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2011 Valencian regional election

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2011 Valencian regional election
← 2007 22 May 2011 2015 →
All 99 seats in the Corts Valencianes
50 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered3,549,687 1.7%
Turnout2,491,588 (70.2%)
0.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Francisco Camps Jorge Alarte Enric Morera
Party PP PSPV–PSOE Compromís
Leader since 10 July 2002 28 September 2008 25 January 2010
Leader's seat Valencia Valencia Valencia
Last election 54 seats, 52.5% 38 seats, 34.5% 2 seats (CPV)[a]
Seats won 55 33 6
Seat change 1 5 4
Popular vote 1,211,112 687,141 176,213
Percentage 49.4% 28.0% 7.2%
Swing 3.1 pp 6.5 pp n/a
  Fourth party
 
Leader Marga Sanz
Party EUPV
Leader since 8 March 2009
Leader's seat Valencia
Last election 5 seats (CPV)[a]
Seats won 5
Seat change 0
Popular vote 144,703
Percentage 5.9%
Swing n/a
Election result by constituency
President before election

Francisco Camps
PP

Elected President

Francisco Camps
PP

The 2011 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The election was won by the People's Party (PP), which increased its majority despite a drop in its vote share. The Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) continued its long term decline and, similarly to the PSOE's performance in other regions with concurrent elections, it sustained severed damage from voters—weary of the ongoing financial crisis affecting the country—and obtained one of its worst electoral results since the autonomous community's inception. On the other hand, the electoral alliance between United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) and the Valencian Nationalist Bloc (Bloc) which contested the 2007 election had dissolved, with both parties entering the legislature much at the expense of the declining PSOE. The Bloc, running together with Valencian People's Initiative (IdPV) and The Greens–Ecologist Left of the Valencian Country (EV–EE) under the Coalició Compromís umbrella, entered parliament on its own for the first time in history.

As a result of the election, Francisco Camps was re-elected president for a third term in office in June 2011. However, his alleged implication in the Gürtel corruption scandal would see his resigned just one months into his term in July,[1] being succeeded by Alberto Fabra, who would remain in the post for the remainder of the legislature.[2]

Overview

Electoral system

The Corts Valencianes were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[3] Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Valencians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Template:Lang-es).[4]

The 99 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other).[3][5]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Corts constituency was entitled the following seats:[6]

Seats Constituencies
40 Valencia
35 Alicante
24 Castellón

Election date

After legal amendments in 2006 taking effect after the 2007 election, fixed-term mandates were abolished, instead allowing the term of the Corts Valencianes to expire after an early dissolution. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 27 May 2011. The election decree was required to be published no later than 3 May 2011, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Corts on Sunday, 26 June 2011.[3][5][7]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Corts Valencianes and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[3]

The Corts Valencianes were officially dissolved on 29 March 2011 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOGV, setting the election date for 22 May and scheduling for the chamber to convene on 9 June.[6]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[5][7]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
 Francisco Camps Conservatism
Christian democracy 		52.52% 54 checkY
PSPV–PSOE
List
 Jorge Alarte Social democracy 34.49% 38 ☒N
EUPV
List
 Marga Sanz Socialism
Communism 		8.02%[b] 7 ☒N
Compromís
List
 Enric Morera Valencian nationalism
Eco-socialism
Green politics 		☒N

