2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
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| Elections in Missouri |
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 8 U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
District 1
The 1st district encompasses the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Cori Bush, who was elected with 72.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary
Bush is considered vulnerable to a primary challenge due to her criticism of Israel and U.S. support for Israel in the Israel-Hamas war.[2]
Declared
- Wesley Bell, St. Louis County Prosecuting Attorney[3] (previously ran for U.S. Senate)[4]
- Maria Chappelle-Nadal, former state senator and candidate for this district in 2016[5]
- Cori Bush, incumbent U.S. Representative[6]
Potential
- Brian Williams, state senator[7]
Endorsements
Wesley Bell
- Labor unions
Cori Bush
- Organizations
- Democratic Socialists of America[9]
- Justice Democrats[10]
- League of Conservation Voters[11]
- Peace Action[12]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[13]
- Progressive Democrats of America[14]
- Sierra Club[15]
- Working Families Party[16]
- Labor unions
- Service Employees International Union Missouri/Kansas council[17]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Wesley Bell (D) | $773,389 | $364,609 | $408,779 |
| Cori Bush (D) | $924,076 | $719,351 | $215,571 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[18] | |||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Wesley Bell |
Cori Bush |
Maria Chappelle-Nadal |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] | February 7–9, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.95% | 50% | 28% | 4% | – | 18% |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 2
The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Declared
- Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. Representative[24]
Endorsements
Ann Wagner
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Ann Wagner (R) | $2,126,680 | $972,567 | $2,611,592 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||
Democratic primary
Declared
- John Kiehne, digital media consultant and perennial candidate[27]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Likely R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Very Likely R | November 16, 2023 |
District 3
The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2022.[1] He is retiring.
Republican primary
Declared
- Mary Elizabeth Coleman, state senator from the 22nd district (2023–present)[28]
- Bob Onder, former state senator from the 2nd district (2015–2023) and candidate for this district[b] in 2008[29]
Publicly expressed interest
- Taylor Burks, former Boone County Clerk and candidate for the 4th district in 2022[30]
- Justin Hicks, state representative from 108th district (2023–present)[31]
- Mark McCloskey, attorney, 2020 Republican National Convention speaker known for his involvement in the St. Louis gun-toting controversy, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[32]
- Dave Schatz, former president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2019–2023) from the 26th district (2015–2023) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[33]
- Nick Schroer, state senator from the 2nd district (2023–present)[33][34]
Potential
- Mike Bernskoetter, state senator from the 6th district (2019–present)[33]
- Bill Eigel, state senator from the 23rd district (2017–present) (currently running for governor)[33]
- Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri (2017–2018) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[28]
- Tony Luetkemeyer, state senator from the 34th district (2019–present) and cousin of incumbent Blaine Luetkemeyer[33]
Withdrawn
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. representative[35][36]
Declined
- Andrew Bailey, Missouri Attorney General (running for re-election)[37]
- Travis Fitzwater, state senator from the 10th district (2023–present)[38]
- Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present) (running for governor)[37]
- Caleb Rowden, President pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2023–present) from the 19th district (2017–present) (running for secretary of state)[33]
- Adam Schwadron, state representative from the 105th district (2021–present) (running for secretary of state)[39]
Democratic primary
Declared
- Jon Karlen, app developer and candidate for this district in 2022[40]
- Bethany Mann, environmental chemist and nominee for this district in 2022[41]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jon Karlen (D)[c] | $165 | $0 | $3,523 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[42] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 4
The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Mark Alford, who was elected with 71.3% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Potential
- Mark Alford, incumbent U.S. Representative
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mark Alford (R) | $791,118 | $534,713 | $313,046 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[43] | |||
Independents
Declared
- Alexander Heidenreich, taxi company owner and progressive activist[40]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 5
The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emmanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary
Declared
- Emmanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. representative[44]
Endorsements
Emmanuel Cleaver
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Emmanuel Cleaver (D) | $533,889 | $594,806 | $900,140 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[45] | |||
Republican primary
Declared
- Sean Smith, Jackson County legislator[46]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Sean Smith (R) | $38,198[d] | $1,320 | $36,878 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[45] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
District 6
The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 70.3% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Declared
- Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. representative[47]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Sam Graves (R) | $1,647,976 | $914,525 | $2,116,724 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[48] | |||
Democratic primary
Declared
- Erik Richardson, political consultant and chair of the Audrain County Democratic Party[47]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Erik Richardson (D) | $5,573 | $3,393 | $2,179 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[48] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 7
The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent is Republican Eric Burlison, who was elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Potential
- Eric Burlison, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Eric Burlison
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Eric Burlison (R) | $371,142 | $194,971 | $357,766 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[50] | |||
Democratic primary
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
District 8
The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 76.0% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
Potential
- Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Jason Smith (R) | $3,366,308 | $1,603,962 | $2,250,293 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[52] | |||
Democratic primary
Declared
- Randi McCallian, member of the Phelps County Emergency Services Board and nominee for this district in 2022[40]
Filed paperwork
- Franklin Roth[53]
Endorsements
Franklin Roth
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Randi McCallian (D) | $13,648[e] | $15,228 | $6,828 |
| Franklin Roth (D) | $8,155[f] | $235 | $7,919 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[52] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Solid R | February 2, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[20] | Solid R | March 10, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | February 23, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe R | October 26, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Notes
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ This district was numbered as the 9th district prior to the 2010 redistricting cycle
- ^ Did not file for Q3 or Q4
- ^ $31,000 of this total was self-funded by Smith.
