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* [[Dustin Duncan]], [[Weyburn-Big Muddy]]<ref name="CBC">{{cite web |last1=Quon |first1=Alexander |title=4 high-profile Saskatchewan cabinet ministers won't seek re-election: Sask. Party |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/sask-party-cabinet-not-seeking-re-election-1.7106842. |website=[[CBC News]] |date=6 February 2024 |access-date=8 February 2024}}</ref>
* [[Dustin Duncan]], [[Weyburn-Big Muddy]]<ref name="CBC">{{cite web |last1=Quon |first1=Alexander |title=4 high-profile Saskatchewan cabinet ministers won't seek re-election: Sask. Party |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/sask-party-cabinet-not-seeking-re-election-1.7106842. |website=[[CBC News]] |date=6 February 2024 |access-date=8 February 2024}}</ref>
* [[Ken Francis]], [[Kindersley (provincial electoral district)|Kindersley]]<ref name="sasktoday.ca">{{Cite web |url=https://www.sasktoday.ca/central/local-news/greg-ottenbreit-ken-francis-not-running-again-for-sask-party-7067580 |title=Greg Ottenbreit, Ken Francis not running again for Sask Party |date=May 29, 2023 |access-date=August 11, 2023 |archive-date=August 11, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230811191638/https://www.sasktoday.ca/central/local-news/greg-ottenbreit-ken-francis-not-running-again-for-sask-party-7067580 |url-status=live }}</ref>
* [[Ken Francis]], [[Kindersley (provincial electoral district)|Kindersley]]<ref name="sasktoday.ca">{{Cite web |url=https://www.sasktoday.ca/central/local-news/greg-ottenbreit-ken-francis-not-running-again-for-sask-party-7067580 |title=Greg Ottenbreit, Ken Francis not running again for Sask Party |date=May 29, 2023 |access-date=August 11, 2023 |archive-date=August 11, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230811191638/https://www.sasktoday.ca/central/local-news/greg-ottenbreit-ken-francis-not-running-again-for-sask-party-7067580 |url-status=live }}</ref>
* [[Gary Grewal]], [[Regina Northeast]]<ref name="Grewal">{{cite web |title=Regina Northeast MLA Gary Grewal not seeking re-election |url=https://www.ckom.com/2024/02/23/regina-northeast-mla-gary-grewal-not-seeking-re-election/ |date=February 23, 2024 |access-date=February 23, 2024 |url-status=live}}</ref>
* [[Donna Harpauer]], [[Humboldt-Watrous]]<ref name="CBC"/>
* [[Donna Harpauer]], [[Humboldt-Watrous]]<ref name="CBC"/>
* [[Delbert Kirsch]], [[Batoche (electoral district)|Batoche]]<ref name="starphoenix827"/>
* [[Delbert Kirsch]], [[Batoche (electoral district)|Batoche]]<ref name="starphoenix827"/>

Revision as of 04:32, 24 February 2024

2024 Saskatchewan general election
← 2020 On or before October 28, 2024
61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Scott Moe Carla Beck Nadine Wilson
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic United
Leader since January 27, 2018 June 26, 2022 November 30, 2022
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Regina Lakeview Saskatchewan Rivers
Last election 48 seats, 60.67% 13 seats, 31.82% New party
Current seats 44 14 1
Seats needed Steady Increase17 Increase30
Riding map based on new boundaries
Incumbent Premier

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan



The 2024 Saskatchewan general election will be held on or before October 28, 2024, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan.[1]

Background

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to the Legislative Assembly Act, 2007, "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020".[2][3] Subsequent elections, must occur "on the last Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election".[4] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 7, 2025.[4] The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Legislative summary

Summary of the 29th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
Party Leader Seats
2020 Current
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 48 44
New Democratic Carla Beck 13 14
Saskatchewan United Nadine Wilson – 1
Independent – 2
Total 61 61

List of Registered Provincial Political Parties in Saskatchewan[5]

