Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions

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Template:Future election in the United States

This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.

For results of the hypothetical race between Hillary Clinton and John McCain see Statewide opinion polling for Hillary Clinton for the United States presidential election, 2008.

Presumptive Democratic nominee
Barack Obama
Presumptive Republican nominee
John McCain

Opinion polling

General election

Alabama

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 26, 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	May 15-June 2 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	57%
Rasmussen Reports	May 27, 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	60%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	57%
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	April 16-24 2008	Barack Obama	36.2%	John McCain	55.3%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	64%
Rasmussen Reports	April 2, 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%

Alaska

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 16 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	May 14 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	April 7 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-29 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%

Arizona

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 25 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%
Arizona State University/KAET	June 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	28%	John McCain	38%
Behavior Research Center	May 12-20 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%
Arizona State University/KAET	April 24-27 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	April 15 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	57%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 12 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	May 12 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	57%
Rasmussen Reports	March 18 2008	Barack Obama	30%	John McCain	59%
Opinion Research	March 6-11 2008	Barack Obama	27%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	53%

California

55 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 23 2008	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	30%
Survey USA	June 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%
Field Research Corporation	May 16-27 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	35%
Los Angeles Times/KTLA	May 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	May 19-20 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Public Policy Institute of California	May 12-18 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%
USA Election Polls	May 14 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	35%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Public Policy Institute of California	March 11-18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	34%
Survey USA	January 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%

Colorado

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	June 17-24 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	June 17 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	May 19 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%
New Leadership USA/ TargetPoint	March 31-April 7 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	51%
Rasmussen Reports	March 17 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	May 29 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	March 19-24 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	35%
Rasmussen Reports	March 11 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%

Delaware

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%

Florida

27 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Public Policy Polling	June 26-29 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	June 26,2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	June 18,2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	47%
American Research Group	June 13-17 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	June 9-16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%
Quinnipiac University	May 13-20 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	May 19, 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%
Quinnipiac University	April 23-29 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10, 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	53%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-31 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	46%
Public Policy Polling	March 15-16 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Mason Dixon	February 21-24 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	53%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-12 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	41%

Georgia

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 26 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	53%
InsiderAdvantage/PollPosition	June 18 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	51%
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion	May 19, 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	45%
Strategic Vision	May 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	54%
Rasmussen Reports	May 6 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%

Hawaii

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-29 2008	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	31%

Idaho

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%

Illinois

21 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	31%
Research 2000	January 21-24 2008	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	37%

Indiana

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Downs Center/ Survey USA	April 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Research 2000/ South Bend Tribune	April 23-24 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%
Selzer & Co./WTHR/ Indianapolis Star	April 20-23 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Downs Center/ Survey USA	April 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 3-4 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%

Iowa

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	June 10, 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	May 21-22 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	May 13, 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	42%
Research2000	April 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 31, 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Des Moines Register	February 17-20 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	February 18 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	January 4-6 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%

Kansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
SurveyUSA/ Public Opinion Strategies	June 22-23 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	June 11 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	47%
Cooper & Secrest	June 5-8 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	June 2-4 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	May 13 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	55%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	January 16-17 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 25,2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	June 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%
Rasmussen Reports	May 22 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	57%
Mason Dixon/WKYT/ Lexington Herald-Leader	May 7-9 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	58%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	63%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	28%	John McCain	64%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 3-4 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	61%

Louisiana

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Southern Media/ Opinion Research	June 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	35.5%	John McCain	52.2%
Rasmussen Reports	May 28, 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	April 9, 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%

Maine

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 16 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	33%
Rasmussen Reports	May 14 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	April 1 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%

Maryland

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%

Massachusetts

12 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 30,2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	33%
Survey USA	June 25-27,2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%
Suffolk University	June 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	30%
Rasmussen Reports	May 28 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	April 23 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	March 18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	January 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%

Michigan

17 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	June 17-24 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	42%
Public Policy Polling	June 21-22 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	June 9 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	May 27 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	41%
EPIC-MRA	May 19-22 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	May 7 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%
EPIC-MRA	April 4 - 9, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	March 25 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	March 10 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	June 17-24 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%
Survey USA	June 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	June 11 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	May 22 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	April 22 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	January 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 24 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	May 27 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	May 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%

Missouri

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 20-22 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	June 3 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	May 6 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 24 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	42%

Montana

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Mason Dixon/ Lee Newspapers	May 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	April 6, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	47%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 23 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	52%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	May 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	57%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	May 15 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%

Nevada

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 18,2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%
Mason Dixon/ Las Vegas Review Journal	June 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	May 20 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	April 21 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 18,2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%
American Research Group	June 13-17 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	May 21 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%
Dartmouth College	April 28-May 2 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	April 30 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	51%
University of New Hampshire	April 25-30 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	March 16 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	36%

New Jersey

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	June 17-23 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	33%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	April 24-28 2008	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	32%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	March 24-30 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 27 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	February 18-24 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	38%
Quinnipiac University	February 13-18 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 19 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	June 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	May 14 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	April 8 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17-18 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%

New York

31 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 25-27 2008	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%
Siena College	June 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	33%
New York Times	June 6-11 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	32%
Quinnipiac University	June 3-8 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	May 28 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	33%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%
Siena College	May 12-15 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	38%
Siena College	April 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%
Quinnipiac University	April 14-15 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%
WNBC/Marist College	April 3-4 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
Quinnipiac University	March 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	March 11 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	36%
Siena College	February 11-14 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Public Policy Polling	June 26-29 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	June 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	June 10 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%
Public Policy Polling	May 28-29 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	May 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	May 14-17 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	44%
Public Policy Polling	May 8-9 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	May 8 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Citivas Institute	April 9-10 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	February 18 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Dakota Wesleyan University	March 24-April 3 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%

