2024 São Paulo mayoral election
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The 2024 São Paulo municipal election will take place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 55 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Ricardo Nunes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), is running for reelection.[1]
Candidates
[edit]Confirmed candidates
[edit]| Party | Mayoral candidate | Vice mayoral candidate[a] | Coalition | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
.svg) Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB 15) |
|
Ricardo Nunes Mayor of São Paulo (since 2021) Vice Mayor of São Paulo (2021) Councillor (2013–2021) |
_no_Almo%C3%A7o_Brasil_de_Id%C3%A9ias_Mulher_(30-04-2021)_(cropped).jpg)
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Ricardo de Mello Araújo (PL) Retired military police officer |
Safe Path to São Paulo
| |
 United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU 16) |
|
Altino Prazeres Metro train operator, former president of the São Paulo Metro Workers Union |
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|
Silvana Garcia Leader of housing rights movement |
— | |
_logo.png){kind=logo} Christian Democracy (DC 27) |
Bebetto Haddad Former municipal secretary of Sports, Leisure and Recreation |
_-_Foto_oficial_para_o_TSE_(2022)_-_FSP250001693450_div.jpg)
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Marco Antonio Azkoul Teacher and ex-police delegate |
— | ||
 Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB 28) |
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Pablo Marçal Businessman and coaching digital influencer |
Antônia de Jesus Military police officer |
— | ||
 Workers' Cause Party (PCO 29) |
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João Caproni Pimenta Columnist for the party news site |
_-_foto_oficial_para_o_TSE_(2020).jpg)
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Francisco Muniz Musician |
— | |
 New Party (NOVO 30) |
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Marina Helena Economist, former director of the Special Secretariat of Privatizations of the Ministry of Economics |
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Reynaldo Priell Neto Military police officer |
— | |
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB 40) |
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Tabata Amaral Federal Deputy (since 2019) |
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Lúcia França
First Lady of State of São Paulo (2018) |
— | |
 Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB 45) |
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José Luiz Datena TV news presenter |
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José Aníbal Senator (2016–2017; 2021–2022) |
Always Forward Federation | |
.png) Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL 50) |
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Guilherme Boulos Federal Deputy (since 2023) |
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Marta Suplicy (PT) Senator (2011–2019) Mayor of São Paulo (2001–2005) |
Love for São Paulo
| |
Popular Unity (UP 80) |
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Ricardo Senese Metro transport operator, director at the National Federation of Metro Workers |
|
Julia Soares
National Coordinator of the Women's Movement Olga Benário |
— | |
Withdrawn candidates
[edit]- Ricardo Salles (PL) - Former Minister of the Environment and Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2023.[2][3]
- Padre Kelmon (DC) - Candidate for president in the 2022 Brazilian general election. He had announced his potential candidacy as a member of the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD), but the party decided to support Nunes' bid for reelection. After this, he joined the Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) and announced his candidacy as a member of this party; however, his candidacy was replaced by the candidacy of the businessman Pablo Marçal.[4] Eventually he gave up his political intentions and started supporting the potential candidacy of the businessman Dr. Fernando Fantauzzi (DC).[5]
- Abraham Weintraub (PMB) - Former Minister of Education; World Bank Group Executive Director from the 15th district (2020–2022); candidate for federal deputy from São Paulo in 2022.[6]
- Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) - Anti-corruption activist, MBL leader, and federal deputy from São Paulo since 2019.[7]
- Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) - Businessman and potential candidate for mayor in the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election.[8]
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Outgoing Municipal Chamber
[edit]The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
| Affiliation | Members | +/– | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elected[9] | Current[10] | |||
| MDB | 3 | 11 |  8
| |
| PT | 8 | 9 | 1
| |
| UNIÃO | didn't exist | 7 | 7
| |
| PL | 2 | 6 | 4
| |
| PSD | 3 | 6 | 3
| |
| PSOL | 6 | 5 |  1
| |
| Republicanos | 4 | 3 | 1
| |
| PP | 1 | 2 | 1
| |
| PSB | 2 | 2 | 
| |
| PODE | 3 | 2 | 1
| |
| PV | 1 | 1 |
| |
| NOVO | 2 | 1 | 1
| |
| PSL | 1 | extinct party[b] | 1
| |
| PTB | 1 | extinct party[c] | 1
| |
| PSC | 1 | extinct party[d] | 1
| |
| Patriota | 3 | extinct party[c] | 3
| |
| DEM | 6 | extinct party[b] | 6
| |
| PSDB | 8 | 0 | 8
| |
| Total | 55 | |||
Debates
[edit]Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in UTC−03:00).
