2020 United States Senate election in Montana

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2020 United States Senate election in Montana

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Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Steve Daines
Republican



The 2020 United States Senate election in Montana will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Steve Daines
U.S. Presidents
Businessmen

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Daines (incumbent)
Republican John Driscoll
Republican Daniel Larson
Total votes 100.00%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Steve Bullock
Federal officials
State and local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

with Steve Bullock
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Steve
Bullock
Wilmot
Collins
Other Undecided
Montana State University Billings Oct 7-16, 2019 40 (LV) 59% 1% 39%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Bullock
Democratic John Mues
Total votes 100.0%

Libertarian nomination[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Green primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Dennis Daneke, retired college professor[31]
  • Wendie Fredrickson, former audit reviewer for Montana State Department of Public Health and Human Services[2]

Results[edit]

Green primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Dennis Daneke
Green Wendie Fredrickson
Total votes 100.00%

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Originally this seat was considered to be a safe Republican hold. However, Bullock's late entry in the race has shifted the dynamics of the contest dramatically, and many now consider it either Tossup or Tilt R (as the polling numbers and predictions show).

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Lean R March 20, 2020
Inside Elections[33] Lean R March 9, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean R March 9, 2020
Politico[35] Lean R March 13, 2020

Polling[edit]

with Steve Bullock
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Daines (R)
Steve
Bullock (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 12–13, 2020 903 ± 3.3% 47% 47% 6%
University of Montana February 12–22, 2020 498 ± 4.4% 47% 38% 15%

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in Montana, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican TBD
Democratic TBD
Libertarian Susan Geise
Green TBD
Total votes 100.0%

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Hardware store manager enters Montana U.S. Senate race". 2020-02-23.
  2. ^ a b Michels, Holly (March 9, 2020). "Filing deadline for Montana ballot sees last-minute surprises". Helena Independent Record.
  3. ^ "Hardware store manager enters Montana U.S. Senate race". KPAX. 2020-02-23. Retrieved 2020-03-03.
  4. ^ https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1233497372577148935
  5. ^ Trump, Donald Jr. "Montana's A-Team: Daines, Rosendale, Gianforte". missoulian.com. Retrieved 22 December 2019.
  6. ^ Nilsen, Ella (March 9, 2020). "Gov. Steve Bullock just made the Montana Senate race competitive for Democrats". Vox.
  7. ^ Arkin, James (March 9, 2020). "Bullock enters Montana Senate race". POLITICO.
  8. ^ Pramuk, Jacob (March 9, 2020). "Montana Gov. Steve Bullock launches Senate bid, a boost in Democrats' push for majority". CNBC.
  9. ^ Michels, Holly (July 11, 2019). "Democrat John Mues joins U.S. Senate race". Missoulian.
  10. ^ "Ballard drops from U.S. Senate Race". Great Falls Tribune. Great Falls Tribune. September 13, 2019. Retrieved September 14, 2019.
  11. ^ Collins, Wilmot. "Thank you, Montana. It's been my honor to run for U.S. Senate. Today I'm suspending my campaign and endorsing Governor Steve Bullock". @CollinsWilmot. Retrieved 9 March 2020.
  12. ^ https://mobile.twitter.com/KnolesMichael/status/1236997949730611207
  13. ^ Neumann, Cora. "Cora Neumann withdraws from Montana senate race, endorses Steve Bullock". Twitter. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  14. ^ https://twitter.com/LA_Hagen/status/1237018996026814465?s=19
  15. ^ Stein, Perrin. "Bozeman Senate candidate drops out of race, supports Bullock". Bozeman Daily Chronicle.
  16. ^ Lippman, Daniel (May 10, 2019). "'The Revenant' author considering run for Montana Senate or governor". Politico. Retrieved May 10, 2019.
  17. ^ Punke, Michael (2019-06-23). "As my friends and family know, I have been considering a run for Montana's senator or governor. I'm grateful for the encouragement I received. I have decided not to seek election this cycle. For my family &me, it's not the right time. Thx to all who offered advice &encouragement". @MPunke. Retrieved 2019-06-23.
  18. ^ Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  19. ^ "Williams launches new bid for Montana US House seat". KECI. Associated Press. April 5, 2019. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
  20. ^ Lu, Chris (March 9, 2020). "Excited to see Steve Bullock jump in. This is a critical race to help us take back the Senate. Please consider making a contribution. I just did". Twitter. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  21. ^ Blumenthal sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Bullock.
  22. ^ Gillibrand, Kirsten (March 9, 2020). ".@stevebullockmt has proven to be one of the most effective governors in the country—now, he's running for Senate in Montana! Are you in to take back the Senate from Mitch McConnell?". Twitter. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  23. ^ Klobuchar, Amy (March 9, 2020). "MT Gov Steve Bullock is a fighter. He understands the needs of working families & believes in investing in education & job training. It's great to know he will continue this fight in his run for Senate (@Bullock4Senate) & will help flip the Senate blue!". Twitter. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  24. ^ Tester, Jon (March 9, 2020). "Washington needs more Montana common sense, and I know my friend @stevebullockmt has got it. His track record shows he's a proven fighter for the folks in our state, and can work across the aisle to get real results". Twitter. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  25. ^ Schatz, Brian (March 9, 2020). "Steve Bullock is IN. We win this seat and Mitch McConnell doesn't run the Senate anymore. Please help!!!!!". Twitter. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  26. ^ Cooney, Mike. "Couldn't be more excited to have our Governor @stevebullockmt back out on the campaign trail in Montana. I'm so proud of everything we've accomplished—but we're not done fighting yet! #mtpol #mtsen #mtgov". @CooneyforMT. Retrieved 9 March 2020.
  27. ^ Collins, Wilmot. "Thank you, Montana. It's been my honor to run for U.S. Senate. Today I'm suspending my campaign and endorsing Governor Steve Bullock". @CollinsWilmot. Retrieved 9 March 2020.
  28. ^ Ossoff, Jon (March 9, 2020). "Gov. @stevebullockmt just announced he's running for U.S. Senate in Montana! Montana now joins Georgia as one of the most competitive states in the country. Click below to split a donation between our campaigns so we can WIN in November!". Twitter. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  29. ^ "Governor Steve Bullock embodies Montana's proud tradition of supporting good government and clean elections. He has successfully fought against corruption and worked to overturn Citizens United. We're proud to endorse @stevebullockmt for #MTSEN". Twitter. March 9, 2020. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  30. ^ "Geise enters 2020 run for U.S. Senate as Libertarian". Great Falls Tribune. March 20, 2020.
  31. ^ Dennison, Mike (March 26, 2020). "MT Green Party candidates: One says, `don't vote for me'". KTVH.
  32. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  33. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  34. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  35. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites