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2010 United States Senate election in Nevada

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United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010
← 2004 November 2, 2010 2016 →
 
Nominee Harry Reid Sharron Angle
Party Democratic Republican
County Results
Senator before election

Harry Reid
Democratic

Elected Senator

TBD

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Template:FixBunching The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 2, 2010 along with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid, who has held this seat since 1987, will seek a fifth term in 2010.

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.

Candidates[1]

  • Harry Reid
  • Alex Miller
  • Eduardo Hamilton
  • Carlo Poliak

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Harry Reid Barbara Buckley
Mellman Group June 17–29, 2008 51% 20%

Results

Democratic Primary results [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Harry Reid (Incumbent) 87,401 75.3
Democratic None of these 12,341 10.6
Democratic Alex Miller 9,717 8.4
Democratic Eduardo Hamilton 4,645 4.0
Democratic Carlo Poliak 1,938 1.7
Total votes 116,042 100

Republican primary

The Republican primary also took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.

Candidates

  • Sharron Angle, former Assemblywoman [3]
  • John Chachas, businessman[4]
  • Chad Christensen, state Assemblyman[5]
  • Greg Dagani, former member of the Nevada Board of Education[6]
  • Chuck Flume, businessman[4]
  • Sue Lowden, former State Senator [4]
  • Mark Noonan, Navy veteran [7]
  • Bill Parson, Marine veteran/businessman[8]
  • Danny Tarkanian, real estate owner[4]

Endorsements

Lowden

Tarkanian

Angle

Polling

Includes current candidates who have polled at least 2% in at least one poll.

Poll Source Dates Administered Tarkanian Lowden Angle
Mason Dixon/LVJR June 1–3, 2010 24% 23% 32%
Suffolk University June 2, 2010 26% 24% 33%
Research 2000 May 31-June 2, 2010 24% 25% 34%
Mason Dixon/LVJR May 28, 2010 23% 30% 29%
Mason Dixon/LVJR May 13, 2010 22% 30% 25%
Research 2000 April 26–28, 2010 28% 38% 13%
Mason Dixon/LVJR April 11, 2010 27% 45% 5%
Mason Dixon/LVJR February 24, 2010 29% 47% 8%
Mason Dixon/LVJR January 7, 2010 28% 26% 13%
Mason Dixon/LVJR December, 2009 24% 25% 13%
Mason Dixon/LVJR October 8, 2009 21% 23% 9%
Mason Dixon/LVJR August 21, 2009 33% 14% 5%

Results

Republican Primary results [2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sharron Angle 70,452 40.1
Republican Sue Lowden 45,890 26.1
Republican Danny Tarkanian 40,936 23.3
Republican John Chachas 6,926 3.9
Republican Chad Christensen 4,806 2.7
Republican None of these 3,091 1.8
Republican Bill Parson 1,484 0.8
Republican Gary Bernstein 698 0.4
Republican Garn Mabey 462 0.3
Republican Cecilia Stern 355 0.2
Republican Brian Nadell 235 0.1
Republican Terry Suominen 224 0.1
Republican Gary Marinch 179 0.1
Total votes 175,738 100

General election

Candidates

Campaign

In January 2009, while the Senate was voting on proposed bailouts, the GOP began running an advertisement attacking Reid for his support of the legislation and President Barack Obama's proposed stimulus plan.[44] Since becoming Minority Leader (in 2004), his approval ratings have dropped below 50%.[citation needed] A November 2007 poll showed Reid's approval rating at 39%, with 49% of voters disapproving.[45]

After the primaries, the first poll showed Angle leading by a double digit margin. CQ Politics changed their analysis of the race from leaning Republican to a toss-up because "Republicans just nominated a tea party-backed candidate whose ultra-conservative views will help Democrats draw sharp distinctions"; however, CQ added that if the voters treat the election as a referendum on Reid, then Angle will likely win.[46]