| No. | Date, time, and location | Hosts | Moderators | Participants[e] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Present A Absent I Invited N Not invited Out Out of the election |
MDB | PSOL | PSDB | PSB | PRTB | NOVO | |||
| Nunes | Boulos | Datena | Amaral | Marçal | Helena | ||||
| 1 | 8 August 2024, 22:15 Morumbi, São Paulo |
Bandeirantes | Eduardo Oinegue[16] | P | P | P | P | P | N |
| 2 | 14 August 2024, 10:00 FAAP, São Paulo |
Estadão, Terra | Roseann Kennedy | P | P | P | P | P | P |
| 3 | 19 August 2024, 11:00 ESPM, São Paulo |
Veja | Marcela Rahal | A | A | A | P | P | P |
| 4 | 1 September 2024, 18:00 Bela Vista, São Paulo |
TV Gazeta, MyNews | TBA | I | I | I | I | I | N |
| 5 | 5 September 2024, 22:00 Jardim Paulista, São Paulo |
Jovem Pan | TBA | I | I | I | I | I | N |
| 6 | 15 September 2024, 21:00 Teatro B32, São Paulo |
TV Cultura | TBA | I | I | I | I | I | N |
| 7 | 17 September 2024, 09:30 Osasco |
RedeTV!, UOL | Amanda Klein | I | I | I | I | I | N |
| 8 | 20 September 2024, Osasco | SBT | TBA | I | I | I | I | I | N |
| 9 | 30 September 2024, 10:00 | Folha de S. Paulo, UOL | TBA | I | I | I | I | I | N |
| 10 | 3 October 2024 Itaim Bibi, São Paulo |
Rede Globo | TBA | I | I | I | I | I | N |
Opinion polls
[edit]First round
[edit]2024
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Marçal PRTB |
Amaral PSB |
M. Helena NOVO |
Pimenta PCO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 24.1% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.8%[f] | 10,6% | 2.2% |
| Datafolha | 20–21 August 2024 | 1,204 | 19% | 23% | 10% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1%[g] | 12% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August | 1,803 | 21.8% | 28.5% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0% | 0.5%[h] | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Datafolha | 6–8 August | 1,092 | 23% | 22% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1%[i] | 14% | 1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August | 1,500 | 25.1% | 23.2% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.2%[j] | 11.9% | 1.9% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August | 2,037 | 24.9% | 32.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 3.5% | — | 0.7%[k] | 6.2% | 7.8% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August | 1,000 | 26.7% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.3%[l] | 16.3% | 6.8% |
| 27.2% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | — | — | 14.2% | 7.9% | |||
| 30.4% | 23.5% | — | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | — | — | 17.6% | 6.9% | |||
| 5 August | The deadline for holding party conventions. After this date, parties must officially announce their candidates.[17] | |||||||||||
| 1 August | Kim Kataguiri officially withdraws from the race, stating that his candidacy was sabotaged by the Brazil Union. He announced at the same press conference his support for Ricardo Nunes' candidacy.[7][18] | |||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Marçal PRTB |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Quaest | 25–28 July | 1,002 | 20% | 19% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2%[m] | 17% | 1% |
| 21% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 4% | — | 16% | 2% | |||
| 24% | 22% | — | 15% | 8% | 3% | 5% | — | 23% | 2% | |||
| 26% | 23% | — | 15% | 8% | — | 6% | — | 22% | 3% | |||
| 33% | 24% | — | — | 9% | — | 8% | — | 26% | 9% | |||
| 20 July | At the PSOL party convention, with the presence of the President Lula, the "Love for São Paulo" ticket alliance and the candidates for mayor and vice mayor are confirmed – Guilherme Boulos and Marta Suplicy.[19] | |||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Amaral PSB |
Marçal PRTB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| FESPSP | 16–18 July | 1,500 | 22% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 2% | — | 19% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July | 1,500 | 26.9% | 24.7% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.7%[n] | 11.6% | 2.2% |
| 27.7% | 24.8% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 11.5% | — | 3.7% | 1.9%[o] | 11.9% | 2.9% | |||
| 31.9% | 27.5% | — | 7.7% | 12.2% | — | 4.4% | 2.4%[p] | 13.8% | 4.4% | |||
| Datafolha | 2–4 July | 1,092 | 24% | 23% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 4%[q] | 13% | 1% |
| 26% | 25% | — | 9% | 12% | — | 7% | 5%[r] | 16% | 1% | |||
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June | 1,500 | 28% | 29% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0%[s] | 10% | 1% |
| 29% | 29% | 9% | 8% | 14% | — | 1% | 10% | Tie | ||||
| Futura/100% Cidades | 24–25 June | 1,000 | 20.4% | 24.2% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 3% | 1%[t] | 16.4% | 3.8% |
