2027 French presidential election
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The first round of the 2027 French presidential election is scheduled to be held between 8 and 23 April 2027, with the potential second round held two weeks afterwards. However, it may be held earlier under exceptional circumstances, such as the resignation or death of the president. Incumbent president Emmanuel Macron is no longer eligible to run in the election, as he is bound to a two-term limit.
Electoral system
The president of the French Republic is elected to a five-year term in a two-round election under Article 7 of the constitution: if no candidate secures an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) of votes in the first round, a second round is held two weeks later between the two candidates who received the most votes.[1] Per the constitution, the first round of the presidential election must be held between 20 and 35 days before the transition of power at the end of the five-year term of the incumbent president. Because Emmanuel Macron took office on 14 May 2022, the transition of power is slated to take place on 13 May 2027, meaning that the first round of the presidential election will be held between 8 and 23 April 2027, with the second round held two weeks after the first.[2]
To be listed on the first-round ballot, candidates must secure 500 signatures (often referred to as parrainages) from national or local elected officials from at least 30 different departments or overseas collectivities, with no more than a tenth of these signatories from any single department.[3] According to the Article 6 of the French constitution,[4] the president cannot "exercise more than two consecutive periods in office". For that reason, Emmanuel Macron is no longer eligible to run in the election.
Potential candidates
La France Insoumise
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon[5] (former Member of the National Assembly for Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th constituency)
- François Ruffin[6] (Member of the National Assembly for Somme's 1st constituency)
Ensemble
According to reporting by Le Monde, former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe, Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin, and Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire are seen as allies of Macron who may run to succeed him in 2027.[7]
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- Edouard Philippe[8] (former Prime Minister of France)
- Bruno Le Maire[9] (Minister of the Economy, Finance and Recovery)
- Gérald Darmanin[10] (Minister of the Interior)
- Olivier Véran[11] (former Minister of Solidarity and Health)
The Republicans
National Rally
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- Marine Le Pen[13] (Member of the National Assembly for Pas-de-Calais's 11th constituency)
Opinion polling
First round
| Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Interactive | 6–7 Apr 2023 | 1,320 | 1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 5% | 2% | 30% | 7% |
| 1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | – | – | – | 7% | 5% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 2% | 32% | 7% | |||
| 1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | – | – | – | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | 10% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | |||
| 1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | – | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 5% | 2% | 31% | 7% | |||
| Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023 | 1,005 | 1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | – | 2% | – | – | 4% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 3% | – | 2% | 32% | 5% |
| Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | 0.5% | 1% | 4% | 18.5% | – | 1.5% | – | – | 5% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | 3.5% | – | 2.5% | 31% | 7% |
| Ifop | 30–31 Mar 2023 | 1,105 | 1% | 2.5% | 5% | 17% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2% | – | 5% | 2.5% | 29% | 6% |
| 1% | 2.5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 2.5% | – | 4% | 3% | 31% | 6% | |||
| 1% | 2.5% | 6% | 20% | 2% | – | – | – | – | 1% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 2.5% | – | 6% | 3% | 32% | 6% | |||
| 0.5% | 2.5% | 5% | 20% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | 11% | – | – | 2% | – | 8% | 4% | 35% | 7% | |||
| 1% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 20% | 2% | – | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | 9% | – | 3% | – | 10% | 3% | 36% | 7% | |||
| Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,151 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 20% | – | 1% | – | – | 5% | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | 3% | – | 2.5% | 25.5% | 6% |
| Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022 | 1,125 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 17% | – | 2% | – | – | 6% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 1.5% | 3% | – | 2% | 30% | 5% |
| 2022 election | 10 Apr 2022 | – | 0.56% | 0.76% | 2.28% | 21.95% | – | 1.74% | – | – | 4.63% | – | 27.85% | – | – | – | – | 3.13% | 4.78% | – | 2.06% | 23.15% | 7.07% |
Second round
Macron vs. Le Pen
| Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
Abstention | .jpg)
|
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|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macron[a] RE |
Le Pen RN | ||||
| Odoxa | 5–6 Apr 2023 | 1,005 | – | 46% | 54% |
| Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,808 | – | 45% | 55% |
| Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,151 | – | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Ifop | 25–26 Oct 2022 | 1,125 | – | 53% | 47% |
| 2022 election | 24 Apr 2022 | – | 28,01% | 58.55% | 41.45% |
See also
Notes
References
- ^ "Constitution du 4 octobre 1958 – Article 7". Légifrance. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ^ "Comment les dates de l'élection sont-elles choisies ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ^ "Concernant les parrainages, qu'est-ce qui a changé depuis 2012 ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ^ "Article 6 – Constitution du 4 octobre 1958 – Légifrance". www.legifrance.gouv.fr. Retrieved 2023-03-26.
- ^ "Jean-Luc Mélenchon n'exclut pas une candidature en 2027 en fonction des "circonstances"". BFMTV (in French). Retrieved 2023-04-09.
- ^ "Présidentielle 2027 : Jean-Luc Mélenchon évoque l'hypothèse François Ruffin". lejdd.fr (in French). Retrieved 2023-04-13.
- ^ Gatinois, Claire; Trippenbach, Ivanne; Goar, Matthieu (2022-09-18). "With 2027 on the horizon, Macron looks to rein in ambitious succession contenders". Le Monde. Retrieved 2023-04-12.
- ^ "Présidentielle 2027: Édouard Philippe, l'ombre d'un doute". LEFIGARO (in French). 2023-02-24. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
- ^ "L'ambition présidentielle de Bruno Le Maire irrite l'Elysée". Le Monde.fr (in French). 2023-01-17. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
- ^ "Présidentielle 2027 : comment Gérald Darmanin tisse sa toile". lejdd.fr (in French). Retrieved 2023-04-09.
- ^ à 18h48, Par Olivier Beaumont et Valérie Hacot Le 9 avril 2023; À 09h35, Modifié Le 10 Avril 2023 (2023-04-09). "« Il n'a que la présidentielle dans la tête ! » : Olivier Véran, un porte-parole très actif". leparisien.fr (in French). Retrieved 2023-04-10.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ "Laurent Wauquiez se prépare déjà pour l'élection présidentielle de 2027". Le Monde (in French). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
- ^ "Marine Le Pen « envisage d'être présidente de la République » en 2027". www.20minutes.fr (in French). 2023-04-02. Retrieved 2023-04-09.
