Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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|bgcolor="0000FF"|<font color="FFFFFF">Obama leads by over 5% '''(202)''' |
|bgcolor="0000FF"|<font color="FFFFFF">Obama leads by over 5% '''(202)''' |
Revision as of 06:24, 8 June 2008
Template:Future election in the United States
This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.
(for results of the hypothetical race between Hillary Clinton and John McCain see Statewide opinion polling for Hillary Clinton for the United States presidential election, 2008)
-
Democratic nominee
Barack Obama -
Republican nominee
John McCain
Maps of most recent polling data
Obama vs. McCain |
File:McCainObamaMatchup.png |
Obama leads by over 5% (202) |
Obama leads by 1% to 5% (36) |
Within 1% (12) |
McCain leads by 1% to 5% (89) |
McCain leads by over 5% (199) |
Totals |
McCain leads: 288 electoral votes
Obama leads: 238 electoral votes |
The lower map has been adjusted so that state size represents electoral strength. Maps based on different algorithm than "Predicted results" section below (see here), and by nature are a bit slow to show major shifts. Map and totals updated on June 4 2008.
Opinion polling
General election
9 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 27, 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 60% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 57% |
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association |
April 16-April 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 36.2% | John McCain | 55.3% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 64% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 2, 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 55% |
University of South Alabama | March 24-March 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 57% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 62% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 54% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 58% |
Survey USA | January 16-January 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 63% |
3 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
10 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Behavior Research Center | May 12-May 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% |
Arizona State University/KAET | April 24-April 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 57% |
Northern Arizona University | March 30-April 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 55% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 51% |
Arizona State University | February 21-February 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 49% |
6 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 57% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 30% | John McCain | 59% |
Opinion Research | March 6-March 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 27% | John McCain | 43% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 53% |
55 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Field Research Corporation | May 16-May 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 35% |
Los Angeles Times/KTLA | May 20-May 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 19-May 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 12-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 37% |
USA Election Polls | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 43% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 43% |
Public Policy Institute of California | March 11-March 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 61% | John McCain | 34% |
Survey USA | January 20-January 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 44% |
9 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% |
New Leadership USA/ TargetPoint |
March 31-April 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 51% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 46% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% |
7 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% |
Quinnipiac University | March 19-March 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 35% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 34% |
3 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
27 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | May 13-May 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 19, 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 50% |
Quinnipiac University | April 23-April 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 10, 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 53% |
Quinnipiac University | March 24-March 31 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 46% |
Public Policy Polling | March 15-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% |
Mason Dixon | February 21-February 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 53% |
Quinnipiac University | February 6-February 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 41% |
15 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion | May 19, 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 45% |
Strategic Vision | May 9-May 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 54% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 53% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 53% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 54% |
4 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 61% | John McCain | 31% |
4 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
21 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 60% | John McCain | 31% |
Research 2000 | January 21-January 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 58% | John McCain | 37% |
11 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Downs Center/ Survey USA |
April 28-April 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 47% |
Research 2000/ South Bend Tribune |
April 23-April 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 51% |
Selzer & Co./WTHR/ Indianapolis Star |
April 20-April 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
Downs Center/ Survey USA |
April 14-April 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 51% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
Survey USA | February 3-February 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 50% |
7 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 21-May 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 13, 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 42% |
Research2000 | April 21-April 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 44% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
Des Moines Register | February 17-February 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | January 4-January 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 38% |
6 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | June 2-June 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 51% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 55% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 54% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 51% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
Survey USA | January 16-January 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 53% |
8 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 57% |
Mason Dixon/WKYT/ Lexington Herald-Leader |
May 7-May 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 58% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 63% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 28% | John McCain | 64% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 54% |
Survey USA | February 3-February 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 61% |
9 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 28, 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 52% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 54% |
4 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 39% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 39% |
10 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 40% |
12 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 39% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% |
Survey USA | January 20-January 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 50% |
17 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 41% |
EPIC-MRA | May 19-May 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 45% |
EPIC-MRA | April 4 - April 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 25 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 43% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 44% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 45% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
10 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 43% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | January 20-January 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% |
6 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 19-May 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 54% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 54% |
11 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | June 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 43% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 53% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 53% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 48% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 42% |
3 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon/ Lee Newspapers |
May 19-May 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 6, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 47% |
5 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 45% |
5 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 46% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 38% |
4 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% |
Dartmouth College | April 28-May 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 51% |
