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2016 Galician regional election

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Galician parliamentary election, 2016
← 2012 25 September 2016
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered2,701,837 Increase0.2%
Turnout1,448,962 (56.6%)
Decrease1.3 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo Luis Villares Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga
Party PP En Marea PSOE
Leader since 15 January 2006 19 August 2016 28 May 2016
Leader's seat Pontevedra Lugo A Coruña
Last election 41 seats, 45.8% 9 seats, 13.9%[a] 18 seats, 20.6%
Seats won 41 14 14
Seat change ±0 Increase5 Decrease4
Popular vote 682,150 273,523 256,381
Percentage 47.6% 19.1% 17.9%
Swing Increase1.8 pp Increase5.2 pp Decrease2.7 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Ana Pontón Cristina Losada María Luisa de Ceano-Vivas
Party BNG Cs PACMA
Leader since 30 April 2016 9 August 2016
Leader's seat A Coruña A Coruña A Coruña
Last election 7 seats, 10.1% Did not contest 0 seats, 0.6%
Seats won 6 0 0
Seat change Decrease1 ±0 ±0
Popular vote 119,446 48,553 15,135
Percentage 8.3% 3.4% 1.1%
Swing Decrease1.8 New party Increase0.5
President before election

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
PP

Elected President

TBD

The 2016 Galician parliamentary election will be held on Sunday, 25 September 2016, to elect the 10th Parliament of Galicia, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with a regional election in the Basque Country.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo announced the election would be brought forward to September, after initially scheduling to held it throughout October, after Basque Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu announced he would held the Basque election on 25 September.[1] Feijóo argued his decision in that it would make "no sense" to hold the election just mere weeks after the Basque poll, specially considering the state of political instability dominating the national landscape and the possible backlash the regional elections could have on parties' stances during the government formation process.[2]

The election took place in a situation in which the Spanish political landscape had undergone a major transformation in a short time, with a decrease of PP and PSOE nationally and the emergence of new options such as Podemos and C's.

Electoral system

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected in 4 multi-member districts using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation for four-year terms. Each district is entitled to an initial minimum of 10 seats, with the remaining 35 seats being allocated among the four provinces in proportion to their populations. Only lists polling above 5% of the total vote in each district (which includes blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.[3] However, in some districts there is a higher effective threshold at the constituency level, depending on the district magnitude.[4]

For the 2016 election, seats are distributed as follows:

Seat distribution for the 2016 election[5]
Seats Districts
25 × 1 = 25 A Coruña(+1)
22 × 1 = 22 Pontevedra
14 × 2 = 28 Lugo(–1), Ourense
= 75 Total seats

Background

After his defeat in the 2012 election, Pachi Vázquez announced his intention to abandon Socialists' Party of Galicia's leadership within a year and to allow for a primary election to be held to elect his successor.[6] The primaries were held on 7 September 2013, in which José Ramón Gómez Besteiro emerged as winner with 77% of the votes,[7] with his appointment ratified at a special party congress held on 29 September.[8]

However, Gómez Besteiro came under public scrutiny after being indicted on 3 July 2015 for four crimes, including influence peddling, bribery, prevarication and a crime against regional planning, allegedly committed during Besteiro's time in the local government of Lugo in 2005.[9] On 12 March 2016, with just a few months to go for the next regional election to be held, Besteiro was accused of a further six crimes—new bribery, prevarication and influence peddling crimes, as well as abuse of public administrations, subsidy fraud and embezzlement of public funds[10]—which prompted him to announce his declination to be the party's candidate to the Xunta de Galicia in the next regional election the following day.[11] Mounting pressure from his party's colleagues, however, eventually led to Besteiro resigning as party leader on 18 March.[12] Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga was elected on 28 May through a primary election to be Besteiro's replacement as candidate to the Xunta,[13] while a management committee took charge of the party.

Campaign

Parties, leaders and slogans

Party/alliance Leader/candidate Campaign slogan(s)
width="1" bgcolor="Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color"| People's Party of Galicia (PPdeG) Alberto Núñez Feijóo "In Galicia yes"[14]
bgcolor="Template:Socialists' Party of Galicia/meta/color"| Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga "A new response"[14]
bgcolor="Template:En Marea/meta/color"| In Tide (En Marea) Luis Villares "A fair country"[15]
bgcolor="Template:Galician Nationalist Bloc/meta/color"| Galician Nationalist Bloc–Us–Galician Candidacy (BNG–Nós) Ana Pontón "Build Galicia. With hope. Galicia with you"[14]
bgcolor="Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) Cristina Losada "Galicia deserves more"[16]