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Corts Valencianes election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 1,211,112 49.42 –3.10 55 +1
Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) 687,141 28.04 –6.45 33 –5
Bloc–Initiative–Greens: Commitment Coalition (Compromís)1 176,213 7.19 n/a 6 +4
United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV)1 144,703 5.90 n/a 5 ±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 60,859 2.48 New 0 ±0
Greens and Eco-pacifists (VyE) 31,808 1.30 New 0 ±0
Spain 2000 (E–2000) 12,191 0.50 +0.26 0 ±0
Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV) 11,129 0.45 –0.03 0 ±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 9,306 0.38 New 0 ±0
Valencian Coalition (CVa) 9,183 0.37 –0.34 0 ±0
Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) 8,203 0.33 +0.30 0 ±0
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB) 4,222 0.17 New 0 ±0
United for Valencia (UxV) 3,637 0.15 +0.04 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 3,456 0.14 –0.03 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 2,566 0.10 +0.02 0 ±0
Renewal Liberal Centre (CLR) 2,463 0.10 +0.04 0 ±0
National Democracy (DN) 2,151 0.09 +0.06 0 ±0
Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) 1,719 0.07 New 0 ±0
Authentic Phalanx (FA) 1,627 0.07 –0.03 0 ±0
Movement for People's Unity–Republicans (MUP–R) 1,440 0.06 ±0.00 0 ±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV) 1,412 0.06 New 0 ±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 1,156 0.05 +0.01 0 ±0
The Republic (La República) 735 0.03 New 0 ±0
Valencian Nationalist Left–European Valencianist Party (ENV–RV–PVE) 677 0.03 New 0 ±0
Spanish Patriotic Social Party (SPES) 585 0.02 New 0 ±0
Foreigners' Party (PdEx) 508 0.02 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 60,670 2.48 +1.07
Total 2,450,872 99 ±0
Valid votes 2,450,872 98.37 –0.96
Invalid votes 40,716 1.63 +0.96
Votes cast / turnout 2,491,588 70.19 +0.05
Abstentions 1,058,099 29.81 –0.05
Registered voters 3,549,687
Sources[8][9][10]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
 
 49.42%
PSPV–PSOE
 
 28.04%
Compromís
 
 7.19%
EUPV
 
 5.90%
UPyD
 
 2.48%
VyE
 
 1.30%
Others
 
 3.20%
Blank ballots
 
 2.48%
Seats
PP
 
 55.56%
PSPV–PSOE
 
 33.33%
Compromís
 
 6.06%
EUPV
 
 5.05%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSPV Compr. EUPV
% S % S % S % S
Alicante 49.6 20 29.9 12 4.6 1 5.4 2
Castellón 48.1 13 31.0 9 6.7 1 5.2 1
Valencia 49.6 22 26.3 12 8.9 4 6.4 2
Total 49.4 55 28.0 33 7.2 6 5.9 5
Sources[9][10]

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture
Francisco Camps (PP)
Ballot → 16 June 2011
Required majority → 50 out of 99 checkY
Yes
  • • PP (55)
55 / 99
No
43 / 99
Abstentions
0 / 99
Absentees
1 / 99
Sources[10]

July 2011 investiture

Investiture
Alberto Fabra (PP)
Ballot → 26 July 2011
Required majority → 50 out of 99 checkY
Yes
  • • PP (55)
55 / 99
No
43 / 99
Abstentions
0 / 99
Absentees
1 / 99
Sources[10]

