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2022 Costa Rican general election

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2022 Costa Rican general election
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Carlos Alvarado Quesada
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General elections are scheduled to be held in Costa Rica on Sunday, 6 February 2022, in accordance with the Constitution of Costa Rica, to elect the president, two vice-presidents and all 57 deputies of the Legislative Assembly. If none of the presidential nominees obtained at least 40% of the votes, a second electoral round will be held on Sunday, 3 April of that same year between the two candidates who have obtained the most votes. These will be the eighteenth elections of this type held in the country since the current Constitution was put in force.

Backstory

In the preceding elections, a second electoral round was held for the third time in history when no political party reached 40% of the votes. The two candidates with the most support were the then deputy, journalist, preacher and Christian music singer Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz of the conservative National Restoration party and the former Minister of Labor, journalist and writer Carlos Alvarado Quesada of the ruling Citizens' Action. The election was marked by social and religious issues that included issues such as same-sex marriage, the secular state, and sex education.[1][2] Carlos Alvarado was the winner in the second round by a wide margin; 60 over 39%.[3][4]

Leader of the opposition Fabricio Alvarado would resign National Restoration soon after founding a new party named New Republic and taking 6 out of 14 of Restoration's deputies.

One of the most controversial aspects of the Alvarado Quesada administration was the approval by the Legislative Assembly of the Law for the Strengthening of Public Finances, popularly known as the Fiscal Plan, which was opposed by both the right and the left, but it was supported by the benches of the majority parties; PLN, PAC and PUSC (ranging from center-right to center-left). Opposition to the project led to the 2018 Costa Rican union strike, one of the largest in recent history, but which did not have the effect of stopping the project.

The opposition to the tax reform, however, generated future protests coupled with other issues of discontent from specific sectors. In mid-2019, protests were raised by fishermen, truck drivers and high school students, the latter calling for the resignation of then Minister of Education Edgar Mora and closing national roads. The students demanded, among other things, the end of the FARO tests and the reestablishment of the traditional high school tests, improvement in infrastructure and the departure of Mora, who effectively resigned on 2 July 2019. The protests were supported by allies as dissimilar as the union movements traditionally associated with the left of leaders such as the unionist Albino Vargas as well as the ultra-conservative neo-Pentecostal political movement led by the presidential candidate Fabricio Alvarado and by far-right movements.[5]

Far-right growth

As in other countries, the phenomenon of the emergence of the extreme right and of movements that claim to be nationalist and irredentist appeared in Costa Rica. Different movements associated with ideas of the extreme right and opposed to immigration (especially Nicaraguan) proliferated in recent years.

In 2018, a wave of false news disseminated by Facebook pages with an ultra-right leaning have been identified as responsible for instigating hatred and increasing xenophobia.[6][7] The pages falsely spread that Nicaraguan groups had burned the Costa Rican flag (when they It was about Costa Rican anarchists in a demonstration many years before) and who had "taken over" La Merced park in San José (known as a meeting place for immigrants) when in fact a Nicaraguan flag had been temporarily raised to collect food for refugees.

A march against Nicaraguan migrants was held on 19 August 2018, in which neo-Nazi groups and hooligans participated.[8][9][10] Although not all the participants were linked to these groups, the protest turned violent and the Public Force intervened with a balance of 44 arrested, 36 Costa Ricans and the rest Nicaraguans.[11]

In 2019 Facebook social network pages such as Deputy 58, Costa Rican Resistance and Salvación Costa Rica described as "ultra-nationalists" and radically opposed to immigration called for an anti-government demonstration on 1 May, with little attendance.[12][13]

In 2019, a paramilitary group that calls itself the July 7 Patriot Front comes to light and makes a call through a video whose participants wore masks and fatigue clothes, to carry out a violent coup that would depose the government. Right-wing populist presidential candidate Juan Diego Castro accused the government of being behind the video and of being a hoax, although this turned out to be false when the judicial authorities discovered those responsible.[14]

