third term in government, having previously won the 2016 and 2019 elections. They were defeated by the New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Wab Kinew. Following the election, Kinew became the first First Nations person to become premier of Manitoba or any other Canadian province.
Background
Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[1] As the previous election was held in 2019, the latest possible date for the election was October 3, 2023, which was the official election date.[2] The election will be held under first-past-the-post voting.
On August 10, 2021, incumbent premier Brian Pallister announced that he would not seek re-election and resigned shortly after. Heather Stefanson was chosen by Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba members to succeed Premier Kelvin Goertzen, who served as interim leader of the party after Pallister's departure.[3][4] During the previous legislature, the opposition NDP had gained a polling lead over the PCs. However, the lead had tightened during the campaign period.
Campaign
Stefanson primarily campaigned on reducing the cost of living for Manitobans.[5] Kinew led the NDP into the election.[6] The NDP campaign has focused on healthcare reform.[7][8] In addition, Lamont led the Liberals and Gibson led the Green party, having been elected leader in March.
The PCs have promoted the film industry in the province and in 2022 helped WestJet launch direct flights from Los Angeles to Winnipeg.[9] The New Democrats focused on healthcare with a promise to improve cardiac services.[9] They also pledged to install geothermal systems in thousands of homes.[10] The Liberals campaigned on creating more benefits for seniors including establishing a minimum income for people over 60.[11] They also promised new debt relief system if elected.[12] The Manitoba Chambers of Commerce encouraged voters to prioritise the economy when voting.[13]
Other campaign issues included; crime,[14] agriculture[15] and affordable housing.[16] Indigenous issues were reportedly side-lined during the campaign.[17]
In recent history Manitoba has elected majority governments so the media coverage was focused on the PCs and the NDP.[18] In the final days of the campaign the Manitoba government reported a $270M surplus in the provincial budget.[19]
Legislature summary
Party[21] | Leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | Current | Next | +/- | Votes | % | +/- | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Heather Stefanson | 57 | 36 | 35 | 22 | -14 | ||||
New Democratic | Wab Kinew | 57 | 18 | 18 | 34 | +16 | ||||
Liberal | Dougald Lamont | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -2 | ||||
Keystone | Kevin Friesen | 5 | – | – | – | – | ||||
Green | Janine Gibson | 13 | – | – | – | – | ||||
Communist | Andrew Taylor | 5 | – | – | – | – | ||||
Independents | 3 | – | – | – | – | |||||
Vacant | 1 | – | ||||||||
Valid votes | ||||||||||
Blank and invalid votes | ||||||||||
Total | 189 | 57 | 57 | – | ||||||
Registered voters/turnout |
Incumbents not running for reelection
Electoral district | Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent party nominee | New MLA | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Agassiz | Eileen Clarke[22] |
Jodie Byram | Jodie Byram | ||
Brandon West | Reg Helwer[23] | Wayne Balcaen | |||
Fort Richmond | Sarah Guillemard[24] | Paramjit Shahi | Jennifer Chen | ||
Kildonan-River East | Cathy Cox[25] | Alana Vannahme | Rachelle Schott | ||
Lakeside | Ralph Eichler[26] | Trevor King | Trevor King | ||
La Verendrye | Dennis Smook[27] | Konrad Narth | Konrad Narth | ||
McPhillips | Shannon Martin[28] | Sheilah Restall | |||
Midland | Blaine Pedersen[29] |
Lauren Stone | Lauren Stone | ||
Portage la Prairie | Ian Wishart[30] | Jeff Bereza | Jeff Bereza | ||
Roblin | Myrna Driedger[31] | Kathleen Cook | Kathleen Cook | ||
Spruce Woods | Cliff Cullen[32] | Grant Jackson | Grant Jackson | ||
Selkirk | Alan Lagimodiere[33] | Richard Perchotte |
Candidates
The PCs and New Democrats ran candidates in all 57 ridings, while the Liberals ran candidates in 49 and the Greens in 13, respectively.[34][35][36]
Marginal seats
Seats in the 2019 general election which were won by under 10%
Seat | 2019 held | 2023 Winner | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Margin | Party | Margin | |||
McPhillips | PC | 1.00% | ||||
Transcona | NDP | 1.29% | ||||
Southdale | PC | 4.56% | ||||
Rossmere | PC | 8.06% | ||||
Dauphin | PC | 8.13% | ||||
Assiniboia | PC | 8.79% | ||||
Riel | PC | 9.36% | ||||
St. Vital | NDP | 9.58% | ||||
The Maples | NDP | 9.75% | ||||
Wolseley | NDP | 9.98% |
Results
Results will be declared on October 3.[37]
Results overview
Party | Seats | Votes |
---|---|---|
PC | ||
NDP | ||
Liberal | ||
Keystone | ||
Green | ||
Communist |
By October 4 the following six ridings were undecided:
Results by riding
Aftermath
Liberal leader Dougald Lamont resigned on election night following a dismal performance for his party. Both he and Jon Gerrard lost their seats leaving Cindy Lamoureux as the sole Liberal in the legislative assembly.[38] Outgoing premier and PC leader Heather Stefanson also announced her resignation as party leader on election night.
