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2020 Saskatchewan general election

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2020 Saskatchewan general election

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61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party
  File:Scott-Moe-Crop.jpg
Leader Scott Moe Ryan Meili
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since January 27, 2018 March 3, 2018
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Saskatoon Meewasin
Last election 51 seats, 62.36% 10 seats, 30.20%
Seats before 46 13
Seats won 46 15
Seat change Steady 0 Increase 2

Premier before election

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan

Premier after election

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan

The 2020 Saskatchewan general election was held on October 26, 2020 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan. This date is set by Saskatchewan's fixed election date law. The writ was dropped on September 29 just in time to hold the election on October 26.[1]

The previous election re-elected the Saskatchewan Party to its third consecutive majority government under the leadership of Brad Wall. On August 10, 2017, Wall announced his resignation as leader, pending the election of his successor.[2] On January 27, 2018, Scott Moe was elected leader of the Saskatchewan Party. He was appointed and sworn in as premier on February 2.

Date

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020".[3][4][5] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 5, 2021.[5] Because the incumbent 43rd Canadian Parliament is a minority Parliament, such a federal election was possible, but it did not occur prior to the provincial election being called. The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Although Premier Moe hinted at the possibility of a snap election in the Spring of 2020, Moe announced on March 12 that he would not do so, citing the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic in Saskatchewan.[6]

This is the third provincial election held in Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic after New Brunswick and British Columbia.

Legislative summary

Summary of the 28th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
Party Leader Seats
2016 Current
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 51 46
New Democratic Ryan Meili 10 13
Vacant 0 2
Total 61 61

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

Saskatchewan Party

New Democratic Party

Election summary

Summary of the 2020 Saskatchewan Legislature election
Results are preliminary with TBA% of the polls counted
Party Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2016 Dissol. 2020 +/- Votes % % change
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 61 51 46 46
New Democratic Ryan Meili 61 10 13 15
Green Naomi Hunter 60 0 0
Progressive Conservative Ken Grey 31 0 0
Buffalo Wade Sira (i) 17 0 0
Liberal Robert Rudachyk (i) 3 0 0
  Independent 3 0 0
  Vacant 2
Blank and invalid votes
Total 236 61 61 61 0 100%
Registered voters / turnout
Source:

Candidates by riding

Candidates in bold represent cabinet members and the Speaker of the Legislative Assembly. Party leaders are italicized. The symbol † indicates incumbent MLAs who are not running again. [7]

Northwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Athabasca Kelly Kwan Buckley Belanger Leroy Laliberte   Buckley Belanger
Cut Knife-Turtleford Ryan Domotor Matt Fedler Patrick McNally Richard Nelson (Buff.)   Larry Doke
Lloydminster Colleen Young Colleen Morrell Henning Audra Kish Steve Gessner (Buff.)   Colleen Young
Meadow Lake Jeremy Harrison Harmonie King Carol Vandale   Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook Scott Moe Trina Miller Larry Neufeld Yvonne Choquette (PC)   Scott Moe
The Battlefords Jeremy Cockrill Amber Stewart Joey Reynolds Harry Zamonsky (PC)   Herb Cox

Northeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Batoche Delbert Kirsch Lon Borgerson Hamish Graham Carrie Harris   Delbert Kirsch
Canora-Pelly Terry Dennis Stacey Strykowski Breton Gattinger Robert Hayes   Terry Dennis
Carrot River Valley Fred Bradshaw Rod McCorriston Liam Becker Glen Leson   Fred Bradshaw
Cumberland Darren Deschambeault Doyle Vermette Aaron Oochoo   Doyle Vermette
Kelvington-Wadena Hugh Nerlien Linda Patenaude Melissa Fletcher Wayne Mastrachuk Justin Chrobot   Hugh Nerlien
Melfort Todd Goudy Lorne Schroeder Matthew Diakuw Dave Waldner   Todd Goudy
Prince Albert Carlton Joe Hargrave Troy Parenteau Shirley Davis Renee Grasby   Joe Hargrave
Prince Albert Northcote Alana Ross Nicole Rancourt Sarah Kraynick Jaret Nikolaisen   Nicole Rancourt
Saskatchewan Rivers Nadine Wilson Lyle Whitefish Marcia Neault Shaun Harris Fred Lackie   Nadine Wilson

West Central Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Arm River Dana Skoropad Cam Goff Tiffany Giesbrecht Steve Forbes   Greg Brkich
Biggar-Sask Valley Randy Weekes Twyla Harris Naciri Darcy Robilliard Trevor Simpson   Randy Weekes
Humboldt-Watrous Donna Harpauer Wendy Sekulich Jim Ternier Rose Buscholl Constance Maffenbeier   Donna Harpauer
Kindersley Ken Francis Steven Allen Evangeline Godron Terry Sieben Jason Cooper   Ken Francis
Martensville-Warman Terry Jenson Carla Streeton Melvin Pylypchuk Wade Sira   Nancy Heppner
Rosetown-Elrose Jim Reiter Brenda Edel Justina Robinson Adrian Janssens   Jim Reiter

Southwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Cypress Hills Doug Steele Kelly Genert Dianna Holigroski Crystal Tiringer (Buff.)
John Goohsen (PC)
  Doug Steele
Lumsden-Morse Lyle Stewart Nic Lewis Isaiah Hunter Les Guillemin (Buff.)   Lyle Stewart
Moose Jaw North Tim McLeod Kyle Lichtenwald North Hunter   Warren Michelson
Moose Jaw Wakamow Greg Lawrence Melissa Patterson Abby Firlotte Darcy Jensen (PC)   Greg Lawrence
Swift Current Everett Hindley Stefan Rumpel George Watson   Everett Hindley
Wood River Dave Marit Roger Morgan Kimberly Soo Goodtrack   Dave Marit

Southeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Cannington Daryl Harrison Dianne Twietmeyer Jaina Forrest Wes Smith   Dan D'Autremont
Estevan Lori Carr Seth Lendrum Scott Meyers Linda Sopp Phil Zajac   Lori Carr
Indian Head-Milestone Don McMorris Jared Clarke Billy Patterson Elvin Mandziak   Don McMorris
Last Mountain-Touchwood Travis Keisig Thera Nordal Justin Stranack Victor Teece Gordon Bradford   Glen Hart
Melville-Saltcoats Warren Kaeding Bonnie Galenzoski Jack Powless Trever Ratti   Warren Kaeding
Moosomin Steven Bonk Ken Burton Marjorie Graham Frank Serfas   Steven Bonk
Weyburn-Big Muddy Dustin Duncan Regan Lanning Shane Caellaigh Collin Keith   Dustin Duncan
Yorkton Greg Ottenbreit Carter Antoine Judy Mergel   Greg Ottenbreit

Saskatoon

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Saskatoon Centre Kim Groff Betty Nippi-Albright Raven Reid   David Forbes
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood Lisa Lambert Dave McGrane Gillian Walker John Lowe (PC)   Lisa Lambert
Saskatoon Eastview Chris Guérette Matt Love Jan Norris   Vacant
Saskatoon Fairview Manny Sadhra Vicki Mowat Tobi-Dawne Smith Tony Ollenberger (PC)   Vicki Mowat
Saskatoon Meewasin Rylund Hunter Ryan Meili Jacklin Andrews   Ryan Meili
Saskatoon Northwest Gordon Wyant Gillian Strange Maria Krznar   Gordon Wyant
Saskatoon Nutana Kyle Mazer Erika Ritchie Albert Chubak   Cathy Sproule
Saskatoon Riversdale Marv Friesen Ashlee Hicks Delanie Passer   Danielle Chartier
Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland Paul Merriman Tajinder Grewal Jaime Fairley   Paul Merriman
Saskatoon Southeast Don Morgan Pamela Beaudin Cheryl Mazil   Don Morgan
Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota Bronwyn Eyre Judicaël Moukoumi Lydia Martens Brett Gregg (Buff.)   Bronwyn Eyre
Saskatoon University Eric Olauson Jennifer Bowes Erickka Patmore   Eric Olauson
Saskatoon Westview David Buckingham Malik Draz Glenn Wright Robert Rudachyk (Lib.)   David Buckingham
Saskatoon Willowgrove Ken Cheveldayoff Kaitlyn Harvey David Greenfield   Ken Cheveldayoff

Regina

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Other
         
Regina Coronation Park Mark Docherty Noor Burki Irene Browatzke David Coates   Mark Docherty
Regina Douglas Park Nadeem Naz Nicole Sarauer Victor Lau Sara Healey   Nicole Sarauer
Regina Elphinstone-Centre Caesar Khan Meara Conway Naomi Hunter Don Kirk Rolf Hartloff (Ind.)   Warren McCall
Regina Gardiner Park Gene Makowsky Faycal Haggui Helmi Scott David Teece   Gene Makowsky
Regina Lakeview Megan Patterson Carla Beck Michael Wright Bruno Sahut (Lib.)   Carla Beck
Regina Northeast Gary Grewal Yens Pedersen Anthony Majore Corie Rempel Jeff Walters (Lib.)   Yens Pedersen
Regina Pasqua Muhammad Fiaz Bhajan Brar Heather Lau Harry Frank   Muhammad Fiaz
Regina Rochdale Laura Ross Brett Estey Sarah Risk Murray Morhart   Laura Ross
Regina Rosemont Alex Nau Trent Wotherspoon James Park Chris McCulloch   Trent Wotherspoon
Regina University Tina Beaudry-Mellor Aleana Young Tanner Wallace Debbie Knill   Tina Beaudry-Mellor
Regina Walsh Acres Derek Meyers Kelly Hardy Ken Grey Sandra Morin (Ind.)   Vacant
Regina Wascana Plains Christine Tell Mike Sinclair Sonja Doyle Nestor Mryglod (Ind.)   Christine Tell