| 24.6% | 24.8% | — | 8.5% | 14.1% | — | 3.5% | — | 24.5% | 0.2% | |||
| 25.2% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 8.1% | — | — | — | — | 26.5% | 2.5% | |||
| 24.5% | 24.4% | — | 10% | 12.3% | — | — | — | 28.8% | 0.1% | |||
| Quaest | 22–25 June | 1,002 | 22% | 21% | 17% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 2%[u] | 15% | 1% |
| 25% | 23% | 19% | 8% | — | 5% | 4% | — | 16% | 2% | |||
| 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 11% | — | 5% | — | 13% | 1% | |||
| 28% | 24% | — | 10% | 13% | — | 6% | — | 19% | 4% | |||
| 30% | 25% | — | 10% | — | 5% | 8% | — | 22% | 5% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June | 1,500 | 28.5% | 25.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.2%[v] | 11.6% | 2.6% |
| 31.1% | 27% | — | 11.2% | 11.9% | — | 3.9% | 1.7%[w] | 13.4% | 4.1% | |||
| Instituto Veritá | 15–19 June | 1,202 | 16.9% | 28.9% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 14% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.3%[x] | 13.3% | 12% |
| Instituto Gerp | 13–17 June | 1,000 | 21% | 20% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 0%[y] | 30% | 1% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June | 2,220 | 23.4% | 35.7% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2% | 2.9% | 12.3% | |
| 32.4% | 37.5% | — | 11.8% | — | 8.2% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | ||||
| Datafolha | 27–28 May | 1,092 | 23% | 24% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4%[z] | 18% | 1% |
| 26% | 24% | — | 9% | 9% | — | 6% | 5%[aa] | 21% | 2% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May | 1,500 | 28.1% | 24.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.8%[ab] | 14% | 3.9% |
| 28.2% | 24.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | — | 14% | 4% | |||
| 33.1% | 26.9% | — | 11.5% | 6.9% | — | 4.1% | — | 16.7% | 6.2% | |||
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May | 1,670 | 20.5% | 37.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.5%[ac] | 2.3% | 16.7% |
| 32.6% | 37.2% | — | 11.1% | — | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.2%[ad] | 5% | 4.6% | |||
| 24 May | The Brazilian Labour Renewal Party confirms the candidacy of Pablo Marçal.[20] | |||||||||||
| 15 May | The Brazilian Social Democracy Party confirms the candidacy of José Luiz Datena.[21] | |||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Amaral PSB |
Marçal PRTB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May | 1,000 | 27.1% | 26.1% | — | 9.7% | — | 5.1% | 4.9% | — | 26.9% | 1% |
| 23% | 22.6% | 15.2% | 8.6% | — | — | — | 0.7%[ae] | 19.8% | 0.4% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May | 1,200 | 27.3% | 25.7% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 4% | 3.6% | 0.3%[af] | 13.5% | 1.6% |
| 35.2% | 29.8% | — | 10.6% | — | — | 5.7% | 1.7%[ag] | 17.2% | 5.4% | |||
| AtlasIntel | 18–22 April | 1,629 | 33.7% | 35.6% | — | 14.7% | — | 9.4% | 3.5% | — | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Instituto Badra | 11–13 April | 1,500 | 26% | 17% | — | 10% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 9% |
| 30% | 20% | — | 16% | — | — | — | — | 33% | 10% | |||
| 30%[ah] | 21%[ai] | — | 17%[aj] | — | — | — | — | 31% | 9% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March | 1,350 | 32% | 30.1% | — | 9.6% | — | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1%[ak] | 15.7% | 1.9% |
| 34.3% | 30.6% | — | 10.5% | — | — | 6.3% | 1.3%[al] | 17% | 3.7% | |||
| Datafolha | 7–8 March | 1,090 | 29% | 30% | — | 8% | — | 4% | 7% | 2%[am] | 20% | 1% |
| 30% | 29% | — | 9% | — | — | 7% | 1%[an] | 23% | 1% | |||
| 33% | 33% | — | — | — | — | 8% | 2%[ao] | 24% | Tie | |||
| RealTime Big Data | 1–2 March | 2,000 | 29% | 34% | — | 10% | — | 6% | 1% | 1%[ap] | 19% | 5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February | 1,502 | 32% | 33% | — | 9.7% | — | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.7%[aq] | 16.1% | 1% |
| 34.7% | 33.4% | — | 10.5% | — | — | 3.8% | — | 17.6% | 1.3% | |||
2023
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
M. Helena NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December | 1,600 | 18% | 29.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 18.4%[ar] | 22.1% | 11.5% |
| 23.1% | 37.9% | 8% | 6.8% | 0.7% | 23.5%[as] | — | 14.8% | |||
| ABC Dados | 18 December | 1,061 | 16% | 29% | 8% | 10% | — | 12%[at] | 25% | 13% |
| Instituto Veritá | 14–16 December | 1,003 | 5.5% | 18.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 34.5%[au] | 34.4% | 13.2% |
| 10.2% | 24.2% | — | — | — | 16.3%[av] | 49.3% | 7.9%[aw] | |||
