2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
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The 2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan has not yet declared whether or not she will seek re-election.
Background
Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch decided to retire in 2012, rather than seek re-election to a fifth term in office. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, by 55% to 43%.
New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. On only one occasion since 1926 has a first-term Governor of New Hampshire been defeated for re-election to a second term: in 2004 when Lynch beat incumbent Republican Governor Craig Benson.[1][2] Hassan also boasts high approval ratings. An October 2013 WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll found that 57% of registered voters approve of the job she is doing, 58% have a favourable opinion of her and 70% think the state is going in the right direction.[3] For these reasons, Hassan is not considered vulnerable: The Cook Political Report,[4] Daily Kos Elections,[5] Governing[6] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] all consider the race "likely Democratic" and The Rothenberg Political Report rates the race "safe Democratic".[8]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Albert "Max" Abramson, Budget Committee and Planning Board member, Vice-Chair of the Libertarian Party of New Hampshire, [9]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Potential
- Maggie Hassan, incumbent Governor
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Andrew Hemingway, businessman, conservative activist and candidate for Chairman of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee in 2013[10]
Potential
- Bill Binnie, industrialist, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[11]
- Jeanie Forrester, State Senator[11]
- Ted Gatsas, Mayor of Manchester[12]
- Walt Havenstein, businessman[13]
- George Lambert, State Representative[14]
- Chuck Morse, State Senator[12]
- Bob Odell, State Senator[11]
- John Reagan, State Senator[15]
- Chuck Rolecek, businessman and candidate for the Executive Council of New Hampshire in 2012[11]
- John Stephen, former Commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Health & Human Services and nominee for Governor in 2010[12]
Declined
- Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative[16]
- Brad Cook, attorney[17][18]
- Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative (running for NH-01)[19][20]
- Gary Lambert, former State Senator (running for NH-02)[21]
- Ovide Lamontagne, businessman, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012[22]
- Andy Sanborn, State Senator[23]
- Kevin H. Smith, conservative activist, former State Representative and candidate for Governor in 2012[24][1]
- John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator[25]
- Christopher T. Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election)[26]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Binnie |
Ted Gatsas |
Andrew Hemingway |
George Lambert |
Chuck Morse |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 426 | ± ? | 8.45% | 15.02% | 1.88% | 1.88% | 7.04% | — | 65.72% |
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Bill Binnie (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 54.75% | 25.75% | — | 19.50% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Ted Gatsas (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 28.25% | — | 18.75% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 584 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 34% | 2% | 19% |
| New England College | October 7–9, 2013 | 1,063 | ± 3% | 53% | 25% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 19–21, 2013 | 933 | ± 3.2% | 51% | 35% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Andrew Hemingway (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 55.75% | 23.25% | — | 21% |
| WMUR/UNH | January 21–26, 2014 | 584 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 27% | 2% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
George Lambert (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 54.88% | 22.13% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 50% | 26% | — | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,038 | ± 3% | 49% | 32% | — | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk/Boston Herald | February 27–March 5, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 56.25% | 23.25% | — | 20.50% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 9–12, 2014 | 1,354 | ± 2.7% | 50% | 27% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 13–16, 2013 | 1,038 | ± 3% | 49% | 33% | — | 18% |
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References
- ^ a b "Poll: Job approval ratings rise for Hassan". WMUR. July 31, 2013. Retrieved August 2, 2013.
- ^ Schweitzer, Sarah (November 4, 2004). "Defeated after 1 term, N.H. governor fades out". The Boston Globe. Retrieved on February 6, 2011.
- ^ "APPROVAL OF HASSAN AND LEGISLATURE REMAINS HIGH, MOST THINK NH IS ON RIGHT TRACK" (PDF). WMUR/UNH. October 24, 2013. Retrieved February 3, 2014.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013.
- ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "LPNH News". Retrieved March 8, 2014.
- ^ Ronayne, Kathleen (January 30, 2014). "Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved January 31, 2014.
- ^ a b c d Pindell, James (September 10, 2013). "The list: which Republicans could run for major office next year". WMUR. Retrieved September 10, 2013.
- ^ a b c Pindell, James (November 9, 2012). "Political Standing for Nov. 9, 2012". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ^ John DiStaso (February 15, 2014). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: GOP 'excited' about business leader's potential run for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
- ^ Landrigan, Kevin (June 11, 2013). "Socially liberal, fiscally conservative Litchfield GOP Rep. Lambert may run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved June 11, 2013.
- ^ Pindell, James (February 13, 2014). "NH Sen. Reagan being encouraged to run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved February 13, 2014.
- ^ Pindell, James (September 3, 2013). "Bradley rules out running for statewide office next year". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
- ^ DiStaso, John (September 11, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: GOP Manchester attorney Brad Cook confirms eyeing a run for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 11, 2013.
- ^ DiStaso, John (January 29, 2014). "Conservative activist Andrew Hemingway plans run for NH governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2014.
- ^ Toeplitz, Shira (November 29, 2012). "New Hampshire: Guinta Opens Door to Senate, Comeback Bids". Roll Call. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ^ Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". Roll Call. Retrieved September 24, 2013.
- ^ "Former NH state GOP sen. Gary Lambert to announce House bid against Democrat Annie Kuster". Associated Press. Daily Journal. September 4, 2013. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
- ^ Lessard, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "Ovide Lamontagne Takes Major Anti-Abortion Job In D.C." nhpr.org. Retrieved April 19, 2013.
- ^ Pindell, James (September 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Andy Sanborn will not run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved October 1, 2013.
- ^ Brennan, Kevin (January 25, 2013). "Smith Considering Another Gov. Run in N.H." National Journal. Retrieved January 28, 2013.
- ^ DiStato, John (April 12, 2013). "Exclusive: Former Sen. John E. Sununu won't run for office in 2014". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 12, 2013.
- ^ DiStaso, John (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
External links
- New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org
- Official campaign websites