Party Leader[6]
Buffalo Party of Saskatchewan (BPSK) Phillip Zajac[7]
New Democratic Party, Sask. Section (New Democratic Party (N.D.P.)) Carla Beck
Progressive Conservative Party of Saskatchewan (PC Party of Saskatchewan) Rose Marie Buscholl (i)
Saskatchewan Green Party (SGP) Naomi Hunter
Saskatchewan Party (Saskatchewan Party) Scott Moe
Saskatchewan Progress Party (Sask Progress) Teunis Peters (i)
Saskatchewan United Party (Sask United Party) Nadine Wilson

Redistricting

The Saskatchewan Provincial Boundaries Commission drew a new map for Saskatchewan, as required by the Boundaries Commission Act.[8] Many ridings had boundary changes or were renamed, and eight new constituencies were created: Martensville-Blairmore, Warman, Regina Mount Royal, Regina South Albert, Saskatoon Silverspring, Saskatoon Stonebridge, Saskatoon University-Sutherland, and White City-Qu'appelle.[9]

Timeline

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

  • January 30: Moose Jaw Wakamow MLA Greg Lawrence leaves the Saskatchewan Party caucus after being charged by Moose Jaw police with assault by choking. This police investigation is unrelated to his time as an MLA. He had announced that he would not be seeking reelection in 2024 prior to these events.

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

Saskatchewan Party

New Democratic Party

Independent

Lost nomination election

Saskatchewan Party

Candidates by riding

Candidates in bold represent cabinet members and the Speaker of the Legislative Assembly. Party leaders are italicized. The symbol † indicates incumbent MLAs who are not running again.

Northwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Athabasca Jim Lemaigre
Cut Knife-Turtleford
Lloydminster Colleen Young
Meadow Lake Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook Scott Moe
The Battlefords Jeremy Cockrill Tom Kroczynski

Northeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Batoche Darlene Rowden
Canora-Pelly Sean Wilson[33]   Terry Dennis†
Carrot River Valley Terri Bromm
Cumberland Jordan McPhail
Kelvington-Wadena Hugh Nerlien Lorne Schroeder
Melfort Todd Goudy
Prince Albert Carlton Joe Hargrave Carolyn Brost Strom
Prince Albert Northcote Alana Ross Nicole Rancourt
Saskatchewan Rivers Eric Schmalz

West Central Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Dakota-Arm River
Humboldt-Watrous
Kindersley-Biggar Kim Gartner[34]   Randy Weekes†
Martensville-Blairmore Tammy Pike
Rosetown-Delisle Jim Reiter Brenda Edel
Warman Terry Jenson

Southwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Cypress Hills Doug Steele
Lumsden-Morse Blaine McLeod
Moose Jaw North Tim McLeod Cheantelle Fisher
Moose Jaw Wakamow Megan Patterson Melissa Patterson
Swift Current Everett Hindley
Wood River David Marit

Southeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Cannington Daryl Harrison Michelle Krieger
Estevan-Big Muddy Lori Carr Phillip Zajac
Last Mountain-Touchwood Travis Keisig Thera Nordal
Melville-Saltcoats Warren Kaeding
Moosomin-Montmartre Steven Bonk
Weyburn-Bengough
White City-Qu'appelle Grady Birns
Yorkton Lenore Pinder Valerie Brooks[35]

Saskatoon

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Saskatoon Centre Betty Nippi-Albright
Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis Don McBean
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood Lisa Lambert Keith Jorgenson
Saskatoon Eastview Matt Love
Saskatoon Fairview Vicki Mowat
Saskatoon Meewasin Nathaniel Teed
Saskatoon Nutana Erika Ritchie
Saskatoon Riversdale Marv Friesen Naomi Hunter[35]
Saskatoon Silverspring Paul Merriman
Saskatoon Southeast
Saskatoon Stonebridge Bronwyn Eyre Darcy Warrington
Saskatoon University-Sutherland Tajinder Grewal
Saskatoon Westview David Buckingham
Saskatoon Willowgrove Ken Cheveldayoff