Ohio

20 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 20-22,2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	June 17,2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	June 9-16 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	42%
Public Policy Polling	June 14-15 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University	May 13-20 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	May 15 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%
Quinnipiac University	April 23-29 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	April 8 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	47%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-31 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	42%
Public Policy Polling	March 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 13 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-12 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	42%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	June 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	57%

Oregon

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	June 11 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	May 7 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 19-22, 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%
Quinnipiac University	June 9-16 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	May 21, 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%
Quinnipiac University	May 13-20 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	May 1-6 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University	April 23-29 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	April 24, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Strategic Vision	April 18-20, 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	48%
Strategic Vision	April 11-13, 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	April 9, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Temple University	March 27-April 9, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	40%
Strategic Vision	April 4-6 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-31 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	39%
Strategic Vision	March 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	March 10 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Susquehanna Polling	March 5-10 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Strategic Vision	March 7-9 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%
Quinnipiac University	February 21-25 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	40%
Franklin and Marshall College	February 13-18 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Muhlenberg College	February 9-17 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	February 14 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-12 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	41%

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Brown University	February 9-10 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	30%

South Carolina

8 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 5 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	March 4 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 24, 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%
Rasmussen Reports	April 3, 2008	Barack Obama	31%	John McCain	58%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	54%
Middle Tennessee State University	February 11-23 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	50%

Texas

34 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 25,2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%
Texas Lyceum	June 12-20 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	June 2 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%
Baselice & Associates	May 20-25 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	52%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	May 5-7 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	May 1 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Public Strategies/ WFAA Dallas/BELO	February 28-March 1 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 23-25 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%

Utah

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 19 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	52%
Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates	June 16-19 2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	57%
Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates	May 13-19 2008	Barack Obama	27%	John McCain	62%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%

Vermont

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	29%

Virginia

13 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 20-22 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	June 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	June 12 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Virginia Commonwealth University	May 12-18 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	May 8 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 19 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	January 16-17 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%

Washington

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	June 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	June 9 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	35%
Survey USA	June 7-9 2008	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%
Elway Poll	May 26-29 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	May 12 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	May 12 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	April 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	April 7 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%
Elway Poll	March 18-20 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 28 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 3-4 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	June 2 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	53%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	June 17-24 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	June 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%
University of Wisconsin	June 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%
Rasmussen Reports	June 5 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	May 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	May 5 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%
University of Wisconsin	April 15-24 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	April 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Wisconsin Public Radio/ St. Norbert College	March 25-April 5 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	March 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 21 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	February 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	January 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%

Wyoming

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	May 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	54%

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A simple majority of electoral votes (270 out of 538) is needed to secure the presidency.

John McCain vs. Barack Obama

First place: Barack Obama
26 states and DC (344 electoral votes)
- California (55)
- Colorado (9)
- Connecticut (7)
- Delaware (3)
- D.C. (3)§
- Florida (27)
- Hawaii (4)§
- Illinois (21)§
- Indiana (11)
- Iowa (7)
- Maine (4)§
- Maryland (10)§
- Massachusetts (12)
- Michigan (17)
- Minnesota (10)
- New Hampshire (4)
- New Jersey (15)
- New Mexico (5)
- New York (31)§
- Ohio (20)
- Oregon (7)
- Pennsylvania (21)
- Rhode Island (4)§
- Vermont (3)§
- Virginia (13)
- Washington (11)
- Wisconsin (10)

Second place: John McCain
24 states (194 electoral votes)
- Alabama (9)§
- Alaska (3)
- Arizona (10)
- Arkansas (6)
- Georgia (15)
- Idaho(4)§
- Kansas (6)
- Kentucky (8)§
- Louisiana (9)
- Mississippi (6)
- Missouri (11)
- Montana (3)
- Nebraska (5)
- Nevada (5)
- North Carolina (15)
- North Dakota (3)
- Oklahoma (7)§
- South Carolina (8)
- South Dakota (3)
- Tennessee (11)
- Texas (34)
- Utah (5)§
- West Virginia (5)
- Wyoming (3)§

Tied
0 states (0 electoral votes)

Notes:

"§" indicates a state that is listed as a safe Republican/Democratic state by The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Red color (§) indicates a state that listed safe but is in the opposite column.

Maps of most recent polling data

Obama vs. McCain

Safe Obama - over 10% (190)
Likely Obama - over 4% (256) (66)
Leans Obama - over 1% (293) (37)
Tossup - within 1% (16)
Leans McCain - over 1%(229) (54)
Likely McCain - over 4% (175) (63)
Safe McCain - over 10% (112)
Totals
Obama leads: 293 electoral votes McCain leads: 229 electoral votes

*Please note maps are based on a different algorithm than totals below. Click on map for details. Map and totals updated on July 1 2008.

Election Day projection

Updated 04:21, 1 July 2008 (UTC)

Data derived from FiveThirtyEight.com's weighted averages and statistical polling analysis (Methodology)
Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.

External links

FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
Electoral-Vote.com
Pollster.com graphic display of aggregated polls
Election-Projection.net 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections
Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator
Real Clear Politics
Survey USA
CNN's Electoral Map

@@ Line 3,426: / Line 3,426: @@
 McCain leads: '''229''' electoral votes
 |}
-<nowiki>*</nowiki>''Please note maps are based on a different algorithm than totals below. Click on map for details.'' Map and totals updated on June 29 2008.''
+<nowiki>*</nowiki>''Please note maps are based on a different algorithm than totals below. Click on map for details.'' Map and totals updated on July 1 2008.''
 ==Election Day projection==

Revision as of 01:03, 2 July 2008

Opinion polling

General election

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

John McCain vs. Barack Obama

Maps of most recent polling data

Election Day projection

See also

External links