Opinion polling

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork/
publication date 		Sample
size 		TO PPdeG PSdeG–PSOE AGE Podemos BNG UPyD C's Lead
style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialists' Party of Galicia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Galician Left Alternative/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:En Marea/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Galician Nationalist Bloc/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Union, Progress and Democracy/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"|
TNS Demoscopia 25.09.16 16,800 ? 45.5 18.9 — 19.5 — 8.8 — 4.4 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 26.0
GAD3 25.09.16 1,450 ? 46.7 18.6 — 20.1 — 6.9 — 3.6 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 26.6
Sondaxe 20.09.16–23.09.16 1,450 ? 45.3 19.3 — 21.8 — 6.5 — 3.3 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 23.5
Sondaxe 15.09.16–18.09.16 1,600 68.3% 45.6 16.9 — 25.6 — 5.4 — 3.6 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 20.0
Sondaxe 14.09.16–17.09.16 1,600 70.6% 43.8 17.6 — 25.7 — 5.9 — 3.5 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 18.1
Sondaxe 13.09.16–16.09.16 1,600 ? 42.2 18.0 — 26.2 — 5.4 — 4.4 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 16.0
Celeste-Tel 12.09.16–16.09.16 1,200 ? 45.4 18.5 — 21.6 — 5.2 — 3.7 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 23.8
NC Report 09.09.16–16.09.16 1,000 60.0% 44.7 18.8 — 22.0 — 5.4 — — style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 22.7
Sigma Dos 12.09.16–15.09.16 1,400 ? 45.7 17.3 — 21.7 — 7.1 — 4.3 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 24.0
Sondaxe 12.09.16–15.09.16 1,600 ? 42.7 19.2 — 24.7 — 5.7 — 4.0 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 18.0
GAD3 12.09.16–14.09.16 800 ? 46.6 20.2 — 19.5 — 5.3 — 3.9 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 26.4
Sondaxe 11.09.16–14.09.16 1,600 ? 41.8 17.7 — 25.8 — 6.3 — 4.3 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 16.0
Sondaxe 10.09.16–13.09.16 1,600 ? 42.6 18.0 — 25.9 — 4.7 — 4.9 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 16.7
Metroscopia 08.09.16–13.09.16 2,800 63.8% 46.6 17.7 — 21.8 — 6.0 — 4.2 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 24.8
Sondaxe 09.09.16–12.09.16 1,600 ? 42.9 18.7 — 25.9 — 4.5 — 4.5 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 17.0
JM & Asociados 11.09.16 ? 59.3% 43.0 19.0 — 22.8 — 5.7 — 3.2 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 20.2
Sondaxe 08.09.16–11.09.16 1,600 ? 44.1 18.0 — 25.1 — 4.8 — 4.3 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 19.0
Sondaxe 07.09.16–10.09.16 1,600 ? 44.1 19.5 — 24.0 — 5.2 — 3.9 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 20.1
Sondaxe 06.09.16–09.09.16 1,600 75.3% 44.3 18.3 — 25.4 — 5.7 — 3.1 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 18.9
Einvenio 01.09.16–09.09.16 1,400 65% 43.6 18.5 — 20.1 — 6.0 — 5.8 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 23.5
Infortécnica 01.09.16–08.09.16 1,645 ? 55.9 21.3 — 15.5 — 5.4 — 1.9 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 34.6
CIS/TNS 29.08.16–02.09.16 3,454 ? 44.9 19.9 — 19.9 — 5.3 — 4.6 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 25.0
Sondaxe 19.08.16–24.08.16 1,600 ? 44.9 18.3 — 23.8 — 7.4 — 1.6 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 21.1
NC Report 15.08.16–20.08.16 1,000 53.0% 44.6 19.5 — 18.8 — 5.3 — 5.2 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 25.1
Sondaxe 20.07.16–03.08.16 1,450 ? 43.5 17.5 — 23.7 — 7.4 — 4.1 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 19.8
Sondaxe 20.07.16–03.08.16 1,450 ? 43.5 17.5 — 16.3 7.4 7.4 — 4.1 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 26.0
General Election 26.06.16 — 58.2% 41.5 22.2 — 22.2 — 2.9 0.1 8.6 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 19.3
GAD3 04.04.16–06.04.16 807 ? 44.1 19.7 — 17.9 — 6.7 — 5.1 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 24.4
Redondo & Asociados 16.01.16 ? ? 37 21 — 25 — — — 9 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 12
General Election 20.12.15 — 61.5% 37.1 21.3 — 25.0 — 4.3 0.5 9.1 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 12.1
Municipal Elections 24.05.15 — 66.0% 35.7 26.3 — — — 12.8 — 1.9 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 9.4
Sondaxe 17.10.14–23.10.14 500 48.4% 44.7 20.3 8.3 — 16.9 5.8 — — style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 24.4
EP Election 25.05.14 — 38.7% 35.2 21.8 10.5 — 8.4 7.9 3.3 1.6 style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 13.4
Sondaxe 11.10.13–17.10.13 1,600 50.5% 43.5 19.3 16.6 — — 10.7 — — style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 24.2
Sondaxe 05.02.13–07.02.13 1,600 50.4% 42.3 19.5 19.2 — — 10.0 — — style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 22.8
Regional Election 21.10.2012 — 54.9% 45.8 20.6 13.9 — — 10.1 1.5 — style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 25.2