Regina

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Regina Coronation Park Noor Burki
Regina Douglas Park Nicole Sarauer
Regina Elphinstone-Centre Meara Conway
Regina Lakeview Carla Beck
Regina Mount Royal Trent Wotherspoon
Regina Northeast Jacqueline Roy
Regina Pasqua Muhammad Fiaz Bhajan Brar
Regina Rochdale Laura Ross Joan Pratchler
Regina South Albert Khushdil (Lucky) Mehrok Aleana Young
Regina University Gene Makowsky
Regina Walsh Acres Jared Clarke
Regina Wascana Plains Christine Tell

Opinion polls

Polling firm Client Dates conducted Source SK Party NDP Buffalo Green PC Progress United Others Margin
of error 		Sample
size 		Polling method Lead
Insightrix N/A Feb 6–8, 2024 [p 1] 47% 49% — — — — — 4% 3.5% 800 Online 2%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24 – Dec 1, 2023 [p 2] 52% 39% — — — 3% — 6% 5% 350 Online 13%
Insightrix The SKoop Oct 4–6, 2023 [p 3][p 4] 51% 45% — — — — — 4% 3.5% 801 Online 6%
Aug 10, 2023 By-elections were held in Regina Coronation Park, Regina Walsh Acres, and Lumsden-Morse.
July 19, 2023 The Saskatchewan Liberal Party changes their party name to the Saskatchewan Progress Party.
Insightrix The SKoop July 11–14, 2023 [p 5][p 6] 45% 36% 2% 2% 10% 2% 3% 1% 3.5% 803 Online 9%
Insightrix The SKoop Apr 11–13, 2023 [p 7][p 8][p 9][p 10] 46% 37% 3% 2% 6% 3% 2% — 3.5% 803 Online 9%
Nov 30, 2022 The Saskatchewan United Party becomes a registered party, and Nadine Wilson becomes the party's first MLA.
Sep 26, 2022 A by-election was held in Saskatoon Meewasin.
June 26, 2022 Carla Beck becomes leader of the NDP.
Angus Reid N/A Jun 07–13, 2022 [p 11][p 12] 57% 34% — 1% — 2% — 6% 4% 513 Online 23%
Angus Reid N/A Mar 10–15, 2022 [p 13][p 14] 54% 36% — 2% — 2% — 6% 4% 602 Online 18%
Research Co. N/A Feb 19–23, 2022 [p 15] 53% 37% 3% 2% 2% 1% — 1% 3.5% 808 Online 16%
Feb 18, 2022 Ryan Meili announces his intention to step down as leader of the NDP.
Feb 15, 2022 A by-election was held in Athabasca.
Angus Reid N/A Jan 7–12, 2022 [p 16][p 17] 48% 39% — 1% — 2% — 10% 5% 415 Online 9%
Angus Reid N/A Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021 [p 18] 52% 35% — 1% — 2% — 9% 2% 505 Online 17%
Angus Reid N/A Jun 2–7, 2021 [p 19] 57% 31% — 3% — 2% — 8% 4% 412 Online 26%
Leger Common Ground Mar 1–8, 2021 [p 20] 41.5% 36.3% 4.5% 3.9% 7.3% 6.2% — 0.2% N/A 802 Online 5.3%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24–30, 2020 [p 21] 58% 27% — 3% — 1% — 11% 1.4% 459 Online 29%
2020 general election Oct 26, 2020 — 60.7% 31.8% 2.6% 2.3% 1.9% 0.1% — 0.2% — — — 28.9%