Notes

  1. ^ a b Within the Compromís PV alliance in the 2007 election.
  2. ^ Results for Compromís PV in the 2007 election.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Camps gana con menos votos pero más escaños, según un sondeo". El Economista (in Spanish). 22 May 2011.
  2. ^ "El Partido Popular repite mayoría absoluta en Valencia". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 13 May 2011.
  3. ^ "El PP ganaría hasta cuatro escaños más y el PSPV perdería seis". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 13 May 2011.
  4. ^ "Camps amplía su mayoría pese al escándalo Gürtel". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2011.
  5. ^ "Estimación de resultado electoral en Comunidad Valenciana". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2011.
  6. ^ "El PP blinda sus feudos". La Razón (in Spanish). 16 May 2011. Archived from the original on 16 September 2011.
  7. ^ "Francisco Camps ampliaría su ventaja sobre el PSOE en las elecciones a las Cortes Valencianas, según el sondeo de NC Report para La Razón". ForoCoches (in Spanish). 16 May 2011.
  8. ^ a b "Camps sumaría 4 diputados más a su mayoría pese al acoso de Ferraz". La Gaceta (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011. Retrieved 15 May 2011.
  9. ^ "Camps sumaría 4 diputados a su mayoría (La Gaceta)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2015.
  10. ^ "Camps amplía su mayoría absoluta y el PSOE tendrá con Alarte su peor resultado". ABC (in Spanish). 8 May 2011.
  11. ^ "El PP obtendrá entre 22 y 26 escaños más que el PSPV en las próximas elecciones". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 16 April 2018. Retrieved 15 April 2018.
  12. ^ "Comunidad Valenciana: PP crece a costa de PSPV y EU (Grupo Vocento)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  13. ^ "Los cuatro inexpugnables". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 26 April 2011.
  14. ^ "El PP sigue ganando votos y escaños en la Comunidad Valenciana según el sondeo de NC Report para La Razón". ForoCoches (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  15. ^ "Barómetro electoral autonómico" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.[permanent dead link]
  16. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales, 2011. Comunidad Valenciana y Ciudad de Valencia (Estudio nº 2872. Marzo-Abril 2011)". CIS (in Spanish). 5 May 2011.
  17. ^ "El PSOE fija su objetivo: salvar los muebles". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 May 2011.
  18. ^ "El PP de Valencia amplía su mayoría". COPE (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 September 2011.
  19. ^ a b c d "Encuesta COPE socio-electoral en la Comunitat Valenciana" (PDF). GAD (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 November 2011.
  20. ^ "Camps amplía la mayoría (COPE)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 18 April 2011. Archived from the original on 23 April 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  21. ^ "El Mundo 25-27 de Abril 2011". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  22. ^ "El PP a 20 puntos del PSPV (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 April 2011. Retrieved 16 August 2014.
  23. ^ a b c d "Camps conserva la mayoría absoluta pese a la corrupción". Público (in Spanish). 11 April 2011. Archived from the original on 14 April 2011. Retrieved 15 April 2011.
  24. ^ "El PPCV saca 23,5 puntos al PSPV, que cae a mínimos históricos". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). 12 April 2011.
  25. ^ "EU eleva sus posibilidades de entrar en Les Corts (Valenciaplaza.com)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 12 April 2011. Archived from the original on 16 April 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  26. ^ "El PP valenciano dispara su ventaja sobre el PSOE hasta los 25 puntos". ABC (in Spanish). 18 March 2011.
  27. ^ "Camps sube pese a 'Gürtel' y el PSOE se hunde". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 January 2011.
  28. ^ "Camps arrasa (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 7 January 2011. Archived from the original on 4 March 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  29. ^ a b c "Una encuesta del PSOE augura un desplome histórico del PSPV al caer por debajo del 30%". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 26 November 2010.
  30. ^ "El PP duplica en votos al PSOE en la Comunidad Valenciana (sondeo del PSOE)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 26 November 2010. Archived from the original on 28 January 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  31. ^ a b "La corrupción no pasa factura al PP". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2010.
  32. ^ "El PP arrasa en Valencia aunque la mayoría rechaza a Francisco Camps como candidato". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2010.
  33. ^ "Un sondeo del PP le otorga 4 escaños más y hasta 5 diputados menos al PSPV". El Mundo (in Spanish). 8 October 2010.
  34. ^ a b "Encuesta en la Comunitat Valenciana (octubre de 2010)" (PDF). PP (in Spanish). 8 October 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 September 2011.
  35. ^ a b "Camps sale reforzado y los populares amplían su ventaja sobre 2007". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 26 September 2010.