The group was quickly identified by the police authorities and its leadership was arrested a few days after the incident.[15] The leaders apparently had links with the ultra-religious far right and the former Cobra Command that carried out violent activities against indigenous people in the 1990s.[16][17]

Candidates

Citizens' Action Party

In the Citizens' Action Party, rumors were heard about possible nominations by the president of the Costa Rican Social Security Fund, Román Macaya Hayes and the ambassador to Spain and former vice president Ana Helena Chacón, however, Macaya denied it through a press release and Chacón assured that she could not refer to the matter due to her current position.[18] The Costa Rican Constitution establishes that the President may not run for immediate reelection. Furthermore, Ministers and Executive Presidents of the autonomous institutions have to resign at least twelve months before the election is held in case they wish to run for office.[19]

Publicly expressed

As of February 2021, the following people have publicly expressed interest about potentially pursuing candidacy

Other potential candidates

Declined to be candidates

National Liberation Party

It is rumored that former president José María Figueres Olsen would run in a second attempt to be reelected, since last season he tried to achieve the presidential nomination of the National Liberation Party being defeated in the 2017 primaries.[31] Although some rumors suggest that he could seek the presidency through another party founded for this purpose by figuerismo. In July 2019, the former president lashed out at the government and was the only one of the former presidents who did not sign a letter calling for peaceful dialogue, harshly criticizing not only the current government but also the administrations of the National Liberation and Christian Social Unity parties, describing them as "PLUSC", a traditional pejorative term towards Costa Rica's two party system.[32][33]

Among those who have expressed their interest in being presidential candidates are;[18] on the National Liberation Party (the main opposition): the former presidential candidate in 2018 Antonio Álvarez Desanti, the former president of the party and former president of the National Insurance Institute Guillermo Costenla, the former secretary-general and lawyer Fernando Zamora and the economist Gerardo Corrales. The former president José María Figueres Olsen, congresswoman Franggi Nicolás and former prime minister Rodrigo Arias Sánchez, brother of the former president and Nobel Peace Prize winner Óscar Arias, have also been rumored, although not confirmed.[18]

On February 20, 2021, the Amelia Rueda news site informed that Former President Óscar Arias Sánchez held a meeting with the other Former Presidents of the party, José María Figueres Olsen and Laura Chinchilla Miranda, in which he proposed that a consensus candidate should be picked. The proposal consisted in that each Former President would choose up to two possible candidates, and from that list, the Former Presidents would choose one candidate that would have to be ratified by the party's National Assembly. Neither Figueres Olsen nor Chinchilla Miranda have publicly spoken about Arias Sánchez's proposal.[34]

Registered candidates

Name Birth Previous offices Home province Campaign
Start date 		Reference
Carlos Benavides Jiménez 29 August 1969
(54)
Puntarenas, Puntarenas 		San José Deputy (2018-present)
President of the Legislative Assembly (2019-2020)
Minister of the Presidency (2011-2014)
Puntarenas Deputy (2002-2006)
San José 		Campaign



Announce: 24
March 2021 		[35]
File:Claudio Alpízar Otoya.pngClaudio Alpízar Otoya 28 November 1962
(61)
Hospital, San José 		Political scientist
San José 		Campaign

Announce: 5 January 2021
Start: 1 February 2021 		[36][37]

José María Figueres Olsen 		24 December 1954
(69)
Catedral, San José 		President of Costa Rica (1994-1998)
President of the National Liberation Party (2015-2016)
Minister of Agriculture (1989-1990)
Minister of Comerce (2006-2010)
San José 		Campaign
Announce: 31 March 2021
Start: 15 April 2021 		[38]
Roberto Thompson Chacón 10 July 1960
(64)
Alajuela, Alajuela 		Alajuela Deputy (2018-present)
Mayor of Alajuela (2010-2018)
Vice-minister of Policial Issues and Citizen Dialogue (2006-2010)
Alajuela 		Campaign