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork/
publication date 		PPdeG PSdeG–PSOE AGE Podemos BNG UPyD C's
style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Socialists' Party of Galicia/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Galician Left Alternative/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:En Marea/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Galician Nationalist Bloc/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Union, Progress and Democracy/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"|
TNS Demoscopia 25.09.16 38/41 14/16 — 14/16 — 5/6 — 0/1
GAD3 25.09.16 40/42 14/15 — 14/16 — 2 — 1
Sondaxe 20.09.16–23.09.16 39 16 — 18 — 2 — 0
Sondaxe 15.09.16–18.09.16 39 13 — 20 — 3 — 0
Sondaxe 14.09.16–17.09.16 38 13 — 19 — 4 — 1
Sondaxe 13.09.16–16.09.16 38 13 — 20 — 3 — 1
Celeste-Tel 12.09.16–16.09.16 38/40 15/16 — 17/18 — 2 — 1
NC Report 09.09.16–16.09.16 40/41 15/16 — 17 — 2 — 0
Sigma Dos 12.09.16–15.09.16 38/41 13/14 — 16/17 — 4/6 — 0/1
Sondaxe 12.09.16–15.09.16 38 15 — 18 — 4 — 0
Infortécnica 09.09.16–15.09.16 42/48 13/16 — 12/15 — 2/4 — 0/1
GAD3 12.09.16–14.09.16 39/41 16/17 — 14/16 — 2/3 — 0/2
Sondaxe 11.09.16–14.09.16 37 15 — 19 — 4 — 0
Sondaxe 10.09.16–13.09.16 37 15 — 20 — 1 — 2
Metroscopia 08.09.16–13.09.16 39/41 13/14 — 16/18 — 3/4 — 0/2
Sondaxe 09.09.16–12.09.16 37 15 — 20 — 2 — 1
JM & Asociados 11.09.16 38/40 15 — 18/19 — 2 — 0/1
Sondaxe 08.09.16–11.09.16 38 14 — 20 — 2 — 1
Sondaxe 07.09.16–10.09.16 38 15 — 19 — 2 — 1
Sondaxe 06.09.16–09.09.16 38 15 — 19 — 2 — 1
Einvenio 01.09.16–09.09.16 38/39 15/16 — 16/17 — 2 — 2/3
Infortécnica 01.09.16–08.09.16 40/45 15/17 — 12/14 — 3/5 — 0/1
CIS/TNS 29.08.16–02.09.16 40/41 16 — 15/17 — 2 — 0/1
Sondaxe 19.08.16–24.08.16 37 15 — 18 — 5 — 0
Infortécnica 11.08.16–24.08.16 38/41 17/19 — 11/12 — 5/6 — 0/2
NC Report 15.08.16–20.08.16 39 17 — 15 — 2 — 2
Sondaxe 20.07.16–03.08.16 37 15 — 18 — 5 — 0
Sondaxe 20.07.16–03.08.16 37 15 — 12 6 5 — 0
General Election 26.06.16 (35) (18) — (16) — (0) (0) (6)
GAD3 04.04.16–06.04.16 36/38 15/17 — 14/16 — 4/5 0 2/3
Redondo & Asociados 16.01.16 32 17 — 20 — 0 0 6
General Election 20.12.15 (32) (17) — (20) — (0) (0) (6)
EP Election 25.05.14 (34) (21) (8) — (6) (6) (0) (0)
Sondaxe 11.10.13–17.10.13 38 16 13 — — 8 0 —
ASCA 07.05.13 31 19 18 — — 5 2 —
Sondaxe 05.02.13–07.02.13 36 17 15 — — 7 0 —
Regional Election 21.10.12 41 18 9 — — 7 0 —