In 2009, Reid had been endorsed by some prominent Nevada Republicans.[47] Immediately after the primary, the Republican mayor of Reno, Bob Cashell, who had backed Lowden in the Republican primary, endorsed Reid for the general election, calling Angle an "ultra-right winger".[48] Other Republicans expressed doubt about supporting Angle, citing her reputation for ideological rigidity from her years in the state legislature.[49]

One of the first general election ads attacked Angle for her stance on Social Security and Medicare.[50] In response, Angle explained that "the government must continue to keep its contract with seniors, who entered into the system on good faith and now are depending on that contract". In response to accusations that she was not mainstream enough for Nevada voters, Angle explained on a KXNT radio show that she was "more mainstream than the fellow that said tourists stink, this war is lost, and light-skinned no-Negro dialect", in reference to comments that had been made by Senator Reid.[51]

In September, Tibi Ellis, the chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Hispanic Caucus, who had been a spokesperson for Angle, criticized an Angle ad related to immigration. Ellis said, "I condemned this type of propaganda, no matter who is running them, where they blame Mexicans as the only problem and where they attack them as the only source of illegal immigration."[52]

On October 7, 2010, Republican State Senator and Minority Leader William Raggio endorsed Reid.[53][54] Dema Guinn, the widow of the late Republican Governor of Nevada Kenny Guinn, endorsed Reid on October 8.[55]

Predictions

History

Reid was initially considered vulnerable, with the non-partisan Cook Political Report rating the election as a tossup[56] and the Rothenberg Political Report rating the state as tossup.[57] A June 9, 2010, Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll showed Angle leading incumbent Senator Harry Reid by a margin of 50% to 39%.[58] However, a July 2010 poll showed Senator Reid leading Angle by 7 points, following nation-wide attention to some of Angle's positions, as well as the endorsement of Reid by prominent Republicans.[59] The change of margin, 18% in less than a month, is the largest in Senate elections history.[59] On July 28, 2010, Rasmussen Reports moved the race from tossup to leans Democratic.[60]

Current table

Source Ranking
Cook Political Report Toss Up
Rothenberg Toss Up
Swing State Project Toss Up
Real Clear Politics Toss Up
Sabato's Crystal Ball Toss Up
CQ Politics Toss Up

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Sharron Angle (R) Harry Reid (D)
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon October 14, 2010 47% 45%
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2010 49% 48%
Fox News/POR-Rasmussen October 9, 2010 49% 47%
Public Policy Polling October 7-9, 2010 45% 47%
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010 50% 46%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 1–5, 2010 42% 40%
FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2010 49% 46%
Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2010 47% 48%
Public Opinion Strategies September 21–23, 2010 40% 45%
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon September 20–22, 2010 43% 43%
FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research September 18, 2010 46% 45%
CNN/Time Magazine September 10–14, 2010 42% 41%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2010 48% 48%
FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research September 11, 2010 45% 44%
Mason-Dixon September 7–9, 2010 44% 46%
Rasmussen Reports September 1, 2010 45% 45%
Mason-Dixon August 23–25, 2010 44% 45%
Rasmussen Reports August 16, 2010 47% 47%
Mason-Dixon August 9–11, 2010 44% 46%
Reuters/Iposos August 3, 2010 44% 48%
Mason-Dixon July 28–30, 2010 42% 43%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 43% 45%
Public Policy Polling July 16–18, 2010 46% 48%
Mason-Dixon July 12–14, 2010 37% 44%
Rasmussen Reports July 12, 2010 46% 43%
Rasmussen Reports June 22, 2010 48% 41%
Rasmussen Reports June 9, 2010 50% 39%
Mason Dixon/LVJR June 1–3, 2010 44% 41%
Research 2000 May 31 - June 2, 2010 37% 42%
Mason Dixon/LVJR May 28, 2010 39% 42%
Research 2000 April 26–28, 2010 44% 41%
Rasmussen Reports April 27, 2010 48% 40%
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2010 51% 40%
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2010 47% 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 3, 2010 44% 40%
Rasmussen Reports January 11, 2010 44% 40%
Mason Dixon January 7, 2010 45% 40%
Rasmussen Reports December 9, 2009 47% 43%