Seats changing hands
Defeated MLAs
Constituency | Party | Name | Year elected | Seat held by party since | Defeated by | Party |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Boniface | █ Liberal | Dougald Lamont | 2018 b.e | 2018 b.e | Robert Loiselle | █ New Democratic |
River Heights | █ Liberal | Jon Gerrard | 1999 | 1999 | Mike Moroz | █ New Democratic |
Southdale | █ Progressive Conservative | Audrey Gordon | 2019 | 2016 | Renée Cable | █ New Democratic |
Kirkfield Park | █ Progressive Conservative | Kevin Klein | 2022 b.e | 2016 | Logan Oxenham | █ New Democratic |
Radisson | █ Progressive Conservative | James Teitsma | 2016 | 2016 | Jelynn Dela Cruz | █ New Democratic |
Seine River | █ Progressive Conservative | Janice Morley-Lecomte | 2016 | 2016 | Billie Cross | █ New Democratic |
Brandon East | █ Progressive Conservative | Len Isleifson | 2016 | 2016 | Glen Simard | █ New Democratic |
Riel | █ Progressive Conservative | Rochelle Squires | 2016 | 2016 | Mike Moyes | █ New Democratic |
Assiniboia | █ Progressive Conservative | Scott Johnston | 2019 | 2016 | Nellie Kennedy | █ New Democratic |
Open seats
Riding | Party | Candidate | Incumbent retiring from the House | Won by | Party |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fort Richmond | █ Progressive Conservative | Paramjit Shahi | Sarah Guillemard[24] | Jennifer Chen | █ New Democratic |
Kildonan-River East | █ Progressive Conservative | Alana Vannahme | Cathy Cox[25] | Rachelle Schott | █ New Democratic |
Opinion polls
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/de/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_Manitoba_general_election.svg/964px-Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_Manitoba_general_election.svg.png)
Voting intentions in Manitoba since the 2019 election | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Dates conducted | Source | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | ||
Forum Research | Oct 2, 2023 | [p 1] | 41.3% | 44.7% | 12.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 910 | IVR | 3.4% | ||
Research Co. | Sep 30–Oct 2, 2023 | [p 2] | 39% | 48% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 600 | Online | 9% | ||
Mainstreet Research | Sep 28–Oct 1, 2023 | [p 3] | 41% | 47% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 3.7% | 698 | Smart IVR | 6% | ||
Sovereign North Strategies | Sep 17–19, 2023 | [p 4] | 42.5% | 39.4% | 15.9% | 2.2% | N/A | 3.9% | 852 | Telephone | 3.1% | ||
Angus Reid | Sep 13–19, 2023 | [p 5] | 41% | 47% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 990 | Online | 6% | ||
Probe Research | Sep 7–18, 2023 | [p 6] | 38% | 49% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Online | 11% | ||
Research Co. | Sep 15–17, 2023 | [p 7] | 39% | 41% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 600 | Online | 2% | ||
Counsel Public Affairs | Sep 11–16, 2023 | [p 8] | 39% | 44% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 505 | Online | 5% | ||
Mainstreet Research | Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2023 | [p 9] | 43% | 42% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 601 | Smart IVR | 1% | ||
Mainstreet Research | Jul 26–28, 2023 | [p 10] | 42% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 597 | Smart IVR | 4% | ||
Probe Research | May 31 – Jun 13, 2023 | [p 11] | 41% | 41% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Online | Tie | ||
Angus Reid | May 30 – Jun 3, 2023 | [p 12] | 39% | 44% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 515 | Online | 5% | ||
Janine Gibson is elected leader of the Green Party of Manitoba | |||||||||||||
Probe Research | Mar 8–20, 2023 | [p 13] | 38% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Online | 6% | ||
Mainstreet Research | Jan 24–26, 2023 | [p 14] | 36.2% | 41.5% | 14.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 514 | Smart IVR | 5.3% | ||
