Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

Template:Future election in the United States

This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.

Maps of most recent polling data

Clinton vs. McCain	Obama vs. McCain

Clinton leads by over 5% (176)	Obama leads by over 5% (192)
Clinton leads by 1% to 5% (53)	Obama leads by 1% to 5% (29)
Within 1% (50)	Within 1% (25)
McCain leads by 1% to 5% (42)	McCain leads by 1% to 5% (66)
McCain leads by over 5% (217)	McCain leads by over 5% (226)
Totals	Totals
McCain leads: 259 electoral votes Clinton leads: 229 electoral votes	McCain leads: 292 electoral votes Obama leads: 221 electoral votes

The lower map in each pair has been adjusted so that state size represents electoral strength. Maps mostly based on average for last three polls. For full description of how results are tallied, see here.

Opinion polling

General election

Alabama

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	34%	John McCain	60%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	64%
Rasmussen Reports	April 2, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	51%
Rasmussen Reports	April 2, 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%
University of South Alabama	March 24-March 27 2008	Hillary Clinton	30%	John McCain	52%
University of South Alabama	March 24-March 27 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	57%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	56%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	62%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	57%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	58%
Survey USA	January 16-January 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	58%
Survey USA	January 16-January 17 2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	63%

Alaska

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 7 2008	Hillary Clinton	32%	John McCain	57%
Rasmussen Reports	April 7 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-February 29 2008	Hillary Clinton	34%	John McCain	56%
Survey USA	February 26-February 29 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%

Arizona

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 15 2008	Hillary Clinton	32%	John McCain	60%
Rasmussen Reports	April 15 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	57%
Northern Arizona University	March 30-April 8 2008	Hillary Clinton	34%	John McCain	56%
Northern Arizona University	March 30-April 8 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	55%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	39%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	51%
Arizona State University	February 21-February 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	33%	John McCain	57%
Arizona State University	February 21-February 24 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	49%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	March 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 18 2008	Barack Obama	30%	John McCain	59%
Opinion Research	March 6-March 11 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	36%
Opinion Research	March 6-March 11 2008	Barack Obama	27%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	53%

California

55 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	53%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Public Policy Institute of California	March 11-March 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	43%
Public Policy Institute of California	March 11-March 18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	56%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	58%	John McCain	35%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	34%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	57%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%

Colorado

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%
New Leadership USA/TargetPoint	March 31-April 7 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	52%
New Leadership USA/TargetPoint	March 31-April 7 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	51%
Rasmussen Reports	March 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	March 17 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Quinnipiac University	March 19-March 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	42%
Quinnipiac University	March 19-March 24 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	35%
Rasmussen Reports	March 11 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	March 11 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%

Delaware

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%

Florida

27 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10, 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10, 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	53%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-March 31 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	42%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-March 31 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	46%
Public Policy Polling	March 15-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	March 15-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	March 12 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Mason Dixon	February 21-February 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	49%
Mason Dixon	February 21-February 24 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	53%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-February 12 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-February 12 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	41%

Georgia

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20 2008	Hillary Clinton	34%	John McCain	54%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	56%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%

Hawaii

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 29 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	February 26-February 29 2008	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	31%

Idaho

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	27%	John McCain	63%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%

Illinois

21 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	37%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	31%
Research 2000	January 21-January 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	54%	John McCain	40%
Research 2000	January 21-January 24 2008	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	37%

Indiana

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/South Bend Tribune	April 23-April 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	52%
Research 2000/South Bend Tribune	April 23-April 24 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%
Selzer & Co./Indianapolis Star/WTHR	April 20-April 23 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
Selzer & Co./Indianapolis Star/WTHR	April 20-April 23 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Downs Center/Survey USA	April 14-April 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	53%
Downs Center/Survey USA	April 14-April 16 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 3-February 4 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 3-February 4 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%

Iowa

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 31, 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	51%
Rasmussen Reports	March 31, 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Des Moines Register	February 17-February 20 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	49%
Des Moines Register	February 17-February 20 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	February 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 18 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	January 4-January 6 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	January 4-January 6 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%

Kansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	57%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	55%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	59%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	January 16-January 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	January 16-January 17 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	63%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	28%	John McCain	64%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 3-February 4 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 3-February 4 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	61%

