2024 Arizona Senate election: Difference between revisions

2024 Arizona Senate election
All 30 seats of the Arizona Senate; 16 seats needed for a majority
	Map of the incumbents:; Democratic incumbent ; Republican incumbent
Incumbent President of the Senate; Warren Petersen; Republican	; ;

Browse history interactively

← Previous edit Next edit →

Content deleted Content added

VisualWikitext

Inline

Revision as of 21:41, 15 June 2024

The 2024 Arizona Senate election will be held on November 5, 2024. Voters will elect members of the Arizona Senate in all 30 of the state's legislative districts to serve a two-year term. Primary elections are scheduled for July 30, 2024.^[1]

Prior to the elections, the Republican Party held a narrow majority over the Democratic Party, controlling 16 seats to their 14 seats.

Partisan Background

In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts. Senate District 13, centered around the city of Chandler, which Biden won by 3% in 2020, was the only district Biden won in 2020 that was held by a Republican going into these elections.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
CNalysis^[2]	Tossup	May 16, 2024

Overview

Party		Candidates	Votes		Seats

Party		Candidates	No.	%	Before	After	+/–
	Republican				16
	Democratic				14
Total

Retiring incumbents

Republicans

District 25: Sine Kerr is retiring.^[3]
District 27: Anthony Kern is running for United States House of Representatives.^[4]
District 30: Sonny Borrelli is term-limited.

Democrats

District 8: Juan Mendez is term-limited and running for the Arizona House of Representatives.
District 24: Anna Hernandez is running for the Phoenix City Council.^[5]

Summary of results by district

† - Incumbent not seeking re-election

District	Incumbent		Elected Senator
1st	Ken Bennett	Rep	TBD
2nd	Shawnna Bolick^[a]	Rep	TBD
3rd	John Kavanagh	Rep	TBD
4th	Christine Marsh	Dem	TBD
5th	Lela Alston	Dem	TBD
6th	Theresa Hatathlie	Dem	TBD
7th	Wendy Rogers	Rep	TBD
8th	Juan Mendez†	Dem	TBD
9th	Eva Burch	Dem	TBD
10th	David Christian Farnsworth	Rep	TBD
11th	Catherine Miranda	Dem	TBD
12th	Mitzi Epstein	Dem	TBD
13th	J. D. Mesnard	Rep	TBD
14th	Warren Petersen	Rep	TBD
15th	Jake Hoffman	Rep	TBD
16th	T. J. Shope	Rep	TBD
17th	Justine Wadsack	Rep	TBD
18th	Priya Sundareshan	Dem	TBD
19th	David Gowan	Rep	TBD
20th	Sally Ann Gonzales	Dem	TBD
21st	Rosanna Gabaldón	Dem	TBD
22nd	Eva Diaz	Dem	TBD
23rd	Brian Fernandez	Dem	TBD
24th	Anna Hernandez†	Dem	TBD
25th	Sine Kerr†	Rep	TBD
26th	Flavio Bravo^[b]	Dem	TBD
27th	Anthony Kern†	Rep	TBD
28th	Frank Carroll	Rep	TBD
29th	Janae Shamp	Rep	TBD
30th	Sonny Borrelli†	Rep	TBD

^ Republican Shawnna Bolick was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Steve Kaiser resigned.^[6]
^ Democrat Flavio Bravo was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Raquel Terán resigned.^[7]

Results

District 1 • District 2 • District 3 • District 4 • District 5 • District 6 • District 7 • District 8 • District 9 • District 10 • District 11 • District 12 • District 13 • District 14 • District 15 • District 16 • District 17 • District 18 • District 19 • District 20 • District 21 • District 22 • District 23 • District 24 • District 25 • District 26 • District 27 • District 28 • District 29 • District 30

District 1

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Mike Fogel
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Ken Bennett (incumbent)
	Republican	Mark Finchem
	Republican	Steve Zipperman
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 2

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Judy Schwiebert
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Josh Barnett
	Republican	Shawnna Bolick (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%
Green Party Primary Results
	Green	Dennis Pugsley
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
	Green
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 3

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	John Kavanagh (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 4

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Christine Marsh (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Kenneth R. Bowers, Jr.
	Republican	Carine Werner
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 5

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Lela Alston (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Joshua Ortega
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 6

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Theresa Hatathlie (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 7

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Haley Creighton
	Democratic	Roberto Reveles
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	David Cook
	Republican	Wendy Rogers (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 8

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Lauren Kuby^[8]
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Roxana Holzapfel
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 9

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Eva Burch (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Robert Scantlebury
	Republican	Christopher Stapley
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 10

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Robert Doyle
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	David Christian Farnsworth (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 11

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Catherine Miranda (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Joshua Ayala
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 12

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Denise "Mitzi" Epstein (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Cara Vicini
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 13

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Sharon Winters
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	J.D. Mesnard (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 14

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Elizabeth Brown
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Warren Petersen (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 15

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Alan Smith
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Jake Hoffman (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
	Democratic
	Republican
	Independent	Evan Olson
Total votes			100.00%
	hold

District 16

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Stacey Seaman
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Thomas "T.J." Shope, Jr. (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 17