Probe Research | Nov 22 – Dec 5, 2022 | [p 15] | 35% | 46% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone/Online | 11% | ||
Probe Research | Sep 8–18, 2022 | [p 16] | 37% | 44% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 7% | ||
Angus Reid | Jun 7–13, 2022 | [p 17] | 38% | 40% | 13% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 468 | Online | 2% | ||
Probe Research | Jun 1–12, 2022 | [p 18] | 35% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 10% | ||
Probe Research | Mar 9–21, 2022 | [p 19] | 34% | 44% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 10% | ||
Angus Reid | Mar 10–15, 2022 | [p 20][p 21] | 39% | 40% | 14% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 475 | Online | 1% | ||
Angus Reid | Jan 7–12, 2022 | [p 22] | 36% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 407 | Online | 6% | ||
Probe Research | Nov 23 – Dec 5, 2021 | [p 23] | 37% | 42% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 5% | ||
Heather Stefanson is elected leader of the Manitoba Progressive Conservative Party | |||||||||||||
Innovative Research | Sep 24 – Oct 5, 2021 | [p 24] | 41% | 32% | 18% | 5% | 3% | N/A | 678 | Online | 9% | ||
Angus Reid | Sep 29 – Oct 3, 2021 | [p 25] | 38% | 43% | 11% | 4% | 5% | N/A | 435 | Online | 5% | ||
Probe Research | Sep 7–20, 2021 | [p 26] | 35% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 8% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 7% | ||
Probe Research | Jun 2–11, 2021 | [p 27] | 29% | 47% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 18% | ||
Angus Reid | Jun 2–7, 2021 | [p 28] | 39% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 4.0% | 504 | Online | 3% | ||
Probe Research | Mar 10–26, 2021 | [p 29] | 36% | 42% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 6% | ||
Probe Research | Nov 24 – Dec 4, 2020 | [p 30] | 37% | 41% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 4% | ||
Angus Reid | Nov 24–30, 2020 | [p 31] | 39% | 40% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 4.8% | 420 | Online | 1% | ||
Probe Research | Sep 8–17, 2020 | [p 32] | 43% | 34% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 9% | ||
EKOS | Jul 24 – Aug 26, 2020 | [p 33] | 44% | 31% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2.9% | 1,154 | HD-IVR | 13% | ||
EKOS | Jun 16 – Jul 23, 2020 | [p 34] | 43% | 27% | 18% | 7% | 5% | 2.4% | 1,691 | HD-IVR | 16% | ||
Probe Research | Jun 2–11, 2020 | [p 35] | 38% | 36% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 2% | ||
Innovative Research | May 29 – Jun 3, 2020 | [p 36] | 38% | 26% | 26% | 10% | N/A | N/A | 200 | Online | 12% | ||
Probe Research | Mar 10–24, 2020 | [p 37] | 43% | 33% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 10% | ||
Probe Research | Nov 27 – Dec 10, 2019 | [p 38] | 42% | 36% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | Telephone | 6% | ||
2019 general election | September 10, 2019 | — | 47.1% | 31.4% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 0.6% | — | — | — | 15.7% | ||
Polling firm | Dates conducted | Source | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | ||||||
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green |
See also
- 2023 Alberta general election
- 2023 Prince Edward Island general election
- 2023 Canadian electoral calendar
Notes
References
- ^ Elections Act, CCSM , c. E30, s. 49.1(2)
- ^ CCSM c. E30, s. 49.1(3)
- ^ Petz, Sarah (August 11, 2021). "Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister stepping down before next election". CBC News. Archived from the original on August 30, 2021. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
- ^ Froese, Ian (October 30, 2021). "Heather Stefanson chosen as Manitoba's 1st female premier by a slim margin". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 30, 2021. Retrieved October 31, 2021.