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 25 September 2016 Galician Parliament election results
Party Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Won +/−
width="1" bgcolor="Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color"| People's Party of Galicia (PPdeG) 682,150 47.56 +1.76 41 ±0
bgcolor="Template:En Marea/meta/color"| In Tide (En Marea)[a] 273,523 19.07 +5.16 14 +5
bgcolor="Template:Socialists' Party of Galicia/meta/color"| Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) 256,381 17.87 –2.74 14 –4
bgcolor="Template:Galician Nationalist Bloc/meta/color"| Galician Nationalist Bloc–Us–Galician Candidacy (BNG–Nós) 119,446 8.33 –1.78 6 –1
bgcolor="Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 48,553 3.38 New 0 ±0
bgcolor="Template:Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals/meta/color"| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 15,135 1.06 +0.50 0 ±0
Blank ballots 14,037 0.98 –1.68
Total 1,434,418 100.00 75 ±0
Valid votes 1,434,418 99.00 +1.53
Invalid votes 14,544 1.00 –1.53
Votes cast / turnout 1,448,962 53.63 –1.28
Abstentions 1,252,970 46.37 +1.28
Registered voters 2,701,932
Source: Election Results
  1. ^ a b En Marea results are compared to Galician Left Alternative totals in the 2012 election.
Vote share
PPdeG
 
 47.56%
En Marea
 
 19.07%
PSdeG–PSOE
 
 17.87%
BNG
 
 8.33%
C's
 
 3.38%
PACMA
 
 1.06%
Others
 
 1.76%
Blank ballots
 
 0.98%
Parliamentary seats
PPdeG
 
 54.67%
En Marea
 
 18.67%
PSdeG–PSOE
 
 18.67%
BNG
 
 8.00%

Results by district

District PPdeG EM PSdeG BNG
% S % S % S % S
A Coruña style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 47.8 13 19.4 5 17.2 5 8.8 2
Lugo style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 52.8 8 15.4 2 19.1 3 7.4 1
Ourense style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 53.1 9 13.8 2 17.6 2 6.0 1
Pontevedra style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 43.3 11 22.0 5 18.4 4 9.0 2
Total style="background:Template:People's Party of Galicia/meta/color; color:white;"| 47.6 41 19.1 14 17.9 14 8.3 6

Aftermath

Investiture vote

First round: 10 November 2016
Absolute majority (38/75) required
Candidate: Alberto Núñez Feijoo
Choice Vote
Parties Votes
checkYYes PP (41)
41 / 75
No En Marea (14), PSdeG–PSOE (14), BNG (6)
34 / 75
Abstentions
0 / 75
Source: Historia Electoral

See also

References

  1. ^ "Urkullu moves forward the Basque election to 25 September" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-07-29. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  2. ^ "Feijóo sets the Galician election for 25 September" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-08-01. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  3. ^ "Law 8/1985, of 13 August, of elections to the Parliament of Galicia".
  4. ^ "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 2015-10-21.
  5. ^ "Decree 92/2016, of 1 August, of dissolution of the Parliament of Galicia and of the calling of elections" (PDF). Official Gazette of Galicia (in Spanish) (145): 34008–34009. 2 August 2016. ISSN 1130-9229.
  6. ^ "Pachi Vázquez guarantees that "the whole membership" will elect the new PSdeG leadership "before the summer"" (in Spanish). eldiario.es. 2013-02-28. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  7. ^ "Besteiro will be the new leader of the Galician Socialists" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2013-09-06. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  8. ^ "Gómez Besteiro takes command of the PSdeG asking for a party "without fissures'" (in Spanish). La Voz de Galicia. 2013-09-29. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  9. ^ "The leader of the Galician PSOE, indicted for influence peddling, bribery and prevarication" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2015-07-03. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  10. ^ "Trips to Disneyland and India charged to the Deputation of Lugo" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-03-11. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  11. ^ "Besteiro declines his candidacy to the Xunta but will continue leading the Galician PSOE after adding 10 charges" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-03-12. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  12. ^ "The leader of the Galician Socialists, Besteiro, resigns after adding 10 charges" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-03-18. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  13. ^ "The candidate sponsored by Sánchez wins the Galician PSOE primaries to the candidate of the local barons" (in Spanish). infoLibre. 2016-03-18. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  14. ^ a b c "Starts a campaign in which Feijóo fights for the majority and the rest to unseat him" (in Spanish). El Confidencial. 2016-09-09. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  15. ^ "Luis Villares, the judge who leaves the toga to aspire to the Xunta" (in Spanish). RTVE. 2016-09-08. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  16. ^ "Citizens' bus and slogan sparks talk on networks" (in Spanish). La Voz de Galicia. 2016-09-12. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
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