2024 Arizona Senate election: Difference between revisions
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=== Partisan Background === |
=== Partisan Background === |
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In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts. |
In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts. |
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[[File:2020 Arizona Presidential Election by Legislative District.svg| |
[[File:2020 Arizona Presidential Election by Legislative District.svg|400px|thumb|left| {{col-begin}} {{col-2}} '''Biden''' {{legend|#B9D7FF|40–50%}} {{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}} {{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}} {{legend|#1666CB|70–80%}} {{legend|#0645B4|80–90%}} {{legend|#002B84|90–100%}} {{col-2}} '''Trump''' {{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}} {{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}} {{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}} {{legend|#D40000|70–80%}} {{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}} {{legend|#800000|90–100%}} {{col-end}} ]] |
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==Predictions== |
==Predictions== |
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Revision as of 20:19, 15 June 2024
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All 30 seats of the Arizona Senate 16 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2024 Arizona Senate election will be held on November 5, 2024. Voters will elect members of the Arizona Senate in all 30 of the state's legislative districts to serve a two-year term. Primary elections are scheduled for July 30, 2024.[1]
Prior to the elections, the Republican Party held a narrow majority over the Democratic Party, controlling 16 seats to their 14 seats.
Partisan Background
In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts.
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
CNalysis[2] | Tossup | May 16, 2024 |
Overview
Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | Before | After | +/– | ||||||||
Republican | 16 | |||||||||||
Democratic | 14 | |||||||||||
Total |
Retiring incumbents
Republicans
- District 25: Sine Kerr is retiring.[3]
- District 27: Anthony Kern is running for United States House of Representatives.[4]
- District 30: Sonny Borrelli is term-limited.
Democrats
- District 8: Juan Mendez is term-limited and running for the Arizona House of Representatives.
- District 24: Anna Hernandez is running for the Phoenix City Council.[5]
Summary of results by district
† - Incumbent not seeking re-election
District | Incumbent | Party | Elected Senator | Outcome | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | Ken Bennett | Rep | TBD | |||
2nd | Shawnna Bolick[a] | Rep | TBD | |||
3rd | John Kavanagh | Rep | TBD | |||
4th | Christine Marsh | Dem | TBD | |||
5th | Lela Alston | Dem | TBD | |||
6th | Theresa Hatathlie | Dem | TBD | |||
7th | Wendy Rogers | Rep | TBD | |||
8th | Juan Mendez† | Dem | TBD | |||
9th | Eva Burch | Dem | TBD | |||
10th | David Christian Farnsworth | Rep | TBD | |||
11th | Catherine Miranda | Dem | TBD | |||
12th | Mitzi Epstein | Dem | TBD | |||
13th | J. D. Mesnard | Rep | TBD | |||
14th | Warren Petersen | Rep | TBD | |||
15th | Jake Hoffman | Rep | TBD | |||
16th | T. J. Shope | Rep | TBD | |||
17th | Justine Wadsack | Rep | TBD | |||
18th | Priya Sundareshan | Dem | TBD | |||
19th | David Gowan | Rep | TBD | |||
20th | Sally Ann Gonzales | Dem | TBD | |||
21st | Rosanna Gabaldón | Dem | TBD | |||
22nd | Eva Diaz | Dem | TBD | |||
23rd | Brian Fernandez | Dem | TBD | |||
24th | Anna Hernandez† | Dem | TBD | |||
25th | Sine Kerr† | Rep | TBD | |||
26th | Flavio Bravo[b] | Dem | TBD | |||
27th | Anthony Kern† | Rep | TBD | |||
28th | Frank Carroll | Rep | TBD | |||
29th | Janae Shamp | Rep | TBD | |||
30th | Sonny Borrelli† | Rep | TBD |
- ^ Republican Shawnna Bolick was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Steve Kaiser resigned.[6]
- ^ Democrat Flavio Bravo was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Raquel Terán resigned.[7]
Results
District 1 • District 2 • District 3 • District 4 • District 5 • District 6 • District 7 • District 8 • District 9 • District 10 • District 11 • District 12 • District 13 • District 14 • District 15 • District 16 • District 17 • District 18 • District 19 • District 20 • District 21 • District 22 • District 23 • District 24 • District 25 • District 26 • District 27 • District 28 • District 29 • District 30 |
District 1
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Mike Fogel | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Ken Bennett (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Mark Finchem | |||
Republican | Steve Zipperman | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 2
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Judy Schwiebert | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Josh Barnett | |||
Republican | Shawnna Bolick (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Green Party Primary Results | ||||
Green | Dennis Pugsley | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Green | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 3
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | John Kavanagh (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 4
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Christine Marsh (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Kenneth R. Bowers, Jr. | |||
Republican | Carine Werner | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 5
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Lela Alston (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Joshua Ortega | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 6
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Theresa Hatathlie (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 7
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Haley Creighton | |||
Democratic | Roberto Reveles | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | David Cook | |||
Republican | Wendy Rogers (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 8