- ^ $3,000 of this total was self-funded by McCallian
- ^ $2,859 of this total was self-funded by Roth
References
- ^ a b c d e f g h "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 27, 2023.
- ^ "MOScout Weekender: 1-CD Poll Shows Bell Leading Bush - Hallway Still Pessimistic - Who Won the Week and more…". Missouri Scout. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
- ^ Byers, Christine; Maxwell, Mark (October 30, 2023). "Wesley Bell announces run against Cori Bush for Congress". KSDK. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ^ Hancock, Jason (June 7, 2023). "St. Louis County Prosecutor Wesley Bell enters Missouri's U.S. Senate race". Missouri Independent.
- ^ Palermo, Gregg (February 6, 2024). "Maria Chappelle-Nadal entering race for Rep. Cori Bush's seat in Congress". Spectrum News. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
- ^ Maxwell, Mark (January 29, 2024). "'My calling is to be here': Cori Bush launches re-election campaign ahead of primary showdown with Wesley Bell". KSDK. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
- ^ Rosenbaum, Jason (October 31, 2023). "Wesley Bell drops U.S. Senate run, challenges incumbent Rep. Cori Bush for House seat". KCUR-FM. Retrieved October 31, 2023.
- ^ Holleman, Joe (December 11, 2023). "Laborers' Union endorses Wesley Bell for Congress, says Cori Bush has 'failed'". STLtoday.com. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ "ENDORSEMENT: Cori Bush – another round!". Democratic Socialists of America.
- ^ "Candidates - Justice Democrats". Justice Democrats.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved August 31, 2023.
- ^ "Meet Our 2024 Candidates". Peace Action. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
- ^ "ENDORSEMENTS - Progressive Democrats of America". February 22, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Endorsements". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
- ^ "Our Candidates". Working Families Party. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ Holleman, Joe (November 8, 2023). "Cori Bush picks up support from labor union, local social justice groups". STLtoday.com. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. November 16, 2023. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Schlinkmann, Mark (January 8, 2024). "US Rep. Ann Wagner announces she'll seek seventh term in Congress". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ "Pro-Israel America Announces Ten Candidate Endorsements". Pro Israel America. January 30, 2024. Retrieved January 31, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Palermo, Gregg (August 17, 2023). "Political Notebook: Politicians converge on the Missouri State Fair". Spectrum News. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
John Kiehne, a Eureka business owner and a Democrat...has now opted to get into the second congressional district race hoping to challenge U.S. Rep. Ann Wagner in 2024.
- ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (January 5, 2024). "State Sen. Mary Elizabeth Coleman jumps into race to replace Blaine Luetkemeyer". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Archived from the original on January 6, 2024. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ^ Hancock, Jason (February 2, 2024). "Former Republican legislator Bob Onder jumps into congressional race". Missouri Independent. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
- ^ "Taylor Burks says it's time to put Iran on notice". KWOS. January 31, 2024. Retrieved January 31, 2024.
Burks confirms he's contemplating a possible run for the retiring Blaine Luetkemeyer's Congressional seat.
- ^ "Facebook". www.facebook.com. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ^ Hildebrand, Brad (January 5, 2024). "Mark McCloskey In US House Of Reps? And We Find Out That John Combest Is A Rap Aficionado. Who Knew?". Brad and John Show 92.9 KISM. Retrieved January 9, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Keller, Rudi (January 4, 2024). "Blaine Luetkemeyer opts out of another term in Congress". Missouri Independent.
- ^ Palermo, Gregg (January 22, 2024). "Fitzwater rules out congressional bid, while Onder eyes a decision". Spectrum News. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ Rosenbaum, Jason (January 4, 2024). "Missouri Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer won't run for Congress again in 2024". KCUR-FM.
- ^ a b Rosenbaum, Jason (January 5, 2024). "Luetkemeyer retirement decision could prompt domino effect for the 2024 election". St. Louis Public Radio.
- ^ Palermo, Gregg (January 22, 2024). "Travis Fitzwater rules out run for Luetkemyer seat in Congress". Spectrum News. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ "MOScout Weekender: MEC In - Luetky Eyes Luetky Seat - Wagner Talk - MOScout Poll and much more...". Missouri Scout. January 6, 2024. Archived from the original on January 6, 2024. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
Rep. Adam Schwadron is a firm NO. He's sticking with the secretary of state's race.
- ^ a b c Frisk, Garrett (June 23, 2023). "Progressives Contest Three Deeply Red Missouri House Districts". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved June 23, 2023.
- ^ Palermo, Gregg (January 4, 2024). "U.S. Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer won't seek re-election in 2024". Spectrum News. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "Rep. Cleaver says he'll seek reelection in 2024". KCTV. November 9, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Sloan, Nick (December 11, 2023). "Jackson County legislator Sean Smith launches bid for congressional race". KMBC. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
- ^ a b Sharkey, Dennis (August 16, 2023). "Mexico resident will make a run at Congress". The Mexico Ledger. Retrieved October 14, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 6th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 7th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ Fahr, A. J. (December 5, 2023). "Hesketh announces run for Congress". Branson Tri-Lakes News. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Missouri 8th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
- ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1726782". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved September 24, 2023.
- ^ "2023 Endorsements: Freethought Equality Fund". Freethought Equality Fund. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
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