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	John McLean
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Venden "Vince" Leach
	Republican	Justine Wadsack (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 18

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Priya Sundareshan (incumbent)
	Democratic	Matt Welch (withdrawn)^[9]
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 19

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Bob Karp
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	David Gowan (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 20

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Sally Gonzales (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 21

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Rosanna Gabaldón (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 22

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Eva Diaz (incumbent)
	Democratic	Leezah Sun
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Steve Robinson
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 23

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Brian Fernandez (incumbent)
	Democratic	Jesus Lugo, Jr.
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Michelle Altherr
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 24

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Mario Garcia
	Democratic	Analise Ortiz
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 25

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Sonya Willis (withdrawn)^[10]
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Timothy "Tim" Dunn
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 26

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Flavio Bravo (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Victor "Vic" Harris
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 27

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Joshua Abbott
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Kevin Payne
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 28

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Frank Carroll (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 29

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	Eric Stafford
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Janae Shamp (incumbent)
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

District 30

Primary Election Results
Party		Candidate	%
Democratic Party Primary Results
	Democratic	J'aime Morgaine
Total votes			100.00%
Republican Party Primary Results
	Republican	Hildy Angius
	Republican	Ashley Gerich
	Republican	Kimberly Zanon
Total votes			100.00%

General Election Results
Party		%
	Democratic
	Republican
Total votes		100.00%
	hold

References

^ "Arizona's new election dates: Here's what you need to know". KPNX. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
^ "24 AZ Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
^ Schutsky, Wayne (April 5, 2024). "These prominent Arizona Republican lawmakers aren't seeking reelection". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
^ Sanchez, Camryn (October 31, 2023). "West Valley lawmakers Kern and Toma enter CD8 race". KJZZ. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
^ Sanchez, Camryn (January 30, 2024). "Arizona state senator leaving 'gridlocked' Legislature to run for Phoenix City Council". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
^ "New Republican senator bashes Freedom Caucus". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
^ "Arizona Rep. Bravo chosen to fill Raquel Terán's Senate seat". The Associated Press. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
^ Duda, Jeremy (May 13, 2024). "Democrats sidestep write-in campaign by nominating state Senate candidate". Axios. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
^ Sievers, Caitlin (April 16, 2024). "Candidates drop out, prepare for court amid petition signature challenges". AZ Mirror. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
^ Sievers, Caitlin (April 16, 2024). "Candidates drop out, prepare for court amid petition signature challenges". AZ Mirror. Retrieved April 25, 2024.

This Arizona elections-related article is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.

[Bolick-7] Republican Shawnna Bolick was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Steve Kaiser resigned.^[6]

[Bravo-9] Democrat Flavio Bravo was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Raquel Terán resigned.^[7]

[1] "Arizona's new election dates: Here's what you need to know". KPNX. Retrieved April 25, 2024.

[2] "24 AZ Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved May 16, 2024.

[2-3] Schutsky, Wayne (April 5, 2024). "These prominent Arizona Republican lawmakers aren't seeking reelection". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.

[4] Sanchez, Camryn (October 31, 2023). "West Valley lawmakers Kern and Toma enter CD8 race". KJZZ. Retrieved January 14, 2024.

[5] Sanchez, Camryn (January 30, 2024). "Arizona state senator leaving 'gridlocked' Legislature to run for Phoenix City Council". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.

[6] "New Republican senator bashes Freedom Caucus". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved July 21, 2023.

[8] "Arizona Rep. Bravo chosen to fill Raquel Terán's Senate seat". The Associated Press. Retrieved July 19, 2023.

[10] Duda, Jeremy (May 13, 2024). "Democrats sidestep write-in campaign by nominating state Senate candidate". Axios. Retrieved May 26, 2024.

[11] Sievers, Caitlin (April 16, 2024). "Candidates drop out, prepare for court amid petition signature challenges". AZ Mirror. Retrieved April 25, 2024.

[12] Sievers, Caitlin (April 16, 2024). "Candidates drop out, prepare for court amid petition signature challenges". AZ Mirror. Retrieved April 25, 2024.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[a]

[b]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

@@ Line 58: / Line 58: @@
 === Partisan Background ===
 In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts. Senate District 13, centered around the city of Chandler, which Biden won by 3% in 2020, was the only district Biden won in 2020 that was held by a Republican going into these elections.
-[[File:2020 Arizona Presidential Election by Legislative District.svg|400px|thumb|center| {{col-begin}} {{col-2}} '''Biden''' {{legend|#B9D7FF|40–50%}} {{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}} {{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}} {{legend|#1666CB|70–80%}} {{legend|#0645B4|80–90%}} {{legend|#002B84|90–100%}} {{col-2}} '''Trump''' {{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}} {{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}} {{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}} {{legend|#D40000|70–80%}} {{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}} {{legend|#800000|90–100%}} {{col-end}} ]]
+[[File:2020 Arizona Presidential Election by Legislative District.svg|400px|thumb|center| {{col-begin}} {{col-2}} '''Biden''' {{legend|#B9D7FF|40–50%}} {{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}} {{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}} {{legend|#1666CB|70–80%}}{{col-2}} '''Trump'''  {{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}} {{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}} {{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}  {{col-end}} ]]
 ==Predictions==