Louisiana

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 9, 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	58%
Rasmussen Reports	April 9, 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%

Maine

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 1 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	April 1 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%

Maryland

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%

Massachusetts

12 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 23 2008	Hillary Clinton	55%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	April 23 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	56%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	March 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	54%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	March 18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	55%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	55%	John McCain	37%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	52%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%

Michigan

17 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
EPIC-MRA	April 4 - April 9, 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	45%
EPIC-MRA	April 4 - April 9, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	March 25 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	March 25 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	March 10 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	March 10 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 22 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	April 22 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%

Missouri

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 24 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	42%

Montana

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 6, 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	54%
Rasmussen Reports	April 6, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	33%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	47%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	30%	John McCain	57%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%

Nevada

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	April 21 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	March 16 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	36%

New Jersey

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	March 24-March 30 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	43%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	March 24-March 30 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 27 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	February 27 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	February 18-February 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	39%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	February 18-February 24 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	38%
Quinnipiac University	February 13-February 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	41%
Quinnipiac University	February 13-February 18 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	April 8 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	April 8 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17-February 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17-February 18 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%

New York

31 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Siena College	April 13-April 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	42%
Siena College	April 13-April 16 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%
Quinnipiac University	April 14-April 15 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	37%
Quinnipiac University	April 14-April 15 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	55%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%
WNBC/Marist College	April 3-April 4 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	46%
WNBC/Marist College	April 3-April 4 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
Quinnipiac University	March 16-March 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	40%
Quinnipiac University	March 16-March 18 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	54%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	March 11 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	March 11 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	55%	John McCain	33%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	52%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	36%
Siena College	February 11-February 14 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	42%
Siena College	February 11-February 14 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	53%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	51%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Citivas Institute	April 9-April 10 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	50%
Citivas Institute	April 9-April 10 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20 2008	Hillary Clinton	34%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	February 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	48%
Public Policy Polling	February 18 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Dakota Wesleyan University	March 24-April 3 2008	Hillary Clinton	30%	John McCain	59%
Dakota Wesleyan University	March 24-April 3 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%

Ohio

20 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	53%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	April 8 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	April 8 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	47%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-March 31 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-March 31 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	42%
Public Policy Polling	March 15-March 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	44%
Public Policy Polling	March 15-March 17 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	March 13 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	52%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-February 12 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-February 12 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	42%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	57%

Oregon

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	February 13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 11-January 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	January 11-January 13 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 24, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	April 24, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Strategic Vision	April 18-April 20, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	46%
Strategic Vision	April 18-April 20, 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	48%
Strategic Vision	April 11-April 13, 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	47%
Strategic Vision	April 11-April 13, 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	April 9, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	April 9, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Temple University	March 27-April 9, 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	40%
Temple University	March 27-April 9, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	40%
Strategic Vision	April 4-April 6 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	42%
Strategic Vision	April 4-April 6 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-March 31 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	40%
Quinnipiac University	March 24-March 31 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	39%
Strategic Vision	March 28-March 30 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	41%
Strategic Vision	March 28-March 30 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	March 10 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	March 10 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Susquehanna Polling	March 5-March 10 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	44%
Susquehanna Polling	March 5-March 10 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Strategic Vision	March 7-March 9 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	48%
Strategic Vision	March 7-March 9 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%
Quinnipiac University	February 21-February 25 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	42%
Quinnipiac University	February 21-February 25 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	40%
Franklin and Marshall College	February 13-February 18 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
Franklin and Marshall College	February 13-February 18 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Muhlenberg College	February 9-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	43%
Muhlenberg College	February 9-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	February 14 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	February 14 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-February 12 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	40%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-February 12 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	41%

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	54%	John McCain	37%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Brown University	February 9-February 10 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	32%
Brown University	February 9-February 10 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	30%

South Carolina

8 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	March 4 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 4 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	April 3, 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	April 3, 2008	Barack Obama	31%	John McCain	58%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	54%
Middle Tennessee State University	February 11-February 23 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	45%
Middle Tennessee State University	February 11-February 23 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	50%

Texas

34 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Public Strategies/WFAA Dallas/BELO	February 28-March 1 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	50%
Public Strategies/WFAA Dallas/BELO	February 28-March 1 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 23-February 25 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 23-February 25 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%

Utah

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	27%	John McCain	65%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%