Announce: 15 February 2021
Start: 18 March 2021 		[39]
Rolando Araya Monge 20 August 1947
(76)
Palmares, Palmares 		San José Deputy (1974-1978)
Minister of Public Works and Transport (1982-1984)
[Mayor of San José|Mayor]] of San José (1978-1980)
Presidential candidate in 2002 and 2010
San José 		Campaign



Announce: 9 February 2021
Start: 19 March 2021 		[40]
Retired

As of April 2021, the following people had publicly expressed interest about potentially pursuing candidacy but retired from the race:

Other potential candidates

As of February 2021, the following people have been subjects of significant speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months.

Declined to be candidates

Social Christian Unity Party

Pedro Múñoz, deputy, and lawyer Roberto Suñol have confirmed for the Partido Unidad Social Cristiana.[18] The two former candidates Rodolfo Piza Rocafort and Rafael Ortiz Fábrega are in diplomatic posts abroad.[18] In December 2020, several representatives of the party faction known as "Gente Unidad" sent a letter to former president Rafael Ángel Calderón Fournier, with the purpose of talking about establishing a coalition with his current party, the Social Christian Republican Party and other ideologically similar parties for the 2022 election.[57] Former President Miguel Ángel Rodríguez Echeverría, who is still a PUSC member supported the idea of a PUSC-led coalition,[58] yet said proposal was denied by the party's Executive President, Randall Quirós Bustamante, allegedly due to lack of time.[59]

On February 7, 2021, the party's National Assembly voted 56-32 against Former President Rodriguez Echeverría's motion for an electoral coalition led by the Social Christian Unity Party and with the participation of "Social Christian, Conservative, Liberal, and Evangelical political groups."[60]

Registered candidates

Name Birth Previous offices Home province
 Campaign
Start date 		References

Erwen Masís Castro 		14 March 1982
(42)
Alajuela, Alajuela 		Alajuela Deputy (2018-present)
Mayor of San Mateo (2007-2011)
Alajuela 		Campaign



Announce: 15 March 2021 		[61]

Lineth Saborío Chaverri 		4 de noviembre de 1960
(63)
Grecia, Grecia 		Vice President of Costa Rica (2002-2006)
Minister of the Presidency (2004-2006)
Minister of Planning (2003-2004)
Director Organismo de Investigación Judicial (1997-2002)
San José 		Campaign


Announce and Start: 4 April 2021 		[62]

Pedro Muñoz Fonseca 		31 July 1968
(56)
Liberia, Liberia 		San José Deputy (2018-presente)
President of Social Christian Unity Party (2014-2018)
Alderman at Liberia Municipal Council (2006-2010)
San José 		Campaign



Announce: 9 February 2021
Start: 17 March 2021 		[46]

Retired

As of April 2021, the following people had publicly expressed interest about potentially pursuing candidacy but retired from the race:

Declined to be candidate

Independents

Former Minister of Finance of Carlos Alvarado's administration and former Officer of the World Bank Rodrigo Chaves Robles has held meetings with representatives of seven political parties, of which the Social Christian Republican Party and National Integration Party are part of said list, in order to set a programmatic proposal and a possible electoral coalition in which he, preferably, would be the presidential nominee.[70] According to Chaves "What I have said is that first of all one can not talk of a long trip if one does not have a vehicle. Secondly, much less talk of the chauffeur of a vehicle that does not exist. What I agree with them is that in this county over 60% of the electorate do not feel represented or appetite to support any of the currently existing parties."[71]