  36. ^ "El PP aumenta su ventaja en la Comunidad Valenciana (Las Provincias)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 26 September 2010. Archived from the original on 12 October 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  37. ^ a b "El 48,4% de los valencianos prefiere a Camps de presidente, según una encuesta del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 28 July 2010.
  38. ^ a b "Una encuesta del PPCV le da más de 23 puntos de ventaja sobre el PSPV". Diario Información (in Spanish). 29 July 2010.
  39. ^ "Caso electoral histórico en más comunidades autónomas (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 1 June 2010. Archived from the original on 21 October 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  40. ^ "El PSPV maneja en su última encuesta la pérdida de tres diputados en las Cortes". ABC (in Spanish). 21 May 2010.
  41. ^ "Camps subiría 4 escaños a costa del PSPV y de EU (Encuesta del PSPV)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 21 May 2010. Archived from the original on 4 August 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  42. ^ "Camps gana en todas las encuestas". La Razón (in Spanish). 1 June 2010. Archived from the original on 4 June 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  43. ^ "El PP renovaría hoy su mayoría absoluta a pesar del deterioro de la imagen del presidente Francisco Camps". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). 11 May 2010.
  44. ^ "Bipartidismo en las Cortes Valencianas (Valenciaplaza.com)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 11 May 2010. Archived from the original on 6 June 2010. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
  45. ^ "Camps ampliaría hoy su ventaja y el PSPV perdería tres escaños, según una encuesta del PP". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). 5 May 2010.
  46. ^ a b c "Encuesta en la Comunitat Valenciana (abril de 2010)". PP (in Spanish). 5 May 2010.
  47. ^ a b c d "Camps refuerza su mayoría". Público (in Spanish). 4 April 2010. Archived from the original on 19 May 2011.
  48. ^ "Publiscopio para la Comunidad Valenciana: el PP amplía su mayoría". Electómetro (in Spanish). 5 April 2010. Archived from the original on 6 November 2011.
  49. ^ "El trasfondo de una encuesta". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 26 December 2009.
  50. ^ a b c "Encuesta en la Comunitat Valenciana (diciembre de 2009)" (PDF). PP (in Spanish). 26 December 2009.
  51. ^ "El PP repetiría mayoría absoluta tanto en Madrid como en Valencia". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 November 2009.
  52. ^ "La situación política y económica actual". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 November 2009.
  53. ^ "El PP se mantiene y Camps pierde crédito". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2009.
  54. ^ "Los valencianos creen que Camps mintió". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2009.
  55. ^ "El PPCV se defiende de los ataques con una encuesta que le da la victoria". Diario Información (in Spanish). 27 September 2009.
  56. ^ "Encuesta intención de voto elecciones autonómicas". PP (in Spanish). 27 September 2009.
  57. ^ "Una encuesta encargada por el PSOE señala que el PPCV consolidaría su mayoría absoluta". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 10 May 2009.
  58. ^ "Una encuesta del PSPV revela que el PP amplía su mayoría electoral en Castellón". El Periódico Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 10 May 2009.
  59. ^ "Si las elecciones autonómicas se celebraran ahora en la Comunitat el PP obtendría 57 escaños por 36 del PSPV". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 28 February 2009.
  60. ^ "Camps obtendría una mayoría histórica pese a la campaña de desprestigio al PP". ABC (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  61. ^ a b "El PP afianza su mayoría pese a los ataques". ABC (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  62. ^ "El bipartidismo se consolida". El País (in Spanish). 9 October 2008.
Other
  1. ^ Pérez, Iván; Álvarez, Francisco; Hernández, Marisol (21 July 2011). "Francisco Camps dimite". El Mundo (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  2. ^ Prats, Jaime (21 July 2011). "Alberto Fabra sustituye a Camps al frente del PP y de la Generalitat". El País (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  3. ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 5/1982, de 1 de julio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Valenciana (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 1 July 1982. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  4. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  5. ^ a b c Ley 1/1987, de 31 de marzo, Electoral Valenciana (Law 2) (in Spanish). 31 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  6. ^ a b "Decreto 2/2011, de 28 de marzo, del president de la Generalitat, de disolución de Les Corts y de convocatoria de elecciones a las mismas" (PDF). Diari Oficial de la Generalitat Valenciana (in Spanish) (6490): 13065–13066. 29 March 2011. ISSN 0212-8195.
  7. ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  8. ^ "Electoral Results. Electoral Data - Regional Election: 2011". www.cortsvalencianes.es (in Spanish). Valencian Government. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
  9. ^ a b "Corts Valencianes election results, 22 May 2011" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Valencian Community. 7 June 2011. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  10. ^ a b c d "Eleccions a les Corts Valencianes (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2017.
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