- ^ "Manitoba Election: Kinew and NDP hold six-point advantage at midway mark of campaign". September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on September 28, 2023. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ "NDP's Kinew promises to boost health care, balance the budget". October 16, 2022. Archived from the original on October 1, 2023. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
- ^ "Economy, health care continue to draw focus of Manitoba election campaign". Winnipeg. September 14, 2023. Archived from the original on September 26, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ a b "Manitoba's election campaign will focus on the economy and health care Thursday – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on September 25, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Manitoba New Democrats promise to install geothermal systems in thousands of homes – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on October 1, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Manitoba Liberals urge voters to choose a different option this election – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on October 2, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Manitoba Liberals promise new debt relief tools if elected". CBC News. September 27, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Manitoba Chamber wants you to vote for prosperity". The Graphic Leader. September 27, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ Gowriluk, Caitlyn (September 22, 2023). "Fact-checking Wab Kinew's promises on crime during Manitoba party leaders' debate". CBC News. Archived from the original on September 23, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Candidates encouraged to recognize the importance of Manitoba's pork industry". PortageOnline. Archived from the original on October 1, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "New poll sheds light on Manitoba housing issues – REMI Network". REMINET. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ Kives, Bartley (October 2, 2023). "Weaponized by PCs, sidelined by NDP: Indigenous concerns largely absent from Manitoba election". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 2, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Winners of recent Manitoba elections have seen sizable majority governments – Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca". CJOB. Archived from the original on October 2, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ Hobson, Brittany; Modified, The Canadian Press Posted: Last (September 29, 2023). "Manitoba reports $270M surplus days ahead of vote". Winnipeg Free Press. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ Unofficial Results
- ^ "Political Parties". Elections Manitoba. Archived from the original on August 15, 2023. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
- ^ Clarke, Eileen (August 21, 2022). "I will be retiring from my political life as of the 2023 provincial election". Facebook. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
- ^ Darren Bernhardt, Ian Froese, "Add Reg Helwer to growing list of Manitoba Tory MLAs bowing out of provincial politics" Archived January 6, 2023, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, January 6, 2023.
- ^ a b "Manitoba cabinet minister Sarah Guillemard won't run for re-election for health reasons". CBC Manitoba. The Canadian Press. June 13, 2023. Archived from the original on June 13, 2023. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
- ^ a b Darren Bernhardt (January 5, 2023). "Cathy Cox becomes the latest Tory MLA to decide against re-election bid". CBC Manitoba. Archived from the original on January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
- ^ The Canadian Press, "Former Manitoba cabinet minister Ralph Eichler won't seek re-election" Archived October 4, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. Winnipeg Free Press, October 4, 2022.
- ^ Jordan Ross, "Smook to retire from legislature" Archived October 19, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. Winnipeg Free Press, October 17, 2022.
- ^ Steve Lambert, The Canadian Press (February 22, 2023). "Shannon Martin is the latest Manitoba Tory to opt out of upcoming election". Winnipeg Free Press. Archived from the original on February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- ^ Blaine Pedersen [@BlainePedersen] (July 15, 2021). "I will not be seeking re-election in the next provincial election" (Tweet). Retrieved July 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
- ^ Michael Blume, "Portage MLA Ian Wishart won't be running in next election" Archived December 29, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. Portage Online, December 16, 2022.
- ^ Ian Froese, "Veteran Tory MLA Myrna Driedger won't run in 2023 Manitoba election" Archived January 4, 2023, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, January 4, 2023.
- ^ Bartley Kives, "Deputy premier Cliff Cullen won't seek another term in Manitoba legislature" Archived December 29, 2022, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, December 29, 2022.
- ^ Ian Froese, "Indigenous reconciliation minister Alan Lagimodiere won't seek re-election in 2023" Archived January 4, 2023, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, January 3, 2023.
- ^ "Candidates". Elections Manitoba. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
- ^ "Our Team". Manitoba NDP. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ Froese, Ian (April 11, 2023). "PCs, NDP place candidates in competitive Manitoba election races as polling gap narrows". CBC. Archived from the original on May 9, 2023. Retrieved May 30, 2023.
- ^ "Live Manitoba Election Results Map | CTV News Winnipeg". winnipeg.ctvnews.ca. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Dougald Lamont stepping down as Manitoba Liberal leader". Winnipeg. October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 4, 2023.
Opinion poll sources
- ^ "NDP Majority Government Likely" (PDF). Forum Research. October 2, 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Voters in Manitoba Give NDP the Lead Before Election Day". Research Co. October 2, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ Martin, Robert (October 2, 2023). "Manitoba Provincial, October 2023 Public". Mainstreet Research. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "Voter Intention Survey for Manitoba & Winnipeg September 17–19,23". Sovereign North Strategies. September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 3, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "Manitoba Election: Kinew and NDP hold six-point advantage at midway mark of campaign". Angus Reid. September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "With election day nearing, latest polling shows NDP surging ahead in Manitoba". CTV News. September 20, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "Voters in Manitoba Deeply Divided as Campaign Continues". Research Co. September 18, 2023. Archived from the original on September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
- ^ "Manitoba Public Opinion Report September 26, 2023" (PDF). Counsel Public Affairs. September 26, 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 27, 2023. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
- ^ Fric, Curtis (September 7, 2023). "Manitoba Provincial, August 2023 Public". Archived from the original on September 7, 2023. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
- ^ Fric, Curtis (August 2, 2023). "Manitoba Provincial, July 2023 Public". Archived from the original on August 3, 2023. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- ^ "NDP, PCs Head Into Pre-Election Period In a Dead Heat (June 2023 Provincial Voting Intentions)". Probe Research. June 21, 2023. Archived from the original on June 22, 2023. Retrieved June 23, 2023.
- ^ "Double-digit advantage in Winnipeg has Manitoba NDP comfortably ahead in lead-up to October election". Angus Reid Institute. June 13, 2023. Archived from the original on June 13, 2023. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
- ^ "Manitoba Provincial Party Support" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 28, 2023. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
- ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey – Manitoba" (PDF). ipolitics.ca. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 1, 2023. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
- ^ "NDP Lead Inches Slightly Higher (December 2022 Omnibus) | Probe Research Inc". probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 12, 2022. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
- ^ "Support for Manitoba PCs has slipped since last election, NDP holds the lead | CTV News". ctvnews.ca. September 25, 2022. Archived from the original on September 26, 2022. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
- ^ "Prairie Politics: Moe and Stefanson share a border, but residents' government satisfaction is worlds apart" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 9, 2022. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
- ^ "NDP Maintains Lead Over PCs In Manitoba (June 2022 Provincial Voting Intentions) | Probe Research Inc". probe-research.com. Archived from the original on July 19, 2022. Retrieved June 19, 2022.
- ^ "Gap Between NDP, PCs Widens (March 2022 Provincial Voting Intentions) | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on July 19, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
- ^ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
- ^ "Detailed Results" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
- ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
- ^ "No Bounce for New PC Leader and Premier | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 16, 2021. Retrieved December 16, 2021.
- ^ "Canada This Month: Manitoba Politics" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 9, 2021. Retrieved October 11, 2021.
- ^ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments | Angus Reid Institute" (PDF). www.angusreid.org. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 31, 2021.
- ^ "Progressive Conservative Support Rebounds in Manitoba | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on October 2, 2021. Retrieved October 12, 2021.
- ^ "NDP Lead Widens Further in Manitoba | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on June 18, 2021. Retrieved June 18, 2021.
- ^ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity and political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management | Angus Reid Institute". www.angusreid.org. June 9, 2021. Archived from the original on June 13, 2021. Retrieved June 13, 2021.
- ^ "NDP Extends Lead as Pallister Plumbs Lower Levels of Popularity | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on March 31, 2021. Retrieved March 31, 2021.
- ^ "NDP Takes Lead for First Time Since 2016 | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on January 17, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
- ^ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, The CCP virus management". Angus Reid Institute. December 10, 2020. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
- ^ "Provincial PCs See Uptick in Support | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on January 27, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
- ^ "Comfortable PC lead narrows in Manitoba". EKOS Politics. September 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 14, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
- ^ "Tories have comfortable lead over NDP in Manitoba". EKOS Politics. July 24, 2020. Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
- ^ "PCs, NDP In Statistical Dead Heat | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 3, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
- ^ "Manitoba Politics in the Time of The CCP virus: June 2020 Update" (PDF). innovativeresearch.ca. Archived from the original on October 28, 2020. Retrieved October 31, 2021.
- ^ "Provincial Party Support Remains Steady | Probe Research Inc". www.probe-research.com. Archived from the original on December 3, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
- ^ Robertson, Dylan (December 27, 2019). "Dec 2019: NDP gains traction after PC re-election". Winnipeg Free Press. Archived from the original on September 17, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.