| Futura Inteligência | 11–13 December | 1,015 | 21% | 25.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 9.4%[ax] | 27.8% | 4.6% |
| 21% | 24.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | — | 16.1%[ay] | 27.6% | 3.6% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 6–9 December | 1,046 | 25.4% | 31.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 8.9%[az] | 17.3% | 5.7% |
| 29.1% | 32.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | — | 19% | 3.3% | |||
| Badra | 2–4 October | 2,500 | 21% | 29% | 7% | 5% | — | 3%[ba] | 35% | 8% |
| 20% | 28% | — | 4% | — | 12%[bb] | 36% | 8% | |||
| 25% | 30% | 9% | — | — | — | 36% | 5% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 21–24 September | 1,066 | 29% | 35.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | — | 2.8%[bc] | 20.3% | 6.1% |
| 20 September | The party Solidariedade announces support to Nunes' reelection.[22] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Poit NOVO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Datafolha | 29–30 August | 1,092 | 24% | 32% | 11% | 8% | 2% | — | 23% | 8% |
| 5 August | Workers' Party (PT) announces support to Boulos' candidacy.[23] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
E. Bolsonaro PL |
Amaral PSB |
Kataguiri UNIÃO |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Instituto Gerp | 10–17 July | 800 | 6% | 26% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 4%[bd] | 39% | 8% |
| 28 June | José Luiz Datena withdraws from the race.[24] | |||||||||
| 5 June | Ricardo Salles withdraws from the race.[25] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PDT |
Salles PL |
Amaral PSB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 30 Apr–4 May | 1,208 | 17.8% | 31.5% | — | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.4%[be] | 27.3% | 13.7% |
| 13.6%[bf] | 39.2%[bg] | — | 20.4%[bh] | 7.7%[bi] | 5%[bj] | — | 18.8% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 23–26 February | 1,012 | 7.9% | 26.3% | 24.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 13.4%[bk] | 19.4% | 2% |
| 8.6% | 32% | — | — | 5.1% | 33.6%[bl] | 20.7% | 12.1% | |||
| 11.1% | 32.9% | — | 7.5% | 5.2% | 17.4%[bm] | 25.9% | 21.8% | |||
| 15% | 36.7% | — | 10.1% | — | 8.4%[bn] | 29.8% | 11.7% | |||
Second round
[edit]Guilherme Boulos and Ricardo Nunes
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Boulos PSOL |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 50.2% | 34.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% |
| Datafolha | 20–21 August 2024 | 1,204 | 47% | 38% | 15% | 9% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 40.9% | 36.8% | 22.4% | 4.1% |
| Datafolha | 6–8 August 2024 | 1,092 | 49% | 36% | 15% | 13% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August 2024 | 1,500 | 50.1% | 35.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 42% | 42.4% | 15.6% | 0.4% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 50.2% | 32.3% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 45% | 32% | 23% | 13% |
| FESPSP | 16–18 July 2024 | 1,500 | 43% | 36% | 21% | 7% |
| 16–18 July 2024[bo] | 36% | 46% | 18% | 10% | ||
| 16–18 July 2024[bp] | 38% | 46% | 16% | 8% | ||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July 2024 | 1,500 | 50.5% | 35% | 14.5% | 15.5% |
| Datafolha | 2–4 July 2024 | 1,092 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% |
| Quaest | 22–25 June 2024 | 1,002 | 46% | 34% | 20% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 49% | 33.9% | 17% | 15.1% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,500 | 48.1% | 35.9% | 16% | 12.2% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 46% | 43.5% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,000 | 44.4% | 33.9% | 21.6% | 10.5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 46.8% | 37.6% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Atlas/Intel | 18–22 April 2024 | 1,629 | 44.8% | 44.3% | 10.9% | 0.5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 46% | 39.1% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| RealTime Big Data | 1–2 March 2024 | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 43.3% | 39.6% | 17.1% | 3.7% |
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 37.2% | 33.8% | 29% | 3.4% |
| Instituto Veritá | 14–16 December 2023 | 1,003 | 24.4% | 27.6% | 47.9% | 3.2% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 6–9 December 2023 | 1,046 | 41.3% | 39.8% | 19% | 1.5% |
Guilherme Boulos and Pablo Marçal