Opinion poll sources

  1. ^ "Independent Poll – Saskatchewan Voter Intent & School Teacher Labour Negotiations" (PDF). Insightrix. February 9, 2024. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  2. ^ "Saskatchewan: Majority support government's gender & pronoun policy but half also say exceptions needed" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. June 12, 2023. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  3. ^ "Residents say federal government most to blame for rising cost of living in Saskatchewan, according to new poll". The SKoop. October 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  4. ^ "The SKoop Polling – October 2023". Insightrix. October 20, 2023. Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  5. ^ "The SKoop Polling: Cost of living, healthcare top issues for Saskatchewan voters; Saskatchewan Party best able to handle cost of living issues". The SKoop. July 26, 2023. Archived from the original on July 27, 2023. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  6. ^ "NEW POLLING: Cost of Living, Healthcare Top Issues for Sask. Voters". The SKoop. July 21, 2023. Archived from the original on July 25, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  7. ^ Polling Canada [@CanadianPolling] (April 24, 2023). "Saskatchewan Provincial Polling..." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  8. ^ "POLLING: Sask. Party Leads NDP, Sask. United Barely Registering Support". The SKoop. April 21, 2023. Archived from the original on April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  9. ^ Richardson, Dale (April 21, 2023). "Sask. Party Leads NDP in New Poll, Sask. United Registers Barely Any Support". The SKoop. Archived from the original on July 21, 2023. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  10. ^ Salloum, Alec (April 24, 2023). "Recent poll shows NDP favoured over Sask. Party in Regina, Saskatoon". Regina Leader-Post. Postmedia Network. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  11. ^ "Prairie Politics: Moe and Stefanson share a border, but residents' government satisfaction is worlds apart". Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  12. ^ "Full Report" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. July 8, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 9, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  13. ^ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
  14. ^ "Detailed Results" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. March 31, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 31, 2022. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
  15. ^ "What is Saskatchewan?". Research Co. February 25, 2022. Archived from the original on February 25, 2022. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
  16. ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics" (PDF). Angus Reid. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 20, 2022.
  17. ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  18. ^ "Provincial Spotlight" (PDF). Angus Reid. October 27, 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  19. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). angusreid.org. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 10, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  20. ^ "Viewpoint Saskatchewan: Vote Intentions & Party Identifications". Common Ground. Archived from the original on December 3, 2021. Retrieved December 3, 2021.
  21. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, COVID-19 management". Angus Reid Institute. December 10, 2020. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 12, 2021.

Notes

  1. ^ The Biggar-Sask Valley constituency will be eliminated for this election due to redistribution. Weekes chose to seek the Saskatchewan Party nomination in Kindersley-Biggar, which includes a portion of the former Biggar-Sask Valley constituency.