Fundraising

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Sharron Angle (R) $3,546,644 $1,778,973 $1,762,671 $0
Harry Reid (D) $13,776,171 $8,152,222 $8,940,302 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

References

  1. ^ "2010 Elections, Senate, Nevada". New York Times. Retrieved 2010-06-11.
  2. ^ a b "Nevada Senate Primary Results". NV Secretary of State. June 8, 2010. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
  3. ^ "Donate to help elect Sharron Angle to Senate". Sharronangle.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  4. ^ a b c d "Chuck Flume for U.S. Senate".
  5. ^ "Chad Christensen for U.S. Senate". Christensen2010.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  6. ^ "Ex-education board member plans bid for U.S. Senate seat - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  7. ^ "Noonan on the issues". Noonanfornevada.com. 2010-03-18. Retrieved 2010-06-14. [dead link]
  8. ^ "Bill Parson for U.S. Senate". Parsonforsenate2010.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  9. ^ Jackson, Brad (2010-03-31). "Lowden Picks Up Key Endorsements in Nevada Senate Race". The New Ledger. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  10. ^ Sean Whaley (2010-04-12). "U.S. Senate Candidate Danny Tarkanian Says He Is "Independent Voice" for GOP Voters in June Primary « Nevada News Bureau". Nevadanewsbureau.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  11. ^ "College Republicans announce endorsements : The Rebel Yell". Unlvrebelyell.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  12. ^ Image Cube Design. "Armenian National Committee | Political Action Committee". Ancpac.org. Retrieved 2010-06-14. {{cite web}}: Text "www.imagecube.com" ignored (help)
  13. ^ "Danny Tarkanian for U.S. Senate » ACA-PAC Endorses Tarkanian for Senate". Tark2010.org. 2010-03-10. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  14. ^ "Deukmejian Endorses Danny Tarkanian for Senate | Asbarez Armenian News". Asbarez.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  15. ^ "Conservatives Need to Support Danny Tarkanian in Nevada". RedState. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  16. ^ "Pro-immigration enforcement group endorses GOP Senate candidate Danny Tarkanian". My News 4. 2010-05-06. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  17. ^ "PRIMARY ENDORSEMENTS: Senate candidates seek edge - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. 2010-05-10. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  18. ^ "Sharron Angle (NV-Sen)". Clubforgrowth.org. 2010-05-19. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  19. ^ "Tea Party to Back Republican Dark Horse in Race to Challenge Reid". FOXNews.com. 2010-04-15. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  20. ^ Posted by Kensei at 6:16 pm (2010-03-31). "Angle Endorsed by Family-Pac Federal National Pro-Family Group » Las Vegas TSG Business News". Lvtsg.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  21. ^ [1][dead link]
  22. ^ "Sharron Angle for Senate | GOA-PVF 2010 Favorites". Goapvf.org. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  23. ^ "Joe The Plumber Endorses Sharron Angle". YouTube. 2010-04-29. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  24. ^ Pat Boone Endorses Sharron Angle to Replace Harry Reid[dead link]
  25. ^ [2][dead link]
  26. ^ [3][dead link]
  27. ^ "Citizens United Political Victory Fund". Cupvf.org. 2010-06-08. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  28. ^ [4][dead link]
  29. ^ tim marvin says: (2010-03-22). "Home-School Group Endorses Angle for Senate". Nevada News and Views. Retrieved 2010-06-14.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link)