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Marçal PRTB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 42.9% | 38.3% | 18.8% | 4.6% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 38.4% | 35.4% | 26.2% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 44.1% | 35.2% | 20.7% | 8.9% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 40.1% | 30.7% | 29.2% | 9.4% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July 2024 | 1,500 | 44.8% | 33.7% | 21.5% | 11.1% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 33% | 27% | 7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 45.5% | 29.3% | 25.1% | 16.2% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 48% | 38% | 14% | 10% |
Guilherme Boulos and Tabata Amaral
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Amaral PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 29.8% | 29.1% | 41.1% | 0.7% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 37.7% | 27.4% | 34.9% | 10.3% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 33.9% | 31.7% | 34.4% | 2.2% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 44% | 16% | 4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 34% | 26% | 6% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 40% | 34% | 26% | 6% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,500 | 41.7% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 9.5% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 37.7% | 25.5% | 36.8% | 12.2% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,000 | 35.4% | 32% | 32.6% | 3.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 43.6% | 33.9% | 22.5% | 9.7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 43.3% | 34.3% | 22.4% | 9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 43.4% | 30.4% | 26.1% | 13% |
Guilherme Boulos and José Luiz Datena
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Boulos PSOL |
Datena PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 35.6% | 27.5% | 36.9% | 8.1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August 2024 | 1,500 | 39% | 43% | 18% | 4% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 39.9% | 29.5% | 30.7% | 10.4% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 2–5 August 2024 | 1,000 | 36.5% | 35.5% | 28% | 1% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Quaest | 22–25 June 2024 | 1,002 | 35% | 43% | 22% | 8% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 44% | 27% | 28% | 17% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 41.5% | 27.9% | 30.6% | 13.6% |
Ricardo Nunes and Tabata Amaral
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Amaral PSB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 38.5% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 0.3% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 38.3% | 43.4% | 18.3% | 5.1% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 47% | 26% | 27% | 21% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 43% | 42% | 15% | 1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 June 2024 | 1,500 | 48.3% | 30.5% | 21.1% | 17.8% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 42% | 37% | 20% | 5% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,500 | 49.5% | 30% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 42.4% | 38.3% | 19.3% | 4.1% |
| Futura/100% Cidades | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,000 | 43.9% | 30% | 26.1% | 13.9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 26 April–1 May 2024 | 1,200 | 49.6% | 30.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| Atlas/Intel | 18–22 April 2024 | 1,629 | 42.6% | 44.3% | 13.1% | 1.7% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 13–18 March 2024 | 1,350 | 48.4% | 30% | 21.6% | 18.4% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–19 February 2024 | 1,502 | 48.3% | 28.8% | 22.9% | 19.5% |
| AtlasIntel | 25–30 December 2023 | 1,600 | 36.5% | 26.3% | 37.1% | 10.2% |
Ricardo Nunes and José Luiz Datena
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Datena PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 52.5% | 32.1% | 15.3% | 20.4% |
| AtlasIntel | 15–20 August 2024 | 1,803 | 40.8% | 28.7% | 30.5% | 12.1% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 August 2024 | 1,500 | 47.2% | 35% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
| AtlasIntel | 2–7 August 2024 | 2,037 | 38.7% | 28.9% | 32.4% | 9.8% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14–17 July 2024 | 1,500 | 47.7% | 29.3% | 23% | 18.4% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 44% | 37% | 19% | 7% |
| Quaest | 22–25 June 2024 | 1,002 | 43% | 34% | 23% | 9% |
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 43% | 30% | 27% | 13% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 45.4% | 21.4% | 33.2% | 24% |
Tabata Amaral and José Luiz Datena
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Amaral PSB |
Datena PSDB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas/CNN | 10–11 June 2024 | 2,220 | 38% | 36% | 26% | 2% |
| Atlas/CNN | 22–27 May 2024 | 1,670 | 39.8% | 21.6% | 38.6% | 18.2% |