Other parties

Several former candidates who participated in the process have already announced their interest in being candidates again. In most cases, these candidates resigned from the parties for which they tried to obtain the presidency and began the processes of founding new political groups. One of the first to make the announcement was the criminal lawyer, former Minister of Justice and former Grand Master of the Masonic Grand Lodge of Costa Rica Juan Diego Castro Fernández, who announced the creation of a new party called "Reconstruction" after his unfriendly break with the National Integration Party.[72][73] In January 2021 Castro announced that the attempts on founding the new party were cancelled due to logistical difficulties.[74] Natalia Díaz Quintana, former deputy and former presidential candidate for the defunct Libertarian Movement who lost in the primaries of said party to the historic leader Otto Guevara Guth, announced the creation of a new liberal party called Unidos Podemos, unrelated to the Spanish coalition of the same name, although similarly using the color purple.[75][76] Díaz had previously resigned from the Libertarian and even gave his adhesion to the candidate of the National Liberation Party Antonio Álvarez Desanti in the 2018 election. Otto Guevara himself has announced that he does not rule out a sixth presidential candidacy, although due to the critical financial situation affected by all kinds of debts carried after the serious electoral setbacks suffered in the past campaigns, Guevara founded another new party named Liberal Union.[77][78]

Fabricio Alvarado, who was one of the most voted candidates in the previous election, announced his separation from the party for which he was a deputy and candidate through his Facebook account and the creation of a new political party called Nueva República, assuring is a now secular party, not religious one as Restauración.[79]

The deputy of Romanian origin Dragos Dolanescu Valenciano announced his presidential candidacy through a new political formation called Fair Costa Rica after his departure from the Republican Social Christian Party following accusations of alleged financial misstatement lodged by the party's Executive Committee against him in the General Prosecutor's office.[80]

In National Restoration, a party that played an important role in the last election, but whose candidate on that occasion quit the party, current President of the Legislative Assembly Eduardo Cruickshank is rumored as a possible candidate.[18] While Sergio Mena Díaz would be repeating for the third time the presidential candidacy with double nomination for deputy also for the third time by the right-wing New Generation Party.

Possible right-wing coalition

At the beginning of 2020, Pedro Muñoz Fonseca president of Social Christian Unity Party, Mario Redondo Poveda of the Christian Democratic Alliance and Otto Guevara Guth of the Liberal Union began negotiations for the creation of a liberal right-wing coalition with the self-proclaimed goal of preventing a third consecutive PAC government.[81] Although Natalia Díaz Quintana of Unidos Podemos was invited, she declined to participate preferring to go to the elections alone. The participation of Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz of the Liberal Progressive Party in the negotiations was reported in principle, but representatives of the party denied it later.[82] The proposal of a Social Christian-Liberal coalition was further supported by former president Miguel Ángel Rodríguez Echeverría.[83] Nonetheless the proposal was ruled out by the Social Christian Unity Party's National Assembly.[84] Despite PUSC's reluctance to form a coalition, the Christian Democratic Alliance and the Liberal Progressive Party have continued talks regarding a coalition.[85]

Opinion polling

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		FA PAC PIN PLN PNG PNR PREN PRSC PUSC Other None Lead
Borge y Asociados/Amelia Rueda 6 - 18 Feb 2021 - 7,5% - 20,9% - 3.3% - - 5,7% 57,4% 13.4%
OPol/El Guardián CR 6 - 8 Jan 2021 3.1% 5.7% 0.6% 19.5% 0.1% 0.9% 1.8% 0.5% 9.6% 55.5% 9.9%
2020 municipal elections 2 Feb 2020 2.09% 7.34% 2.38% 31.42% 4.69% 5.46% 3.99% 4.25% 17.35% 21.03% 63.07%[a] 14.07%
CID Gallup/Diario Extra 29 May 2019 1% 10% - 21% - - 3% - 6% 57% 11%
30 Jan 2019 Fabricio Alvarado leaves National Restoration Party and creates the New Republic Party
2018 election 4 Feb 2018 0.78% 21.63% 9.54% 18.63% 0.76% - 24.99% 4.94% 15.99% 2.74% 34.30%[b] 3.36%

Notes

  1. ^ Abstention on election day
  2. ^ Abstention on election day

References

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