29th Saskatchewan general election

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29th Saskatchewan general election

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61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
  Scott Moe (cropped).jpg Meili17.jpg
Leader Scott Moe Ryan Meili
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since January 27, 2018 March 3, 2018
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Saskatoon Meewasin
Last election 51 seats, 62.36% 10 seats, 30.20%
Current seats 48 13
Seats needed Steady Increase18

Incumbent Premier

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan



The 29th Saskatchewan general election, is scheduled to be held no later than October 26, 2020 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan. This date is provided for under Saskatchewan's fixed election date law, but does not remove the ability of the Lieutenant Governor of Saskatchewan to call an early election due to a vote of no confidence or on the advice of the Premier of Saskatchewan. If the election date is during a federal election campaign it would be moved to April 5, 2021 under the law. The previous election re-elected the Saskatchewan Party to its third consecutive majority government under the leadership of Brad Wall. On August 10, 2017, Wall announced his resignation as leader, pending the election of his successor.[1] On January 27, 2018, Scott Moe was elected leader of the Saskatchewan Party, and sworn into office on February 2.

Date[edit]

Under The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), the election "must be held on the first Monday of November in the fourth calendar year after the last general election".[2] As the last election was held in 2016, that date would be November 2, 2020. However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 5, 2021.[2] This law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Legislative summary[edit]

Summary of the 28th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
Party Leader Seats
2016 Current
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 51 48
New Democratic Ryan Meili 10 13
vacant 0 0
Total 61 61

Opinion polls[edit]

Three-day average of Saskatchewan opinion polls from April 4, 2016, to the last possible date of the next election on October 26, 2020. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organization/client Sample size SK Party NDP Liberal Green PC Others Lead
20–22 March 2019 Mainstreet Research 695 55.0% 31.2% 4.9% 4.0% 5.0% 23.8%
14–15 January 2019 Mainstreet Research 830 55.8% 32.6% 5.9% 2.4% 3.3% 23.2%
30 October–1 November 2018 Mainstreet Research 779 55.1% 30.3% 6.8% 4.2% 3.5% 24.8%
15–17 July 2018 Mainstreet Research 776 52.1% 35.1% 5.6% 4.0% 3.1% 17.0%
16–18 Apr 2018 Mainstreet Research 963 49.8% 38.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 11.1%
3 Mar 2018 Ryan Meili is elected leader of the Saskatchewan NDP.
2 Feb 2018 Scott Moe becomes Premier of Saskatchewan.
4–6 Jan 2018 Mainstreet Research 764 50.9% 34.4% 8.8% 5.8% 16.5%
27 Aug 2017 Skpoli 273 42.9% 45.4% 6.2% 4% 1.5% 2.5%
5–12 Jun 2017 Angus Reid 1,053 48% 41% 6% 3% 2% 7%
15–16 May 2017 Mainstreet Research 2,000 40% 49% 6% 5% 9%
11–13 Apr 2017 Insightrix 803 44% 40% 5% 4% 7% 4%
30–31 Mar 2017 Mainstreet Research 1,704 47% 42% 6% 5% 5%
22–23 Aug 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,690 53% 37% 5% 5% 16%
13 Jun 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,400 59% 32% 4% 5% 27%
4 Apr 2016 General election results 433,030 62.4% 30.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 32.2%

References[edit]

  1. ^ Martell, Creeden. "Saskatchewan Premier Brad Wall retiring from politics". cbc.ca. CBC News.
  2. ^ a b "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2015. Retrieved April 4, 2016.