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2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary

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2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary

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79 Democratic National Convention delegates (68 pledged with 44 on district-level and 24 statewide; 11 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 44 24
Popular vote 400,347 230,374
Percentage 60.1% 34.6%

Election results by county
  Joe Biden
Pledged national
convention
delegates
Type Del.
CD1 8
CD2 6
CD3 5
CD4 5
CD5 6
CD6 5
CD7 5
CD8 4
PLEO 9
At-large 15
Total pledged delegates 68

The 2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary took place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week after Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party presidential primaries for the 2020 presidential election. The Missouri primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 79 delegates, of which 68 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Immediately after the polls closed at 7:00 PM central time, the Associated Press declared that Joe Biden had won the Missouri primary. Biden won every county in the state.[1]

Procedure

Missouri is one of 6 states (and Democrats abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week after Super Tuesday.[2]

Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates must meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 68 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention will be allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 68 pledged delegates, between 4 and 8 are allocated to each of the state's 8 congressional districts and another 9 are allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 15 at-large pledged delegates..[3] Differing from past custom the March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[4]

Following ward, township, legislative district, and county mass meetings on Thursday, April 9, 2020, during which district and state convention delegates were designated, district conventions on Thursday, April 30, 2020, chose national convention district delegates. At the meeting of the Democratic state committee in Jefferson City on Saturday, May 9, 2020, the 9 pledged PLEO delegates were voted on, while the 15 pledged at-large delegates should have been selected at the subsequent state convention in Columbia on Saturday, June 20, 2020. However, due to the COVID-19 pandemic the state convention was held virtually between June 13 and June 19. The 68 pledged delegates Missouri sends to the national convention were to be joined by 10 unpledged PLEO delegates (7 members of the Democratic National Committee; 2 U.S. Representatives; and Dick Gephardt, former majority leader of the U.S. House of Representatives). Finally, there was one more DNC member.[3]

Candidates

The following individuals qualified for the ballot in Missouri:[5]

Running

Withdrawn

There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot.

Polling

Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Other/
Undecided[a]
270 to Win March 10, 2020 March 4–9, 2020 57.6% 34.4% 2.7% 5.3%
RealClear Politics March 10, 2020 March 4–9, 2020 61.0% 30.7% 2.5% 5.8%
FiveThirtyEight March 10, 2020 until March 9, 2020[b] 60.3% 32.6% 2.5% 4.6%
Average 59.6% 32.6% 2.6% 5.2%
Missouri primary results (March 10, 2020) 60.1% 34.6% 0.7% 4.6%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Missouri Democratic primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Swayable Archived 2020-03-18 at the Wayback Machine Mar 9, 2020 2,037 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% 36% 8%[d]
Øptimus Mar 7–9, 2020 402 (LV) ± 5.4% 68% 29% 3%[e]
Data for Progress Mar 4–7, 2020 348 (LV) ± 5.3% 62% 32% 4% 2%[f]
Mar 5, 2020 Warren withdraws from the race
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Mar 4–5, 2020 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 31% 10%[g] 6%
Emerson Polling/Nexstar Mar 4–5, 2020 425 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 44% 8%[h] <6%
Mar 4, 2020 Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
The Progress Campaign (D)[1] Feb 16–23, 2020 294 (RV) ± 5.1% 29% 14% 13% 4% 23% 12% 4%[i]
Americana Analytics Feb 20–21, 2020 1,198 (LV) ± 2.83% 22% 17% 11% 9% 11% 10% 1%[j] 17%
Remington Research Group Jan 22–23, 2020 1,460 (LV) 39% 14% 6% 8% 7% 9% 3%[k] 14%
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 1, 2019 O'Rourke withdraws from the race
Show Me Victories Sept 13–16, 2019 400 ± 5% 34% 10% 9% 1% 4% 14% 22% 8%[l]
Remington Research Group Jul 10–11, 2019 1,122 43% 5% 13% 1% 4% 15% 19%

Results

2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 400,347 60.10 44
Bernie Sanders 230,374 34.59 24
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 9,866 1.48
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 8,156 1.22
Tulsi Gabbard 4,887 0.73
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 3,309 0.50
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 2,682 0.40
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 953 0.14
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 651 0.10
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 584 0.09
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 206 0.03
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 170 0.03
John Delaney (withdrawn) 159 0.02
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 103 0.02
Henry Hewes 94 0.01
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 52 0.01
Others 1,025 0.15
Uncommitted 2,494 0.37
Total 666,112 100% 68

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  2. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 5%
  5. ^ Gabbard with 3%
  6. ^ Gabbard with 2%
  7. ^ "Other" with 10%
  8. ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Someone else/undecided" with 6%
  9. ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%
  10. ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
  11. ^ Yang with 2%; Steyer with 1%
  12. ^ Booker and Yang with 1%; Castro with <1%; rest with 0%; Someone else with 6%

References

  1. ^ "Live Primary Election Results: Michigan, Washington and More". New York Times. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  2. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  3. ^ a b "Missouri Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 23, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  4. ^ "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  5. ^ "Missouri Secretary of State—Candidate List March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary". Missouri Secretary of State.
  6. ^ "State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved 12 August 2020.