2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary

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2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary

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147 Democratic National Convention delegates (125 pledged, 22 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 73 52
Popular vote 840,360 576,926
Percentage 52.93% 36.34%

Michigan Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  Joe Biden

The 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary took place in Michigan, United States, on Tuesday, March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Michigan primary is an open primary,[1] with the state awarding 147 delegates, of which 125 are pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary. Polling places closed at 8pm local time (eastern time for most of the state); however, anyone who was already in line at 8pm had to be allowed to vote.

At 9:05pm EDT, the Associated Press declared Joe Biden the winner of the Michigan primary. Biden won every county in the state. The results marked a clear regression in support for Bernie Sanders from 2016, when he edged out Hillary Clinton by 1.42% and won 73 of the state's 83 counties.[2] Biden's victory was powered by support from African Americans, older voters, working class voters, and moderate voters.[3]

Procedure[edit]

Michigan is one of 6 states which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[4]

Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. local time. In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 125 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 125 pledged delegates, between 4 and 9[5] are allocated to each of the state's 14 congressional districts and another 16 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 27 at-large pledged delegates. Bonus delegates will be allocated as Michigan shares a primary date with numerous other states holding contests the week after Super Tuesday; these numbers do not yet account for these delegates.[6]

After district conventions on Saturday, May 16, 2020, during which district-level delegates will be selected, the state central committee meeting will subsequently be held on Saturday, June 13, 2020, to vote on the 27 pledged at-large and 16 PLEO delegates to send to the Democratic National Convention. The 125 pledged delegates Michigan sends to the national convention will be joined by 22 unpledged PLEO delegates (12 members of the Democratic National Committee; 9 members of Congress, including both Senators and 7 U.S. Representatives; and the governor).[6]

Candidates[edit]

The following people have been included on the initial list issued on November 8, 2019, by the Michigan Secretary of State for the presidential primary.[7]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling[edit]

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Other/
Undecided[a]
270 to Win Mar 10, 2020 Mar 4–9, 2020 57.0% 32.3% 1.3% 9.4%
RealClear Politics Mar 10, 2020 Mar 4–9, 2020 55.7% 33.3% 1.3% 9.7%
FiveThirtyEight Mar 10, 2020 until Mar 9, 2020[b] 55.3% 31.9% 1.2% 11.6%
Average 56.0% 32.5% 1.3% 10.2%
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020) 52.9% 36.4% 0.6% 10.1%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Swayable Mar 9, 2020 3,126 (LV) ± 3.0% 62% 28% 10%[d]
AtlasIntel Mar 7–9, 2020 528 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 3% 40% 1% 3%[e] 5%
Data for Progress Mar 7–9, 2020 320 (LV) ± 5.5% 59% 38% 2%[f]
Mitchell Research & Communications Mar 8, 2020 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 1% 1% 1% 33% 3% 3%[g] 5%
Target Insyght Mar 8, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 65% 2% 1% 24% 3% 3%[h] 1%
Concord Public Opinion Partners/
The Welcome Party
Mar 7–8, 2020 305 (LV) 54% 23% 1%[i] 22%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 –(RV)[j] ± 5.8% 54% 42%
Monmouth University Mar 5–8, 2020 411 (LV) ± 4.8% 51% 3% <1% <1% 36% 1% 7%[k] 2%
ROI Rocket Mar 4–8, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 55% 45%
The Progress Campaign (D)[1] Mar 3-7, 2020 417 (RV) ± 4.7% 51% 44% 1% 4%[l]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press Mar 4–6, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 27% 9%[m] 13%[n]
Mar 5, 2020 Warren withdraws from the race
Mar 4, 2020 Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 29% 11% 6% 3% 23% 7% 6%[o] 16%
Feb 29, 2020 South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison Feb 11–20, 2020 662 (LV) 16% 13% 11% 8% 25% 13% 14%[p]
Feb 11, 2020 New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
University/Ohio Northern University
Jan 8–20, 2020 477 (RV) 27% 9.1% 6.3% 1.9% 21.6% 13.6% 3.5% 5.3%[q] 10.6%
Jan 13, 2020 Booker withdraws from the race
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 24, 2019 Bloomberg announces his candidacy
Emerson College Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 454 ± 4.6% 34% 3% 8% 3% 0% 28% 19% 2% 3%[r]
Nov 1, 2019 O'Rourke withdraws from the race
Siena Research/New York Times Oct 13–26, 2019 203 30% 0% 3% 0% 1% 0% 17% 21% 1% 1%[s] 23%
Kaiser Family Foundation Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 208 (LV) 19% 1% 7% 2% 1% 1% 15% 25% 1% 0%[t] 27%
Denno Research Sep 21–24, 2019 217 27% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% 12% 23% 1% 4%[u] 23%[v]
Climate Nexus Jul 14–17, 2019 324 35% 2% 4% 8% 1% 1% 16% 14% 1% 2%[w] 13%[x]
Zogby Analytics May 23–29, 2019 268 ± 6.0% 27% 1% 9% 7% 1% 4% 18% 8% 2% 5%[y]
Denno Research May 8–10, 2019 235 37% 3% 5% 4% 1% 1% 16% 9% 0% 4%[z] 23%
Apr 25, 2019 Biden announces his candidacy
Apr 14, 2019 Buttigieg announces his candidacy
Mar 14, 2019 O'Rourke announces his candidacy
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 317 ± 5.5% 40% 3% 0% 12% 5% 2% 23% 11% 4%[aa]

Results[edit]

2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[8]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 840,360 52.93 73
Bernie Sanders 576,926 36.34 52
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn†) 73,464 4.63
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†) 26,148 1.65
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 22,462 1.41
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 11,018 0.69
Tulsi Gabbard 9,461 0.60
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 2,380 0.15
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 1,732 0.11
Michael Bennet (withdrawn†) 1,536 0.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 840 0.05
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 757 0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 719 0.05
John Delaney (withdrawn†) 464 0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 306 0.02
Uncommitted 19,106 1.20
Total 1,587,679 100% 125

†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

Notes[edit]

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 9%
  5. ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  6. ^ Gabbard with 2%
  7. ^ Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ^ Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%; "Uncommitted" with 3%
  9. ^ Gabbard with 1%
  10. ^ Part of a 1,750 registered voter poll of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
  11. ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%; "Uncommitted" with 6%
  12. ^ Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
  13. ^ "Other" with 9%
  14. ^ "Declined" with 13%
  15. ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Delaney, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%; Castro and Sestak with no voters; "Refused" with 5%
  16. ^ "Not sure/other" with 14%
  17. ^ Steyer with 1.7%; Delaney with 1.6%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.5%
  18. ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; Someone else with 2%
  19. ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
  20. ^ Castro and Steyer with no voters; someone else with 0%
  21. ^ Bennet with 2%; Gabbard, Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
  22. ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
  23. ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
  24. ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
  25. ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%
  26. ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
  27. ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Election 2020 — Democratic Delegate Count". Real Clear Politics. March 10, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  2. ^ "Live Primary Election Results: Michigan, Washington and More". New York Times. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  3. ^ https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/election-results/michigan-democratic-primary-live-results/
  4. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  5. ^ "2020 Delegate Selection Plan FINAL" (PDF). Michigan Democratic Party. Retrieved March 5, 2020.
  6. ^ a b "Michigan Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  7. ^ Barrett, Malachi (November 8, 2019). "Michigan Secretary of State issues 2020 presidential primary candidate list". mlive.
  8. ^ "2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved June 11, 2020.

External links[edit]