Ricardo Nunes and Pablo Marçal
[edit]| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Nunes MDB |
Marçal PRTB |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–22 August 2024 | 1,500 | 52.1% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 26.4% |
| Quaest | 25–28 July 2024 | 1,002 | 46% | 22% | 32% | 24% |
| RealTime Big Data | 25–28 June 2024 | 1,500 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 15% |
Results
[edit]Mayor
[edit]| Candidate | Running mate | Party | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altino Prazeres | Silvana Garcia | United Socialist Workers' Party | 0 | – | |
| Guilherme Boulos | Marta Suplicy (PT) | Socialism and Liberty Party | 0 | – | |
| João Pimenta | Francisco Muniz | Workers' Cause Party | 0 | – | |
| José Luiz Datena | José Aníbal | Brazilian Social Democracy Party | 0 | – | |
| Marina Helena | Reynaldo Priell Neto | New Party | 0 | – | |
| Pablo Marçal | Antônia de Jesus | Brazilian Labour Renewal Party | 0 | – | |
| Ricardo Nunes | Ricardo de Mello Araújo (PL) | Brazilian Democratic Movement | 0 | – | |
| Ricardo Senese | Julia Sousa | Popular Unity | 0 | – | |
| Tabata Amaral | Lúcia França | Brazilian Socialist Party | 0 | – | |
| Total | 0 | – | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 9,322,444 | – | |||
Municipal Chamber
[edit]| Party or alliance | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agir | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Avante | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Brazil of Hope | Communist Party of Brazil | 0 | – | 0 | – | ||
| Green Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Workers' Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Brazil Union | 0 | – | 0 | New | |||
| Brazilian Communist Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Brazilian Democratic Movement | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Brazilian Labour Renewal Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Brazilian Socialist Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Brazilian Woman's Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Christian Democracy | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Democratic Labour Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Democratic Renewal Party | 0 | – | 0 | New | |||
| Liberal Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| National Mobilization | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| New Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Podemos | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Popular Unity | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Progressistas | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| PSDB Cidadania Federation | Brazilian Social Democracy Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | ||
| Cidadania | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| PSOL REDE Federation | Socialism and Liberty Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | ||
| Sustainability Network | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Republicans | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Social Democratic Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Solidariedade | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| United Socialist Workers' Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Workers' Cause Party | 0 | – | 0 | – | |||
| Total | 0 | – | 55 | – | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 9,322,444 | – | |||||
Notes
[edit]- ^ Same party as the mayoral candidate, unless mentioned in parentheses
- ^ a b Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[13]
- ^ a b Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged in the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[11]
- ^ Social Christian Party (PSC) merged into Podemos (PODE) in June 2023.[12]
- ^ Debates broadcast on television or radio were legally required to invite all candidates whose parties or coalitions had at least five members in the National Congress based on the most recent election.[14] The candidates listed in this table satisfied this condition.[15]
- ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.6% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each.
- ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 1%.
- ^ Altino Prazers (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.2%.
- ^ Voting intentions for Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 1%; candidates Ricardo Senese (UP) and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) did not even reach less than 1% each.
- ^ Voting intentions for Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.5%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.4% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3%.