References

  1. ^ Solomon, Michaela (September 29, 2020). "Saskatchewan's 29th general election begins as writ drop announced". regina.ctvnews.ca. CTV News. Archived from the original on May 9, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2020.
  2. ^ "Sask. gov't announces 2020 election date, tables election law changes". Global News. Archived from the original on August 20, 2020. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  3. ^ "Saskatchewan adjusting 2020 provincial, municipal election dates". Regina Leader Post. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  4. ^ a b "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 21, 2018. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  5. ^ "Registered political parties". Elections Saskatchewan. Retrieved February 3, 2024.
  6. ^ "Registered Political Parties (as of January 15, 2024)" (PDF). January 15, 2024.
  7. ^ "Buffalo Party hosts event in Redvers; visiting other rural towns". SaskToday.ca. January 26, 2024. Retrieved February 3, 2024.
  8. ^ Layh, Donald (October 27, 2022). "2022 Sask Constituency Boundaries Commission Final Report" (PDF). Saskatchewan Provincial Boundaries Commission. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  9. ^ "Here's what Sask. constituencies could look like for the next provincial election". Regina. July 28, 2022. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
  10. ^ Pearce, Nick (August 10, 2021). "NDP MLA Buckley Belanger resigns from legislature to seek federal Liberal nomination". thestarphoenix. Archived from the original on January 27, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  11. ^ "Sask. Party MLA resigns from government caucus after 'misrepresenting her vaccination status'". CTV Regina. September 30, 2021. Archived from the original on March 16, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  12. ^ Williams, Ethan (February 16, 2022). "Sask. Party candidate takes Athabasca riding in byelection upset". CBC. Archived from the original on March 12, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  13. ^ Hunter, Adam (February 18, 2022). "Sask. NDP Leader Ryan Meili stepping down, will remain as leader until party chooses a successor". CBC. Archived from the original on March 6, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  14. ^ Canales-Lavigne, Moises (May 19, 2022). "Sask. NDP Leader Ryan Meili stepping down as Saskatoon Meewasin MLA". Global News. Archived from the original on May 19, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  15. ^ Wallace-Scribner, M Tanner (June 26, 2022). "Carla Beck elected as new leader of Sask. NDP". 620ckrm. Archived from the original on June 26, 2022. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
  16. ^ CBC News (December 1, 2022). "New Sask. United Party already has leader in legislature". CBC News. Archived from the original on December 7, 2022. Retrieved December 1, 2022.
  17. ^ "Sask. Party MLA Mark Docherty steps down | Globalnews.ca". Archived from the original on February 20, 2023. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
  18. ^ "Veteran Sask. Party MLA Lyle Stewart steps down for health reasons". CBC News. March 7, 2023. Archived from the original on March 14, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  19. ^ Wallace-Scribner, Tanner (March 28, 2023). "Regina Walsh Acres MLA Derek Meyers dies at the age of 45". CKRM. Archived from the original on March 28, 2023. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
  20. ^ "Regina MLA Derek Meyers, 45, dies after cancer battle". CBC News. March 28, 2023. Archived from the original on March 29, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  21. ^ "Saskatchewan Liberal Party rebrands to Saskatchewan Progress Party after members vote to change name". CBC News. July 13, 2023. Archived from the original on July 19, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  22. ^ a b c Dayal, Pratyush (August 10, 2023). "2 NDP wins in Regina byelections, Saskatchewan Party keeps Lumsden-Morse". CBC News. Archived from the original on August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  23. ^ a b c d "Don Morgan among four Sask. Party MLAs not seeking reelection in 2024 | the Star Phoenix". Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved September 10, 2023.
  24. ^ a b c d Quon, Alexander (February 6, 2024). "4 high-profile Saskatchewan cabinet ministers won't seek re-election: Sask. Party". CBC News. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  25. ^ a b "Greg Ottenbreit, Ken Francis not running again for Sask Party". May 29, 2023. Archived from the original on August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  26. ^ "Regina Northeast MLA Gary Grewal not seeking re-election". February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 23, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  27. ^ "Jennifer Bowes not seeking re-election in Saskatoon University". June 5, 2023. Archived from the original on August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  28. ^ "Cumberland MLA to step aside from provincial politics in 2024". Archived from the original on December 6, 2023. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  29. ^ "BREAKING: Greg Lawrence not seeking re-election following motorcycle accident". September 26, 2023. Archived from the original on October 19, 2023. Retrieved October 7, 2023.
  30. ^ "Sean Wilson Wins Contested Nomination in Canora-Pelly". Archived from the original on October 20, 2023. Retrieved October 19, 2023.
  31. ^ "Dennis running for Sask. Party nomination for Canora–Pelly". May 25, 2023. Archived from the original on June 2, 2023. Retrieved October 19, 2023.
  32. ^ "Sask. House Speaker Randy Weekes loses constituency nomination | Regina Leader Post". Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  33. ^ "Wilson defeats Dennis to win Canora-Pelly Sask Party nomination". SaskToday.ca. October 20, 2023. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
  34. ^ Salloum, Alec (December 15, 2023). "House Speaker Randy Weekes loses contested constituency nomination". Regina Leader Post.
  35. ^ a b Hunter, Naomi (January 25, 2023). "Leader's Message _ January 2023 Edition of Newsletter". Green Party of Saskatchewan. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
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