Gerard Lyons

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Gerard Lyons
Gerard Lyons at Policy Exchange's Future of the City conference.jpg
Lyons at a Policy Exchange conference, September 2014
Born
Gerard Patrick Lyons

(1961-03-31) 31 March 1961 (age 60)
NationalityBritish
FieldPolitical economy
International economics
Financial economics
School or
tradition
New Keynesian economics
Alma materUniversity of Liverpool (BSc)
University of Warwick (MA)
Queen Mary, University of London (PhD)
Websitewww.drgerardlyons.com

Gerard Patrick Lyons (born 31 March 1961)[1][2] is a British economist.

Biography[edit]

Gerard Lyons belongs to an immigrant Irish Catholic family from Kilburn, North West London.[3]

Lyons attended St Mary's Primary School in Kilburn and Cardinal Vaughan Memorial School in Holland Park, London. He studied at the University of Liverpool followed by a Masters in Economics at the University of Warwick. In 1985, he completed his PhD at Queen Mary, University of London.[4]

Financial sector career[edit]

Lyons started his career as an economist at Chase Manhattan Bank in the Europe Area Office from 1985 to 1986.[4][5][6][7][8] From 1986 to 1989 he was the Chief UK Economist at Swiss Bank Corporation. From 1989 to 1999 he was Chief Economist and Executive Director at Dai-Ichi Kangyo Bank. [9] Then from 1999 to 2012, Lyons was the Chief Economist and Group Head of Global Research at Standard Chartered Bank,[10] where he was in charge of a division of about 180 staff. [11] In 2010 and 2011, Lyons' team at Standard Chartered was ranked as the top forecasting team globally by Bloomberg.[12][13][14][15][16] On leaving Standard Chartered, The Times wrote that Lyons "(had) become one of the most influential pundits on the global economy".[17]

Prior to this Lyons reinforced his own reputation as an accurate forecaster with being one of two British economists predicting in August 2008, a month before Lehman Brothers collapsed, a deep imminent recession.[18] He anticipated a GDP fall of 1.6% for the third quarter of 2008 when the consensus predicted a rise of 0.9%.[19] Other accurate contrarian calls included correctly predicting that the Lawson Boom would end in bust, as well arguing for the economic benefits of leaving the European Exchange Rate Mechanism. [20] Regardng the latter, Lyons wrote in The Observer in 1992 that “[S]omething will have to give: either the government’s exchange-rate commitment or the economy,” and he has called the euro “probably the worst economic idea ever thought up by anyone anywhere at any time”. [21]

Currently, Lyons is Chief Economic Strategist at Netwealth,[22] an independent non-executive director at the Bank of China,[citation needed] and a Senior Fellow at the think tank Policy Exchange. [23] Lyons also sits, since 2008, on the Advisory Board of the Grantham Institute – Climate Change and Environment; and has been a member of the Advisory Board of Warwick Business School since 2014.[24]

Public sector career[edit]

In 1999, Lyons was a member of the 'Commission on the £ Sterling', established by the Leader of the Opposition William Hague. He and Ruth Lea wrote up the Commission's findings. He provided economic input to Prime Minister Gordon Brown's first Business Council for Britain, 2007–08.

On 11 December 2012, the Mayor of London, Boris Johnson, announced that Lyons was to join his team as his Chief Economic Adviser.[25][26] During his first term, Lyons had been a member of Johnson's informal panel of economic and business advisers, speaking at a number of events at City Hall on London's global position during the term of the previous Mayor, Ken Livingstone.[27] He began the role a month later in January 2013 and left in April 2016, at the conclusion of the Mayor's term. While at City Hall Lyons championed the London living wage, co-chaired, with Munira Mirza, the London Strategic Migration Partnership Panel, represented the Mayor on the Board of City UK and sat as a member of the GLA's Investment Performance Board[28] and gave testimony to the Commission's second report, in 2016.[29]

In 2010 and 2011, Lyons' team at Standard Chartered was ranked as the top forecasting team globally by Bloomberg.[12][13][30][15][16] Prior to this Lyons reinforced his own reputation as an accurate forecaster with being one of two British economists predicting in August 2008, a month before Lehman Brothers collapsed, a deep imminent recession.[18] He anticipated a GDP fall of 1.6% for the third quarter of 2008 when the consensus predicted a rise of 0.9%.[19]

Because of his connection with Johnson and knowledge of emerging economies, he was considered for the 2019 appointment of Governor of the Bank of England.[31]

Published works[edit]

  • The Consolations of Economics[32][33]
  • The EU Referendum: How to Make a Success of Leaving the European Union.[34]
  • Clean Brexit: How to Make a Success of Leaving the European Union (co-authored with the journalist Liam Halligan).[35]

EU Referendum[edit]