- ^ Voting intentions for Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.7%.
- ^ Voting intentions for Kim Kataguiri with 1.1%; candidates Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres had 0.1% each.
- ^ Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 1% each
- ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.9%; Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% each and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.2%
- ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.9%; Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% each
- ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 1.1%; Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.6%; Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.4% and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3%
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Pimenta (PCO) with 1% each
- ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 2%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Pimenta (PCO) did not reach 1%
- ^ Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.6%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% and João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.1%.
- ^ João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each.
- ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.4%; Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.2%
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.5% each; João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.4% and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), 0.3%
- ^ Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 1.1%; João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.8%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1%
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU); Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) with 1% each
- ^ João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) with 3%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 1% each one
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.5%; João Caproni Pimenta (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Abraham Weintraub (PMB)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ With Sonaira Fernandes (Republicanos) as his running mate.
- ^ With Marta Suplicy (PT) as his running mate.
- ^ With José Luiz Datena (PSDB) as her running mate.
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
- ^ Padre Kelmon (DC)
- ^ Padre Kelmon (DC)
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 17.6% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.8%
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 22.5% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 1%
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL)
- ^ Marcos Pontes (PL), 15.8%; Marta Suplicy (PT), 14.0% Pablo Marçal (independent), 2.8%; Marco Vinholi (PSDB), 1.9%
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL), 16.3%
- ^ Against Ricardo Salles (PL)
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL)
- ^ Marcos Pontes (PL) with 13% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
- ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 8.3% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.6%
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- ^ Márcio França (PSB) with 9% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3%
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 3% and Fernando Holiday (PL) with 1%.
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
- ^ If endorsed by Planning Minister Simone Tebet (MDB)
- ^ If endorsed by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT)
- ^ If endorsed by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL)
- ^ If endorsed by Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB)
- ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5%, if endorsed by Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema (NOVO)
- ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.5%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1.6%
- ^ Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 19.1%, Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.9%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.1%
- ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 10.3%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 4.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.6%
- ^ Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 5.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
- ^ Possible second round scenarios in which voters are informed that Marta Suplicy (PT) is Boulos' running mate and that Ricardo Mello (PL) is Nunes' running mate.