Opinion polls

Three-day average of Saskatchewan opinion polls from April 4, 2016, to the last possible date of the next election on October 26, 2020. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organization/client Sample size SK Party NDP Liberal Green PC Others Lead
25 October 2020 Forum Research 1011 56.2% 35.8% 1.4% 1.7% n/a 4.9% 20.4%
23-25 October 2020 Research Co. 500 56% 38% 1% 2% 2% 1% 18%
24 October 2020 Mainstreet Research 616 55.2% 37.3% n/a 2.4% n/a 4.9% 17.9%
8-13 October 2020 Angus Reid 759 60% 33% n/a n/a n/a 7% 27%
8-10 October 2020 Research Co. 500 58% 36% 1% 2% 2% 1% 22%
6-8 October 2020 Insightrix 801 54% 35% 2% 3% 4% 3% 19%
Sep 29, 2020 Premier Scott Moe announces a general election to be held on October 26, 2020.
28 Sep 2020 Naveed Anwar steps down as leader of the Saskatchewan Liberal Party.
16 September 2020 CHASR Research 400 53% 25% 8% 0.5% 12% 28%
10 July-26 August 2020 EKOS Research 1,638 60% 28% 12% 32%
16 June-9 July 2020 EKOS Research 1,240 57% 32% 12% 25%
19-24 May 2020 Angus Reid 459 57% 32% 3% 2% 6% 25%
6-10 May 2020 The Canadian Perspective 792 51.9% 35.0% 2.9% 5.0% 1.9% 3.3% 16.9%
1 Mar 2020 Naomi Hunter is elected leader of the Green Party of Saskatchewan.
20-22 March 2019 Mainstreet Research 695 55.0% 31.2% 4.9% 4.0% 5.0% 23.8%
14-15 January 2019 Mainstreet Research 830 55.8% 32.6% 5.9% 2.4% 3.3% 23.2%
3 Nov 2018 Ken Grey is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Saskatchewan.
30 October-1 November 2018 Mainstreet Research 779 55.1% 30.3% 6.8% 4.2% 3.5% 24.8%
15-17 July 2018 Mainstreet Research 776 52.1% 35.1% 5.6% 4.0% 3.1% 17.0%
16-18 Apr 2018 Mainstreet Research 963 49.8% 38.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 11.1%
5 May 2018 Naveed Anwar is elected leader of the Saskatchewan Liberal Party.
3 Mar 2018 Ryan Meili is elected leader of the Saskatchewan NDP.
2 Feb 2018 Scott Moe becomes Premier of Saskatchewan.
4-6 Jan 2018 Mainstreet Research 764 50.9% 34.4% 8.8% 5.8% 16.5%
24-27 Aug 2017 The Canadian Perspective 273 42.9% 45.4% 6.2% 4% 1.5% 2.5%
5-12 Jun 2017 Angus Reid 1,053 48% 41% 6% 3% 2% 7%
15-16 May 2017 Mainstreet Research 2,000 40% 49% 6% 5% 9%
11-13 Apr 2017 Insightrix 803 44% 40% 5% 4% 7% 4%
30-31 Mar 2017 Mainstreet Research 1,704 47% 42% 6% 5% 5%
22-23 Aug 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,690 53% 37% 5% 5% 16%
13 Jun 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,400 59% 32% 4% 5% 27%
4 Apr 2016 General election results 433,030 62.4% 30.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 32.2%

References

  1. ^ Solomon, Michaela (29 September 2020). "Saskatchewan's 29th general election begins as writ drop announced". regina.ctvnews.ca. CTV News. Retrieved 6 October 2020.
  2. ^ Martell, Creeden. "Saskatchewan Premier Brad Wall retiring from politics". cbc.ca. CBC News.
  3. ^ "Sask. gov't announces 2020 election date, tables election law changes". Global News. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  4. ^ "Saskatchewan adjusting 2020 provincial, municipal election dates". Regina Leader Post. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  5. ^ a b "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  6. ^ "No spring election: Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe". Global News. Retrieved 2020-03-12.
  7. ^ https://www.elections.sk.ca/candidates-political-parties/candidates/official-candidates/