Previously a vocal opponent of the UK joining the Exchange Rate Mechanism and Euro currency,[36] Lyons is an advocate of "Clean Brexit", and co-founded Economists for Brexit to provide the economic case for leaving.[37][38] He publicly criticised the use of the £350 million figure on the side of the Vote Leave bus,[39] and suggested that a net figure of £163 million a week should have been used.[40]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "Index entry". FreeBMD. ONS. Retrieved 28 January 2020.
  2. ^ "Lyons, Dr Gerard Patrick". Lyons, Dr Gerard Patrick, (Born 31 March 1961), Chief Economic Adviser to Mayor of London, since 2013. Who's Who. 2012. doi:10.1093/ww/9780199540884.013.U255877.
  3. ^ Elliott, Larry (11 August 2019). "And the next Bank of England governor will be …". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 4 November 2019.
  4. ^ a b "Gerard Lyons – Keynote Speaker Leading International Economist and Expert and Cofounder of 'Economists for Brexit'". londonspeakerbureau.com. Retrieved 4 November 2019.
  5. ^ "What makes Boris Johnson's favourite economist tick?","https://amp.economist.com",Aug 1st 2019
  6. ^ "Gerard Lyons – Managing Director, Bank of China","LSESU",
  7. ^ Jeremy Warner "Boris favourite Gerard Lyons on the Bank of England after Brexit: 'We must close the pessimism gap'","https://www.telegraph.co.uk",8 August, 2019
  8. ^ Griffiths, Katharine. "Lyons to leave StanChart after 13 years". The Times. Retrieved 2 April 2019.
  9. ^ "Gerard Lyons | HuffPost".
  10. ^ "Gerard Lyons","Chartwell Speakers",
  11. ^ "Boris Johnson's ex-adviser Gerard Lyons fails to make shortlist for Bank governor".
  12. ^ a b top forecaster (Report).
  13. ^ a b top forecaster (Report).
  14. ^ Jill Ward, Olivia Konotey-Ahulu. "Lyons as Carney Successor Could Mean Different BOE","https://www.bloomberg.com",July 26, 2019
  15. ^ a b top forecaster (Report).
  16. ^ a b top forecaster (Report).
  17. ^ Griffiths, Katherine. "Lyons to leave StanChart after 13 years".
  18. ^ a b boris johnson snaps up lyons (Report).
  19. ^ a b gerard lyons interview (Report).
  20. ^ [1]/
  21. ^ "What makes Boris Johnson's favourite economist tick?". The Economist. August 2019.
  22. ^ "Expert Wealth Management Powered by Cutting-Edge Technology | Netwealth".
  23. ^ "Gerard Lyons".
  24. ^ "The Board | Our People - All Staff Directory | Warwick Business School".
  25. ^ Fleming, Sam (11 December 2012). "Boris Johnson hires City veteran Gerard Lyons to tackle emerging dilemma". The Times. Retrieved 3 June 2019.
  26. ^ "Top City economist appointed to direct Mayor's economic strategy". London City Hall. 11 December 2012. Retrieved 3 June 2019.
  27. ^ Goodway, Nick (10 December 2012). "Lyons moves from City to City Hall to advise Boris". The Independent. Retrieved 2 April 2019.
  28. ^ Raising the capital (PDF) (Report). London Finance Commission.
  29. ^ Devolution: a capital idea (PDF) (Report). London Finance Commission. Retrieved 2 April 2019.
  30. ^ Jill Ward, Olivia Konotey-Ahulu. "Lyons as Carney Successor Could Mean Different BOE","https://www.bloomberg.com",July 26, 2019
  31. ^ Cite error: The named reference guardian1 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  32. ^ Lyons, Gerard. "Gerard Lyons: the whole world is about to grow". The Telegraph. Retrieved 2 April 2019.
  33. ^ Lyons, Gerard. "Gerard Lyons: 10 rules for the new global economy". The Telegraph. Retrieved 2 April 2019.
  34. ^ Addington, Raleigh (3 May 2016). "GERARD LYONS PUBLISHES NEW BOOK, THE UK REFERENDUM: AN EASY GUIDE TO LEAVING THE EU". Chartwell Speakers. Retrieved 2 April 2019.
  35. ^ "The best of a clutch of recent books on Brexit—from both sides". The Economist. Retrieved 2 April 2019.
  36. ^ "Gerard Lyons and the Boris vision thing". 12 December 2012.
  37. ^ "Gerard Lyons, Author at BrexitCentral". BrexitCentral. Retrieved 4 November 2019.
  38. ^ Corner, Speakers. "Gerard Lyons - Business Speakers | Speakers Corner". www.speakerscorner.co.uk. Retrieved 4 November 2019.
  39. ^ PoliticsHome.com (30 May 2016). "Brexit economists reject £350m Vote Leave claim". PoliticsHome.com. Retrieved 4 November 2019.
  40. ^ "'Clumsy institutions', says Lyons". Production Engineer. 64 (7): 7. 1985. doi:10.1049/tpe.1985.0159. ISSN 0032-9851.

External links[edit]