2024 Montana House of Representatives election: Difference between revisions
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This will be the first election under new legislative lines adopted by an independent, bipartisan commission in 2023.<ref>{{Cite web| author=Arren Kimbel-Sannit| date=13 February 2023| title=Explaining the why and the where of Montana’s new legislative districts| url=https://montanafreepress.org/2023/02/13/montana-redistricting-commission-finalizes-new-house-senate-maps/| website=Montana Free Press}}</ref> |
This will be the first election under new legislative lines adopted by an independent, bipartisan commission in 2023.<ref>{{Cite web| author=Arren Kimbel-Sannit| date=13 February 2023| title=Explaining the why and the where of Montana’s new legislative districts| url=https://montanafreepress.org/2023/02/13/montana-redistricting-commission-finalizes-new-house-senate-maps/| website=Montana Free Press}}</ref> |
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==Partisan Background== |
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In the 2020 United States Presidential Election, Republican Donald Trump won the most votes in 61 of Montana's House of Representatives districts and Democrat Joe Biden won the most votes in 39 districts. Going into the 2024 House of Representatives Elections, Democrats represented two districts where Donald Trump won the most votes in 2020: District 27, based in Havre ( Trump + 16%) and Majority-Minority District 42, which contains a significant Native American population in Big Horn County (Trump + 2%). Going into the 2024 elections, Republicans represented six districts where Joe Biden won the most votes in 2020: District 41, a district with a majority Native American population in Big Horn County ( Biden + 11%); District 46, located in Billings (Biden + 5%); District 57, located in Park County ( Biden + 2%); District 60, located in Gallatin County ( Biden + 4%); District 91, located near Missoula County ( Biden + 9%); and District 92, located in Missoula County ( Biden + 23%). In addition, due to the recent redistricting, there were two new districts where neither party had an incumbent going into the 2024 House of Representatives Election: Districts 65 ( Biden + 17%) and 66 (Biden + 14%) , both of which are in suburban Gallatin County, near the city of Bozeman. |
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[[File:2020 Montana Presidential Election by State House District.svg|500px|thumb|center|{{col-begin}} {{col-2}} '''Biden'''{{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}} {{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}} {{col-2}} '''Trump''' {{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}} {{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}} {{legend|#D40000|70–80%}} {{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}} {{col-end}}]] |
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==Retirements== |
==Retirements== |
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Thirty-three incumbents will not seek re-election.<ref name="BMTR" /> |
Thirty-three incumbents will not seek re-election.<ref name="BMTR" /> |
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All 100 seats in the Montana House of Representatives 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent New Seat | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Montana |
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The 2024 Montana House of Representatives election will be held on November 5, 2024, alongside the 2024 United States elections.[1]
This will be the first election under new legislative lines adopted by an independent, bipartisan commission in 2023.[2]
Partisan Background
In the 2020 United States Presidential Election, Republican Donald Trump won the most votes in 61 of Montana's House of Representatives districts and Democrat Joe Biden won the most votes in 39 districts. Going into the 2024 House of Representatives Elections, Democrats represented two districts where Donald Trump won the most votes in 2020: District 27, based in Havre ( Trump + 16%) and Majority-Minority District 42, which contains a significant Native American population in Big Horn County (Trump + 2%). Going into the 2024 elections, Republicans represented six districts where Joe Biden won the most votes in 2020: District 41, a district with a majority Native American population in Big Horn County ( Biden + 11%); District 46, located in Billings (Biden + 5%); District 57, located in Park County ( Biden + 2%); District 60, located in Gallatin County ( Biden + 4%); District 91, located near Missoula County ( Biden + 9%); and District 92, located in Missoula County ( Biden + 23%). In addition, due to the recent redistricting, there were two new districts where neither party had an incumbent going into the 2024 House of Representatives Election: Districts 65 ( Biden + 17%) and 66 (Biden + 14%) , both of which are in suburban Gallatin County, near the city of Bozeman.
| Biden 50–60% 60–70% | Trump 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% |
Retirements
Thirty-three incumbents will not seek re-election.[1]
Democrats
- District 5: Dave Fern is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 15: Marvin Weatherwax Jr. is retiring.
- District 32: Jonathan Windy Boy is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 42: Sharon Stewart-Peregoy is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 60: Laurie Bishop is term-limited.
- District 61: Jim Hamilton is term-limited.
- District 63: Alice Buckley is retiring.
- District 74: Derek J. Harvey is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 79: Laura Smith is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 83: Kim Abbott is term-limited.
Republicans
- District 1: Steve Gunderson is term-limited.
- District 4: Matt Regier is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 10: Bob Keenan is retiring.
- District 11: Tanner Smith is retiring to run for Governor.
- District 14: Denley Loge is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 17: Ross Fitzgerald is term-limited.
- District 20: Fred Anderson is term-limited.
- District 22: Lola Sheldon-Galloway is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 23: Scot Kerns is retiring.
- District 27: Joshua Kassmier is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 29: Ed Butcher is retiring.
- District 33: Casey Knudsen is term-limited.
- District 34: Rhonda Knudsen is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 36: Bob Phalen is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 41: Gayle Lammers is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 50: Naarah Hastings is retiring.
- District 51: Mike Yakawich is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 54: Terry Moore is retiring.
- District 56: Sue Vinton is term-limited (running for State Senate).
- District 72: Tom Welch is term-limited.
- District 78: Gregory Frazer is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 88: Wayne Rusk is retiring to run for State Senate.
- District 92: Mike Hopkins is term-limited.
Incumbents defeated
In primary election
Five incumbent representatives, all Republicans, were defeated in the June 4 primary election.[3]
Republicans
- District 8: Tony Brockman lost renomination to Lukas Schubert.
- District 20: Steven Galloway lost renomination to Melissa Nikolakakos.
- District 68: Jennifer Carlson lost a redistricting race to Caleb Hinkle.
- District 78: James Bergstrom lost renomination to Randyn Gregg.
- District 85: Michele Binkley lost renomination to Kathy Love.
References
- ^ a b "Montana House of Representatives elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
- ^ Arren Kimbel-Sannit (February 13, 2023). "Explaining the why and the where of Montana's new legislative districts". Montana Free Press.
- ^ Ambarian, Jonathon (June 6, 2024). "Legislative shake-up as incumbents lose primaries following Montana redistricting". KTVH-DT. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
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