University of New Hampshire | April 25-April 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 46% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 36% |
15 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey |
April 24-April 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 32% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | March 24-March 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 46% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 43% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 45% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | February 18-February 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 38% |
Quinnipiac University | February 13-February 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% |
5 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 43% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 17-February 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 44% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | January 20-January 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
31 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 33% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 38% |
Siena College | May 12-May 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 38% |
Siena College | April 13-April 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 40% |
Quinnipiac University | April 14-April 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 43% |
WNBC/Marist College | April 3-April 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% |
Quinnipiac University | March 16-March 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 36% |
Siena College | February 11-February 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | January 20-January 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% |
15 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 28-May 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 43% |
Survey USA | May 17-May 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 51% |
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
May 14-May 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 44% |
Public Policy Polling | May 8-May 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
Citivas Institute | April 9-April 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 48% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 51% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% |
Public Policy Polling | February 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% |
3 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dakota Wesleyan University | March 24-April 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 44% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% |
20 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | May 13-May 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 44% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 45% |
Quinnipiac University | April 23-April 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 43% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 47% |
Quinnipiac University | March 24-March 31 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 42% |
Public Policy Polling | March 15-March 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 49% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 46% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% |
Quinnipiac University | February 6-February 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 42% |
7 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 57% |
7 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 39% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 26 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | January 11-January 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
21 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 21, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 43% |
Quinnipiac University | May 13-May 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 40% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research |
May 1-May 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% |
Quinnipiac University | April 23-April 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 24, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% |
Strategic Vision | April 18-April 20, 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 48% |
Strategic Vision | April 11-April 13, 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 49% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
Temple University | March 27-April 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 40% |
Strategic Vision | April 4-April 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 48% |
Quinnipiac University | March 24-March 31 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 39% |
Strategic Vision | March 28-March 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% |
Susquehanna Polling | March 5-March 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% |
Strategic Vision | March 7-March 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% |
Quinnipiac University | February 21-February 25 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 40% |
Franklin and Marshall College | February 13-February 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% |
Muhlenberg College | February 9-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 39% |
Quinnipiac University | February 6-February 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 41% |
4 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
Brown University | February 9-February 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 30% |
8 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
3 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | March 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 48% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
11 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 3, 2008 | Barack Obama | 31% | John McCain | 58% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 54% |
Middle Tennessee State University | February 11-February 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 50% |
34 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baselice & Associates | May 20-May 25 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 52% |
Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
May 5-May 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
Public Strategies/ WFAA Dallas/BELO |
February 28-March 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | February 23-February 25 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 49% |
5 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates |
May 13-May 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 27% | John McCain | 62% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% |
3 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 63% | John McCain | 29% |
13 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | May 12-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 52% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 52% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 47% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% |
Survey USA | January 16-January 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 52% |
11 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elway Poll | May 26-May 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 36% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | May 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | April 14-April 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 40% |
Survey USA | April 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% |
Elway Poll | March 18-March 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 39% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 41% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 45% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
Survey USA | February 3-February 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 38% |
5 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | June 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 45% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 53% |
10 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | May 16-May 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
University of Wisconsin | April 15-April 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 41% |
Survey USA | April 11-April 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% |
Wisconsin Public Radio/ St. Norbert College |
March 25-April 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 26 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% |
Survey USA | March 14-March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% |
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 40% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 43% |
Survey USA | February 15-February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% |
Survey USA | January 20-January 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 46% |
3 electoral votes
Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | February 26-February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 54% |
Latest results (using latest polling when available)
The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A simple majority of electoral votes (270 out of 538) is needed to secure the presidency.
John McCain vs. Barack Obama
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Notes:
- "R" indicates a state where the only current (2008) data is The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator
- "§" indicates a state that is listed as a safe Republican/Democratic state by The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Red color (§) indicates a state that listed safe but is in the opposite column.
See also
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008
- Straw polls for the 2008 United States presidential election
- Straw polls for the Republican Party 2008 presidential nomination