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Lauren Kuby[8] | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Roxana Holzapfel | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 9
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Eva Burch (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Robert Scantlebury | |||
Republican | Christopher Stapley | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 10
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Robert Doyle | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | David Christian Farnsworth (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 11
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Catherine Miranda (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Joshua Ayala | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 12
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Denise "Mitzi" Epstein (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Cara Vicini | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 13
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Sharon Winters | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | J.D. Mesnard (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 14
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Elizabeth Brown | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Warren Petersen (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 15
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Alan Smith | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Jake Hoffman (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Independent | Evan Olson | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 16
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Stacey Seaman | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Thomas "T.J." Shope, Jr. (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 17
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | John McLean | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Venden "Vince" Leach | |||
Republican | Justine Wadsack (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 18
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Priya Sundareshan (incumbent) | |||
Democratic | Matt Welch (withdrawn)[9] | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 19
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Bob Karp | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | David Gowan (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 20
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Sally Gonzales (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 21
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Rosanna Gabaldón (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 22
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Eva Diaz (incumbent) | |||
Democratic | Leezah Sun | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Steve Robinson | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 23
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Brian Fernandez (incumbent) | |||
Democratic | Jesus Lugo, Jr. | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Michelle Altherr | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 24
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Mario Garcia | |||
Democratic | Analise Ortiz | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 25
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Sonya Willis (withdrawn)[10] | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Timothy "Tim" Dunn | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 26
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Flavio Bravo (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Victor "Vic" Harris | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 27
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Joshua Abbott | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Kevin Payne | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 28
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Frank Carroll (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 29
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | Eric Stafford | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Janae Shamp (incumbent) | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
District 30
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party Primary Results | ||||
Democratic | J'aime Morgaine | |||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
Republican Party Primary Results | ||||
Republican | Hildy Angius | |||
Republican | Ashley Gerich | |||
Republican | Kimberly Zanon | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ||||
Republican | ||||
Total votes | 100.00% | |||
hold |
References
- ^ "Arizona's new election dates: Here's what you need to know". KPNX. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
- ^ "24 AZ Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ Schutsky, Wayne (April 5, 2024). "These prominent Arizona Republican lawmakers aren't seeking reelection". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
- ^ Sanchez, Camryn (October 31, 2023). "West Valley lawmakers Kern and Toma enter CD8 race". KJZZ. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ Sanchez, Camryn (January 30, 2024). "Arizona state senator leaving 'gridlocked' Legislature to run for Phoenix City Council". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
- ^ "New Republican senator bashes Freedom Caucus". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ "Arizona Rep. Bravo chosen to fill Raquel Terán's Senate seat". The Associated Press. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ Duda, Jeremy (May 13, 2024). "Democrats sidestep write-in campaign by nominating state Senate candidate". Axios. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
- ^ Sievers, Caitlin (April 16, 2024). "Candidates drop out, prepare for court amid petition signature challenges". AZ Mirror. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
- ^ Sievers, Caitlin (April 16, 2024). "Candidates drop out, prepare for court amid petition signature challenges". AZ Mirror. Retrieved April 25, 2024.