Vermont

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	29%

Virginia

13 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	39%	John McCain	55%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	58%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 19 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	51%
Rasmussen Reports	February 19 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	January 16-January 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	52%
Survey USA	January 16-January 17 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%

Washington

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	April 14-April 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	April 14-April 16 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	April 7 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	April 7 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	March 27 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%
Elway Poll	March 18-March 20 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	41%
Elway Poll	March 18-March 20 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	March 14-March 16 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	February 28 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 3-February 4 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	February 3-February 4 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	53%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
University of Wisconsin	April 15-April 24 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	47%
University of Wisconsin	April 15-April 24 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	April 11-April 13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College	March 25-April 5 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	46%
Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College	March 25-April 5 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26 2008	Hillary Clinton	39%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 26 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 14-February 16 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 14-February 16 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	February 21 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 15-February 17 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	January 20-January 21 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%

Wyoming

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Hillary Clinton	28%	John McCain	61%
Survey USA	February 26-February 28 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	54%

Predicted results (using latest polling when available)

The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A simple majority of electoral votes (270 out of 538) is needed to secure the presidency.

John McCain vs. Hillary Clinton

President Elect: Hillary Clinton
20 states and DC (284 electoral votes)
- California (55)
- Connecticut (7)
- Delaware (3)
- D.C. (3)R§
- Florida (27)
- Hawaii (4)
- Illinois (21)
- Maine (4)
- Maryland (10)
- Massachusetts (12)
- Minnesota (10)
- Missouri (11)
- New Jersey (15)
- New York (31)
- Ohio (20)
- Oregon (7)
- Pennsylvania (21)
- Rhode Island (4)
- Vermont (3)
- Washington (11)
- West Virginia (5)

Second Place: John McCain
30 states (254 electoral votes)
- Alabama (9)
- Alaska (3)
- Arizona (10)
- Arkansas (6)
- Colorado (9)
- Georgia (15)
- Idaho (4)
- Indiana (11)
- Iowa (7)
- Kansas (6)
- Kentucky (8)
- Louisiana (9)
- Michigan (17)
- Mississippi (6)
- Montana (3)
- Nebraska (5)
- Nevada (5)
- New Hampshire (4)
- New Mexico (5)
- North Carolina (15)
- North Dakota (3)
- Oklahoma (7)
- South Carolina (8)
- South Dakota (3)
- Tennessee (11)
- Texas (34)
- Utah (5)
- Virginia (13)
- Wisconsin (10)
- Wyoming (3)

Too close to call
0 state (0 electoral votes)

John McCain vs. Barack Obama

President-elect: John McCain
30 states (280 electoral votes)
- Alabama (9)
- Alaska (3)
- Arizona (10)
- Arkansas (6)
- Florida (27)
- Georgia (15)
- Idaho (4)
- Indiana (11)
- Kansas (6)
- Kentucky (8)
- Louisiana (9)
- Mississippi (6)
- Missouri (11)
- Montana (3)
- Nebraska (5)
- Nevada (5)
- New Hampshire (4)
- New Mexico (5)
- North Dakota (3)
- Ohio (20)
- Oklahoma (7)
- Pennsylvania (21)
- South Carolina (8)
- South Dakota (3)
- Tennessee (11)
- Texas (34)
- Utah (5)
- Virginia (13)
- West Virginia (5)
- Wyoming (3)

Second place: Barack Obama
19 states and DC (243 electoral votes)
- California (55)
- Colorado (9)
- Connecticut (7)
- Delaware (3)
- D.C. (3)R§
- Hawaii (4)
- Illinois (21)
- Iowa (7)
- Maine (4)
- Maryland (10)
- Massachusetts (12)
- Michigan (17)
- Minnesota (10)
- New Jersey (15)
- New York (31)
- Oregon (7)
- Rhode Island (4)
- Vermont (3)
- Washington (11)
- Wisconsin (10)

Too close to call
1 state (15 electoral votes)
- North Carolina (15)

Notes:

"R" indicates a state where the only current (2008) data is The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator

"§" indicates a state that is listed as a safe Republican/Democratic state by The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

External links

Maps of most recent polling data

Opinion polling

General election

Predicted results (using latest polling when available)

John McCain vs. Hillary Clinton

John McCain vs. Barack Obama

See also

External links