  30. ^ "Home". Nvra.com. 2010-01-06. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  31. ^ a b Noonan’s Nooz « NoonanForNevada says:. "Angle Amassing Several Key Endorsements for Right to Take on Reid". Nevada News and Views. Retrieved 2010-06-14.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  32. ^ "Veterans In Politics 2010 Clark County Commissioner, Clark County District Attorney, - Review-Journal eForum". Eforum.reviewjournal.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  33. ^ "Sharron Angle". Gingpac.org. 2010-06-08. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  34. ^ "Phyllis Schlafly Endorses Sharron Angle in GOP Nevada Senate Bid". YouTube. 2010-04-02. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  35. ^ "Sharron Angle on KLAV with Leon Catlett". YouTube. 2010-04-25. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  36. ^ Radnofsky, Louise (2010-05-06). "Endorser's Remorse: Switch in Nev. Senate Race - Washington Wire - WSJ". Blogs.wsj.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  37. ^ "Western Representation PAC endorses Sharron Angle for US Senate | Western Representation". Westernpac.org. 2010-05-09. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  38. ^ "Time to Retire Harry Reid – Sharron Angle for US Senate (NV)! « Can-Do Conservatives of America". Candoconservatives.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  39. ^ "Endorsed Candidates – 2010 | Republican Liberty Caucus". Rlc.org. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  40. ^ Jordan, Kristi (March 8, 2010). "Tea Party hopeful Ashjian gives voters third choice". Las Vegas Review-Journal.
  41. ^ "IAP's Tim Fasano files for US Senate race". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 2010-06-14. [dead link]
  42. ^ a b c "Nevada 2010 Midterm Election". Thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  43. ^ Independent www.reeves4congress.com
  44. ^ "GOP targets Reid in new ad buy". CNN. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  45. ^ KREN.com (story no longer available)
  46. ^ McArdle, John (2010-06-10). "Rating Change: Reid's Race a Tossup". CQ Politics. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  47. ^ Ball, Molly (June 29, 2009). "POLITICAL NOTEBOOK: Reid attracts more GOP supporters". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved 2010-07-13.
  48. ^ The Associated Press. "Reno GOP mayor backs Sen. Reid for re-election - San Jose Mercury News". Mercurynews.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21. [dead link]
  49. ^ Siegel, Elyse (July 9, 2010). "Tea Party Darling Sharron Angle Struggles To Persuade Some Nevada Republicans". Huffington Post. Retrieved 2010-07-16.
  50. ^ "CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - In new ad, Reid takes on challenger over Social Security « - Blogs from CNN.com". Politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  51. ^ "U.S. SENATE RACE: Angle not softening her views - News - ReviewJournal.com". Lvrj.com. 2010-05-14. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  52. ^ Goldberg, Delen (September 28, 2010), "Sharron Angle spokeswoman condemns her candidate's ad on immigration", Las Vegas Sun{{citation}}: CS1 maint: date and year (link)
  53. ^ Top Nevada GOP lawmaker endorses Harry Reid, AP, Boston Herald, October 8, 2010
  54. ^ Top Nevada Republican Endorses Harry Reid, Slams Sharron Angle, Elyse Siegel, The Huffington Post, October 7, 2010
  55. ^ Reid gets top GOP endorsements, Molly Ball, Politico, October 8, 2010
  56. ^ "Reid's Seat Now Rated a Toss-Up". Politicalwire.com. 2009-09-10. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  57. ^ Rothenberg, The (2010-02-24). "The Rothenberg Political Report: CA Senate moved to Clear Advantage from Safe". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
  58. ^ "Election 2010: Nevada Senate polling". Rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved 2010-07-09.
  59. ^ a b "Harry Reid takes the lead over Sharron Angle in Nevada". The Washington Post. The Washington Post Company. July 16, 2010.
  60. ^ "Election 2010: Nevada Senate". Rasmussenreports.com. 2010-07-28. Retrieved 2010-07-28.
  61. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Nevada". fec.gov. Retrieved July 24, 2010.
Debates
Official campaign sites
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