- ^ Possible second round scenarios in which voters are informed of President Lula's (PT) support for Boulos' candidacy and former President Bolsonaro's (PL) support for Nunes' candidacy.
References
[edit]- ^ Patriarca, Paola (3 August 2024). "MDB oficializa candidatura de Ricardo Nunes à Prefeitura de SP com Bolsonaro e Tarcísio no palco". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 3 August 2023.
- ^ Ghirotto, Edoardo (3 March 2023). "Salles manda recado a prefeito de SP e diz que será candidato em 2024". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
- ^ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
- ^ TARDE, A. (2024-04-11). "PRTB desiste de padre Kelmon e aposta em Pablo Marçal em eleição de SP". A TARDE (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-05-28.
- ^ Kelmon, Monsenhor (2024-05-02). "x.com". X (formerly Twitter). Archived from the original on 2024-05-28. Retrieved 2024-05-28.
- ^ "Weintraub lança pré-candidatura em SP e diz que irá à Justiça para concorrer sem partido". CNN Brasil. Retrieved 2024-03-11.
- ^ a b "Kim Kataguiri deixa disputa à Prefeitura de SP: 'Fui desistido e sabotado'". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-08-01. Retrieved 2024-08-03.
- ^ Carlucci, Manoela. "Prefeitura de SP: Democracia Cristã muda pré-candidato na disputa faltando três dias para prazo final de convenções". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ "São Paulo/SP - Eleição 2020 definida para prefeito e vereadores". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 15 November 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
- ^ "Vereadores da Câmara - Novo Site da Câmara Municipal de São Paulo". Câmara Municipal de São Paulo. Archived from the original on 2024-04-24. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
- ^ Pontes, Felipe (9 November 2023). "TSE aprova criação do PRD, resultado de fusão entre PTB e Patriota". Agência Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 16 November 2023.
- ^ "TSE aprova incorporação do Partido Social Cristão pelo Podemos". Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (in Brazilian Portuguese). 16 June 2023. Retrieved 22 February 2024.
- ^ Vivas, Fernanda (8 February 2022). "TSE aprova registro e estatuto do União Brasil, partido resultante da fusão entre DEM e PSL". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 5 June 2023.
- ^ "Resolution no. 23610, of 18 December 2019. Article 44" (in Portuguese). Superior Electoral Court of Brazil. Archived from the original on 1 April 2022. Retrieved 18 August 2022.
- ^ "Annex to order no. 739, of 12 August 2022" (in Portuguese). Superior Electoral Court of Brazil. 12 August 2022.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Band realiza debates em 19 cidades hoje; saiba como assistir". www.band.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-08-08. Retrieved 2024-08-08.
- ^ Matos, Maria Clara. "Saiba quem são os candidatos a prefeito de São Paulo; veja lista". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-08-08.
- ^ "Milton Leite e União Brasil abandonam Kim Kataguiri na disputa pela Prefeitura de São Paulo". Brasil de Fato (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-06-24. Retrieved 2024-07-19.
- ^ Luca, Adriana De. "Ao lado de Lula, Guilherme Boulos é oficializado como candidato pelo PSOL em São Paulo". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-07-21.
- ^ "PRTB lança pré-candidatura do coach Pablo Marçal à Prefeitura de SP". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-05-25. Retrieved 2024-05-28.
- ^ Rodrigues, Rodrigo (15 May 2024). "Datena e PSDB dizem que apresentador está confirmado como candidato a prefeito de SP". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 16 May 2024.
- ^ "Datafolha: Boulos lidera com 32% das intenções de voto para Prefeitura de SP; Nunes aparece em segundo, com 24%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 31 August 2023. Retrieved 25 September 2023.
- ^ "PT oficializa apoio a Boulos para eleição à prefeitura de SP". Carta Capital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 August 2023. Retrieved 5 August 2023.
- ^ CASTRO, DANIEL (2023-06-28). "Para não pagar mico, Datena manda cancelar festa de candidatura a prefeito". Notícias da TV (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-07-30.
- ^ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 18 July 2023.
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